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Sotera Health Co (SHC)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 delivered mid-single-digit revenue growth and double-digit Adjusted EBITDA growth on a constant currency basis; Adjusted EPS was $0.14 and GAAP EPS was -$0.05 due to a $30.9M EO settlement charge .
  • Revenue and Adjusted EPS both beat Wall Street consensus; revenue $254.5M vs $245.8M*, Adjusted EPS $0.14 vs $0.122*, and Adjusted EBITDA $121.8M vs $113.6M*; guidance reaffirmed with improved FX headwind assumptions (net revenue headwind cut to ~1.25% from 2.25%) . Values retrieved from S&P Global*.
  • Segment performance: Sterigenics grew on pricing (+4.1% pricing) with margin expansion; Nordion benefited from shipment timing; Nelson Labs’ margins expanded 479 bps YoY despite revenue headwinds in expert advisory services .
  • Catalysts: continued Sterigenics volume recovery, Nelson Labs margin trajectory toward 30s, and FX tailwinds; legal overhang managed via settlements and confident defense narrative; capex trajectory set to decline to ~$110M by 2027 to drive $500–$600M FCF over 3 years .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well
    • “We met or exceeded our expectations across each of our lines of business to deliver mid-single-digit top line growth and double-digit bottom line growth on a constant currency basis” .
    • Nelson Labs margin expansion of 479 bps YoY driven by pricing and lab optimization; management reiterated a path to low-to-mid-30s margin target .
    • FX headwind assumptions improved for FY25 (net revenue headwind ~1.25% vs 2.25%; Adjusted EBITDA headwind ~1.5% vs 2.5%), and revolver amended +$176M capacity to $600M, extended to 2030, strengthening liquidity .
  • What Went Wrong
    • GAAP net loss of $13.3M (-$0.05 EPS) driven by $30.9M Illinois EO litigation settlement; signals ongoing legal expense drag despite operational strength .
    • Nelson Labs revenue declined 9.3% YoY on reduced expert advisory services, partially offsetting core testing improvements .
    • Nordion’s stronger Q1 from shipment timing likely shifts volume out of Q2, adding quarterly volatility to segment reported metrics .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$285.468 $290.203 $254.523
Net Income (GAAP) ($USD Millions)$16.998 $12.323 $(13.260)
Diluted EPS (GAAP) ($USD)$0.06 $0.04 $(0.05)
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$146.361 $152.934 $121.839
EBITDA Margin (%)51.3% 52.7% 47.9%
Adjusted EPS ($USD)$0.17 $0.21 $0.14

Segment breakdown (Revenue and Segment Income):

SegmentQ3 2024 Revenue ($MM)Q4 2024 Revenue ($MM)Q1 2025 Revenue ($MM)Q3 2024 Segment Income ($MM)Q4 2024 Segment Income ($MM)Q1 2025 Segment Income ($MM)
Sterigenics$175.574 $179.428 $169.684 $95.989 $99.586 $88.004
Nordion$51.313 $56.791 $32.557 $31.733 $35.282 $17.422
Nelson Labs$58.581 $53.984 $52.282 $18.639 $18.066 $16.413

KPIs (Q1 2025):

KPIQ1 2025
Cash And Equivalents ($USD Millions)$306.081
Total Debt ($USD Millions)$2,317.421
Net Debt ($USD Millions)$2,013.031
Net Leverage (x)3.6x
Cash from Operations ($USD Millions, Q1)$55.521
Capital Expenditure ($USD Millions, Q1)$19.918
Weighted Avg Diluted Shares (for Adjusted EPS) (MM)285.714
Sterigenics Pricing (Q1)~4.1%
FX Headwind (Q1)~180 bps

Vs Wall Street consensus (Q1 2025):

MetricConsensus*ActualBeat/Miss
Revenue ($USD Millions)$245.789*$254.523 Beat
Adjusted EPS ($USD)$0.122*$0.14 Beat
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$113.648*$121.839 Beat

