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SCHOLASTIC CORP (SCHL)·Q1 2026 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 FY26 delivered seasonal losses with revenue down 5% year-over-year to $225.6M and diluted EPS of $(2.83), while adjusted operating loss improved and adjusted EBITDA loss narrowed to $(55.7)M; management affirmed FY26 guidance (revenue +2–4%, adjusted EBITDA $160–$170M, FCF $30–$40M) .
  • Results missed Wall Street consensus: revenue of $225.6M vs $238.9M estimate and adjusted/normalized EPS of $(2.52) vs $(2.41) estimate; the company pointed to Education funding volatility and anticipated production delays in Entertainment as key drivers [- S&P Global estimates*].
  • Positives: Children’s Book Publishing & Distribution revenue +4% to $109.4M with Book Fairs +18% and strong franchises (Hunger Games, Harry Potter); International improved margins with higher revenues in Australia, U.K., and Asia .
  • Negatives: Education Solutions revenue −28% to $40.1M with a wider operating loss; cash from operations more negative on working capital seasonality and tariff charges, pushing net debt to $242.8M .
  • Near-term stock catalysts: affirmation of FY26 guide, “big” Q2 expected with Dog Man: Big Jim Believes, and potential sale-leaseback monetization of NYC HQ and Missouri distribution centers (debt reduction and buybacks) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Children’s Book Publishing & Distribution delivered revenue growth (+4% to $109.4M) with Book Fairs +18% to $34.1M; management noted “encouraging” fall bookings and engagement as seen in Scholastic Dollars redemptions .
  • Franchises held up: “continued success in the Hunger Games® and Harry Potter® franchises,” with management highlighting strong trade sales and upcoming Dog Man: Big Jim Believes .
  • International improved: revenues +5% to $59.4M (ex-FX +4%) and adjusted operating loss improved by $4.2M due to higher revenues and operational efficiencies .

Quote: “Fall book fair bookings are encouraging and exceed prior year bookings, with signs of strong engagement with our book fair hosts.” — Peter Warwick, CEO .

What Went Wrong

  • Education Solutions: revenue fell 28% to $40.1M; operating loss widened to $(21.2)M on lower spending amid volatile federal/state funding and delayed/canceled grants .
  • Entertainment: revenue −18% to $13.6M; operating loss $(4.0)M with incremental amortization from 9 Story and fewer episodic deliveries as greenlights lagged .
  • Cash flow and leverage: net cash used in operations $(81.8)M vs $(41.9)M prior year; free cash flow use $(100.2)M; net debt rose to $242.8M, reflecting working capital needs, dividends, and buybacks .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026Q1 2026 Consensus
Revenue ($USD Millions)$335.4 $508.3 $225.6 $238.9*
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$(0.13)*$0.58*$(2.83) $(2.44)*
Adjusted EPS ex one-time ($)$(2.52) $(2.41)*
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$6.0 $91.2 $(55.7)

Notes: Values with asterisks are retrieved from S&P Global.

Segment revenue and operating results (Q1 FY26 vs Q1 FY25):

SegmentQ1 2025 Revenue ($M)Q1 2026 Revenue ($M)YoY %Q1 2025 Op Inc/Loss ($M)Q1 2026 Op Inc/Loss ($M)
Children’s Book Publishing & Distribution (Total)$105.4 $109.4 +4% $(36.6) $(35.1)
• Book Fairs$28.8 $34.1 +18%
• Book Clubs$2.7 $1.8 −33%
• Consolidated Trade$73.9 $73.5 −1%
Education Solutions$55.7 $40.1 −28% $(17.0) $(21.2)
Entertainment$16.6 $13.6 −18% $(0.5) $(4.0)
International$56.8 $59.4 +5% $(8.3) $(4.2)
Overhead$2.7 $3.1 +15% $(26.1) $(27.7)

Selected KPIs and balance sheet (Q1 FY26 vs Q1 FY25):

KPIQ1 2025Q1 2026Change
Net cash (used) provided by operating activities ($M)$(41.9) $(81.8) $(39.9)
Free cash flow (use) ($M)$(68.7) $(100.2) $(31.5)
Net debt ($M)$152.1 $242.8 +$90.7
Cash and equivalents ($M)$84.1 $94.3 +$10.2
Lines of credit and long-term debt ($M)$231.1 $331.2 +$100.1

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue Growth (%)FY 2026+2% to +4% +2% to +4% Maintained
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)FY 2026$160–$170 $160–$170 Maintained
Free Cash Flow ($M)FY 2026$30–$40 $30–$40 Maintained
Incremental Tariff Expense ($M)FY 2026≈$10 ≈$10 Maintained
Share Repurchase Authorization ($M)Ongoing$70 remaining at FY25 end $70 remaining at Q1 FY26 end Maintained
Dividend per Share ($)Q2 FY26$0.20 declared, payable Dec 15, 2025 New for Q2 timing

