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SD

Stronghold Digital Mining, Inc. (SDIG)·Q3 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 revenue fell to $11.2M, down 42% q/q and 37% y/y as BTC production dropped post‑halving; GAAP net loss was $22.7M and non‑GAAP Adjusted EBITDA loss was $5.5M, driven by lower mining economics and ongoing fixed cost load .
  • Strategic pivot/catalyst: Stronghold agreed to merge with Bitfarms (2.52 Bitfarms shares per SDIG share), targeting close in Q1 2025; management framed the deal as a route to scale, operational efficiency, and potential HPC/AI adjacency .
  • Near‑term operating bridge: two Bitfarms hosting deals (10k T21 miners per site at Panther Creek and Scrubgrass, 50% profit share) plus $7.8M deposits for each site to cover ~3 months of power costs (refundable at term end), improving liquidity optics into miner deliveries late 2024/early 2025 .
  • Liquidity and leverage: $5.1M cash/Bitcoin at 9/30 and $6.7M at 11/8; principal debt ~$53.7M; $3.4M ATM capacity unused YTD; $2.6M tax credit receivable expected near‑term cash inflow .
  • Estimates context: S&P Global consensus for Q3 2024 was unavailable for SDIG; beat/miss vs Street cannot be assessed (S&P Global estimates not available).

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Strategic path clarity: stock‑for‑stock merger with Bitfarms, expected to close in Q1 2025, positioning SDIG holders at ~10% of the combined entity; management highlighted scale (>950 MW potential by YE25) and efficiency synergies, plus the ability to integrate HPC/AI workloads with BTC mining .
    • Hosting economics and cash pre‑funding: 20,000 Bitmain T21 units to be hosted for Bitfarms across both plants with a 50% profit share; Bitfarms posted $7.8M deposits per site to cover ~3 months power costs, which aids near‑term working capital (refundable at end of initial term) .
    • Operational flexibility reaffirmed: Q3 included ~$0.5M energy sales (equivalent ~8 BTC) amid lower BTC output; August ops update indicated stable BTC‑equivalent production (67 BTC equivalents) and ~$4M revenue for that month, demonstrating grid sales/demand‑response optionality and revenue mix .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Revenue compression: total revenue declined to $11.2M (‑42% q/q; ‑37% y/y) as BTC production fell to 188 BTC in the quarter post‑halving (196 BTC equivalents including energy), overwhelming cost offsets and pressuring profitability .
    • Persistent losses and fixed‑cost drag: GAAP net loss of $22.7M; operations and maintenance plus D&A remained heavy relative to reduced revenues, with net operating loss of $17.6M and Adjusted EBITDA loss of $5.5M .
    • Leverage and limited liquidity: $53.7M principal debt outstanding vs $5.1M cash/BTC at quarter‑end; although the ATM remained unused, the balance sheet leaves little cushion if BTC prices weaken before merger close or hosting ramps .

Financial Results

MetricQ1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
Revenue ($USD Millions)$27.522 $19.104 $11.168
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.35 $(1.25) $(1.34)
Net Income (Loss) Attributable to SDIG ($USD Millions)$4.924 $(17.942) $(19.489)
Net Operating Income (Loss) ($USD Millions)$(3.582) $(18.642) $(17.584)
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$(5.544)

Notes: Company disclosed Q3 non‑GAAP Adjusted EBITDA and provided a reconciliation; the company updated its Adjusted EBITDA treatment for digital assets gains/losses consistent with ASU 2023‑08 and SEC consultation (see Non‑GAAP section) .

Revenue detail – Q3 2024 segment mix:

Revenue Detail ($USD Millions)Q3 2024
Cryptocurrency Mining$8.710
Cryptocurrency Hosting$1.912
Energy$0.503
Other$0.044
Total$11.168

KPIs and Balance Sheet Snapshot

KPI / Balance SheetQ1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
Bitcoin Mined (units)546 188
BTC Equivalents (incl. energy) (units)196
Energy Revenue ($USD Millions)$0.700 $0.221 $0.503
Cash and Cash Equivalents ($USD Millions)$7.538 $4.876 $4.491
Digital Currencies ($USD)$2,704 $253,710 $613,949
Current Portion of LT Debt ($USD Millions)$12.058 $16.347 $19.567
LT Debt, net ($USD Millions)$43.153 $38.470 $33.880
Principal Debt Outstanding (Company Disclosure)~$53.7M

Trend notes:

  • Company also disclosed cash/BTC and debt post‑quarter: $6.7M cash/BTC as of 11/8; ~$3.4M remaining ATM capacity and ~$2.6M tax credit receivable expected within 30 days .
  • August 2024 ops: 63 BTC mined, ~4 BTC equivalents from energy, ~67 BTC equivalents, and ~$4M estimated revenue .

Non‑GAAP adjustments and accounting change:

  • Adjusted EBITDA definition excludes interest, taxes, D&A, one‑time transaction costs, stock‑based comp, asset sale gains/losses, debt extinguishment, and changes in fair value of warrant liabilities; following adoption of ASU 2023‑08, realized/unrealized digital asset gains/losses are no longer excluded; prior‑period Adjusted EBITDA was revised accordingly .

