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Sionna Therapeutics, Inc. (SION)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2025 execution remained strong: Phase 2a POC for SION-719 initiated, Phase 1 dual-combination trial for SION-451 started, and DDI study completed enabling combination dosing with Trikafta; FDA cleared IND for SION-451 to advance to later-stage development .
  • GAAP net loss per share was -$0.46, modestly better than Wall Street consensus of -$0.475, a beat of $0.015; revenue remains pre-commercial with no reported product revenue and consensus at $0.0* .
  • Cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities were $325.0M, with runway guided “into 2028,” tracking down from $354.7M in Q1 and $337.3M in Q2 as R&D and G&A scale with development pace .
  • Near-term stock catalysts center on mid-2026 topline readouts from the SION-719 Phase 2a and SION-451 dual-combo trials; non-dilutive runway messaging reduces financing overhang risk, while clinical differentiation narrative (CFTR function and half-life toward wild-type) supports medium-term thesis .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Initiated Phase 2a POC for SION-719 as add-on to SOC and Phase 1 dual combinations for SION-451; both trials guided to topline in mid-2026, maintaining program cadence .
  • DDI study confirmed SION-719 can be dosed with Trikafta per label; FDA cleared IND for SION-451, removing key regulatory gating risks .
  • CEO tone remained confident: “We maintain our track record of strong execution… we have initiated both the PreciSION CF Phase 2a… and the Phase 1 trial of SION-451… results from both trials in mid-2026” .

What Went Wrong

  • Operating spend stepped up vs earlier quarters (R&D $16.0M; G&A $7.8M), reflecting pipeline advancement; net loss widened sequentially to $20.3M, though improved YoY vs $25.4M .
  • Cash declined sequentially ($354.7M Q1 → $337.3M Q2 → $325.0M Q3) as programs advance, though management reiterated runway into 2028 .
  • Limited visibility on commercial timelines beyond mid-2026 data and no product revenue, keeping valuation leveraged to clinical readouts rather than fundamentals .

Financial Results

Income Statement and EPS (YoY and sequential)

MetricQ3 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Research & Development ($USD Millions)$24.6 $13.7 $15.4 $16.0
General & Administrative ($USD Millions)$3.4 $6.0 $6.5 $7.8
Total Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)$28.0 $19.7 $21.9 $23.8
Interest Income ($USD Millions)$2.4 $3.0 $3.7 $3.5
Other Income ($USD Millions)$0.2 $0.2 $0.2 $0.1
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$(25.4) $(16.5) $(18.1) $(20.3)
Net Loss per Share (GAAP, $)$(5.67) $(0.62) $(0.41) $(0.46)
Weighted-Average Shares (Millions)4.49 26.60 44.12 44.26

Note: Margin metrics (EBITDA/EBIT/Net margin) are not meaningful for pre-revenue biotech.

Liquidity and Balance Sheet (quarter-end)

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Cash, Cash Equivalents & Marketable Securities ($USD Millions)$354.7 $337.3 $325.0
Working Capital ($USD Millions)$264.2 $259.2 $242.5
Total Assets ($USD Millions)$369.7 $352.0 $339.3
Total Stockholders’ Equity ($USD Millions)$351.8 $336.4 $321.7

Q3 2025 vs Wall Street Consensus (S&P Global)

MetricConsensus*Actual
Primary EPS (GAAP)-$0.475*-$0.46
Revenue ($USD Millions)$0.0*n/a (pre-revenue; no product revenue disclosed)

