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ST

SHIFT TECHNOLOGIES, INC. (SFTGQ)·Q2 2023 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2023 revenue fell to $47.3M with 1,998 retail units; net loss improved sequentially to $(25.8)M (55% of revenue) and adjusted EBITDA loss narrowed to $(20.6)M (43.5% of revenue) .
  • Unit economics showed mixed progress: total GPU rose sequentially to $1,557 while adjusted GPU declined to $1,522; wholesale GPU burden improved sharply to $(12) per retail unit versus $(276) in Q1 .
  • Liquidity tightened; cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash totaled $32.2M at quarter-end, with long-term debt at $164.4M and stockholders’ deficit of $(130.8)M .
  • Strategic alternatives review remained the key near-term catalyst; new CEO emphasized operational efficiency, F&I attach, and reconditioning, and the company skipped Q&A on the call due to the ongoing process .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Sequential operating improvement: net loss and adjusted EBITDA loss narrowed (Q1 net loss $(48.1)M, adj. EBITDA $(24.0)M vs Q2 net loss $(25.8)M, adj. EBITDA $(20.6)M) .
  • Total GPU improved quarter over quarter to $1,557, driven by better wholesale GPU burden per retail unit (Q1 $(276) → Q2 $(12)) and stable other GPU .
  • New CEO outlined clear priorities: “expand GPU through operational efficiencies and improving F&I; optimize the customer experience to increase conversion; and drive unit sales through in-market penetration,” noting early steps to restructure and simplify operations .

What Went Wrong

  • Significant YoY contraction: revenue down 79% and retail units down 71% vs Q2 2022, with retail ASP down 24% YoY, pressuring scale and leverage .
  • Gross profit and adjusted gross profit fell YoY; adjusted GPU declined to $1,522 from $1,821 in Q2 2022, reflecting weaker operating leverage and lower ASPs .
  • Liquidity remains constrained with $32.2M in cash and restricted cash and a material stockholders’ deficit; long-term debt held roughly flat at $164.4M, raising financing and solvency concerns absent a successful strategic outcome .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2022Q1 2023Q2 2023
Revenue ($USD Millions)$65.569 $57.693 $47.258
Net Income (Loss) ($USD Millions)$13.014 $(48.097) $(25.776)
EPS (Basic/Diluted) ($)$1.26 / $1.25 $(2.84) $(1.52)
Net Income (Loss) Margin (%)20% 83% 54.5%
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$(25.538) $(24.044) $(20.568)
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)(38.9)% (41.7)% (43.5)%

Segment revenue breakdown:

Revenue Component ($USD Millions)Q4 2022Q1 2023Q2 2023
Retail Revenue, net$57.579 $51.031 $43.223
Other Revenue, net$3.201 $1.922 $1.729
Wholesale Vehicle Revenue$4.789 $4.740 $2.306
Total Revenue$65.569 $57.693 $47.258

KPIs:

KPIQ4 2022Q1 2023Q2 2023
Retail Units2,520 2,396 1,998
Wholesale Units354 344 187
Total Units Sold2,874 2,740 2,185
Retail ASP ($)22,849 21,298 21,633
Wholesale ASP ($)13,528 13,779 12,332
Retail GPU ($/retail unit)203 951 704
Other GPU ($/retail unit)1,270 802 865
Wholesale GPU ($/retail unit)(578) (276) (12)
Total GPU ($/retail unit)895 1,477 1,557
Avg Monthly Unique Visitors531,592 543,911 356,268
Avg Days to Sale80 78 73
Retail Vehicles Available for Sale1,476 1,650 767

Non-GAAP reconciliation highlights (impact on profitability metrics):

  • Adjusted Gross Profit ($M): Q4 $2.622; Q1 $4.258; Q2 $3.040 .
  • Adjusted Gross Profit per Unit ($): Q4 $1,041; Q1 $1,777; Q2 $1,522 .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue ($M)Q1 2023$56–$58 Actual: $57.693 Achieved vs guidance
Adjusted GPU ($)Q1 2023$1,600–$1,800 Actual: $1,777 Achieved upper end
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)Q1 2023$(24)–$(26) Actual: $(24.044) In range
Ending Cash ($M)Q1 2023~ $70 Reported: $68 Slightly below
Adjusted SG&A (annualized, $M)FY 2023$85–$95 No update provided in Q2 Maintained/Not updated
Q2 2023 GuidanceQ2 2023Not provided in Q4/Q1None provided; strategic alternatives ongoing N/A

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2022, Q1 2023)Current Period (Q2 2023)Trend
Strategic AlternativesInitiated review; focus on balance sheet and cost reductions Process “remains ongoing”; no Q&A due to review Ongoing; dominates narrative
Omnichannel ModelTransition completed; expected sequential improvement in 2023 Continued focus; tech-enabled omni-channel execution Execution focus sustained
Unit Economics / GPUQ1: adj. GPU improved; target $1.6–$1.8k Priorities to expand GPU via F&I attach and reconditioning; total GPU up QoQ Mixed: QoQ better total GPU, adj. GPU down
Marketplace / Tech InitiativesPreparing to launch dealer marketplace in Q3 2023 Focus on customer experience and conversion improvements Shift to execution over new launches
Nasdaq Compliance / CorporateRegained minimum bid compliance in March No new listing updates Stable

Management Commentary

  • “We have already taken steps to restructure the business and simplify the operations to drive the performance of the business by focusing on the fundamentals… I believe these are the right steps towards positive unit economics and, subsequently, profitability.” — CEO Ayman Moussa .
  • Strategic priorities on the call: “expand GPU through operational efficiencies and improving F&I; optimize the customer experience to increase conversion; and drive unit sales through in-market penetration.” — CEO Ayman Moussa .
  • “Because of our ongoing review of strategic alternatives, we will not be taking questions.” — Earnings call closing .

Q&A Highlights

  • The company did not conduct Q&A due to the ongoing review of strategic alternatives, limiting guidance clarifications and near-term disclosures .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q2 2023 EPS and revenue was unavailable due to missing CIQ mapping for SFTGQ; therefore, results could not be compared to S&P Global consensus and estimates-driven tables are omitted [SpgiEstimatesError returned by tool].

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Near-term story hinges on strategic alternatives and liquidity: $32.2M cash and restricted cash vs $164.4M long-term debt and $(130.8)M stockholders’ deficit raise urgency for a transaction or financing solution .
  • Sequential operating progress is visible (narrowing losses, improved total GPU, sharply better wholesale GPU burden), but scale erosion (units/revenue) and lower ASPs challenge path to profitability without renewed unit growth .
  • Management’s operational focus (F&I attach, reconditioning, conversion) is appropriate; investors should watch for tangible KPI improvements (adj. GPU, conversion, days-to-sale) as leading indicators for margin expansion .
  • Absence of Q2 guidance and curtailed Q&A increases information risk; expect elevated volatility around future disclosures, including any strategic outcome announcements .
  • Q1 guidance execution was largely on-target (revenue, adj. GPU, adj. EBITDA), suggesting internal planning has credibility despite macro/scale headwinds; monitor whether similar discipline appears in H2 .
  • For trading: headlines on strategic alternatives (LOIs, asset sales, financings) are likely to be primary catalysts; operational prints (GPU, SG&A trajectory, cash burn) will shape medium-term risk/reward .
  • Medium-term thesis depends on successfully stabilizing unit volumes and sustaining GPU improvements while materially reducing adjusted SG&A toward the $85–$95M annualized target communicated earlier in 2023 .

Additional references:

  • Company scheduled Q2 2023 earnings release and call for August 10, 2023 .