scPharmaceuticals - Q3 2024
November 13, 2024
Executive Summary
- Q3 delivered continued commercial traction: net FUROSCIX revenue rose to $10.0M (+24% q/q; +164% y/y) on ~10,800 doses filled and rising doses per script (6.8), but EPS was a larger loss at $(0.75) due to one-time financing-related charges (~$0.47/share).
- Commercial KPIs improved: cumulative prescribers reached ~3,100 (up ~14% q/q), fill rate improved to 53% (from 48% in Q2), and IDN/hospital direct purchasing expanded to 14 YTD; a 5.5% price increase at September-end should support revenue into Q4.
- Near-term catalysts are robust: Class IV label expansion (approved in August), CKD sNDA PDUFA set for March 6, 2025, and an autoinjector sNDA targeted for January 2025; management also flagged seasonal strength in Q4 and early Q4 momentum with fill rates at 54–55% thus far.
- Gross-to-net (GTN) discount stepped up to 15.7% in Q3 (vs. 8% in Q2) largely from coverage gap dynamics; management expects GTN to remain 10–15% for the balance of 2024 and to increase up to ~35% by end of 2025 as Medicare Part D redesign takes effect (with lower patient co-pays expected to improve conversion).
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
- What Went Well
- Strong top-line growth: Q3 net product revenue rose to $10.0M (+24% q/q; +164% y/y) as doses filled and average doses per Rx increased to ~10,800 and 6.8, respectively.
- Commercial execution: cumulative prescribers reached ~3,100; fill rate improved to 53% (vs. 48% in Q2); IDN/hospital direct purchases reached 14 YTD; management cited sales force expansion and Class IV label as tailwinds.
- Strategic catalysts on track: CKD PDUFA (Mar 6, 2025), autoinjector sNDA targeted for Jan 2025; management highlighted expected manufacturing cost benefits and strong receptivity from nephrology.
- What Went Wrong
- Margin headwinds: GTN rose to 15.7% (above prior 10–15% range) driven by coverage-gap rebates; management cited impact on revenue recognition and patient abandonment when co-pays are high.
- Larger net loss: Q3 net loss widened to $(35.1)M and EPS to $(0.75), driven by one-time charges from extinguishment of debt and new instruments (~$0.47/share burden).
- Timing adjustments: autoinjector sNDA timeline shifted to January 2025 (from prior target “by end of 2024”).
Transcript
Operator (participant)
Good afternoon and welcome to scPharmaceuticals' third quarter 2024 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Following management's prepared remarks, we will hold the question-and-answer session. To ask a question at that time, please press star followed by one on your touch-tone phone. If anyone has difficulty hearing the conference call, please press star zero for operator assistance.
As a reminder, today's conference call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference call over to Nick Colangelo, Investor Relations, to cover forward-looking statements. Nick, please go ahead.
Nick Colangelo (Head of Investor Relations)
Thank you, Operator. Before beginning today's earnings call, we would like to highlight the following forward-looking statements. All statements on this conference call, other than historical facts, are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws, including but not limited to statements regarding scPharmaceuticals' expected future financial results, management expectations and plans for the business, the ongoing commercialization and marketing of Furoscix, and other regulatory approvals of Furoscix.
The words anticipate, believe, estimate, expect, intend, guidance, confidence, target, project, and other similar expressions are used typically to identify such forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of the future performance. It may involve and are subject to certain risks and uncertainties and other crucial factors that may affect scPharmaceuticals' business, financial condition, and other operating results.
These include but are not limited to the risk factors and other qualifications contained in scPharmaceuticals' annual report on Form 10-K, quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, and other reports filed by the company with the SEC to which your attention is directed. Actual outcomes and results may differ materially from what is expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements.
Any forward-looking statements made in this conference call, including responses to your questions, are based on current expectations as of today, and scPharmaceuticals expressly disclaims any intent or obligation to update these forward-looking statements except as required by law. With that, I will now turn the call over to John Tucker, Chief Executive Officer of scPharmaceuticals. John, please go ahead.
John Tucker (CEO)
Thank you, Nick, and thank you to everyone who has dialed in to this afternoon's call. I'll begin today's call by discussing the company's operational and business highlights for the third quarter of 2024 before handing the call to Steve Parsons, our Senior Vice President of Commercial, to provide a more thorough Furoscix commercial update. We will then provide a detailed review of financials from Rachael Nokes, scPharmaceuticals' Chief Financial Officer, before closing the call out with a question-and-answer session.
