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SCHWAB CHARLES CORP (SCHW)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 delivered broad-based strength: revenue rose 18% y/y to a record $5.60B and GAAP EPS was $0.99 (Adjusted EPS $1.04), with GAAP/Adjusted pre-tax margins of 43.8%/46.2% as NIM expanded 20 bps q/q to 2.53% .
  • Results beat S&P Global consensus on both EPS and revenue: EPS $1.04 vs $1.01* and revenue $5.60B vs $5.54B*; growth was powered by higher trading volumes, record Managed Investing inflows, and lower funding costs as Bank Supplemental Funding fell to $38.1B .
  • Management reaffirmed positive 2025 setup: tracking toward the upper end of the full-year EPS “scenario” ($4.10–$4.20, ex-buybacks) and now quantifying 2025 NIM at 2.55%–2.65%, while holding 2025 opex growth at 4.5%–5.5% .
  • Capital return is a visible catalyst: dividend raised 8% to $0.27/share and $1.5B of buybacks executed; management highlighted flexibility for additional 2025 capital return and a pending decision on redeeming $2.5B Series G preferreds later in Q2 .

Note: * Values retrieved from S&P Global.

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Strong client growth and engagement: Core net new assets (NNA) of $137.7B, 1.2M new brokerage accounts, daily average trades up 17% q/q to 7.39M; “Investors turned to Schwab...entrusting us with $138 billion in core net new assets” – CEO Rick Wurster .
    • Margin/NIM tailwinds and revenue diversity: NIR +21% y/y, NIM +20 bps q/q to 2.53%, trading +11% y/y, AM&A fees +14% y/y; “converted robust organic growth…into record net revenues” – Wurster .
    • Balance sheet and capital: Bank Supplemental Funding cut $11.8B to $38.1B; dividend lifted to $0.27; $1.5B buyback; “poised for additional capital return over the course of 2025” – slides/CFO .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Market headwinds and sweep cash decline: Equity weakness and client net equity selling pressured balances; transactional sweep cash fell $10.8B q/q to $407.8B .
    • Expense growth and revenue per trade pressure: GAAP expenses +7% y/y (Adjusted +8% y/y) with seasonal start and higher volume-related costs; revenue per trade fell to $2.05 (−7% q/q) .
    • 2Q seasonality constraints: Management flagged typical April tax outflows and a likely slower pace of supplemental funding reduction in 2Q even as further progress is expected .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($B)$4.85 $5.33 $5.60
GAAP EPS ($)$0.71 $0.94 $0.99
Adjusted EPS ($)$0.77 $1.01 $1.04
GAAP Pre-tax Margin (%)38.0% 43.3% 43.8%
Adjusted Pre-tax Margin (%)41.2% 46.6% 46.2%
Net Interest Margin (%)2.08% 2.33% 2.53%

Segment revenue mix (USD Millions)

SegmentQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Net Interest Revenue2,222 2,531 2,706
Asset Mgmt & Admin Fees1,476 1,509 1,530
Trading797 873 908
Bank Deposit Account Fees152 241 245
Other200 175 210
Total Net Revenues4,847 5,329 5,599

Key KPIs and balance sheet

KPIQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Core Net New Assets ($B)90.8 108.4 137.7
DATs (thousands)5,697 6,312 7,391
Margin Balances EOP ($B)73.0 83.8 83.6
Sweep Cash EOP ($B)384.0 (Sep) 418.6 (Dec) 407.8 (Mar)
Bank Supplemental Funding ($B)64.8 (Sep) 49.9 (Dec) 38.1 (Mar)
Total Client Assets ($T)9.92 10.10 9.93
Dividend per share ($)0.25 0.25 0.27

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
EPS (scenario)FY 2025$4.10–$4.20 (Winter Business Update scenario, ex-buybacks) Tracking upper end of $4.10–$4.20 (ex-buybacks) Tilted higher within range
Net Interest MarginFY 2025Directional expansion (no numeric range disclosed) 2.55%–2.65% full-year; 4Q NIM may be slightly lower vs January scenario Range specified; still expansion
Operating ExpensesFY 2025+4.5%–5.5% y/y growth plan Unchanged; Q1 seasonal uptick contemplated Maintained
Bank Supplemental Funding2025Continue progress each quarter; pace variable Reduced to $38.1B; expect further progress; 2Q pace likely slower due to taxes Maintained trajectory
Common DividendCurrent$0.25 in 4Q24 $0.27 declared for May 23, 2025 Raised 8%
Capital Actions2025N/AFlexibility for additional 2025 returns; decision pending on redeeming $2.5B Series G preferred in Q2 New potential catalyst

Note: Company frames outlook as scenarios; not formal GAAP guidance.

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2024, Q4 2024)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
NIM and FundingNIM 2.08% in Q3; 2.33% in Q4; supplemental funding cut to $49.9B NIM 2.53%; supplemental funding $38.1B; FY25 NIM 2.55%–2.65% Improving
Client activity/volatilityQ4: post‑election engagement lifted DATs Record engagement; two highest trading days ever in April; DATs 7.4M in Q1 Higher
Managed Investing flowsRecord levels in Q3/Q4 Record inflows; fee revenue +14% y/y Sustained strength
AI/technologyLimited explicit prior detailAI assistants for Advisor Services and international clients; 24/5 trading on thinkorswim Expanding
Branch/advisor build-outNot highlightedOpening ~16 new branches; +~250 financial/wealth consultants in 2025 Investment ramp
Crypto offeringNot highlightedTarget to launch direct spot crypto within 12 months New initiative
Capital returnQ4: dividend maintained; no buyback disclosed Dividend +8% to $0.27; $1.5B buyback; potential more in 2025 Increasing

Management Commentary

  • “Schwab delivered growth on all fronts…into record net revenues totaling $5.6 billion.” – President & CEO Rick Wurster .
  • “Net interest margin expanded sequentially by 20 basis points to 2.53%…we further reduced Bank Supplemental Funding to $38.1B at quarter-end.” – CFO Mike Verdeschi .
  • “We still expect full year 2025 net interest margin to expand into the 2.55% to 2.65% range…currently tracking around the upper end of the full year scenario ($4.10–$4.20).” – CFO .
  • “We expect to open up around 16 new branches this year…[and] grow roughly 250 new financial and wealth consultants during the year.” – CEO .
  • “Our goal is…to launch direct spot crypto…in the next 12 months.” – CEO .

Q&A Highlights

  • April activity and sentiment: Two record trading days; heightened log-ins; modest risk‑off with slightly higher cash, lower margin, and net equity selling—yet earnings resilient given cash dynamics .
  • NNA acceleration drivers: Post‑integration normalization for Ameritrade clients (retail NNA +50% y/y); volatility supports inflows; Advisor Services also strong (+19% y/y NNA) .
  • NIM and balance sheet: Faster supplemental funding reduction aided by cash trends; asset sensitivity remains a headwind if rates fall, but FY NIM still expanding; flexibility to manage scenarios .
  • Expense cadence: Q1 seasonal uptick and volume-driven costs contemplated within full‑year +4.5%–5.5% opex plan; investing for growth and efficiency .
  • Funding mix and capital: Target diversified, efficient funding; continued paydown at the banks; capital formation supports dividends, opportunistic buybacks, and potential preferred redemption .

Estimates Context

MetricQ1 2025 EstimateQ1 2025 ActualSurprise
EPS ($)1.01*1.04 +$0.03
Revenue ($B)5.54*5.60 +$0.06

Note: * Values retrieved from S&P Global. EPS estimate mean based on 18 estimates; revenue estimate mean based on 12 estimates. Actuals per company.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Positive estimate revision risk: A clean beat on both revenue and EPS with explicit NIM range and “upper-end” full‑year EPS tracking should support upward revisions and multiple resilience .
  • Structural NIM tailwinds: Sequential NIM expansion and continued reduction of high‑cost funding underpin margin improvement through 2025, even with a lower-rate forward curve .
  • Organic growth engine: Robust NNA, new accounts, and record Managed Investing flows (plus branch/advisor investments and AI tools) position SCHW for fee diversification and durable top‑line growth .
  • Trading optionality: Elevated DATs and 24/5 trading, with potential crypto launch within 12 months, add upside levers in volatile markets .
  • Capital return: Dividend increase and $1.5B buyback executed; further 2025 capital return is likely, with a near‑term preferred redemption decision as a catalyst .
  • Watch 2Q seasonality: April tax outflows could slow supplemental funding paydown near term; management still expects progress each quarter .
  • Risk checks: Equity market direction and rate path remain key variables, but diversified revenue and strengthened balance sheet improve earnings durability across environments .