Values with * retrieved from S&P Global.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Cash RunwayMulti-year“into 2028” (Q1, Q2) “into 2028” (Q3) Maintained
SION-719 Phase 2a POC initiation2H 2025“on track 2H 2025” (Q1, Q2) Initiated Oct 2025; topline mid-2026 Achieved; timeline maintained
SION-719 DDI studyPre-Phase 2a“on track to complete pre-initiation” (Q2) Completed; confirms dosing with Trikafta per label Achieved
SION-451 Dual-Combination Phase 1 initiation2H 2025“on track 2H 2025” (Q1, Q2) Initiated Aug 2025; topline mid-2026 Achieved; timeline maintained
SION-451 IND statusRegulatoryNot stated (Q1/Q2) IND cleared to support later-stage development New positive update
Topline data timing (SION-719, SION-451)Mid-2026Mid-2026 (Q1/Q2) Mid-2026 (Q3) Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: No Q3 2025 earnings call transcript was available in our sources; themes below reflect management’s press releases and IR disclosures .

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2)Current Period (Q3)Trend
Pipeline progress (NBD1 stabilizers)Completed Phase 1 dosing; positive Phase 1 data; preparing P2a and dual-combo starts P2a (SION-719) and dual-combo Phase 1 (SION-451) initiated; topline mid-2026 Executing to plan
Regulatory interactionsn/a priorFDA cleared IND for SION-451 Positive regulatory momentum
Trikafta combination enablementDDI planned/on track DDI completed; dosing per label confirmed Risk retired
Clinical differentiation narrativePreclinical/Phase 1 PK supports potential CFTR function & half-life toward wild-type Reinforced at NACFC; CFTR half-life up to wild-type in preclinical; well tolerated; exposure targets exceeded Strengthening
Cash runwayInto 2028 reiterated Into 2028 reiterated Stable
Leadership/BDn/aNew Chief Business Officer appointed (Caroline Stark Beer) Build-out continues

Management Commentary

  • CEO Mike Cloonan: “We maintain our track record of strong execution… initiated both the PreciSION CF Phase 2a… and the Phase 1 trial of SION-451… looking forward to sharing results… in mid-2026.”
  • On community engagement and mission: “Our recent engagement with the CF community… reinforced the importance of our science and our mission to revolutionize the treatment paradigm for people living with CF.”
  • Q2 context: “These data reinforce our confidence in advancing both NBD1 stabilizers into the next stages of development… topline results… mid-2026… Supported by a clear development plan and a strong financial position.”
  • Q1 context: “We continue to execute across our pipeline… completed dosing in our Phase 1 trials… initiating our Phase 2a POC trial and the combination MAD Phase 1 program later this year.”

Q&A Highlights

  • No Q3 2025 earnings call transcript or Q&A content was available in our document catalog or IR site at the time of review; no Q&A themes can be extracted .

Estimates Context

  • EPS modest beat: -$0.46 actual vs -$0.475 consensus; magnitude ~$0.015 driven by higher interest income and the absence of one-time IP R&D charges seen YoY in 2024 .
  • Revenue consensus at $0.0 aligns with pre-commercial status; company did not disclose product revenue .
  • Target price consensus mean $42.57 and 7 estimates; recommendation text unavailable in our dataset*.

Values with * retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Execution remains on pace with two clinical catalysts guided for mid-2026 (SION-719 P2a add-on to SOC; SION-451 dual-combos), and regulatory/DDI risks de-risked (IND clearance; Trikafta-combo enabled) .
  • Liquidity is ample with $325.0M cash and runway into 2028, supporting multi-readout path without near-term financing pressure .
  • Sequential operating expense increases reflect accelerated development; monitor expense trajectory versus planned clinical activities into 2026 .
  • Narrative differentiation is strengthening: management highlights potential CFTR function and half-life improvements toward wild-type levels, reinforcing competitive positioning ahead of proof-of-concept .
  • Short-term trading: modest EPS beat and program milestones may support sentiment; stock likely to trade on clinical updates and conference visibility rather than financials .
  • Medium-term thesis: risk-reward hinges on mid-2026 efficacy signals in CF; success could catalyze partner interest or accelerate proprietary combination strategies .
  • Continue tracking IR updates and conference participation for incremental clinical, regulatory, and BD signals in 1H 2026 .