In the third quarter of 2024, we generated net revenue of $10 million. This represents an approximately 24% increase in net revenue from the second quarter of 2024. While we were disappointed with where the third quarter ended, given the strong demand at the beginning of the quarter, we are pleased with the growth we have seen so far in the fourth quarter.
We see this growth being driven by the sales force expansion, the indication expansion to include Class IV patients, and continued growth in the IDN business. I will give a more comprehensive update on our longer-term growth initiatives momentarily. Furoscix gross-to-net discount was approximately 15.7%, just over the high end of the range of 10%-15% that we guided to during our second quarter results.
The increase in our GTN is largely due to lagging CMS reporting on coverage gap rebates and, to a lesser degree, on Furoscix sales integrated delivery networks and hospital system pharmacies. For the balance of 2024, we anticipate the GTN to stay in the 10%-15% range. And in 2025, we anticipate the GTN discount to increase up to 35% by the end of the year, driven by the Medicare Part D redesign.
Please keep in mind we feel the impact on the GTN to be more than offset by the lower patient copays due to the Medicare Part D redesign. We feel we are uniquely positioned to take advantage of the redesign and the lower patient out-of-pocket costs in 2025. Looking towards our future growth opportunities for Furoscix, one of our long-term initiatives has been the Furoscix indication expansion to cover all heart failure patients.
Including Class IV patients that present more severe symptoms, more frequently, and have the greatest limitation on physical activity. Despite consisting of roughly 10% of the overall chronic heart failure market, Class IV patients are responsible for over 30% of the hospitalizations for heart failure, and Class IV patients are more likely to benefit from Furoscix to manage their increased fluid events outside of the inpatient setting.
Ultimately, we are focused on getting patients back to their maintenance therapies without the costly hospitalization and delaying patients having symptom resolution. This is a message that resonates strongly with both physicians and their patients. We are already filling prescriptions for Class IV patients and are seeing an uptick in the size of our prescriptions, reflecting larger script sizes in Class IV patients.
Another key objective we accomplished this quarter that relates to the ongoing franchise expansion of Furoscix was the acceptance of our sNDA filing by the FDA to expand the indication to include the treatment of edema due to fluid overload in patients with chronic kidney disease or CKD. We believe Furoscix, if approved, has the potential to play an important role in the CKD market.
Again being utilized by the patients who are comfortable with an at-home treatment option for their fluid buildup until their everyday oral loop diuretic treatment regimen begins to work again. While these oral loop diuretics are the current standard of care in fluid overload for CKD patients, they do have limitations, particularly around acute spikes in fluid levels, given that these oral loop diuretics have less predictable bioavailability.
It is crucial that CKD patients' fluid levels are well controlled, as fluid overload in CKD is associated with both significantly increased mortality as well as a faster decline in renal function and dialysis initiation. We've undertaken several steps to prepare for a potential launch of Furoscix in CKD.
These initiatives include establishing a cross-functional team that has been field testing positioning, conducting exploratory market research, identifying key opinion leaders, and calling on high-impact nephrologists who are already treating heart failure patients that also have CKD. While we await our PDUFA date of March 6, 2025, we are undertaking every pre-launch activity to enable rapid commercial uptake should Furoscix receive approval for CKD.
The final growth initiative we were focused on executing over the course of the third quarter is our low-volume autoinjector, which we announced positive top-line results from a PK/PD bridging study in August. Importantly, the autoinjector demonstrated bioavailability of 107.3%, and participants receiving the autoinjector had similar urine output and urinary sodium and potassium excretion compared to IV furosemide.
The autoinjector, if approved, has the potential to meaningfully reduce manufacturing costs compared to Furoscix's current on-body infusor and offers a compelling treatment option for HCPs and patients. We are continuing to work through our sNDA package and currently anticipate submitting to the FDA in January of 2025. Before I hand the call to Steve Parsons for a more comprehensive overview of Furoscix launch metrics, I wanted to quickly highlight the transformative financing that we completed in early August.
That resulted in the net addition of roughly $75 million to scPharmaceuticals' balance sheet and bolsters our projected cash flow runway through expected profitability. In addition to the $75 million that was immediately available, scPharmaceuticals has the ability to pull down an additional $50 million via both a debt and royalty stream facility that we put in place with Perceptive Advisors.
In summary, we are pleased to have the validation and continued support from a great roster of both our new and existing equity investors. I will now turn the call over to Steve Parsons, scPharmaceuticals Senior Vice President of Commercial. Steve?
