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3I

374Water Inc. (SCWO)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 revenue was $0.54M, up 72% year over year, driven by a full-scale customer demonstration that added $0.376M; net loss widened to $3.68M as opex rose with stock-based comp, legal and recruiting costs .
  • Management reiterated line of sight to $4–$6M FY2025 revenue and highlighted multiple 2025 deployments (OC San AS6, DoD Detroit demo, initial Waste Destruction Services at a TSDF), and signed a WDS term sheet with Crystal Clean to host AirSCWO at an Ohio RCRA Part B TSDF facility .
  • OC San deployment timing was pushed “a few months” to accommodate upgrades and permitting; company still plans FAT, mobilization and commissioning in 2025 (approx. $1.3M revenue milestone) .
  • Regulatory PFAS tailwinds intensified after EPA’s May actions, which management expects to catalyze demand across municipal, federal, and industrial markets—an ongoing stock reaction catalyst narrative .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Signed a WDS term sheet with Crystal Clean to conduct waste destruction operations at a RCRA Part B TSDF; management’s commercialization push broadened with executive and board additions .
  • Demonstrated 99.9999% PFAS destruction in AFFF in peer-reviewed data; reinforced efficacy at commercial scale and supported WDS launch plans .
  • Management reaffirmed revenue trajectory: “We have line of sight to generating $4 million to $6 million in revenue” in FY2025 and outlined scalable models (AS1/AS6/AS30/AS100+) to address diverse customer needs .
  • Quote: “We believe we are entering a pivotal phase for scaling our technology and the business… we have line of sight to generating $4 million to $6 million in revenue” — CEO Chris Gannon .

What Went Wrong

  • Total operating expenses rose 106% to $3.91M, press release citing G&A +$1.2M while CFO remarks cited +$0.9M, indicating a discrepancy likely tied to classification or rounding; professional fees increased ~$0.5M (settlement and recruiting) and compensation rose ~$0.6M .
  • Cash fell to $6.88M from $10.65M QoQ as operating cash outflow was $3.49M; working capital declined to $8.7M (vs. $11.5M at FY2024) .
  • OC San AS6 timeline slipped “a few months” due to upgrades and permitting—pushing the commissioning window and potentially delaying revenue recognition versus the February schedule .

Financial Results

Quarterly trend vs prior two quarters (oldest → newest)

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($USD)$81,490 N/A (quarter not disclosed in press release)$543,100
Net Loss ($USD)$(2,701,817) N/A$(3,683,800)
EPS (Basic & Diluted, $)$(0.02) N/A$(0.03)
Gross Margin ($USD)$39,086 N/A$138,283
Total Operating Expenses ($USD)$2,780,825 N/A$3,909,179
Loss from Operations ($USD)$(2,741,739) N/A$(3,770,896)
Cash & Equivalents ($USD)$1,960,375 $10,651,644 $6,883,845
Working Capital ($USD)$4.5M $11.5M $8.7M

Notes: Q4 2024 filing provided full-year figures only; quarterly Q4 metrics were not disclosed in the 8-K press release or call materials .

Year-over-year for Q1

MetricQ1 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($USD)$315,278 $543,100
Gross Margin ($USD)$(302,020) $138,283
Net Loss ($USD)$(2,024,465) $(3,683,800)
EPS (Basic & Diluted, $)$(0.02) $(0.03)

Drivers: Q1 2025 included a full-scale customer demonstration adding $376,000 in services revenue, offset by ~$162,000 lower equipment manufacturing revenue; opex stepped up on stock-based comp, legal settlement and recruiting fees .

KPIs and operational context

KPIQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025Trend/Notes
Backlog & pipeline (cumulative)>$1.8B Reiterated scaling ambition Line of sight $4–$6M FY25 revenue Pipeline robust; near-term revenue visibility affirmed
AFFF PFAS destruction efficacy99.999%+ demonstrated (internal and commercial scale) 99.9999% peer-reviewed data Efficacy reinforced in peer-reviewed context
WDS partnershipsStrategy outlined Signed Crystal Clean WDS term sheet (Ohio TSDF) Commercial DAAS channel progressing
OC San project scheduleMobilizing in 1H25; installation delayed “a few months” Updated timing; ~$1.3M 2025 milestone revenues

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY 2025“Line of sight” to $4–$6M Reaffirmed $4–$6M Maintained
OC San AS6 deployment2025FAT in May; delivery/mobilization in May; commissioning thereafter; ~$1.3M revenue in Q2–Q4 Begin mobilizing in June; “full system installation… likely to be delayed by a few months” as upgrades/permitting complete Lowered/Delayed
DoD Detroit demo2025Anticipated DoD commercial-scale PFAS demo Mobilization June; on-site July; multi-month demos Firmed timeline
TSDF WDS rollout2025Pursuing TSDF partnerships Signed Crystal Clean term sheet; hosting, hauling, storage, joint marketing Raised (execution progress)

