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SHIFT TECHNOLOGIES, INC. (SFTGQ)·Q3 2022 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Revenue fell to $161.9M, down 10% y/y and sharply lower vs Q2 ($223.7M) and Q1 ($219.6M), as Shift executed its restructuring and liquidated inventory through wholesale channels .
- GAAP gross profit collapsed to $0.4M; total GPU fell to $84, but Adjusted GPU held up at $1,925, reflecting mix and non-GAAP adjustments during the transition .
- Net loss widened to $75.8M (EPS -$0.92) vs Q2 (-$0.64) and Q1 (-$0.70); Adjusted EBITDA loss improved sequentially to -$30.0M (from -$36.9M) with margin -18.5% .
- Guidance reduced: FY22 revenue to $665–$675M (from $690–$710M), Q4 revenue $60–$70M; company emphasized focus on unit economics and SG&A reduction as catalysts .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Adjusted GPU remained resilient at $1,925 despite macro headwinds and lower ASP vehicles, underpinning unit economics improvement .
- SG&A dropped to $49.8M (30.8% of revenue) vs Q2 $58.7M (26.3%) and y/y $57.9M (32.2%), reflecting early restructuring benefits .
- Management executed the revised business plan: “a period of transition as we executed upon our revised business plan, which focuses on growing unit economics and driving SG&A costs lower,” said CEO Jeff Clementz .
What Went Wrong
- Gross profit and GPU deteriorated: GAAP GPU fell to $84 vs $1,729 in Q2 and $1,655 in Q1, driven by inventory liquidation and wholesale losses .
- Wholesale gross loss rose to -$8.0M, with wholesale loss per unit -$1,655 due to liquidation of higher-priced vehicles through wholesale .
- Liquidity/going concern: 10-Q disclosed substantial doubt about ability to continue as a going concern; Nasdaq deficiency letter received Oct 4, 2022, raising listing risk .
Financial Results
Year-over-Year Q3 comparison:
Segment breakdown (Q3 2022):
KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “The third quarter represented a period of transition as we executed upon our revised business plan, which focuses on growing unit economics and driving SG&A costs lower.” — Jeff Clementz, CEO .
- “Sold 4,855 ecommerce units and achieved $161.9 million in revenue; Achieved strong Adjusted gross profit per unit of $1,925, despite macroeconomic headwinds and lower ASP vehicles.” — Press release highlights .
- Conference call covered restructuring execution and outlook (CEO/CFO prepared remarks and Q&A) .
Q&A Highlights
- Guidance details and drivers: Management discussed Q4 revenue outlook ($60–$70M), Adjusted GPU ($1,800–$1,900), and Adjusted EBITDA loss ($20–$25M) tied to the transition to online-centric fulfillment .
- Restructuring impact: Clarified timeline, hub closures, and cost actions; emphasized SG&A trajectory and unit economics improvements .
- Liquidity/listing status: Addressed going concern considerations and Nasdaq bid-price deficiency letter implications .
- CarLotz merger: Timing and expected synergies, including liquidity add and operational overlap .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus from S&P Global was unavailable for this ticker due to missing mapping; therefore, a formal comparison to S&P Global consensus for Q3 2022 revenue/EPS/EBITDA could not be provided. Values retrieved from S&P Global were unavailable for SFTGQ mapping.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Adjusted GPU resilience ($1,925) suggests the new mix and online checkout focus can sustain unit economics even as ASP declines; monitor whether Q4 guidance ($1,800–$1,900) is achieved .
- Wholesale liquidation materially hurt gross profit; watch the pace of inventory normalization and reduced reliance on wholesale to restore GAAP GPU .
- SG&A trajectory is improving; sustained reductions are critical for reaching EBITDA breakeven, with Q4 Adjusted EBITDA loss guided to $(20)–$(25)M .
- Liquidity remains a key risk (going concern language) and listing risk (Nasdaq deficiency); track capital raises (ATM), merger closing, and any reverse split actions .
- Guidance reset: FY22 revenue lowered to $665–$675M; Q4 revenue implies a smaller footprint near-term; upside depends on execution of Project Focus and marketplace initiatives .
- CarLotz merger could bolster liquidity and footprint; assess synergy realization and integration risks amid ongoing shareholder actions .
- Stock narrative likely driven by evidence of unit economics improvement (Adjusted GPU, SG&A), stabilization of gross profit, and resolution of listing/liquidity overhangs .
Additional references:
- Earnings press release (Nov 8, 2022) .
- Earnings call scheduling PR (Oct 18, 2022) .