Steve Parsons (SVP and Head of Commercial)
Thank you, John. We remain encouraged by the continued progress achieved during the third quarter. From launch through September 30, 2024, approximately 3,100 unique healthcare providers have prescribed Furoscix, representing a 13% increase compared to the second quarter and is reflective of our efforts to expand the Furoscix prescriber base while still increasing utilization with existing repeat writers. During the third quarter, we filled approximately 10,800 doses of Furoscix, up 16% from the previous quarter.
Of note, the average number of doses per prescription has risen to 6.8 in the third quarter compared to an average of 6.3 doses in the second quarter. We anticipate this upward trend will continue, driven by the expansion of the Furoscix indication to include Class IV and some healthcare providers writing larger prescriptions for patients. Also, we have increased efforts over the past quarter to further penetrate advanced heart failure clinics now that the NYHA class restrictions have been removed.
We have seen that advanced heart failure patients typically receive a higher number of doses per prescription. The new Furoscix Direct Patient Services Hub continues to perform well following the transition. The Hub allows for streamlined online prescription submissions and offers a real-time data dashboard that all prescribers value. The prescribers and their staff can now track key information, including the patient's prior authorization submission, approval status, the patient's copay amounts, and the shipment date to the patient.
This improved Hub is intended to reduce friction from the prescribing process, and we have received encouraging feedback from the healthcare providers thus far. They've highlighted the convenience and ease of access, which we believe will drive future increases in patient treatment volumes over the medium to long run. Convenience and ease of access is also what we are hearing from the IDN hospital system customers who are seeking to bring Furoscix into their internal distribution systems.
Which connect to the e-prescribing system and captures Furoscix treatment data for all system specialists to see. Internal distribution can also support early discharge planning and meds-to-beds in addition to the normal home delivery service. To conclude, we've expanded our number of territories to approximately 90 for the fourth quarter, and we feel with reach and frequency on more customers during the highest treatment opportunity of the year that these factors should have a positive impact on our revenue.
With that, I would like to hand the call to Rachael Nokes, scPharmaceuticals Chief Financial Officer.
Rachael Nokes (CFO)
Thank you, Steve, and good afternoon, everyone. Product revenues were $10 million for the third quarter of 2024 compared to $3.8 million for the third quarter of 2023. Cost of product revenues were $3.3 million for the third quarter of 2024 compared to $1.1 million for the third quarter of 2023. The increase in both product revenues and cost of product revenues for the quarter ended September 30th, 2024, was due to an increase in demand of Furoscix further into commercial launch and related manufacturing costs.
Research and development expenses were $3.5 million for the third quarter of 2024 compared to $3.4 million for the third quarter of 2023. The increase in research and development expenses for the quarter ended September 30th, 2024, was primarily due to an increase in clinical study costs offset by a decrease in pharmaceutical development, quality, regulatory, and employee-related costs.
Selling, general, and administrative expenses were $21.3 million for the third quarter of 2024 compared to $14.1 million for the third quarter of 2023. The increase in selling, general, and administrative expenses for the quarter ended September 30th, 2024, was primarily due to costs associated with entering into the credit agreement and revenue purchase and sale agreement in August 2024, employee-related costs, commercial costs, patient support, and professional service costs, offset by a decrease in taxes and insurance.
scPharmaceuticals reported a net loss of $35.1 million for the third quarter of 2024 compared to $15.6 million for the third quarter of 2023. The increase in net loss for the third quarter of 2024 was primarily due to one-time charges related to the extinguishment of debt and accounting for the new financial instruments scPharmaceuticals entered into in August 2024. scPharmaceuticals' net loss for the third quarter of 2024 was $0.75 per share. The $0.75 per share was burdened by one-time charges of $0.47 per share.
scPharmaceuticals ended the third quarter of 2024 with $91.5 million in cash and cash equivalents compared to $76 million in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments as of December 31st, 2023. The transformative debt and equity financing that was completed in August funds the company through expected profitability. As of September 30th, 2024, scPharmaceuticals' total shares outstanding was 50,040,134. That concludes our financial update, and I will now hand the call back to John for closing remarks before beginning our question-and-answer session.
John Tucker (CEO)
Thank you, Rachael. Thank you, Steve. This concludes our prepared remarks. At this point, we'll open the call for questions. Operator?
Operator (participant)
Thank you. At this time, we'll be conducting a question-and-answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press Star 1 on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate that your line is in the question queue. You may press Star two if you would like to remove your question from the queue. We ask that you leave your questions to one in a follow-up so that others may have an opportunity to ask questions.
