Sign in

You're signed outSign in or to get full access.

SC

SCHOLASTIC CORP (SCHL)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 FY25 was mixed: modest revenue growth but seasonal losses narrowed; GAAP EPS was ($0.13) and adjusted EPS was ($0.05), with Adjusted EBITDA improving to $6.0M amid cost controls and stronger School Reading Events; management narrowed FY25 Adjusted EBITDA to ~ $140M and now calls for only “modest” revenue growth, down from 4–6% prior .
  • Versus S&P Global consensus, revenue missed ($335.4M vs $347.7M*), but adjusted EPS significantly beat (($0.05) vs ($0.78)); EBITDA (S&P definition) modestly missed (actual ($2.7)M vs ($1.6)M) as mix and one-time items played a role [Functions.GetEstimates Q3 2025].
  • Education Solutions remained a drag (revenue down 16% YoY), prompting a strategic review; Book Fairs and Clubs executed well, while Entertainment benefited from 9 Story distribution/monetization despite industry production delays .
  • Capital allocation remained shareholder-friendly: $30.0M of buybacks in Q3, authorization lifted by $53.4M to $100M, and a $0.20 dividend declared for Q4 FY25; net debt rose to $189.4M primarily from the 9 Story acquisition and shareholder returns .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • School Reading Events (Book Fairs/Clubs) delivered: Fairs revenue rose 8% to $110.7M with fair count on track for 90,000; Clubs up 14% to $15.2M as new strategies improved engagement. “We were encouraged by increased participation in our new Share the Fair program last quarter” .
    • Trade resilience around franchises: Dog Man: Big Jim Begins drove strong frontlist performance; “it has remained at the top of bestseller lists… selling almost 2.5 million copies globally” and set up backlist pull-through; Hunger Games fifth title released in March should support Q4 .
    • Cost discipline and overhead reduction: Adjusted EBITDA rose to $6.0M (from ($7.2)M), helped by $9.4M lower adjusted overhead costs; management executed one-time and ongoing cost actions to benefit FY25 and FY26 .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Education Solutions headwinds: Revenue fell 16% YoY to $57.2M; segment operating loss widened to ($6.9)M as supplemental curriculum purchasing slowed and operating leverage turned negative .
    • Outlook trimmed: FY25 revenue growth now “modest” (from 4–6%) and Adjusted EBITDA narrowed to ~ $140M (from $140–$150M) amid “intensifying spending pressure” on families and schools .
    • Entertainment profitability pressured by amortization and delays: segment operating loss ($3.9)M includes $2.3M intangible amortization; on a pro forma basis, 9 Story revenues down due to delayed greenlights industrywide .

Financial Results

Consolidated summary vs prior quarters and S&P Global estimates

MetricQ1 FY25Q2 FY25Q3 FY25Q3 FY25 ConsensusNotes
Revenue ($M)$237.2 $544.6 $335.4 $347.7*Miss vs revenue consensus*
Diluted EPS (GAAP)($2.21) $1.71 ($0.13) n/aSeasonally loss-making Q3
Diluted EPS ex one-time items($2.13) $1.82 ($0.05) ($0.78)*Beat vs EPS consensus*
Operating Income (Loss) ($M)($88.5) $74.7 ($23.9) n/aImproved YoY in Q3
Adjusted EBITDA ($M, company)($60.5) $108.7 $6.0 n/aCompany’s non-GAAP
EBITDA ($M, S&P definition)n/an/a($2.7)*($1.6)*Miss vs EBITDA consensus*

Values with asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.

Segment breakdown – Q3 FY25 vs Q3 FY24

SegmentQ3 FY24 Revenue ($M)Q3 FY25 Revenue ($M)YoY $YoY %Q3 FY24 Op Inc (Loss) ($M)Q3 FY25 Op Inc (Loss) ($M)
CBPD – Book Clubs$13.3 $15.2 $1.9 14%
CBPD – Book Fairs$102.7 $110.7 $8.0 8%
CBPD – School Reading Events$116.0 $125.9 $9.9 9%
CBPD – Consolidated Trade$77.1 $77.4 $0.3 0%
CBPD – Total$193.1 $203.3 $10.2 5% $2.3 $7.6
Education Solutions$68.5 $57.2 ($11.3) (16%) ($0.8) ($6.9)
Entertainment$0.5 $12.8 $12.3 NM ($3.1) ($3.9)
International$59.1 $59.3 $0.2 0% ($5.9) ($2.1)
Overhead (revenue/expense)$2.5 / ($27.4) $2.8 / ($18.6) ($27.4) ($18.6)
Consolidated Operating Income (Loss)($34.9) ($23.9)

Selected KPIs and balance sheet/cash flow

KPIQ3 FY25Prior/Context
Book Fairs fair countOn track for 90,000 fairs FY25 Similar trajectory reiterated in Q2
YouTube views (Scholastic channels)~10M in Feb, up ~40x YoY Monetization/brand reach expansion
Free cash flow (use)($30.7)M ($7.1)M in Q3 FY24
Net debt$189.4M Net cash $78.9M in Q3 FY24
Share repurchases1,450,274 shares for $30.0M in Q3 Authorization increased by $53.4M to $100M
Dividend$0.20 declared for Q4 FY25 Regular quarterly dividend cadence

