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scPharmaceuticals Inc. (SCPH)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 net FUROSCIX revenue was $11.75M, up 93% year-over-year, with approximately 13.9K doses filled; seasonality and higher gross-to-net (GTN) discounts weighed on profitability, yielding GAAP net loss of $19.74M and EPS of ($0.37) .
- Against S&P Global consensus, revenue modestly beat ($11.75M vs $11.63M) while EPS missed (($0.37) vs ($0.285)); management cited Q1 deductibles/Medicare resets and a higher GTN as key drivers, with fill rates improving to ~55% in April (vs ~46% in Q1) and accelerating into Q2* .
- CKD indication formally launched late April; early nephrology traction is outpacing the initial heart failure launch, with same‑day script generation noted by the commercial lead .
- Autoinjector sNDA timing updated to Q3 2025, with a potential 70–75% COGS reduction and meaningful mix shift over time; IDN channel growth is a highlighted catalyst for Q2 and beyond .
- Near-term stock reaction catalysts: accelerating Q2 volume with $0 Medicare copays entering catastrophic coverage, CKD adoption, and visibility on Autoinjector sNDA filing in Q3 2025 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- CKD launch momentum: “When we call on [nephrology], we're getting prescriptions the same day… adoption is way faster than it was in heart failure” .
- Volume and prescribers expanding: ~13.9K doses filled in Q1 (+73% YoY) and ~4,200 unique prescribers to date; IDN sales increased 119% vs Q4 .
- Tailwinds building in Q2: “Fill rate… around 46% in Q1… 55% in April,” with rising $0 Medicare copays as patients hit the $2,000 cap or elect smoothing, driving higher scripts and fill rates .
What Went Wrong
- Profitability pressure: GTN discount rose to 23% in Q1 (from 19% in Q4), and SG&A increased to $21.4M, contributing to net loss ($19.74M) and EPS ($0.37) .
- EPS missed consensus: ($0.37) vs ($0.285), reflecting higher operating expenses and GTN headwinds* .
- Cash decline quarter-over-quarter: cash and equivalents fell from $75.7M at 12/31/24 to $57.5M at 3/31/25, with Q1 outflows tied to incentive payments and AR growth; management expects outflows to decrease over the balance of 2025 .
Financial Results
Revenue and EPS vs prior periods and estimates
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Margins (quarterly)
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Operating detail (Q1 2025)
KPIs
Note: Single-product revenue (FUROSCIX) across periods .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We have seen an acceleration… as more Medicare patients reach their $2,000 cap or enrolled in the copay smoothing program… we have seen a corresponding acceleration in our fill rate, prescriptions written and in units shipped” — John Tucker, CEO .
- “CKD adoption is way faster than it was in heart failure… getting prescriptions the same day that we call on them” — Steve Parsons, SVP Commercial .
- “Blended GTN of approximately 30%” expected for 2025, but redesign is a net tailwind given increased $0 copays in catastrophic coverage — John Tucker .
- “We are targeting filing the sNDA next quarter [Q3 2025]. We continue to believe that the Autoinjector will… reduce COGS by ~70% to 75% compared to the current on-body infuser” — John Tucker .
Q&A Highlights
- CKD traction: Early field feedback indicates rapid uptake and same-day scripting in nephrology; scripts include CKD-only and CKD+HF patients, expanding addressable use cases .
- IDN cadence: Management expects Q2 IDN sales to exceed Q1 materially; IDN workflows (EMR ordering, discharge facilitation) improve access and reorders from top systems .
- Smoothing/catastrophic coverage: Visible uptick in $0 copays in April/May; hub promotes smoothing and supports benefit verification, contributing to higher fill rates and physician confidence to write scripts .
- Doses per script: 7.4 in Q1 vs 6.8 in Q4; CKD doses per script tracking similar to HF, suggesting stable utilization intensity .
Estimates Context
- Q1 2025 vs S&P Global consensus: Revenue beat ($11.75M actual vs $11.63M est), EPS miss (($0.37) actual vs ($0.285) est); EBITDA came in below consensus (actual (
$17.75M) loss vs ($14.70M) loss est)* .
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Implication: Consensus may need to adjust for higher GTN and operating cost intensity, while volume and CKD uptake support raising outer‑quarter revenue trajectories as Q2/Q3 fill rates improve .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Revenue trajectory intact; modest Q1 beat on sales with strong Q2 setup driven by $0 Medicare copays and rising fill rates into April/May .
- EPS miss tied to higher GTN and SG&A; expect operating leverage to improve as prescription volumes and IDN contribution rise through 2025 .
- CKD launch is the near-term growth engine; adoption pace already exceeding HF launch, expanding prescriber base and script counts .
- Autoinjector sNDA in Q3 2025 is a medium-term margin catalyst (70–75% COGS reduction potential) with significant mix/penetration upside post-approval .
- Watch GTN stabilization: blended ~30% expected for 2025; despite nominal headwind, Medicare redesign is a net tailwind via catastrophic coverage and smoothing .
- IDN channel momentum should support volume and reduce friction via EMR-enabled workflows; management signals larger Q2 vs Q1 contribution .
- Trading lens: Near-term catalysts include CKD script ramp and Autoinjector filing; risk skews to operating expense discipline and GTN normalization while monitoring cash trends and AR dynamics .