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ3 FY25 (Mar 2025)Q4 FY25 (Jul 2025)Q1 FY26 (Sep 2025)Trend
Education funding & demandHighlighted consumer/school spending headwinds; schools delaying supplemental purchases Targeting flat FY26 revenue; repositioning under new leadership; 12–24 month improvement expected Volatile funding; delayed/canceled grants; back-end-loaded pipeline; cost controls Still pressured near term; building pipeline, cost discipline
Book FairsFair count on track; revenue per fair near prior year; Share the Fair engagement Higher fair counts; merchandising/pricing initiatives Fall bookings ahead of prior year; high Scholastic Dollars redemptions Improving bookings, engagement
Franchises/ProductDog Man Big Jim Begins and Sunrise on the Reaping driving frontlist and backlist Strong global launches; FY26 calendar (Dog Man Big Jim Believes, Wings of Fire) Strong trade performance in Hunger Games/Harry Potter; Dog Man Big Jim Believes in Nov Sustained franchise strength; major Q2 tailwinds
Entertainment/Streaming9 Story acquisition expanded YouTube reach; AVOD growth Expect greenlights to pick up; Disney/PBS projects; YouTube pipeline Streaming app launch; Paris & Pups on YouTube; high-margin digital revenue; monetization ramps toward FY27 Building digital revenue streams; monetization more visible in FY27
Tariffs/Supply ChainMinimal exposure into H1 FY26; mid-single-digit $ impact thereafter Guidance includes ~$10M incremental tariff in FY26 Expect ~$10M incremental tariffs in cost of product; monitoring DC developments Managed via sourcing/pricing; cost headwind embedded
Capital allocation/real estateUpsized revolver; buybacks; detailed real estate asset base Exploring sale-leasebacks; optimistic 90–120 days timeline Processes “progressing,” expected to conclude this fall; priority debt reduction and buybacks Monetization optionality near-term

Management Commentary

  • Strategic focus: “Affirming our fiscal 2026 guidance, confident in our ability to deliver long-term growth and impact.” — Peter Warwick .
  • Children’s segment: “The newly integrated Children’s Book Group strengthens our ability to connect publishing, marketing, merchandising and distribution.” — Peter Warwick .
  • Entertainment: “Digital income…is high margin, and it’s going to grow…part of this 360-degree IP strategy.” — Peter Warwick .
  • Education: “Results were pressured by a difficult and volatile funding environment…refining our product portfolio and better aligning our marketing and sales.” — Peter Warwick .
  • Cost discipline: “Our goal…is to sustainably lower our cost structure, especially…non-revenue-generating and consulting expenses.” — Haji Glover .

Q&A Highlights

  • Education Outlook: Sales cycles and funding clarity suggest back-end loaded year; pipeline alignment to FY (Q4) with Knowledge Library and core offerings; frugality emphasized .
  • Entertainment Monetization: YouTube/digital revenue is high margin; scale expected across more platforms; material upside more visible in FY27 .
  • SG&A/Cost Reductions: Company targeting $15–$20M incremental cost reductions; continued focus on non-revenue-generating spend .
  • Q2 Setup: Bigger quarter anticipated with Dog Man launch; higher fair count; strong bookings; cost savings aiding margins .
  • Cash Flow Drivers: Stronger receipts in H2; lower capex profile vs FY25; royalty payment timing differences (Pilkey, Collins) .

Estimates Context

  • Q1 FY26 vs Consensus: Revenue $225.6M vs $238.9M estimate*; adjusted/normalized EPS $(2.52) vs $(2.41) estimate* — both misses, driven by Education weakness and Entertainment greenlight timing .
  • Forward quarters: Consensus implies a “big” Q2 with revenue ~$556.7M* and EPS ~$2.07*, followed by seasonal Q3 loss and profitable Q4*; management’s affirmed FY guide supports this trajectory [- S&P Global estimates*].

Notes: Values marked with asterisks are retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Q1 was seasonally weak and missed estimates, but the underlying cost actions improved adjusted operating loss and adjusted EBITDA; FY26 guidance is intact .
  • Children’s segment is the bright spot: Book Fairs engagement indicators are strong and franchises are set to drive Q2 profitability; watch Dog Man: Big Jim Believes release .
  • Education remains the swing factor; monitoring federal/state funding clarity and back-end loaded pipeline is critical for the FY26 outcome .
  • Digital/media strategy is gaining momentum (YouTube, streaming app), but revenue contribution is gradual with larger upside skewed to FY27; not a near-term earnings driver .
  • Balance sheet optionality via real estate sale-leaseback could catalyze debt reduction and buybacks; conclusion targeted for fall — a potential stock sentiment tailwind .
  • Tariff headwinds (~$10M) are incorporated; pricing/sourcing actions and SG&A optimization should mitigate margin impact .
  • Trading setup: Into Q2, positive catalyst stack (frontlist, fairs, bookings) vs lingering education macro; skew exposure to execution on Q2 and sale-leaseback milestones for near-term performance .

Bolded beats/misses in tables indicate significance.