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Safe & Green Development Corp (SGD)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 revenue accelerated to $3.52 million, up from $1.40 million in Q2 and $0.08 million in Q3 2024, driven by engineered soils and logistics; gross margin improved to ~26% from ~23% in Q2 .
  • The quarter missed management’s prior Q3 revenue outlook of “approximately $4 million” as reported in August; actual came in at $3.52 million (miss vs guidance) .
  • Losses narrowed sequentially: operating loss improved to $(2.33) million (from $(4.93) million in Q2); net loss improved to $(4.35) million (from $(5.72) million in Q2), though interest expense rose to $2.00 million .
  • Strategic catalysts: Microtec milling system purchase to enable high-margin growing media in Q4, new equipment increasing throughput, and a $8.175 million net proceeds private placement alongside retirement of all outstanding convertible debt (balance-sheet flexibility) .
  • Management signaled continued revenue growth and margin strengthening into 2026 as integration expenses fade (margin trajectory positive) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Record revenue ramp with margin expansion: “achieving record quarterly revenue growth… Gross Margin: Approximately 26%, up from ~23% in Q2 2025” (positive utilization and efficiencies) .
  • Capacity and product mix catalyst: “full purchase of the Company’s new Microtec milling system… will enable… producing and selling high-margin growing media… expected to meaningfully enhance profitability” .
  • Capital actions and de-risking: retirement of all outstanding convertible debt (“enhances our financial flexibility”) and $8.175 million net proceeds private placement to fund equipment and working capital (supports throughput and growth) .

What Went Wrong

  • Revenue short of outlook: management’s August guide for “approximately $4 million” Q3 revenue contrasted with actual $3.52 million (miss vs guidance) .
  • Elevated interest burden and losses: Q3 interest expense rose to $2.00 million, contributing to a net loss of $(4.35) million (though improved sequentially) .
  • Balance sheet/leverage and going concern: substantial current liabilities ($32.58 million), high short-term debt, and going concern disclosure noting need for additional financing (risk to execution) .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue ($USD)$81,210 $1,402,511 $3,515,708
Gross Profit ($USD)$81,210 $544,955 $908,623
Gross Margin (%)N/A~23% ~26%
Operating Loss ($USD)$(1,390,763) $(4,934,346) $(2,332,305)
Interest Expense ($USD)$(951,239) $(830,196) $(2,004,260)
Net Loss ($USD)$(2,342,002) $(5,723,955) $(4,350,321)
Diluted EPS ($)$(2.61) $(2.29) $(1.12)

Segment revenue breakdown:

Segment Revenue ($USD)Q2 2025Q3 2025
Technology$425,197 $759,698
Resource (engineered soils/logistics)$977,314 $2,756,010

KPIs and additional operating metrics:

KPIQ2 2025Q3 2025
Gross Margin (%)~23% ~26%
Operating Loss ($USD)$(4,934,346) $(2,332,305)
Net Loss ($USD)$(5,723,955) $(4,350,321)
Interest Expense ($USD)$(830,196) $(2,004,260)

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrentChange
Revenue ($USD)Q3 2025“Approximately $4 million” (Aug press release) $3,515,708 Lower vs guidance (miss)
Gross Margin (%)Q3 2025 vs Q2~23% in Q2 ~26% in Q3 Raised vs prior quarter
Integration ExpensesQ4 2025“Integration expenses… continue through the fourth quarter” Maintained elevated costs
Capacity/Product MixQ4 2025Microtec mill arrival enabling high-margin growing media New/positive qualitative guidance
Liquidity/CapitalQ4 2025$8.175M net proceeds private placement; retirement of convertible debt Improved flexibility

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

No Q3 2025 earnings call transcript was available in our document catalog. Themes are derived from Q2/Q3 earnings press releases and filings.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2)Current Period (Q3)Trend
Engineered soils/logistics scaleIntegration synergies and accelerated second-half performance; $1.4M Q2 revenue New equipment boosting throughput; resource segment revenue $2.76M Scaling up
Margin trajectoryQ2 margin ~23% Q3 margin ~26% on higher utilization Improving
Product innovationExit legacy software; focus on core real estate/compost/transport Microtec mill to enable high-margin growing media Positive mix shift
Capital structureForbearance and ongoing debenture matters noted in filings $8.175M net proceeds private placement; all convertible debt retired Balance sheet de-risking
Strategic portfolioConsidered crypto treasury reserve (no LOI; Resource remains core) Continued focus on resource operations; equipment additions Focus consolidated

Management Commentary

  • “Our third quarter results show our continued focus on establishing a scalable foundation for the next stage of growth… We expect these steps to support continued revenue growth and margin strengthening as we head into 2026.” — CEO David Villarreal .
  • “Eliminating this debt enhances our financial flexibility and supports our long-term goal of building sustainable value for our shareholders.” — CEO David Villarreal on retiring convertible debt .
  • Use of proceeds from private placement includes accelerating operational expansion at the Florida Resource Group site and purchasing additional processing equipment to increase throughput and open new revenue channels (capacity-driven growth) .

Q&A Highlights

No Q3 2025 earnings call/Q&A transcript available. No analyst Q&A themes to report from company documents.

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus coverage appears limited. We did not find S&P Global consensus EPS or revenue estimates for Q3; the datasets reflected actuals rather than forecasts (i.e., no consensus values). As a result, we cannot assess beat/miss vs Street estimates for EPS or revenue (S&P Global coverage appears unavailable for SGD at this time).
  • Q3 revenue was below management’s own August outlook (“~$4M” vs actual $3.52M) — a useful proxy for expectations in absence of broad sell-side coverage .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Revenue scaling is intact but trajectory fell short of near-term guidance; watch Q4 volume as new equipment and the Microtec mill begin to contribute (rebound potential) .
  • Margin expansion to ~26% reflects utilization and operational efficiencies; further improvement hinges on product mix shifting to high-margin growing media (positive margin mix) .
  • Sequential loss reduction suggests operating leverage as volumes grow; monitor interest expense and debt service to sustain net loss improvements (profit path contingent on financing costs) .
  • Balance sheet actions (retiring convertible debt; $8.175M net proceeds private placement) reduce financing overhang and fund capacity expansion (improved flexibility) .
  • Liquidity risk remains: substantial short-term obligations and going concern disclosure necessitate continued access to capital and successful asset monetization (execution risk) .
  • Segment momentum: Resource-driven revenue more than doubled vs Q2; technology segment (operational within soils/logistics platform) also grew; focus is on sustained throughput and feedstock supply (operational scale focus) .
  • Near-term trading: stock may react to delivery of Q4 operational milestones (Microtec mill commissioning, throughput gains) and any incremental financing updates (event-driven catalysts) .

Sources: SEC filings and company press releases cited above.