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2024 and Q4 2024)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
PFAS regulatory/macroEPA recognition of SCWO as emerging PFAS destruction tech; bipartisan momentum; DoD cleanup funding EPA’s new actions underscore tailwinds; management expects demand acceleration Strengthening regulatory tailwinds
Product/technologyRuggedizing/optimizing AS systems; expanded lab capacity; AS1/AS6 builds in progress; AS30/AS100+ roadmap Continued improvements; strong efficacy across multiple waste streams; manufacturing near completion for AS1/AS6 Execution toward commercialization
OC San deploymentFAT and delivery planned for 2025; customer visit to Orlando site Mobilization June; installation delayed a few months for upgrades/permitting Timing slip; still 2025 commissioning
WDS/TSDF partnershipsActively pursuing TSDFs; DAAS recurring revenue model Crystal Clean term sheet signed; revenue sharing/hosting model Concrete progress to DAAS revenue
DoD demoSelected to participate; federal PFAS remediation pipeline June mobilization; July on-site; expected “golden ticket” contracting mechanism Near-term federal catalyst
Manufacturing/capacityCapacity 2–4 systems at a time; Orlando manufacturing hub AS1/AS6 near completion; capacity adequate near term Scaling incrementally

Management Commentary

  • “We believe we are entering a pivotal phase for scaling our technology and the business… we have line of sight to generating $4 million to $6 million in revenue [FY2025]” — CEO Chris Gannon .
  • “On the AirSCWO 30 we project that the revenue potential for that unit will be between $12 million and $20 million on an annual basis” — CFO Russell Kline (on DAAS unit economics) .
  • “While we still plan to begin mobilizing equipment to OCSAN in June, full system installation is likely to be delayed by a few months to complete further upgrades to the AS system and as OCSAN secures requisite permits” — CEO Chris Gannon .
  • “Our technology has consistently shown PFAS >99.9999% destruction and removal efficiency operating at commercial scale” — CEO Chris Gannon .

Q&A Highlights

  • TSDF DAAS economics: AS30 annual revenue potential projected at $12–$20M depending on material and utilization, reinforcing a significant recurring revenue pathway .
  • DoD demo timing: Mobilization in June, on-site in July; management expects multi-month demos and potential streamlined contracting (“golden ticket”) thereafter .
  • North Carolina AFFF contract: Initial 1,000 gallons pickup begins within a month; phased expansion could reach 29,000 gallons .
  • Manufacturing capacity: Current ability to build 2–4 systems concurrently; Orlando facility supports near-term scaling .
  • Guidance clarification: OC San installation pushed “a few months” for upgrades/permitting; still aiming to commission in 2025 .

Estimates Context

  • Coverage is limited. No published consensus for Q1 2025 was available via S&P Global; Q3 2024 had one estimate for EPS at $(0.02)* and revenue at $0.0*, both with 1 estimate* [GetEstimates].
  • Implications: Minimal sell-side coverage constrains traditional “beat/miss” framing. Near-term estimate revisions will likely center on timing of OC San commissioning, TSDF DAAS ramp, and DoD demo conversion.
MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue Consensus Mean ($USD)$0.0*N/A*N/A*
Primary EPS Consensus Mean ($)$(0.02)*N/A*N/A*
Revenue – # of Estimates1*N/A*N/A*
Primary EPS – # of Estimates1*N/A*N/A*

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Commercial momentum: Q1 revenue inflected on services; Crystal Clean TSDF term sheet, DoD demo timing, and OC San commissioning are tangible catalysts for the next 2–3 quarters .
  • Execution watch: Track OC San FAT/mobilization milestones and permitting; ~$1.3M revenue tied to 2025 schedule offers near-term validation .
  • DAAS economics: AS30 unit-level DAAS potential ($12–$20M annual) underscores the attractiveness of recurring service revenue as TSDF partnerships scale .
  • Regulatory tailwinds: EPA’s PFAS actions strengthen the demand narrative across municipal/federal/industrial markets; positioning favors solutions with proven PFAS destruction efficacy .
  • Cash runway and funding: Cash at $6.9M; management evaluating strategic capital options—monitor for financing or strategic partnerships to support scale-up .
  • Estimate dynamics: Sparse coverage limits beat/miss frameworks; investors should focus on operational milestones, contract conversions, and DAAS ramp to calibrate revenue trajectories [GetEstimates].
  • Risk/concern: Opex intensity (stock comp, legal, recruiting) and timeline slips at OC San could push revenue recognition; watch for manufacturing/supply chain updates and schedule adherence .