For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the Star keys. One moment, please, while we poll for questions. Our first question comes from Roanna Ruiz. Just one second. Our first question comes from Roanna Ruiz with Leerink Partners. Please proceed with your question.
Hi, this is Mazen Al-Jafari for Roanna Ruiz. We just have a couple of questions. I think first, curious as to what you think the doses per prescription could look like for Furoscix and CKD relative to heart failure?
John Tucker (CEO)
Steve, you want to answer that?
Steve Parsons (SVP and Head of Commercial)
Yeah. Our early research suggests it'll be similar. It won't be as high as Class IV heart failure patients, more like the Class II, Class III heart failure patients, so in the 6 to 6.5 range.
Okay. Thank you for the added color. And then with the potential autoinjector, if approved, what do you think the rate of on-body infusor versus autoinjector could shake out to in the long term?
John Tucker (CEO)
Yeah. So this is John. Yeah. So we've modeled this based on some initial market research. We think at the end of the day, 90+% of this will be in the autoinjector. Now, the transfer rate or the adoption rate will be driven by a number of things. We don't think it'll get to 100%. We know there's some patients who for years have struggled with fluid overload and going back and forth to the hospital, the IV clinic, found something that works and will stay with it.
But we think the vast majority will move and new patients will adopt the autoinjector. So we think by the end of the convergence, 90%-95% autoinjector.
Okay. And then a last one from us. So what do you think about the holiday season? Is there any expected seasonality that we could see in Q4?
Yeah. I'll turn that over to Steve.
Steve Parsons (SVP and Head of Commercial)
Yeah. The fourth quarter of the year is the biggest opportunity of the year based on how many patients get admitted to the hospital, visit ERs. Fluid overload is a big problem around holidays. And so our model predicts that we'll have the most sales in the fourth quarter. That's where the most opportunity is for these patients. So there is seasonality.
John Tucker (CEO)
Yeah. And some doctors will actually preempt, understanding that the patients are going to have too much salt, too much turkey, too much Chinese food, whatever, and they will preempt by writing a script just in case that patient does get in trouble, so we see an opportunity both in that pre-admission or even prophylactic therapy, and as I said in my prepared remarks, we are seeing a good start to this quarter, and we haven't even really gotten close to the holidays yet.
Oh, okay. Great. Well, actually, to follow up on that, when do you usually see that with this kind of stocking up, maybe physicians prescribing for the holidays? Does that come in Q3, or is that something that you expect to see more in the November, December period?
It's a Q4 phenomenon, so we'd expect to see it in November and December.
Okay. Okay. Great. Thanks. That's all from us.
Thank you.
Operator (participant)
Our next question comes from Stacy Ku with the TD Cowen. Please proceed with your question.
Stacy Ku (Director of Health Care and Biotechnology Research Analyst)
Thanks for taking our questions. We had a few, so just first, regarding Class IV patients, as you exit the year, what percentage do you think will be Class IV, and long term, where do you think it could stabilize, and then for CKD, still early days, but can you comment on how the initial nephrology detailing is going and what you're learning about the upcoming CKD launch? Thank you.
John Tucker (CEO)
Sure. Hey, Stacy. It's John. I'll take the Class IV. So we think it's right now about 10%. Now, we didn't really launch it until September, so it's early. I think what we have seen, though, is an increase in the script size. So there might be about 10% of our scripts as we're sitting here today. We think that'll grow through the quarter and into next year. But I think as impactful to us is going to be the size of the scripts.
Steve Parsons (SVP and Head of Commercial)
About eight doses per prescription.
John Tucker (CEO)
Yeah. We're seeing about eight doses per prescription on Class IV. So we're enthused about how many scripts we're seeing for these patients, but also the size of the scripts. And as we stated before, we think a lot of that could be palliative care where patients can use an IV clinic to go in three times a week to get IV treatment. Now they can do that at home as well as preventing using the hospital as an IV clinic.
As far as nephrology, the offices were called on, and we just started this initiative a month, month and a half ago. But Steve, maybe you could talk a little bit about the reception we've had.
Steve Parsons (SVP and Head of Commercial)
Is the question about actual prescribing by nephrologists in heart failure, or is it market research that your question was about?
Stacy Ku (Director of Health Care and Biotechnology Research Analyst)
Just kind of curious what the reception is to right now? It's kind of concomitant heart failure and CKD patients, but I'm sure that's kind of giving the sales force and you all an idea of what the receptivity will be when you launch CKD? A little bit of both.
