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SandRidge Mississippian Trust I (SDTTU)·Q1 2021 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2021 distribution was approximately $0.3 million, or $0.0110 per unit, on revenues of $0.875 million; sequentially stronger vs Q4 2020 ($0.0029 per unit, $0.732 million revenues) as average oil, gas and NGL prices increased while volumes slightly decreased .
  • The Trust executed the sale of all overriding royalty interests to SandRidge Exploration & Production for $4.85 million, effective April 1, 2021; the Trust will not make any further regular quarterly cash distributions given the purchaser is entitled to production revenues from April 1 onward .
  • Trustee guidance shifted: although an August 2021 distribution of net sale proceeds is contemplated, cash will likely be withheld pending resolution of securities litigation, delaying unitholder distributions; units are expected to be canceled after winding up .
  • Stock reaction catalyst: asset sale and cessation of regular distributions; improving commodity prices (especially oil and NGL) aided Q1 cash generation but are moot for future distributions under the sale .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Sequential improvement: Q1 revenues rose to $0.875 million vs $0.732 million in Q4, and distributable income per unit increased to $0.0110 vs $0.0029, driven by higher realized prices; “average oil, natural gas and NGL prices increased… Combined sales volumes slightly decreased” .
  • Strategic clarity: sale of all ORRIs completed for $4.85 million, providing an exit path and simplifying winding up .
  • Reserves achieved: targeted cash reserve fully funded; no additional reserve withholding from the Q1 distribution .

What Went Wrong

  • Year-over-year softness: Q1 revenues fell to $0.875 million from $1.019 million (-14.1%), and distributable income available to unitholders declined to $0.308 million from $0.360 million (-14.4%); per unit distribution fell to $0.0110 from $0.0130 (-15.4%) .
  • Volume headwinds: combined sales volumes decreased to 51 MBoe vs 54 MBoe in Q4 and 56 MBoe in Q3 despite stronger prices .
  • Distribution cessation and delay: no further regular quarterly distributions post-April 1 effective date; net sale proceeds distribution likely delayed pending litigation reserve .

Financial Results

Quarterly trend (oldest → newest):

MetricQ3 2020Q4 2020Q1 2021
Revenue ($USD thousands)$619 $732 $875
Expenses ($USD thousands)$564 $556 $567
Distributable income (reported) ($USD thousands)$55 $176 $308
Additional cash reserve ($USD thousands)$55 $96 $0
Distributable income available to unitholders ($USD thousands)$0 $80 $308
Distributable income per unit ($USD)$0.0000 $0.0029 $0.0110
Distributable income margin (%)0.0% ()10.9% ()35.2% ()
EPS ($USD)N/AN/AN/A

Year-over-year comparison:

MetricQ1 2020Q1 2021YoY Change
Revenue ($USD thousands)$1,019 $875 -14.1% ( )
Distributable income available to unitholders ($USD thousands)$360 $308 -14.4% ( )
Distributable income per unit ($USD)$0.013 $0.011 -15.4% ( )

KPIs (production and realized pricing):

KPIQ3 2020Q4 2020Q1 2021
Oil (MBbl)5 5 4
NGL (MBbl)18 17 16
Natural Gas (MMcf)199 186 183
Combined (MBoe)56 54 51
Oil avg price ($/Bbl)$38.32 $38.06 $49.69
NGL avg price ($/Bbl)$10.19 $10.62 $16.91
Gas avg price ($/Mcf)$1.19 $1.83 $2.09
Gas avg price incl. post-prod ($/Mcf)$0.47 $1.15 $1.39

Segment breakdown: Not applicable (royalty trust; no operating segments) .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Regular quarterly cash distributionsQ2 2021 onwardContinue quarterly distributions during winding up to the extent cash is available No further regular quarterly cash distributions post April 1, 2021 effective sale Lowered/ceased
Net sale proceeds distributionQ3 2021Sale completion and net proceeds distribution by Q3 2021 Trustee required to distribute on Aug 2021 date, but expects no cash available until securities litigation resolved Delayed/contingent
Cash reserve withholdingQ1 2021Withheld ~$96k in Q4 to reach target; ongoing withholding historically Targeted reserve funded in full; no additional reserve withheld in Q1 Maintained target; no further withholding
Asset sale (ORRIs)Q1 2021Marketing process; SandRidge ROFR disclosed Sale completed for $4.85M; effective date April 1, 2021 Completed
Bid reimbursement to third-party bidderQ2 2021N/ATrust’s share ≈ $50,000 of reimbursement; total reimbursement $98,367.75 split 50/50 between buyer and Trust (5% cap) New obligation

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: No earnings call transcript found for Q1 2021; the Trust communicated via press releases .

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2 and Q-1)Current Period (Q1 2021)Trend
Commodity pricesQ3/Q4 2020 noted price increases vs prior periods, but still low overall; volumes slightly decreased “Average oil, natural gas and NGL prices increased… Combined sales volumes slightly decreased” Improving prices; modest volume decline
Distribution outlookQ3 2020: no distribution; dissolution trigger; Q4 2020: small distribution $0.0029; plan to continue if cash available $0.0110 distribution; post-sale no further regular quarterly distributions Near-term improvement; structural cessation ahead
Dissolution and winding upQ3 2020: Dissolution triggered; sale process initiated Sale executed; winding up continues; units expected to be canceled after process Progressing to completion
Legal/litigation reserveReserve plan disclosed; building cash reserves Expectation that net sale proceeds will be withheld until securities litigation resolved Heightened reserve impact; delays distributions
Production volumesSlightly decreasing trend noted Slight decrease vs Q4; 51 MBoe vs 54 MBoe Gradual decline (no new development wells)

Management Commentary

  • “SANDRIDGE MISSISSIPPIAN TRUST I… announced a quarterly distribution… of approximately $0.3 million, or $0.0110 per unit” .
  • “During the three-month production period ended February 28, 2021, average oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids (“NGL”) prices increased… Combined sales volumes slightly decreased compared to the previous period” .
  • “On April 22, 2021… for the sale of all of the overriding royalty interests… Accordingly… the Trust will not receive any further proceeds… and therefore will not make any further regular quarterly cash distributions to the Trust unitholders” .
  • “The Trustee… does not expect that there will be cash available for distribution until [the securities] litigation has been resolved” .

Q&A Highlights

No earnings call or Q&A was held; all disclosures were provided via 8-K and press releases .

Estimates Context

Wall Street consensus EPS/revenue estimates via S&P Global were not available for SDTTU for Q1 2021; therefore, comparisons to estimates are not applicable. As a dissolving OTC royalty trust with no regular earnings calls, Street coverage appears limited .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Q1 showed stronger cash generation on higher commodity prices: $0.875 million revenues, $0.0110 per unit distribution, despite lower volumes .
  • Strategic endpoint is set: sale of ORRIs for $4.85 million completed; effective date April 1; no further regular distributions going forward .
  • Expect timing risk on net proceeds: Trustee currently expects to withhold distribution of sale proceeds due to securities litigation reserve; distributions could be delayed until resolution .
  • Reserve fully funded; no additional withholding against Q1 distribution; but a ~$50,000 reimbursement obligation related to the third-party bidder will reduce proceeds .
  • Volumes are in structural decline (no new development wells), partially offset by improved realized prices; trends support short-term cash strength but are irrelevant post-sale .
  • Trading implications: near-term catalysts are the timing and size of net proceeds distribution vs reserves; unit cancellation follows winding up, limiting longer-term upside .
  • Thesis considerations: this is now a liquidation scenario—focus on expected net proceeds after sale-related costs and reserves; commodity price improvements help only insofar as they affected the final pre-sale distribution .