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Senseonics Holdings, Inc. (SENS)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 revenue of $6.65M grew 36.7% year over year and exceeded S&P Global consensus ($6.02M) by ~$0.63M as U.S. adoption of Eversense 365 accelerated; GAAP diluted EPS was -$0.02, while S&P “Primary EPS” printed -$0.40 (definitions differ) . Revenue consensus: $6.02M*; Primary EPS consensus: -$0.40*.
- Management reaffirmed FY25 revenue guidance ($34–$38M) and raised FY25 gross margin outlook to 32.5%–37.5% (from 25%–30% in Q1), citing higher 365-day product margins and mix; FY25 cash used in operations guided to ~ $60M (prior $50–$60M) .
- Key growth drivers: U.S. new patient starts +79% YoY; expanded DTC marketing drove a 50% lead increase in June; CMS updated Medicare Physician Fee Schedule to cover a full year of Eversense 365 as a medical benefit .
- Liquidity strengthened with $77.8M gross proceeds raised in May (public offering $57.5M; Abbott private placement $20.3M) to fund the 365 launch and pipeline (Gemini, Freedom); management discussed seeking shareholder approval for a reverse stock split to broaden investor access (call) .
- Near-term catalysts: expected commercial availability of Sequel’s twiist AID system integrated with Eversense 365 in Q4 and continued ramp in 365 reorder dynamics weighted to Q4 per guidance .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- U.S. commercial momentum: total Q2 revenue $6.6M (+37% YoY) driven by U.S. revenue $4.9M (vs. $3.0M), and a 79% YoY increase in U.S. new patient starts .
- Marketing efficiency: enhanced DTC campaign in June generated a 50% increase in leads vs. prior 3‑month average, supporting H2 patient/revenue acceleration .
- Structural tailwinds and margins: CMS updated Medicare Physician Fee Schedule to reimburse a full year of Eversense 365; Q2 gross profit improved to $3.1M aided by higher 365-day margins (and a one-time VAT recovery), with FY25 gross margin outlook raised to 32.5%–37.5% .
- Management tone: “we continued to drive a strong U.S. Eversense 365 launch…enable acceleration in patients and revenue growth in the second half of the year” — Tim Goodnow, CEO .
What Went Wrong
- International softness and opex pressure: OUS revenue declined to $1.7M (vs. $1.9M YoY) while SG&A increased to $9.7M (from $9.0M) on higher commissions and Eon Care network support .
- Losses persist despite improvement: net loss narrowed to -$14.5M (from -$20.3M YoY), but remained significant; GAAP diluted EPS was -$0.02 .
- FY25 cash use at high end: guidance now ~ $60M (vs. prior $50–$60M), reflecting commercial investment; management also flagged tariff monitoring earlier in the year and discussed a potential reverse split to address trading frictions (call) .
Financial Results
Headline P&L and Margins (oldest → newest)
Notes: Gross margin % calculated from cited revenue and gross profit.
Regional Revenue Breakdown
KPIs and Commercial Indicators
Consensus vs. Actual (S&P Global; Q2 2025)
Values with asterisks (*) retrieved from S&P Global. Note: S&P “Primary EPS” differs from GAAP diluted EPS reported by the company; use care when comparing.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “During the quarter we continued to drive a strong U.S. Eversense 365 launch…enable acceleration in patients and revenue growth in the second half of the year.” — Tim Goodnow, CEO .
- “This was an important quarter…supported by the recent public offering, together with the Abbott investment…combined gross proceeds of $77.8M.” — Rick Sullivan, CFO (prepared remarks) .
- “We plan to seek shareholder approval for a reverse stock split to overcome these limitations…facilitate inclusion in indices and reduce administrative costs.” — Rick Sullivan, CFO (prepared remarks) .
Q&A Highlights
- Adoption drivers and marketing: Analysts focused on lead conversion and DTC effectiveness; management highlighted enhanced campaigns and Medicare coverage supporting provider conversion (medical benefit, CPT fee schedule) .
- Reimbursement & payer mix: Questions addressed Medicare coverage in place and commercial transitions, including movement to bundled/medical-benefit models; management emphasized progress and ongoing payer updates .
- Retention/usage: Analysts probed sensor retention ranges and durability of adoption; management reiterated focus on patient experience and EON Care support (insertion access) .
- Capital markets & listing mechanics: Management discussed intent to seek approval for a reverse split to broaden investor access and index eligibility .
Estimates Context
- Revenue beat vs. consensus: $6.65M actual vs. $6.02M consensus; ~10% beat, driven by U.S. 365 adoption and DTC activity . Revenue consensus and actual from S&P: $6.02M and $6.65M*.
- EPS: GAAP diluted EPS -$0.02; S&P “Primary EPS” shows -$0.40 (consensus and actual)*, reflecting definitional differences versus GAAP diluted EPS and share count dynamics .
- Estimate breadth: 6 estimates for revenue and EPS for Q2 2025*. Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Demand momentum is building in the U.S. with clear marketing and Medicare tailwinds; sequential growth and raised margin guidance suggest improving unit economics into H2, with Q4 weighted by 365 reorder dynamics .
- Revenue came in above consensus; focus near-term is on sustaining new patient growth and converting DTC leads amid continued commercial payer transitions to the 365 medical‑benefit model .
- Gross margin trajectory is the core narrative change: FY25 outlook raised to 32.5%–37.5% on mix and scale; monitor for continued expansion as Eversense 365 penetrates and OUS transitions later in 2025 .
- Balance sheet flexibility improved with $77.8M gross proceeds; expect investment behind marketing, EON Care network, and pipeline while cash use runs ~ $60M in FY25 .
- AID integration with Sequel’s twiist shifts to Q4; successful launch could be a medium‑term differentiator versus peers by pairing 1‑year CGM with a modern pump algorithm .
- Potential reverse split could remove trading frictions and expand the shareholder base; not fundamental, but may affect index eligibility and liquidity (timing subject to shareholder approval) .
- Watch OUS contribution and commercial payer conversions as incremental drivers; OUS revenue fell YoY this quarter, but EU 365 rollout remains targeted for 2H25 per earlier commentary .
Additional Supporting Items Read This Quarter
- Q2 2025 8‑K/Press Release with full financials and outlook .
- Q1 2025 press release and call (context on Medicare, marketing, Sequel integration) .
- Q4 2024 press release and call (launch KPIs, revenue recognition, consignment channel) .
- Sequel Med Tech integration press release (AID collaboration) .
- Capital raise closing press release (May 21, 2025) .
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.