Steve Parsons (SVP and Head of Commercial)
Yes. Okay. Well, it's pretty positive. We got a lot of inbound requests to go see nephrologists. They weren't on our original target plan for this year. They were going to be built in for next year. But we do get inbound requests for opening the account. They hear about it from cardiology. So it's been pretty positive. They don't have access to IV in their offices, outpatient IV, so they need a product like Furoscix.
And their adoption has been, I'd say, a little faster than cardiology in the offices that we've been to. They see the need. They see the overlap, cardiorenal, and they prescribe.
John Tucker (CEO)
Yeah. I think Steve made a really good point, Stacy, is that in heart failure, they'll sometimes have IV clinics at the heart failure clinic. Nephrologists really don't have access to that. So you hear a lot of them using non-loop diuretics like metolazone out of sheer they have nothing else to use. So we've been enthused about the reception and market research in CKD.
Steve Parsons (SVP and Head of Commercial)
We just had American Society of Nephrology meeting a week ago, and that was very positive. Lots of leads.
Stacy Ku (Director of Health Care and Biotechnology Research Analyst)
Okay. Incredibly helpful. Thank you.
John Tucker (CEO)
Thanks, Stacy.
Operator (participant)
As a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. Our next question comes from Doug Tsao with H.C. Wainwright. Please proceed with your question.
Doug Tsao (Managing Director and Senior Healthcare Analyst)
Hi. Good afternoon. Thanks for taking the questions. John, I guess I'm just trying to understand a little bit around some of the dynamics that led to a little bit of a slower end of the quarter than you expected. Was it that your prescribers started to write less frequently as individuals, or did sort of the breadth of your script writing sort of diminish a little bit through the quarter?
John Tucker (CEO)
Yeah, Doug, we were disappointed with how the, I guess, the second half of the quarter went. And it really was something we didn't fully, you really can't handicap how your coverage gap rebates play in. So the coverage gap rebates kind of hurt us in two places. One, in our GTN, which was, we had given a range 10%-15%. It came in at 15.7%. So it went a little above the high end. Obviously, every point there costs you over $100,000 in revenue. So that hurt us.
And then the flip side of the coverage gap rebate is when patients get in it, the ones that can afford to pay the higher copay, they pay it. It hurts you on your GTN because you're paying a 70% rebate on all of those patients. And that's what really drove the GTN. But on the flip side of that is when patients have high copays, we know they abandon it. So we saw continued growth in scripts written. These patients that were in the coverage gap, a lot of them did not fill the script because of the copay.
The good thing about that, two good things about that, if there are any, the silver linings is in Q4, these patients have typically all gone through the gap and are now in catastrophic where their copays are lower and our responsibility is lower. So it helps our GTN and helps the fill rate. And then again, next year, you don't have any coverage gap at all. As you go to the redesign where patients out of pockets, if they smooth, cannot be more than $166. So it's really a phenomenon on the coverage gap.
It's always hard to anticipate early in a quarter what the rebates are going to be and what that coverage gap copay is going to be. But that's what we didn't anticipate that level of coverage gap. We thought the patients had gotten through it in the second quarter, early in the third, but they clearly hadn't as we were looking at the copays coming in. They were higher than we had anticipated. But the script demand was there. It continued to grow. It's just that the fill rate in the first half of the quarter was much higher than it was in the second half of the quarter.
Doug Tsao (Managing Director and Senior Healthcare Analyst)
Okay. Great. Thank you.
John Tucker (CEO)
Thanks, Doug.
Operator (participant)
Our next question comes from Chase Knickerbocker with Craig-Hallum. Please proceed with your question.
Chase Knickerbocker (Senior Research Analyst)
Good afternoon. Thanks for taking the questions, guys. Just first, and sorry if I missed it, jumping around on some calls here. What was the conversion rate in the third quarter? And I guess what kind of improvement did you see kind of sequentially there?
John Tucker (CEO)
Yeah. So Steve, what was your?
Steve Parsons (SVP and Head of Commercial)
We ended up at 53% fill rate of our Rx's compared to about 48% in Q2 of our Rx's. It was higher, as we said earlier in the quarter, and moderated by the end of the quarter with the coverage gap, some of them declining 25% cost of the gap.
John Tucker (CEO)
Keep in mind, our fill rate still, we have the dynamics of doctors putting product on layaway and also of just doing coverage determination. So it's always noisy, but it did go up about 10% from Q2 to Q3, but clearly challenged a bit by coverage gap rebate patients in the quarter.