Values retrieved from S&P Global*.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (2/27/25)Current Guidance (5/1/25)Change
Net revenues growth (constant currency)FY 20254.0%–6.0% 4.0%–6.0% Maintained
FX headwind to net revenuesFY 2025~2.25% ~1.25% Lower headwind
Adjusted EBITDA growth (constant currency)FY 20254.5%–6.5% 4.5%–6.5% Maintained
FX headwind to Adjusted EBITDAFY 2025~2.50% ~1.50% Lower headwind
Interest Expense ($USD Millions)FY 2025$155–$165 $155–$165 Maintained
Tax rate (Adjusted Net Income basis)FY 202533%–35% 33%–35% Maintained
Adjusted EPS ($USD)FY 2025$0.70–$0.76 $0.70–$0.76 Maintained
Weighted-average fully diluted shares (MM)FY 2025286–287 286–287 Maintained
Capital expenditures ($USD Millions)FY 2025$190–$210 $190–$210 Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2024, Q4 2024)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
Tariffs/MacroNot a focus; pricing supported across segments Minimal impact expected; Co-60 exempt under USMCA; ~85% revenue services Unchanged/low risk
Regulatory/Legal (EO)Georgia settlement (79 claims) in 2023 affects comps $30.943M Illinois settlement; confident defense if science central; uptick in CA cases disclosed Managed, ongoing
FX Headwinds2024 guidance updated capex but FX not highlighted FY25 FX headwinds improved (net revenue ~1.25%; EBITDA ~1.5%) Improving
Supply Chain (Co-60)Harvest timing boosted Q3; quarter-to-quarter variability Q1 shipments pulled forward from Q2; full-year Nordion unchanged; Russia supply risk ~0–2% of total revenue Stable availability; timing shifts
PricingPricing aided segments in Q3/Q4 Sterigenics pricing ~4%; ongoing renewals; future NESHAP-related pricing discussions Stable to firm
Volumes (Sterigenics)Improving underlying volumes Continued volume recovery through Q1; expected to improve through 2025 Improving
Nelson Labs Margin ExecutionStrong margin drivers highlighted +479 bps YoY margin expansion; path to low-to-mid 30s reiterated Improving
Cross-Selling (Sterigenics/Nelson)Discussed at Investor Day ~70% shared customers; embedded labs growth; incentives in place Ongoing build
Capex/FCF Trajectory2024 capex cut; FY25 outlook provided Capex $190–$210M in 2025; declining to ~$110M by 2027; FCF target $500–$600M over 3 years Improving FCF visibility

Management Commentary

  • “We met or exceeded our expectations… to deliver mid-single-digit top line growth and double-digit bottom line growth on a constant currency basis” — Michael Petras, CEO .
  • “Revenue came in higher than expected as some Cobalt-60 shipments originally scheduled for Q2 2025 occurred in Q1” — Jonathan Lyons, CFO .
  • “We do not expect the current tariff policies to have a material impact on our business… Cobalt-60 is exempt from tariffs under the USMCA” — Michael Petras .
  • “Nelson Labs… margin expansion… continued progress towards our low to mid-30s margin target” — Michael Petras .
  • “We successfully closed an amendment to our revolving credit facility [to $600M]… extending maturity to April 2030” — Jonathan Lyons .

Q&A Highlights

  • Tariffs: Management reiterated minimal impact; Nordion’s Canada→US Co-60 flows exempt under USMCA; some minor direct/indirect items not material .
  • Sterigenics volumes: Continued recovery expected across 2025; bioprocessing sequential and YoY growth albeit small portion of mix .
  • Nelson Labs margins: Drivers include regulatory-driven demand (e.g., USP 665), price discipline, stable labor, and lab optimization; path to 30s margin reiterated .
  • Legal strategy: Confident in defense when science is central; Illinois settlement charge booked; uptick in California case count noted; no active litigation in NC/TX .
  • FX and quarterly cadence: Nordion shipment timing boosted Q1; margin improvement through 2025 to be led by Nelson; one fewer selling day in Q1 .
  • Capex/FCF: Capex expected to decline toward ~$110M by 2027, enabling $500–$600M FCF over next 3 years (no M&A assumed) .

Estimates Context

  • Q1 2025 results vs consensus: Revenue $254.5M vs $245.8M*, Adjusted EPS $0.14 vs $0.122*, Adjusted EBITDA $121.8M vs $113.6M*; all beats. Values retrieved from S&P Global*.
  • Forward quarters: Street models mid-teens to mid-20s EPS per quarter and ~$300M revenue prints into late 2025*, consistent with mid-single-digit growth narrative and improving FX. Values retrieved from S&P Global*.
  • Potential estimate revisions: FX headwind improvement and Nelson margin trajectory likely support upward bias to EBITDA/EPS; shipment timing at Nordion may reallocate quarter-by-quarter revenue but not change full-year .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Reaffirmed FY25 guidance with better FX assumptions is constructive; underscores operational resilience despite legal charges .
  • Sterigenics volume recovery and firm pricing (~4%) support margin mix; watch for continued sequential improvement as the year progresses .
  • Nelson Labs’ margin expansion is becoming a trend; execution toward low-to-mid 30s margin is a medium-term value driver .
  • Nordion’s revenue timing can create quarterly noise; management’s full-year outlook and minimal Russia supply risk (~0–2%) mitigate structural concerns .
  • Liquidity strengthened via revolver amendment to $600M and maturity extension to 2030; deleveraging and declining capex path set up $500–$600M FCF over 3 years .
  • Legal overhang persists but is being actively managed; GAAP volatility from settlements remains a headline risk despite steady non-GAAP performance .
  • Trading setup: near-term catalysts include Sterigenics volume trajectory and Nelson Labs margins; improved FX and reaffirmed guide reduce downside risk, while any regulatory/legal developments (EO/NESHAP) could drive volatility .

Notes: All periods and figures cited from company documents; estimates marked with * are from S&P Global and may reflect consensus methodologies that differ from company non-GAAP definitions.