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    SITIME (SITM)

    Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

    Reported on Feb 14, 2025 (After Market Close)
    Pre-Earnings Price$222.99Last close (Feb 5, 2025)
    Post-Earnings Price$222.80Open (Feb 6, 2025)
    Price Change
    $-0.19(-0.09%)
    • SiTime is seeing early revenue from Aura Semiconductor products, which are accretive to gross margins, contributing positively to revenue and profitability in 2025 and beyond.
    • Management reaffirms confidence in achieving strong revenue growth of 25-30% in 2025-2026, driven by broad market demand and new products.
    • Strong bookings and demand across all sectors, particularly in the Communications, Enterprise, and Data Center (CED) market, are expected to drive growth in 2025.
    • Gross margin pressure with uncertain recovery timeline: The company expects non-GAAP gross margins of approximately 57% in Q1 2025, down from 58.8% in Q4 2024, due to revenue seasonality, manufacturing absorption issues, and additional depreciation from ramping new products. When asked about returning to 60% gross margin, management responded, "We're still targeting that as something we want and we can address," suggesting that achieving this margin level may not occur until 2026.
    • Uncertainty regarding major customer's future contributions: When asked about their largest customer in 2025, management stated, "We haven't seen any press releases out there just like... you haven't seen any... So let's just wait and see what happens with all of that." This lack of visibility into potential new products or increased content with this key customer poses a risk to future revenue forecasts.
    • Reliance on a single market segment for growth: The company anticipates that most of its growth in 2025 will come from the Communications, Enterprise, and Datacenter (CED) market, with other segments expected to grow "but perhaps not to the same extent." This heavy reliance on a single market segment may pose risks if the CED market experiences a slowdown.
    MetricYoY ChangeReason

    Total Revenue

    +18% (from $57.70M to $68.11M)

    Total revenue increased by 18% sequentially in Q4 2024, driven by a continued recovery in sales volume and a more favorable product mix compared to Q3 2024. This builds on improvements seen in earlier quarters, where the company had been recovering from inventory buildups and macroeconomic headwinds.

    Hong Kong Revenue

    +29% (from $17.01M to $21.9M)

    Hong Kong revenue surged by 29%, reflecting stronger local demand and an improved mix of higher-value products. This increase follows previous periods where revenue was suppressed due to excess inventory and lower ASPs, indicating a robust rebound in the region.

    Operating Income

    7% improvement (from –$24.86M to –$23.02M)

    Operating income improved modestly by about 7%, thanks to a combination of incremental revenue gains and disciplined cost management. This slight recovery builds on earlier efforts where improvements in manufacturing absorption and cost controls had begun to mitigate a challenging operating environment.

    Net Income

    Marginal improvement (from –$19.32M to –$18.81M)

    Net income improved slightly by around $0.51M, driven by a better revenue mix and marginal operational improvements. However, the overall loss remains, reflecting the challenges noted in prior quarters where revenue and expense pressures had negatively impacted bottom‐line performance.

    Cash Flow Net Change

    Narrowed from –$8.15M to –$2.38M

    The net change in cash improved significantly, with a reduction in the cash outflow from –$8.15M in Q3 2024 to –$2.38M in Q4 2024. This positive shift was largely due to stronger investing inflows from the maturity of short-term investments and improved operating cash generation, which helped offset the financing outflows seen in previous periods.

    EPS (Basic & Diluted)

    Improved marginally from –$0.83 to –$0.80

    EPS showed a marginal improvement, reflecting the slight recovery in revenue and operating margins. Despite the continuing losses, better revenue performance and controlled expense measures helped improve EPS from –$0.83 to –$0.80, building on trends from previous quarters where similar factors drove incremental EPS gains.

    MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange

    Revenue

    Q1 2025

    no prior guidance

    $53 million to $55 million

    no prior guidance

    Gross Margins

    Q1 2025

    no prior guidance

    57%

    no prior guidance

    Operating Expenses

    Q1 2025

    no prior guidance

    roughly flat sequentially

    no prior guidance

    Interest Income

    Q1 2025

    no prior guidance

    $4 million to $4.5 million

    no prior guidance

    Non-GAAP EPS

    Q1 2025

    no prior guidance

    $0.09 to $0.13 per share

    no prior guidance

    TopicPrevious MentionsCurrent PeriodTrend

    CED

    Emphasized in Q1–Q3 as the key growth engine for communications, enterprise and data center markets with high ASPs, margins, and robust year‐over‐year growth

    Highlighted in Q4 with specific revenue contributions (37% of sales) and new product innovations (e.g., Super-TCXO, 800G optical modules) that further cement dependency on this market

    Consistently bullish with evolving product innovation and sustained market dependency.

