Shimmick Corp (SHIM)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Revenue grew 42% year over year to $128.4M, beating Wall Street consensus of $113.2M*; consolidated gross margin improved to 6% from -34% in Q2 2024, while GAAP diluted EPS was -$0.25 and Primary/adjusted EPS was -$0.14, in line with consensus* .
- Adjusted EBITDA was approximately breakeven at -$0.234M versus consensus of +$0.35M*, with the shortfall driven by Non-Core projects mix; EBITDA (SPGI-defined) actual was -$3.9M* .
- Guidance was mixed: Shimmick Projects revenue raised to $405–$415M (from $392–$410M), Non-Core revenue raised to $80–$90M (from $50–$60M), but consolidated Adjusted EBITDA lowered to $5–$15M (from $15–$25M), reflecting unfavorable gross margin mix as Non-Core revenue becomes a higher share of total .
- Backlog stood at ~$652M (>88% Shimmick Projects); the company launched Axia Electric to target electrical/power distribution opportunities, and cited a 12-month bidding outlook >$4.5B, $70M new awards in July, and preferred bidder status on ~$164M of projects—near-term catalysts for backlog growth and narrative shift toward core electrical/water markets .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Shimmick Projects performance: Revenue rose to $113M (+34% YoY) with gross margin of $15M (13%), supported by new water/infrastructure ramps and the California Palisades fire clean-up project .
- Cost discipline and liquidity: SG&A fell 20% YoY to $15M; liquidity improved to $73M at quarter-end, up $2M sequentially .
- Strategic positioning: Launch of Axia Electric and strong bidding pipeline; CEO: “We expect to see strong backlog growth and improved margins over the upcoming quarters… focus on electrical work,” highlighting >$4.5B 12-month bidding outlook and market rebound with both public and private clients .
What Went Wrong
- Non-Core drag persists: Non-Core revenue was $16M but gross margin was -$7M (-43%), with Non-Core Loss Projects continuing to consume margin as they wind down; consolidated net loss was -$8.5M .
- Guidance cut on profitability: Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA guidance reduced to $5–$15M (from $15–$25M) due to unfavorable mix (higher share of Non-Core revenue) despite raised revenue outlook—CFO flagged this mix impact explicitly .
- Working capital/cash flow pressure: Operating cash flow was -$42.0M in 1H25, driven notably by a $48.6M decline in contract liabilities; long-term debt rose to $32.6M from $9.5M at FY24-end, underscoring funding and execution needs while Non-Core projects wind down .
Financial Results
Key Metrics vs Prior Year and Prior Quarter
Actual vs Wall Street Consensus (S&P Global)
Values with asterisk retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment Breakdown
KPIs
Guidance Changes
CFO rationale: higher revenue burn in both Shimmick and Non-Core for the year, but mix unfavorable as Non-Core increases as a share of revenue; Shimmick gross margins strong, Non-Core near low end of guidance in 1H25 .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Note: The Q2 2025 call transcript could not be retrieved due to a document database issue; themes reflect Q1 call content and Q2 8-K commentary .
Management Commentary
- CEO (Ural Yal): “We expect to see strong backlog growth and improved margins over the upcoming quarters as we continue to develop our profitable core business in sustainable infrastructure with a focus on electrical work… [bidding] outlook stands at over $4.5 billion… rebound in the infrastructure market both with public and private clients” .
- CFO (Todd Yoder): “We are increasing our full-year revenue guidance… While we expect higher revenue burn in both Shimmick Projects and Non-Core Projects for the full year, it creates an unfavorable gross margin mix… We now expect Adjusted EBITDA for the full year of between $5 million and $15 million” .
Q&A Highlights
Due to a database inconsistency, the Q2 2025 earnings call transcript was unavailable, limiting Q&A detail. Notable clarifications from management’s guidance statement: raised revenue ranges for both Shimmick and Non-Core projects, but lowered consolidated Adjusted EBITDA due to mix; Shimmick margins tracking strong, Non-Core near low end of guidance in 1H25 . Q1 call emphasized passing tariff-related cost premiums through bids and minimal margin impact on existing fixed-price contracts .
Estimates Context
- Q2 performance vs consensus: Revenue beat materially ($128.4M vs $113.2M*), Primary EPS matched (-$0.14* vs -$0.14*), and EBITDA (SPGI-defined) missed (actual -$3.9M* vs +$0.35M*) while company-reported Adjusted EBITDA was roughly breakeven (-$0.234M) .
- Implications: Street models may need to increase full-year revenue but trim EBITDA given management’s guide-down and Non-Core mix; reconcile SPGI EBITDA framework vs company Adjusted EBITDA to align with margin narrative. Values with asterisk retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Revenue momentum is strong and broad-based in core Shimmick Projects; expect continued GM improvement as new water/infrastructure ramps offset Non-Core drag .
- Mixed guidance is the key stock narrative: raised revenue outlook but lowered Adjusted EBITDA—near-term estimate revisions likely to adjust profitability lower while backlog/awards support top-line .
- Execution focus: SG&A down 20% YoY and liquidity up sequentially; sustaining cost control while converting bids to backlog is critical for margin trajectory .
- Watch Non-Core wind-down and claim dynamics: margin headwinds persist even as YoY comps improve; complete and exit efficiently to reduce mix pressure .
- Strategic catalysts: Axia Electric launch positions SHIM in higher-value electrical/power scopes across water, data centers, and advanced manufacturing; the >$4.5B bidding outlook plus July awards/”preferred bidder” wins should bolster backlog visibility .
- Estimates reset likely: Model revenue higher and Adjusted EBITDA lower for FY25; ensure alignment on “Primary EPS” (adjusted) versus GAAP EPS in comparing to consensus* .
- Near-term trading: Potential for positive sentiment on revenue beat/backlog expansion offset by EBITDA guide-down; monitor additional award conversions and Q3 backlog updates for confirmation of the improving core margin narrative .