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SI

SHINECO, INC. (SISI)·Q3 2018 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 FY2018 delivered strong year-over-year growth: revenue $13.34M (+68.0% YoY), gross margin 39.4% (+670 bps YoY), operating income $3.92M (+135.0% YoY), EPS $0.21 (+135.2% YoY) .
  • Quarter-over-quarter, revenue fell to $13.34M from $14.13M (-5.6% q/q), but margins expanded (gross margin 39.4% vs. 34.1% in Q2) and EPS improved ($0.21 vs. $0.17), driven by Luobuma mix and operational discipline .
  • Luobuma product line was the key driver: sales rose 388.6% YoY to $5.48M, largely from new subsidiary Xinjiang Taihe; segment gross margin rose to 56.9% .
  • No formal guidance or earnings call transcript found; Wall Street consensus estimates via S&P Global were unavailable, so beats/misses versus estimates cannot be assessed .
  • Watch receivables growth and cash flow disclosure: accounts receivable rose to $24.86M by 3/31/18, and the release narrative “used” vs. cash flow statement “provided” for nine-month operating cash flow is inconsistent (cash flow statement shows +$5.34M provided) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Luobuma acceleration: revenue +388.6% YoY to $5.48M with 56.9% gross margin; management cited new Xinjiang Taihe subsidiary and strong client response: “market’s response to our Luobuma product line has been immensely positive” .
  • Margin expansion: gross margin up 670 bps YoY to 39.4%, operating margin up 840 bps YoY to 29.4%, reflecting higher Luobuma mix and scale benefits .
  • Profitability strength: net income attributable $4.55M (+136.8% YoY) and EPS $0.21 (+135.2% YoY), with operating income +135.0% YoY, supported by gross profit growth and effective cost control in select areas .

What Went Wrong

  • Sequential revenue decline: revenue down from $14.13M in Q2 to $13.34M in Q3 (-5.6% q/q), indicating potential seasonality or normalization after a strong Q2 .
  • Operating expenses increased: G&A +51.5% YoY to $0.96M driven by new subsidiaries; total OpEx +43.6% YoY, partially offsetting gross profit gains .
  • Receivables and disclosure inconsistency: accounts receivable grew to $24.86M (from $14.48M at 6/30/17), and nine-month CFO is described as “used” in narrative but cash flow statement shows +$5.34M provided, raising questions on working capital quality and disclosure clarity .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2017Q2 2018Q3 2018
Revenue ($USD Millions)$7.94 $14.13 $13.34
Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$2.60 $4.82 $5.26
Gross Margin (%)32.8% 34.1% 39.4%
Operating Income ($USD Millions)$1.67 $3.24 $3.92
Operating Margin (%)21.0% 22.9% 29.4%
Net Income Attributable ($USD Millions)$1.92 $3.60 $4.55
EPS ($USD)$0.09 $0.17 $0.21

Segment breakdown

SegmentQ3 2017 Revenue ($M)Q3 2017 GM (%)Q2 2018 Revenue ($M)Q2 2018 GM (%)Q3 2018 Revenue ($M)Q3 2018 GM (%)
Luobuma Products$1.12 49.2% $3.89 51.7% $5.48 56.9%
Chinese Medicinal Herbal Products$3.05 24.7% $3.66 24.6% $3.30 22.0%
Other Agricultural Products$3.77 34.4% $6.58 29.0% $4.56 31.0%
Total$7.94 32.8% $14.13 34.1% $13.34 39.4%

KPIs and balance sheet highlights

KPIJun 30, 2017Dec 31, 2017Mar 31, 2018
Cash and Equivalents ($USD)$23.15M $29.35M $28.43M
Accounts Receivable, Net ($USD)$14.48M $15.07M $24.86M
Short-term Loans ($USD)$2.66M $1.20M $2.48M
Total Stockholders’ Equity ($USD)$62.17M $70.01M $77.20M
Nine-Month Cash From Operations ($USD)n/a$7.78M (six months) $5.34M (nine months, cash flow statement)

