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RYAN SPECIALTY HOLDINGS, INC. (RYAN)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Strong start to 2025: total revenue rose 25.0% YoY to $690.2M, organic growth 12.9%, and Adjusted EBITDAC up 27.5% with 60 bps margin expansion to 29.1% . EPS on an adjusted basis was $0.39; GAAP EPS was a loss of $(0.22) due to a nonrecurring, non-cash deferred tax expense from the Velocity reorganization .
- Results were effectively in line with S&P consensus: Adjusted EPS met ($0.39 vs $0.39*); “revenue” versus consensus slightly missed when measured on net commissions & fees ($676.1M actual vs $677.4M estimate*) [functions.GetEstimates].
- Guidance maintained: FY25 organic revenue growth 11–13% and Adjusted EBITDAC margin 32.5–33.5% maintained; CFO also guided to ~$(217)M FY25 GAAP interest expense and ~$59M in Q2 .
- Mix and strategy: Casualty drove strength across specialties; property delivered modest growth despite rate deceleration; M&A contribution (notably Velocity) added ~13 points to growth; USQRisk closed May 1 to bolster alternative risk capabilities .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Double-digit organic growth with margin expansion: Organic revenue +12.9% YoY; Adjusted EBITDAC +27.5% to $200.5M; margin +60 bps to 29.1% . “We grew Adjusted EBITDAC 27.5% while continuing to expand our margins” — Patrick Ryan .
- Casualty-led growth and share gains: Strength in transportation, construction, health care; high renewal retention; continued strong submission flow and head-to-head wins .
- Strategic M&A execution: Velocity (Feb) provided significant top-line contribution; USQRisk closed May 1, adding niche talent/capabilities and deepening the Nationwide alliance for alternative risk solutions .
What Went Wrong
- GAAP loss driven by non-cash tax item: GAAP net loss $(4.4)M and $(0.22) diluted EPS due to a nonrecurring, non-cash deferred tax expense from reorganizing Velocity; adjusted EPS +11.4% to $0.39 .
- Property market headwinds persist: Property rates continued to decelerate; management expects only modest property growth in 2025 with tough Q2 comp .
- Higher G&A ratio: G&A expense rose 39.8% YoY (ratio +170 bps YoY) on IT/professional services, revenue-accommodating costs, T&E, and timing of certain expenses; management reiterated full-year margin trajectory despite timing effects .
Financial Results
P&L snapshot and margins (oldest → newest)
Notes: GAAP Q1’25 loss reflects a nonrecurring, non-cash deferred tax expense from the Velocity reorganization; management emphasized no expected cash realization .
Segments – Net Commissions & Fees
Revenue by type
Balance sheet and cash flow (selected)
- Cash & cash equivalents: $203.5M at 3/31/25; total debt principal ~$3.7B .
- Q1’25 operating cash flow: $(142.8)M (seasonal working capital drag and other timing factors) .
Guidance Changes
Company cannot reconcile non-GAAP outlook to GAAP due to inherent forecasting difficulties .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We grew total revenue 25%, supported by organic growth of nearly 13% and excellent contributions from M&A… We grew Adjusted EBITDAC 27.5% while continuing to expand our margins and grew Adjusted Diluted EPS by 11.4%.” — Patrick G. Ryan .
- “We are starting to experiment with AI solutions across various business units… reducing cycle time… equipping our producers to be as good and as fast as they can.” — Tim Turner .
- “We had a GAAP net loss… because we reorganized Velocity from a C-Corp to an LLC upon closing; [this] nonrecurring noncash deferred tax expense… we do not expect [it] will ever be realized in cash.” — CFO Janice Hamilton .
- “Our Underwriting Management specialty had another excellent quarter… meaningful contributions from recent acquisitions… over 50 percentage points of growth to the top line of this specialty.” — Tim Turner .
Q&A Highlights
- Inorganic growth and pipeline: Heavy submission flow; robust M&A pipeline across sizes; management optimistic on 2025 opportunities .
- USQRisk strategic rationale: Deepens Nationwide alliance and adds 17 specialized underwriters/actuaries; expands TAM and supports long runway of organic growth and margin expansion .
- Property seasonality/expectations: Q2 is largest property quarter with tough comp; management expects modest property growth through 2025 despite rate deceleration .
- Expense ratios and timing: G&A ratio elevated on timing (benefits, T&E, professional services) and investments; comp ratio improvement linked to US Assure earn-in; margin expansion still expected across the year .
- Leverage and M&A capacity: Ended Q1 at ~3.8x net leverage (credit basis); willing to go >4x temporarily for the right deal; expect significant delevering by year-end absent large M&A .
Estimates Context
- Q1 2025 vs S&P Consensus: Adjusted/Primary EPS $0.39 in line with $0.39 estimate*; “Revenue” vs consensus measured on Net Commissions & Fees: $676.1M actual vs $677.4M estimate* (slight miss). EBITDA estimates are less comparable to company’s Adjusted EBITDAC presentation. [functions.GetEstimates].
- Trailing quarters: Q4 2024 EPS $0.45 vs $0.45 estimate*; Net Commissions & Fees $649.4M vs $658.8M estimate* (modest miss). Q3 2024 EPS $0.41 vs $0.415 estimate*; Net Commissions & Fees $588.1M vs $601.1M estimate* (miss). [functions.GetEstimates].
Estimates comparison (Primary EPS and Net Commissions & Fees; oldest → newest):
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Note: S&P “Revenue Consensus Mean” aligns with Net Commissions & Fees for RYAN, not Total Revenue [functions.GetEstimates] .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Underlying momentum remains intact: 12.9% organic growth, share gains in casualty, and continued margin discipline despite timing-related G&A headwinds .
- Non-cash tax item masks earnings power: GAAP loss in Q1 driven by Velocity reorg; adjusted metrics better reflect run-rate performance .
- Property headwinds are manageable: Expect modest property growth with tough Q2 comp; casualty breadth and delegated authority scale should carry the mix .
- M&A is a core lever: Pipeline robust; leverage at high end but with capacity; USQRisk adds high-value talent and supports alternative risk growth .
- Guidance steady: Maintaining FY25 organic growth and Adjusted EBITDAC margin targets supports estimate stability; interest expense color helps model precision .
- Watch catalysts: Q2 property seasonality and macro-driven E&S flow (stamping data) could influence near-term narrative; execution on M&A and integration remains a differentiator .
Appendix: Additional Disclosures and KPIs
- Dividend: $0.12 per share declared, payable May 27, 2025 (record date May 13) .
- Liquidity & leverage: Cash $203.5M; outstanding debt principal ~$3.7B at quarter-end .
- Non-GAAP adjustments: Q1 change in contingent consideration decreased by $14.0M (incl. $12.4M decrease from US Assure earn-out), supporting EBITDAC; reconciliations provided in 8-K .
Other relevant press releases in the period:
- Completed acquisition of USQRisk (alternative risk MGU) on May 1, 2025 .
- Maintained FY25 outlook and dividend details as part of earnings communications .