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SEELOS THERAPEUTICS, INC. (SEEL)·Q3 2018 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2018 centered on executing the Seelos merger, with Apricus shareholders expected to own ~15% of the combined company at an estimated ~$94M valuation; deal targeted to close by year-end 2018 .
  • Financials remained pre-revenue; net loss was $2.8M (loss per share $0.12) as R&D scaled down and G&A rose modestly; cash ended Q3 at $5.3M .
  • Liquidity actions included a September private placement (~$1.24M gross; 4.6M shares plus warrants), bolstering cash while supporting merger execution .
  • Listing risk persisted; Nasdaq bid-price deficiency extended to April 8, 2019, contingent on potential reverse split, keeping delisting risk on the table .
  • Consensus EPS/revenue estimates were unavailable via S&P Global for SEEL in Q3 2018 (mapping not found); comparisons to Street and “beat/miss” assessments are therefore not possible.

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Merger execution milestones: Management “focused on concluding the proposed merger with Seelos,” reiterating expected close in Q4 2018 and establishing CVRs for Vitaros proceeds to legacy shareholders .
  • Cost control in R&D: R&D expense declined year over year as U.S. Vitaros development paused pending partnership/strategic options, reflecting disciplined spend alignment .
  • Incremental financing: Completed September PIPE (~$1.24M gross; 4.6M shares plus multiple warrant tranches) to support working capital during merger period .

What Went Wrong

  • No revenue; continued operating losses: Q3 net loss was $2.8M, reflecting ongoing corporate and legal costs, with no continuing operations revenue streams .
  • Listing compliance risk: Nasdaq bid-price deficiency remained; extension granted to April 8, 2019 but failure to cure could trigger delisting .
  • Organizational turnover/cost: Termination of SVP CDO in August with accelerated equity and severance; CEO’s severance structured around merger close, increasing expense visibility if deal timing shifts .

Financial Results

MetricQ1 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$(2.271) $(2.277) $(2.838)
EPS (Total, $USD)$(0.14) $(0.10) $(0.12)
R&D Expense ($USD Millions)$0.217 $0.162 $0.769
G&A Expense ($USD Millions)$2.135 $2.075 $1.934
Cash ($USD Millions)$5.678 $6.836 $5.283
Discontinued Ops Income/Loss ($USD Millions)$11.477 $(0.024)

Notes:

  • No continuing operations revenue reported across periods. Prior-year “discontinued operations” primarily reflect Ferring ex-U.S. Vitaros sale gains .
  • Cash excludes September PIPE net proceeds until post-close recognition; Q2 cash includes April financing .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Merger timingH2 2018Q4 2018 close targeted End date extended to Dec 31, 2018 Maintained timeline; end date extended
Ownership split (Apricus holders)At close~14% of combined (est. ~$90M) ~15% of combined (est. ~$94M) Raised proportion/valuation
Listing complianceThrough Apr 2019Bid-price cure by Oct 8, 2018 Extension to Apr 8, 2019; considering reverse split Extended window

No revenue, margin, or EPS guidance was provided; management focused guidance on strategic/transaction milestones and listing compliance .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

No Q3 2018 earnings call transcript was available. Based on press releases and filings:

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2)Current Period (Q3)Trend
Strategic alternatives / mergerQ1: evaluating sale/merger/licensing; engaged Canaccord . Q2: definitive Seelos merger (Apricus ~14%) targeted Q4 close .Focused on concluding merger; Apricus holders ~15%; CVR terms reiterated .Progressing toward close; improved ownership terms
Regulatory (Vitaros)Q1: FDA CRL; pursue U.S. partner for reformulation and Phase 3 path .Continued emphasis on Vitaros U.S. partnering via CVR mechanism .Strategy shifted to CVR monetization via future out-licensing
Nasdaq/listingQ2: April bid-price notice; initial cure period .Extension to Apr 8, 2019; potential reverse split plan .Ongoing risk; extended remediation timeline
Financing / liquidityQ2: Public offering closed Apr 2 (~$2.9M net) .Sept 20 PIPE (~$1.24M gross; shares + warrants) .Opportunistic funding to bridge to merger
Organizational changesCEO severance terms (merger termination scenario); CDO termination with severance; RSUs structure .Reshaping leadership costs aligned to transaction closing

Management Commentary

  • “Throughout the third quarter of this year, we have been focused on concluding the proposed merger with Seelos… we will continue to work with Seelos management in the coming weeks to complete the merger following the Special Stockholder Meeting.” — Richard Pascoe, CEO .
  • “On July 30, 2018 we announced that the Apricus Board of Directors has concluded that the proposed merger with Seelos was in the best interest of our shareholders… [it] will provide an opportunity to create value from a diversified pipeline of late-stage clinical assets…” .
  • “Since our recent end-of-review meeting on the NDA for Vitaros with the FDA, we have been focused on pursuing U.S. Vitaros partnership… In parallel, the Company is evaluating strategic alternatives… to maximize shareholder value.” .

Q&A Highlights

No Q3 earnings call was held or transcript available; therefore Q&A themes and guidance clarifications are unavailable.

Estimates Context

Wall Street consensus EPS/revenue estimates via S&P Global could not be retrieved for SEEL (Apricus/Seelos) for Q3 2018 due to missing mapping; thus comparisons to Street expectations and beat/miss analyses are unavailable.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Transaction-driven stock: Near-term performance hinges on timely completion of the Seelos merger and maintenance of Nasdaq listing through potential reverse split if required .
  • Ownership/valuation drift slightly positive: Apricus shareholder stake rose to ~15% with combined valuation guidance near $94M at close vs. prior ~14%/$90M .
  • Liquidity supported: September PIPE and April offering bridged operations; combined company financing plan/risk remains a diligence focus post-close .
  • Vitaros economics via CVR: Apricus holders retain 90% of proceeds above $500K from any future U.S. Vitaros out-licensing/sale, aligning upside without funding reformulation trials .
  • Operating model: Pre-revenue losses will persist until merger synergies and Seelos pipeline catalysts materialize; monitor cash, G&A/legal spend trends .
  • Listing risk: Extended cure window to April 2019; any failure to execute reverse split or sustain bid price threatens liquidity and investor access .

Supporting Data Details

  • Q3 2018 press release and 8-K 2.02: Net loss $2.8M; loss per share $0.12; R&D $0.769M; G&A $1.934M; cash $5.3M; merger terms (Apricus holders ~15%, ~$94M combined valuation); CVR structure .
  • Q2 2018 press release/10-Q: Net loss $2.3M; loss per share $0.10; R&D $0.162M; G&A $2.075M; cash $6.836M; merger target Q4 close; April financing closed .
  • Q1 2018 press release: Net loss $2.271M; loss per share $0.14; R&D $0.217M; G&A $2.135M; cash $5.678M; strategic alternatives and Vitaros partnering .
  • Private placement: Sept 20, 2018 PIPE—4.6M shares at $0.27, warrants at $0.30 and $0.40, ~ $1.24M gross; voting agreement to support merger .
  • Nasdaq compliance: Extension letter dated Oct 9, 2018—additional 180 days to regain $1.00 bid; potential reverse split plan .
  • CVR Agreement: CVR to Apricus shareholders of record prior to closing; 90% of proceeds above $500,000 from Vitaros U.S. out-licensing/sale over 10 years .

This recap is based on primary source documents (10-Q/8-K press releases and corporate updates). No earnings call transcript was available for Q3 2018.