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CI

COMSCORE, INC. (SCOR)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Revenue of $88.9M was up 0.5% YoY and slightly above consensus; adjusted EBITDA was $11.0M (12.4% margin), with GAAP net income of $0.5M; loss per common share improved to $(0.86) driven by preferred dividends despite positive net income .
  • The company lowered full-year revenue guidance to “roughly flat” with prior year, while maintaining adjusted EBITDA margin guidance (12–15%), citing a discrete data‑strategy shift by a large retail media client that tempered Proximic growth in Q3 and expected in Q4 .
  • Strategic momentum: 20% YoY growth in cross‑platform solutions, double‑digit local TV growth, and new long-term CCM contracts; partnerships (e.g., TiVo metadata integration) bolster cross‑platform measurement capabilities ahead of 2026 .
  • Recapitalization proposal would eliminate >$18M in annual preferred dividends and cancel a $47M special dividend obligation, enhancing financial flexibility and aligning interests if approved by shareholders in December 2025 .
  • Stock reaction catalysts: shareholder vote on recapitalization; near‑term Proximic softness vs strong cross‑platform/local TV adoption; estimate resets following guidance revision .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Cross‑platform solutions grew 20% YoY; excluding a client’s data‑strategy shift, growth would have been 35% YoY, reflecting strong CCM adoption and new multiyear deals .
  • Local TV delivered another quarter of double‑digit growth on renewals and new business; movies revenue was stable at $9.5M (+1.9% YoY) .
  • Strategic recapitalization plan aims to eliminate >$18M in annual dividends and a $47M special dividend obligation, improving flexibility to invest in growth areas and aligning preferred and common stockholders; management encouraged approval .

What Went Wrong

  • Guidance cut: full‑year revenue revised to roughly flat YoY due to a large retail media advertiser’s data/platform strategy shift impacting Proximic in Q3 and expected in Q4; cross‑platform growth still double‑digit but tempered .
  • Adjusted EBITDA declined YoY to $11.0M from $12.4M (margin 12.4% vs 14.0%), reflecting higher core operating expenses (employee incentive compensation accruals, professional fees) despite lower data costs .
  • Syndicated Audience revenue fell 2.8% YoY, with weakness in national TV and syndicated digital products offsetting local and cross‑platform gains .

Financial Results

Quarterly Progression

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$85.709 $89.389 $88.906
Net Income (Loss) ($USD Millions)$(3.993) $(9.492) $0.453
Net Income (Loss) Margin %(4.7)% (10.6)% 0.5%
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$7.370 $8.915 $11.035
Adjusted EBITDA Margin %8.6% 10.0% 12.4%
Loss Per Share Attributable to Common ($)$(1.66) $(2.73) $(0.86)

YoY Comparison (Q3)

MetricQ3 2024Q3 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$88.479 $88.906
Net Income (Loss) ($USD Millions)$(60.630) $0.453
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$12.408 $11.035
Adjusted EBITDA Margin %14.0% 12.4%

Segment Breakdown (Q3)

SegmentQ3 2024 ($M)% of RevQ3 2025 ($M)% of RevYoY Change
Syndicated Audience$65.042 73.5% $63.220 71.1% (2.8)%
Cross‑Platform$10.232 11.6% $12.299 13.8% +20.2%
Research & Insight Solutions$13.205 14.9% $13.387 15.1% +1.4%
Total$88.479 100.0% $88.906 100.0% +0.5%
Movies (subset)$9.3 $9.5 +1.9%

KPIs and Balance Sheet

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Cash, Cash Equivalents & Restricted Cash ($M)$34.5 $29.5 $29.9
Term Loan Principal ($M)$44.9 $44.8 $44.7
Revolver Borrowings ($M)$0.0 $0.0 $0.0
Revolver Remaining Capacity ($M)$15.0 $15.0 $15.0

Results vs S&P Global Consensus (Q3 2025)

MetricConsensus EstimateActualSurprise
Revenue ($USD)$88.628M*$88.906M +$0.278M (slight)
Primary EPS ($)$0.25*$(0.4259)*Miss of $(0.6759)
EBITDA ($USD)$11.089M*$9.251M*Miss of $(1.838)M

Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Note: Company-reported Adjusted EBITDA was $11.035M (12.4%), which excludes FX and strategic transaction costs per revised methodology; S&P standardized EBITDA differs from the company’s adjusted measure .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY 2025Low end of $360–$370M ; Maintained in Q2 Roughly flat with prior year Lowered
Adjusted EBITDA MarginFY 202512%–15% (FX‑neutral) ; Maintained in Q2 12%–15% maintained Maintained
Proximic/Cross‑Platform GrowthQ4 2025Proximic tempered; still solid double‑digit cross‑platform growth expected Lowered expectations for Proximic

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 2025, Q1 2025)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
Cross‑Platform Adoption+60% YoY in Q2; sustained growth; JIC expansion +20% YoY; ex‑client shift +35% YoY; CCM contracts ramp Positive; near‑term Proximic headwind
Local TV CurrencyDouble‑digit growth; only MRC‑accredited local TV Double‑digit growth again; stability and quality emphasized Strengthening
AI/Tech InitiativesMRC demo accreditation; cautious ad‑spend exposure New AI measurement solution contributed to R&I revenue Building
Macro/Ad SpendCautious outlook; ad‑spend dependent areas flagged Discrete retail media client shift impacting H2 Mixed: discrete headwind
Methodology/EBITDABegan excluding FX from adjusted EBITDA Also excludes strategic transaction costs in Q3 Adjusted non‑GAAP framework refined
RecapitalizationEliminate >$18M dividends; cancel $47M obligation; reduce board size; exchange ~$80M Series B at premium Potentially de‑risk balance sheet

Management Commentary

  • CEO: “Revenue from our cross‑platform solutions continued to scale with 20% year‑over‑year growth… we remain bullish on our growth trajectory… recalibrating our full‑year revenue guidance to account for a data‑strategy shift by a customer that impacted us in Q3.”
  • CFO: “We are revising our full‑year revenue guidance to be roughly flat… maintaining our full‑year adjusted EBITDA margin guidance… we have tempered our growth expectations for Proximic in the fourth quarter.”
  • CEO (call): “Absent this shift… our cross‑platform business was up 35% in the quarter… CCM has really taken off… number of new long‑term deals.”
  • CEO (recap): “Elimination of more than $18 million in annual preferred dividends… cancellation of a $47 million special dividend obligation… greater financial flexibility to invest in our products and technology.”

Q&A Highlights

  • Proximic client shift: Impact concentrated in one large programmatic platform; large retail media client using first‑party data and an alternative platform; management views as short‑term but adjusted FY revenue accordingly .
  • Pipeline confidence: CCR and CCM complement Proximic; strong engagement and long‑term deals underpin 2026 opportunities .
  • Local TV dynamics: Company expects to benefit from strength and stability of local measurement; double‑digit growth continues .
  • Recapitalization impact: Management highlighted common shareholder benefits; further details to follow post‑approval, with improved flexibility and alignment .

Estimates Context

  • Revenue slightly beat S&P Global consensus ($88.906M actual vs $88.628M estimate), while Primary EPS missed materially (actual $(0.4259) vs $0.25 estimate), and S&P standardized EBITDA missed ($9.251M actual vs $11.089M estimate). Low estimate count (2) suggests sensitivity to single client shifts and methodology differences between adjusted vs standardized EBITDA*.
  • The guidance reset to “roughly flat” FY revenue and maintained 12–15% adjusted EBITDA margin likely requires downward revisions to near‑term EPS/EBITDA, offset by improved 2026 trajectory from CCM adoption and recapitalization effects*.

Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Near‑term revenue headwind is discrete and client‑strategy driven; underlying cross‑platform/local TV momentum remains intact and could reaccelerate into 2026 as CCM contracts ramp .
  • Watch December shareholder vote: elimination of >$18M annual preferred dividends and $47M obligation is a structural positive for cash conversion and investment capacity .
  • Expect estimate resets: EPS and standardized EBITDA missed consensus; differences in adjusted vs standardized definitions require careful model alignment* .
  • Mix shift continues: Cross‑platform rising share (+20% YoY), with local TV strength offsetting syndicated digital and national TV softness .
  • Operating discipline vs investment: Core OpEx ticked up (incentive accruals, professional fees), but investments in tech stack and interoperability support product competitiveness .
  • Strategic partnerships (e.g., TiVo) enhance cross‑platform measurement interoperability and content identification, supporting multi‑currency transactions and operational readiness .
  • Trading setup: Near‑term volatility around Q4 Proximic tempering and the recap vote; medium‑term upside if CCM adoption and recapitalization unlock growth and margins .