Chase Knickerbocker (Senior Research Analyst)
Got it. And so doses written, decelerated a little bit sequentially from a standpoint of growth. Was that largely this coverage gap kind of dynamic, or was there any other kind of dynamics in the quarter that you'd call out? And then John, as we kind of are halfway through Q4 here, can you talk to kind of how that conversion rate looks so far on Q4? Thanks.
John Tucker (CEO)
Yeah. So to go back to Q3, yeah, again, the coverage gap, the thing about that, the script gets written. And we did see growth in scripts from Q2 to Q3. We saw growth in filled units rise from Q2 to Q3 about 16%. That doesn't include the IDNs as well, which we added a number of IDNs, and that business continues to grow. In Q4 so far, Steve, on the fill rate, where do you?
Steve Parsons (SVP and Head of Commercial)
54, 55.
John Tucker (CEO)
54, 55. I think we're seeing a little tick up as patients get through the gap and into catastrophic. But we still have the phenomenon of coverage, copay determination, and doctors writing layaway scripts. But we are seeing it trending up this quarter versus last. It trended up last quarter versus the quarter before. So that's where we are.
Chase Knickerbocker (Senior Research Analyst)
Got it. And that kind of parlays into kind of my question kind of around next year. If we think about kind of the Part D redesign and what that can do, again, for kind of improving conversion rates and generating hopefully increased demand as well, can you kind of talk a little bit to kind of any updated expectations as far as where you see that conversion rate going? And then last, guys, and sorry for all the questions.
Any return thus far on kind of the new reps that were hired in Q3? Happy with their progress thus far? Know it's early days, but any early green shoots there? Thanks.
John Tucker (CEO)
Yeah. I think so. Let me answer the second question first. Yeah, the new reps. One thing we look at every week, every day is what percentage of the territories are contributing, and the new reps in the new territories have already started to contribute. We didn't get them really out in the field until the beginning of October. So there really was zero impact of them in Q3, but we have seen, and I think we said it usually takes six weeks or so to get them to make any contribution.
They got to call on the doctors a number of times to get them to write in new territories, but yes, we've seen a contribution. That's why we're really excited about where we are because these reps are in the field. They're converting doctors now. The fill rate's ticking up. We think it will continue to tick up a bit this year, and then next year, I can tell you where our model is, and we think the redesign, Chase, you and I have talked about it, is really, really beneficial for us.
We're in a category where there's no competitor, and patients will be able to smooth their copay, so those coverage gap copays that are big, and we're talking big, over $1,000, $2,000, some of these copays, they're going to be at $166 a month, and these are heart failure patients, and that's for all of their meds, so we're projecting 65% fill rate. Now, the fill rate, that's great, but what that does also is you'll get more doctors prescribing as they understand more of their patients can afford the drug.
And we're already out with the forms that are out from the payers on how to sign patients up for the smoothing. All the plans, there's a CMS form, but the plans customize it a little bit. We have all of the plan forms. They're in the hands of our specialty pharmacies and our hubs. And we're helping to sign. We can't sign them up, but we can certainly provide them the form to get them signed up into the smoothing. So we think 65%, could that be higher? Yeah, it could be.
But I think the impact of that obviously is a big jump in your fill rate, but also a big jump in prescriptions being written. So we look at our tailwinds coming in for this quarter. It's the sales force expansion. It's a Class IV labeling. For next year, even in January, you're going to have the benefit of the Salesforce expansion.
You're going to have benefit of Class IV for the full quarter. And you're going to have benefit of the redesign, which might be the most impactful of all of those things. And then in March, here comes our CKD indication in the beginning of March. So we think it's setting up for a really interesting year for us next year.
Chase Knickerbocker (Senior Research Analyst)
Got it. Thanks.
Operator (participant)
Thanks. We have reached the end of our question and answer session. I would now like to turn the floor back over to John for closing comments. Please go ahead, sir.
John Tucker (CEO)
Thank you very much. And that concludes our call this afternoon. As we have stated, we remain encouraged by the ongoing launch of Furoscix and are consistently receiving overwhelmingly positive feedback on how well Furoscix is performing and being accepted in the field.
We have a number of tailwinds that are back as we go through the fourth quarter, and it's in 2025, including the expanded Salesforce, Class 4 label expansion, the CKD indication in the first quarter of 2025, and the Medicare redesign that takes effect January 1st of 2025. I look forward to a successful Q4 and providing our next update. Thank you very much.