SC
SCHOLASTIC CORP (SCHL)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 FY25 was mixed: modest revenue growth but seasonal losses narrowed; GAAP EPS was ($0.13) and adjusted EPS was ($0.05), with Adjusted EBITDA improving to $6.0M amid cost controls and stronger School Reading Events; management narrowed FY25 Adjusted EBITDA to ~ $140M and now calls for only “modest” revenue growth, down from 4–6% prior .
- Versus S&P Global consensus, revenue missed ($335.4M vs $347.7M*), but adjusted EPS significantly beat (($0.05) vs ($0.78)); EBITDA (S&P definition) modestly missed (actual ($2.7)M vs ($1.6)M) as mix and one-time items played a role [Functions.GetEstimates Q3 2025].
- Education Solutions remained a drag (revenue down 16% YoY), prompting a strategic review; Book Fairs and Clubs executed well, while Entertainment benefited from 9 Story distribution/monetization despite industry production delays .
- Capital allocation remained shareholder-friendly: $30.0M of buybacks in Q3, authorization lifted by $53.4M to $100M, and a $0.20 dividend declared for Q4 FY25; net debt rose to $189.4M primarily from the 9 Story acquisition and shareholder returns .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- School Reading Events (Book Fairs/Clubs) delivered: Fairs revenue rose 8% to $110.7M with fair count on track for 90,000; Clubs up 14% to $15.2M as new strategies improved engagement. “We were encouraged by increased participation in our new Share the Fair program last quarter” .
- Trade resilience around franchises: Dog Man: Big Jim Begins drove strong frontlist performance; “it has remained at the top of bestseller lists… selling almost 2.5 million copies globally” and set up backlist pull-through; Hunger Games fifth title released in March should support Q4 .
- Cost discipline and overhead reduction: Adjusted EBITDA rose to $6.0M (from ($7.2)M), helped by $9.4M lower adjusted overhead costs; management executed one-time and ongoing cost actions to benefit FY25 and FY26 .
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What Went Wrong
- Education Solutions headwinds: Revenue fell 16% YoY to $57.2M; segment operating loss widened to ($6.9)M as supplemental curriculum purchasing slowed and operating leverage turned negative .
- Outlook trimmed: FY25 revenue growth now “modest” (from 4–6%) and Adjusted EBITDA narrowed to ~ $140M (from $140–$150M) amid “intensifying spending pressure” on families and schools .
- Entertainment profitability pressured by amortization and delays: segment operating loss ($3.9)M includes $2.3M intangible amortization; on a pro forma basis, 9 Story revenues down due to delayed greenlights industrywide .
Financial Results
Consolidated summary vs prior quarters and S&P Global estimates
Values with asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment breakdown – Q3 FY25 vs Q3 FY24
Selected KPIs and balance sheet/cash flow
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We forecast full-year Adjusted EBITDA at the low end of our fiscal 2025 guidance and more modest revenue growth year-over-year.”
- “Dog Man: Big Jim Begins… has been the top-selling book… since its release in early December… [and]… we published… Sunrise on the Reaping… already topping some bestseller lists based on pre-orders.”
- “We have also begun a strategic review of [Education Solutions]… as we explore options to optimize it for long-term success.”
- “Across Scholastic channels… content had nearly 10 million views on YouTube last month, up almost 40x from a year ago.”
Q&A Highlights
- Backlist dynamics: Successful frontlist (Dog Man, Hunger Games) expected to drive backlist sales; “successful frontlist publishing… can really help to drive backlist sales.”
- Education funding cadence: Schools/districts are more cautious; core curriculum purchases taking precedence; supplemental seen as cyclical and expected to return post-core adoption .
- Federal policy/funding: Federal funding generally stable/mandated; shift toward state/local decision-making and parent choice may create opportunities in charter/parochial/ESA contexts .
- Strategy for Education Solutions: Strategic review is internally led, focused on resource allocation to areas with the “right to win” .
- Real estate: Management declined to provide asset fair values; provided details for investors to assess via rental income and cap rates .
- Tariffs: Minimal exposure through H1 FY26; FY26 cost headwind in mid-single-digit millions is expected to be mitigated via sourcing/spec changes/modest price increases .
Estimates Context
Q3 FY25 vs S&P Global consensus:
Note: Company-reported Adjusted EBITDA was $6.0M (non-GAAP) ; S&P Global’s “EBITDA” may reflect a different (standardized) definition.
Values with asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.
Where estimates may adjust: Street likely lifts near-term EPS trajectory on cost execution, but trims revenue for Q4/FY25 given “modest” growth outlook and persistent Education Solutions headwinds .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Earnings quality improving despite a soft macro: adjusted EPS beat vs S&P on disciplined costs and School Reading Events execution; but topline remains pressured and below consensus* [Functions.GetEstimates Q3 2025].
- Guidance reset lowers bar: FY25 now ~ $140M Adjusted EBITDA with “modest” revenue growth, de-risking near-term expectations into Q4 .
- Structural actions underway: Education Solutions strategic review plus cost measures signal further portfolio/prioritization moves into FY26 .
- Franchise flywheel intact: Dog Man and Hunger Games drive frontlist and backlist; YouTube IP monetization is scaling and complementing Trade sales .
- Entertainment cyclicality manageable: 9 Story integration monetizes library in ad-supported channels while industry greenlights gradually recover .
- Capital returns accelerating: $30M Q3 buybacks, authorization to $100M, and a $0.20 dividend provide downside support while macro normalizes .
- Watch items: Q4 demand elasticity under spending pressure, pace of Education Solutions recovery/FY26 launches, tariff pass-through ability, and any real estate monetization updates .
Values with asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.