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY2018/Q4 onwardN/AN/ANo formal guidance provided
MarginsFY2018/Q4 onwardN/AN/ANo formal guidance provided
OpExFY2018/Q4 onwardN/AN/ANo formal guidance provided
Tax RateFY2018/Q4 onwardN/AN/ANo formal guidance provided
Segment GuidanceFY2018/Q4 onwardN/AN/ANo formal guidance provided

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

No Q3 FY2018 earnings call transcript was found. The narrative below reflects press releases.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2)Current Period (Q3)Trend
Luobuma product strategyHighlighted strong growth (+327% YoY in Q2) and high margins; investment in Apocynum Industrial Park to strengthen outlook Growth accelerated (+388.6% YoY) with Xinjiang Taihe contribution; segment margin 56.9% Positive acceleration
Online sales promotionsEnhanced online promotions cited as revenue driver in Q2 Continued emphasis; contributed to segment revenue gains Sustained focus
New subsidiaries/integrationTiankunrunze, Xinjiang Taihe, Tianjin Tajite added; G&A increased G&A +51.5% YoY; selling expenses up due to Tajite and promotions Integration costs persisting
Other agricultural (yew trees)Demand increased due to air purification awareness Continued sales volume increase; segment margin 31.0% Stable demand with margin variability
Capital/corporate actionsEquity line established; share issuance error corrected (March 2018) No new corporate actions in Q3 release Neutral

Management Commentary

  • “We are delighted that our increased capital spending in 2017 has translated into increased profitability in 2018. Our business in Xinjiang factory has turned a profit, and our sales in Shandong have remained stable.” — Yuying Zhang, Chairman & CEO .
  • “Shineco's gross profit had increased by 102% to $5.26 million, our operating margin had increased by 8.4 percentage points to 29.4%, and our gross margin had increased by 6.7 percentage points to 39.4% compared to the same period of last year.” — Yuying Zhang .
  • “The market's response to our Luobuma product line has been immensely positive… sales increase of 388.6% to $5.48 million from $1.12 million.” — Yuying Zhang .

Q&A Highlights

No Q3 FY2018 earnings call transcript was available; therefore, no Q&A themes or clarifications can be reported [Search attempt returned none].

Estimates Context

  • We attempted to retrieve S&P Global consensus for Q3 FY2018 and Q2 FY2018 (EPS and revenue) but the data were unavailable due to system limits. As a result, we cannot assess beats/misses versus Street estimates for SISI this quarter [GetEstimates error].
  • Portfolio managers should assume limited sell-side coverage; if internal estimates exist, compare to the tables above to recalibrate expectations.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Mix shift to Luobuma is expanding margins: gross margin 39.4% (+530 bps q/q; +670 bps YoY) and operating margin 29.4%, supporting EPS growth despite q/q revenue decline .
  • Luobuma growth appears structural, aided by Xinjiang Taihe; monitor sustainability and capacity as segment margins are materially above corporate average .
  • Operating expenses are rising with new subsidiaries and promotions (G&A +51.5% YoY); discipline will be key to preserve margin gains as the model scales .
  • Working capital risk: accounts receivable rose to $24.86M by 3/31/18; collection and credit controls warrant close monitoring given rapid revenue growth .
  • Cash flow disclosure discrepancy: press release narrative vs. cash flow statement on nine-month CFO; rely on the cash flow statement (+$5.34M provided) and seek management clarification .
  • No formal guidance or Street consensus available; trading catalysts likely hinge on continued Luobuma momentum, margin trajectory, and any strategic updates (industrial park execution, distribution expansion) .
  • Near term: expect stock sensitivity to sequential revenue trends and margins; medium term: thesis depends on scaling high-margin Luobuma while integrating subsidiaries and managing OpEx and receivables .