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Adjusted EBITDA (company)FY2025$140–$150M ~ $140M Narrowed to low end / effectively lowered
Revenue growth (YoY)FY20254%–6% “Modest” growth Lowered
Free Cash FlowFY2025$20–$30M $20–$30M (unchanged) Maintained
Share repurchase authorizationOngoingIncreased by $53.4M to $100M Expanded
DividendQ4 FY2025$0.20 per share declared Ongoing return of capital

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ1 FY25 (prior)Q2 FY25 (prior)Q3 FY25 (current)Trend
Consumer spending/retail softnessCautious; retail market slightly down; planned modest per-fair growth Timing-driven softness; still optimistic on second-half titles “Intensifying spending pressure” on families/schools, expect to continue into Q4 Worsening macro pressure
Education Solutions demandSupplemental spending pressured; investing for FY26 Ongoing headwinds; reaffirmed FY26 product pipeline Revenue down 16%; strategic review initiated Steady headwinds; strategy pivot
Tariffs/supply chainSupplier diversification; limited near-term tariff exposure Minimal FY25/FH1’26 exposure; mitigations in place Minimal impact through H1 FY26; mid-single-digit $mm cost headwind in FY26 manageable via sourcing/pricing Manageable; mitigation plan
Entertainment production cycleEarly wins; YouTube channels launched Industry greenlights delayed; integration ongoing 9 Story accelerated YouTube/IP monetization; production still delayed but expected to improve Gradual recovery; DTC ramp
Capital allocationBuybacks/dividends; upsizing revolver planned Revolver upsized to $400M; guidance reaffirmed Buyback authorization to $100M; >$35M returned in Q3 Increased return of capital

Management Commentary

  • “We forecast full-year Adjusted EBITDA at the low end of our fiscal 2025 guidance and more modest revenue growth year-over-year.”
  • “Dog Man: Big Jim Begins… has been the top-selling book… since its release in early December… [and]… we published… Sunrise on the Reaping… already topping some bestseller lists based on pre-orders.”
  • “We have also begun a strategic review of [Education Solutions]… as we explore options to optimize it for long-term success.”
  • “Across Scholastic channels… content had nearly 10 million views on YouTube last month, up almost 40x from a year ago.”

Q&A Highlights

  • Backlist dynamics: Successful frontlist (Dog Man, Hunger Games) expected to drive backlist sales; “successful frontlist publishing… can really help to drive backlist sales.”
  • Education funding cadence: Schools/districts are more cautious; core curriculum purchases taking precedence; supplemental seen as cyclical and expected to return post-core adoption .
  • Federal policy/funding: Federal funding generally stable/mandated; shift toward state/local decision-making and parent choice may create opportunities in charter/parochial/ESA contexts .
  • Strategy for Education Solutions: Strategic review is internally led, focused on resource allocation to areas with the “right to win” .
  • Real estate: Management declined to provide asset fair values; provided details for investors to assess via rental income and cap rates .
  • Tariffs: Minimal exposure through H1 FY26; FY26 cost headwind in mid-single-digit millions is expected to be mitigated via sourcing/spec changes/modest price increases .

Estimates Context

Q3 FY25 vs S&P Global consensus:

MetricActualConsensusSurprise
Revenue ($M)$335.4 $347.7*Below*
Primary EPS (adj)($0.05) ($0.78)*Beat*
EBITDA ($M, S&P definition)($2.7)M*($1.6)M*Below*

Note: Company-reported Adjusted EBITDA was $6.0M (non-GAAP) ; S&P Global’s “EBITDA” may reflect a different (standardized) definition.
Values with asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.

Where estimates may adjust: Street likely lifts near-term EPS trajectory on cost execution, but trims revenue for Q4/FY25 given “modest” growth outlook and persistent Education Solutions headwinds .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Earnings quality improving despite a soft macro: adjusted EPS beat vs S&P on disciplined costs and School Reading Events execution; but topline remains pressured and below consensus* [Functions.GetEstimates Q3 2025].
  • Guidance reset lowers bar: FY25 now ~ $140M Adjusted EBITDA with “modest” revenue growth, de-risking near-term expectations into Q4 .
  • Structural actions underway: Education Solutions strategic review plus cost measures signal further portfolio/prioritization moves into FY26 .
  • Franchise flywheel intact: Dog Man and Hunger Games drive frontlist and backlist; YouTube IP monetization is scaling and complementing Trade sales .
  • Entertainment cyclicality manageable: 9 Story integration monetizes library in ad-supported channels while industry greenlights gradually recover .
  • Capital returns accelerating: $30M Q3 buybacks, authorization to $100M, and a $0.20 dividend provide downside support while macro normalizes .
  • Watch items: Q4 demand elasticity under spending pressure, pace of Education Solutions recovery/FY26 launches, tariff pass-through ability, and any real estate monetization updates .

Values with asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.