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Revance Therapeutics, Inc. (RVNC)·Q1 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2024 delivered $51.9M total revenue (+13% YoY) with DAXXIFY net revenue of $22.1M (reduced by $2.0M from a consumer coupon) and RHA revenue of $29.6M; aesthetics KPIs improved: DAXXIFY units +105% YoY, +7% QoQ, and toxin share rose to 3.7% from 3.0% in Q4’23; RHA share increased to 9.8% from 9.1% despite a soft filler market .
- FY24 guidance reiterated: at least $280M total net product revenue, GAAP OPEX $460–$490M, non-GAAP OPEX $290–$310M, non-GAAP SG&A $240–$255M; management said non-GAAP OPEX is trending to the low end and continues to target positive Adjusted EBITDA in 2025 .
- Strategic catalysts: commercial launch of DAXXIFY for cervical dystonia (CD) with 78% commercial coverage and J‑Code in place; >200M covered lives; strong physician feedback from PrevU program (94% perceived longer duration vs conventional toxins) .
- Balance sheet fortified by $100M equity raise; cash, cash equivalents and ST investments of $277.1M at 3/31/24, supporting execution toward breakeven in 2025 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- DAXXIFY momentum: aesthetic units +105% YoY and +7% QoQ; toxin share up to 3.7% from 3.0% QoQ; management emphasized faster onset and improved skin quality in addition to duration, aiding adoption .
- RHA outperformed a soft filler market: share rose to 9.8% (from 9.1% in Q4), with RHA 3 lip indication launched in April to target the #1 U.S. filler procedure .
- Therapies readiness: DAXXIFY CD launched with 78% commercial coverage, J‑Code secured, and PrevU physicians (94%) perceiving longer duration; infrastructure and reimbursement workflows in place .
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What Went Wrong
- Coupon drag and seasonality: DAXXIFY net revenue reflected a $2.0M reduction from a consumer coupon program; total product revenue declined QoQ from $58.5M in Q4’23 to $51.7M in Q1’24 despite YoY growth .
- Filler softness: RHA revenue decreased 2% YoY to $29.6M, reflecting a softer U.S. filler market in Q1, though early Q2 signs point to normalization per management .
- Losses persist: Net loss from continuing operations was $49.5M; cost base remains high even as non-GAAP OPEX efficiencies progress .
Financial Results
Notes: Q1 2024 excludes discontinued Fintech/OPUL operations; Q3/Q4 2023 included service revenue and related costs. Gross margin % calculated from reported total revenue minus cost of product/service revenue divided by total revenue, using values from cited statements .
Segment/Product Breakdown
KPIs and Operating Metrics
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We saw a healthy uptick in volume... aesthetic units sold increased by 105% YoY, and... 7% sequentially despite... seasonality... DAXXIFY’s share increased from 3.0% in Q4’23 to 3.7% in Q1’24.” — Mark J. Foley, CEO .
- “Currently, DAXXIFY is covered by approximately 78% of commercial payors which... represents over 200 million lives.” — Mark J. Foley .
- “We are reiterating our guidance... non‑GAAP OpEx of $290M to $310M, which is currently trending to the low end... [and] positive adjusted EBITDA in 2025.” — Tobin Schilke, CFO .
- “We launched a new DAXXIFY messaging campaign ‘The DAXXIFY Difference: Fast, Last and the Look’ and removed the no advertised price limitation,” aiding practice promotion and adoption — Mark J. Foley .
Q&A Highlights
- Path to FY24 revenue: Management expects sequential growth across 2024, with Q2 benefiting from broadened account adds and balanced portfolio focus; early Q2 volumes “good” across toxin and filler; $280M product revenue target seen as achievable .
- RHA outlook: Despite Q1 softness, management expects the filler market to return to historic high-single-digit growth; RHA 3 lip launch and portfolio programs support teens growth for RHA in 2024 within overall guidance .
- Portfolio programs: Company plans 2024 bundling and value-added services to drive cross‑product engagement; future consumer incentives to be structured as deferrals/S&M expense (not full revenue offsets) where possible .
- Therapeutics contribution: 2024 CD revenue modeled as modest and incremental, with more meaningful impact in 2025 as dosing optimizes and reimbursement cycles complete .
- Competitive/pricing: Markets already competitive on price; Revance aims to win on performance attributes (onset, duration, skin quality) with competitive pricing; expects practices to increasingly curate offerings toward differentiated products .
Estimates Context
- We attempted to retrieve S&P Global (Capital IQ) consensus for Q1 2024 revenue and EPS; data was unavailable due to a mapping issue for RVNC at the time of analysis. As a result, we cannot provide a quantitative beat/miss versus consensus for this quarter. We will update once S&P Global consensus becomes accessible.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- DAXXIFY adoption inflecting: 105% YoY unit growth, 7% QoQ despite seasonality, and share gains to 3.7% indicate strategy change is working; watch sequential growth cadence and new account adds through 2024 as adoption broadens .
- Filler resilience via share gains: RHA’s market share expansion to 9.8% amid softness, plus the RHA 3 lip launch, supports a recovery narrative as the filler market normalizes; portfolio bundling could lift attach rates .
- Therapeutics launch lays a second growth vector: CD launch (78% coverage; J‑Code) with favorable early physician feedback sets up incremental 2024 contribution and a more material 2025 ramp as dosing and reimbursement patterns settle .
- Expense discipline gaining traction: Non‑GAAP OPEX trending to the low end of guidance and sequentially lower vs Q4’23 supports the 2025 positive Adjusted EBITDA target; track operating leverage as revenue scales .
- Near‑term modeling: Expect seasonality and coupon headwinds to fade; monitor QoQ product revenue trajectory, mix shift to toxin, and RHA recovery in Q2/Q3; FY24 product revenue floor (≥$280M) re‑affirmed .
- Risk checks: Continued net losses and leverage require execution on growth and efficiency; competitive pricing and new entrants necessitate sustained product differentiation and practice-level value delivery .
- Stock catalysts: Evidence of accelerating DAXXIFY reorder velocity/new account additions, RHA 3 lip traction, early CD prescription/reimbursement momentum, and confirmation of OPEX trending to low end could drive sentiment.
Sources:
- Q1 2024 8‑K press release and exhibits: financials, KPIs, guidance, CD launch and coverage .
- Q1 2024 earnings call transcript: adoption dynamics, RHA outlook, CD launch strategy, OPEX trajectory, competitive/pricing commentary .
- Prior quarters for trend analysis: Q4 2023 8‑K press release (product revenue $58.5M, DAXXIFY $24.0M, RHA $34.5M; FY24 guidance established; coverage/J‑Code updates) ; Q3 2023 8‑K press release (product revenue $54.1M; DAXXIFY pricing change and early reorder metrics) .