Guidance Changes

Metric / ItemPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Financial Guidance (Revenue, Margins, EPS)Q4 2024/FYNone providedNone provided
Merger Close Timeline (Bitfarms)CloseExpected Q1 2025New in Q3
Hosting Program – Bitfarms T21 (Panther Creek)Initial term10,000 units; 50% profit share; $7.8M deposit covering ~3 months power; term to 12/31/25New
Hosting Program – Bitfarms T21 (Scrubgrass)Initial term10,000 units; 50% profit share; $7.8M deposit; deliveries start late Dec’24/Jan’25; term to 12/31/25New
Capacity Auction Uplift (PJM)Jun’25–May’26~+$7M at 100% margin (Panther Creek), per Q2 commentaryNot updated in Q3Maintained view from Q2

Management did not issue formal quantitative guidance; outlook items reflect merger timing and commercial arrangements disclosed.

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ1 2024 (Prior)Q2 2024 (Prior)Q3 2024 (Current)Trend
Strategic Alternatives / M&ALaunched formal strategic review; highlighted undervaluation and data center/HPC optionality Continued evaluation of alternatives Definitive merger with Bitfarms (2.52:1 exchange), target close Q1’25; SDIG holders ~10% of combined entity Evolved from review to signed deal
Power Market / CapacityImporting grid power at Scrubgrass to lower cost; demand response/sync reserve registration progress PJM BRAs cleared $270/MW‑day; Panther Creek ~+$7M capacity revenue (FY25/26) at 100% margin; evaluating exit of some Scrubgrass capacity for DR eligibility No update to capacity numbers in Q3; continued emphasis on operational efficiency with Bitfarms Stable to positive
Carbon CaptureSubmitted audit package to Puro; aiming accreditation at Scrubgrass Ongoing, lab results support ~14% by weight CO2 capture potential; monetization targeted 2025+ Mentioned sustainability ethos; no new Q3 quantificationIncremental, awaiting accreditation
AI/HPC OptionalityArticulated HPC/AI demand center thesis for assets Utility load studies; 250 MW potential at Panther; exploring data center expansion Combined platform seen as better positioned to integrate HPC/AI Building narrative
Fleet/Hosting MixHosting relationships amended/managed; operational curtailment flexibility Two Bitfarms hosting agreements to high‑grade fleet utilization Shift toward hosted profit‑share
LeadershipCFO Matt Smith stepping down (effective Nov 15), continuing as consultant for transition Transition underway

Management Commentary

  • “We’re thrilled about this transformative next step… a definitive merger agreement with Bitfarms… can result in a pro forma company with an energy portfolio exceeding 950 megawatts by year‑end 2025… leverage Bitfarms’ proven expertise to successfully enhance operational efficiency and merge HPC/AI with Bitcoin mining operations.” — CEO Greg Beard .
  • “During the third quarter 2024, we generated 188 Bitcoin and approximately $0.5 million of energy revenues… total of 196 Bitcoin equivalents… Revenue totaled $11.2 million… GAAP net loss… $22.7 million… Adjusted EBITDA loss… $5.5 million.” — CFO Matt Smith .
  • “Bitfarms will pay Stronghold fifty percent of the profit generated by the [hosted] miners… Bitfarms also deposited with Stronghold $7.8 million, equal to the estimated cost of power for three months of operations…” — Q3 press release .

Q&A Highlights

  • The call was intentionally brief due to the pending Bitfarms merger; management focused on merger rationale, hosting ramp, and liquidity positioning rather than detailed Q&A .
  • Liquidity/disclosure clarifications were provided in the press release: $5.1M cash/BTC at 9/30 and $6.7M at 11/8; $53.7M principal debt; $3.4M ATM remaining; $2.6M tax credit receivable expected near‑term .
  • No formal financial guidance was provided; merger timing guided to Q1 2025 .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global (Capital IQ) consensus estimates for SDIG’s Q3 2024 revenue, EPS, and EBITDA were unavailable; therefore, a beat/miss vs Street cannot be determined (S&P Global estimates not available).

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Execution shifted from standalone optimization to combination: the Bitfarms merger offers scale, cost, and fleet utilization benefits, with potential HPC/AI upside; shareholder pro forma stake ~10%, close targeted Q1 2025 .
  • Hosting pivot is an important bridge: 20,000 Bitmain T21 units under 50% profit‑share and two $7.8M deposits provide near‑term liquidity support ahead of deliveries late 2024/early 2025 .
  • Core fundamentals pressured by halving: Q3 revenue down 42% q/q, with 188 BTC produced and net loss of $22.7M; sustaining fixed costs vs reduced block rewards underscores need for utilization and cost discipline .
  • Liquidity tight but improving with deposits and tax credit receipts: $5.1M cash/BTC at 9/30 and $6.7M at 11/8; ~$2.6M tax credit receivable expected; principal debt ~$53.7M remains a key watch item into merger close .
  • Optionality persists in power markets and carbon capture: capacity revenues (per Q2 commentary) and grid sales/demand response can offset some BTC cyclicality; carbon capture could add monetizable credits post‑audit/accreditation in 2025+ .
  • Non‑GAAP policy updated for digital assets: Adjusted EBITDA now includes realized/unrealized crypto gains/losses per ASU 2023‑08/SEC consultation; compare Adjusted EBITDA trends with care across periods .
  • Near‑term trading lens: stock likely keyed to merger milestones, hosting deployment cadence, and BTC price; any slip in miner deliveries/deposits or merger timing could be catalysts in either direction .

Citations

  • Q3 2024 8‑K earnings press release and financials:
  • Q3 2024 earnings call transcript:
  • August 2024 operations update 8‑K:
  • Q2 2024 10‑Q and call:
  • Q1 2024 10‑Q and call: