CI
COMSCORE, INC. (SCOR)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Revenue of $88.9M was up 0.5% YoY and slightly above consensus; adjusted EBITDA was $11.0M (12.4% margin), with GAAP net income of $0.5M; loss per common share improved to $(0.86) driven by preferred dividends despite positive net income .
- The company lowered full-year revenue guidance to “roughly flat” with prior year, while maintaining adjusted EBITDA margin guidance (12–15%), citing a discrete data‑strategy shift by a large retail media client that tempered Proximic growth in Q3 and expected in Q4 .
- Strategic momentum: 20% YoY growth in cross‑platform solutions, double‑digit local TV growth, and new long-term CCM contracts; partnerships (e.g., TiVo metadata integration) bolster cross‑platform measurement capabilities ahead of 2026 .
- Recapitalization proposal would eliminate >$18M in annual preferred dividends and cancel a $47M special dividend obligation, enhancing financial flexibility and aligning interests if approved by shareholders in December 2025 .
- Stock reaction catalysts: shareholder vote on recapitalization; near‑term Proximic softness vs strong cross‑platform/local TV adoption; estimate resets following guidance revision .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Cross‑platform solutions grew 20% YoY; excluding a client’s data‑strategy shift, growth would have been 35% YoY, reflecting strong CCM adoption and new multiyear deals .
- Local TV delivered another quarter of double‑digit growth on renewals and new business; movies revenue was stable at $9.5M (+1.9% YoY) .
- Strategic recapitalization plan aims to eliminate >$18M in annual dividends and a $47M special dividend obligation, improving flexibility to invest in growth areas and aligning preferred and common stockholders; management encouraged approval .
What Went Wrong
- Guidance cut: full‑year revenue revised to roughly flat YoY due to a large retail media advertiser’s data/platform strategy shift impacting Proximic in Q3 and expected in Q4; cross‑platform growth still double‑digit but tempered .
- Adjusted EBITDA declined YoY to $11.0M from $12.4M (margin 12.4% vs 14.0%), reflecting higher core operating expenses (employee incentive compensation accruals, professional fees) despite lower data costs .
- Syndicated Audience revenue fell 2.8% YoY, with weakness in national TV and syndicated digital products offsetting local and cross‑platform gains .
Financial Results
Quarterly Progression
YoY Comparison (Q3)
Segment Breakdown (Q3)
KPIs and Balance Sheet
Results vs S&P Global Consensus (Q3 2025)
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Note: Company-reported Adjusted EBITDA was $11.035M (12.4%), which excludes FX and strategic transaction costs per revised methodology; S&P standardized EBITDA differs from the company’s adjusted measure .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “Revenue from our cross‑platform solutions continued to scale with 20% year‑over‑year growth… we remain bullish on our growth trajectory… recalibrating our full‑year revenue guidance to account for a data‑strategy shift by a customer that impacted us in Q3.”
- CFO: “We are revising our full‑year revenue guidance to be roughly flat… maintaining our full‑year adjusted EBITDA margin guidance… we have tempered our growth expectations for Proximic in the fourth quarter.”
- CEO (call): “Absent this shift… our cross‑platform business was up 35% in the quarter… CCM has really taken off… number of new long‑term deals.”
- CEO (recap): “Elimination of more than $18 million in annual preferred dividends… cancellation of a $47 million special dividend obligation… greater financial flexibility to invest in our products and technology.”
Q&A Highlights
- Proximic client shift: Impact concentrated in one large programmatic platform; large retail media client using first‑party data and an alternative platform; management views as short‑term but adjusted FY revenue accordingly .
- Pipeline confidence: CCR and CCM complement Proximic; strong engagement and long‑term deals underpin 2026 opportunities .
- Local TV dynamics: Company expects to benefit from strength and stability of local measurement; double‑digit growth continues .
- Recapitalization impact: Management highlighted common shareholder benefits; further details to follow post‑approval, with improved flexibility and alignment .
Estimates Context
- Revenue slightly beat S&P Global consensus ($88.906M actual vs $88.628M estimate), while Primary EPS missed materially (actual $(0.4259) vs $0.25 estimate), and S&P standardized EBITDA missed ($9.251M actual vs $11.089M estimate). Low estimate count (2) suggests sensitivity to single client shifts and methodology differences between adjusted vs standardized EBITDA*.
- The guidance reset to “roughly flat” FY revenue and maintained 12–15% adjusted EBITDA margin likely requires downward revisions to near‑term EPS/EBITDA, offset by improved 2026 trajectory from CCM adoption and recapitalization effects*.
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Near‑term revenue headwind is discrete and client‑strategy driven; underlying cross‑platform/local TV momentum remains intact and could reaccelerate into 2026 as CCM contracts ramp .
- Watch December shareholder vote: elimination of >$18M annual preferred dividends and $47M obligation is a structural positive for cash conversion and investment capacity .
- Expect estimate resets: EPS and standardized EBITDA missed consensus; differences in adjusted vs standardized definitions require careful model alignment* .
- Mix shift continues: Cross‑platform rising share (+20% YoY), with local TV strength offsetting syndicated digital and national TV softness .
- Operating discipline vs investment: Core OpEx ticked up (incentive accruals, professional fees), but investments in tech stack and interoperability support product competitiveness .
- Strategic partnerships (e.g., TiVo) enhance cross‑platform measurement interoperability and content identification, supporting multi‑currency transactions and operational readiness .
- Trading setup: Near‑term volatility around Q4 Proximic tempering and the recap vote; medium‑term upside if CCM adoption and recapitalization unlock growth and margins .