    AI Infrastructure Demand

    Repeatedly noted from Q1 to Q3 as a major driver for data center growth and AI-related design wins, with strong design wins and cloud provider investments

    In Q4, reinforced by addressing GPU utilization challenges and introducing advanced products solving timing issues, underscoring its role in next-generation AI infrastructure

    Steady and positive sentiment with increased emphasis on innovative solutions to capture AI market demand.

    Gross Margin Performance

    Discussed in Q1–Q3 with figures around 57.9%–58.1%, highlighting initial sequential improvements and expectations to hit over 60% longer term despite near-term pressures

    Q4 reported an improvement to 58.8% but with guidance for a short-term dip next quarter due to seasonality and new product ramp costs

    Upward trajectory overall with near-term seasonal headwinds yet a clear long-term improvement plan.

    New Product Launches

    Consistently mentioned from Q1 (integration with Aura and expanding clock portfolio) through Q2 and Q3 (robust design wins and ramp challenges)

    Q4 continued the momentum with the introduction of 10 new platforms delivering 40 products, reinforcing their strategic innovation drive

    Sustained positive momentum with evolving integration and ramp-up successes driving future growth.

    Automotive

    Q1 highlighted ADAS and automotive electronics growth with cautious pricing pressure remarks ; Q2 had minimal specific comments; Q3 emphasized an expanded serviceable market and innovative FailSafe technology

    Q4 focused on strong growth opportunities—especially in China—and did not raise pricing pressure issues, implying a more optimistic view

    Bullish trend with expanding opportunities and diminishing pricing concern over time.

    Customer Concentration

    Q2 noted significant contribution from the largest customer (18% of sales), while Q1 and Q3 did not focus on this topic

    Q4 expressed uncertainty regarding new product developments from the largest customer

    Emerging uncertainty in Q4 relative to earlier periods, making it a potential risk area.

    Design-in Process Complexity

    Discussed in Q2 regarding the extended and complex design-in cycles across semiconductor supply chains

    Not mentioned in Q4

    Reduced focus in current period, possibly indicating resolution or deprioritization compared to earlier concerns.

    Hyperscaler Penetration

    Q3 revealed challenges with limited inroads into hyperscalers, while Q1 and Q2 did not raise explicit issues

    Not mentioned in Q4

    Concerns raised in Q3 have not been followed up in Q4, suggesting either resolution or lower emphasis currently.

    Inventory Correction and Demand Normalization

    Q1 and Q2 discussed significant progress in inventory digestion and normalization of customer buying patterns, with clear signs of recovery

    Not mentioned in Q4

    Topic appears resolved by Q2; absence in Q4 indicates stabilization in demand and inventory levels.

    1. Growth Outlook
      Q: Can you achieve 25%–30% growth in '25–'26?
      A: Yes, we believe that's a good target for us. We see this growth coming from the breadth of the markets we address and the broad level of activity with our latest products. We're confident in achieving that target.

    2. Gross Margin Recovery
      Q: When will gross margins return to 60%?
      A: We're still targeting 60% gross margins and believe we can address this. The current step down to 57% is due to revenue seasonality, manufacturing absorption, and additional depreciation from ramping new products. Over time, we expect gross margins to improve as we mature these products. The combination of typical seasonality and lower revenue in Q1, combined with these ramps, is driving the gross margin this quarter.

    3. Bookings Momentum
      Q: Where is bookings growth coming from?
      A: Most of the growth in 2025 will come from the communications, enterprise, and datacenter (CED) portion of the market. We'll also see growth in consumer mobile IoT and industrial, automotive, and military aerospace, but perhaps not to the same extent as CED. Bookings are strong on the back of solid demand across all sectors. Lead times are steady, and demand looks solid.

    4. Aura Acquisition Progress
      Q: Is the Aura acquisition contributing to revenue and margins?
      A: Yes, we're starting to see revenue from the Aura products. Some design wins have come through faster, contributing revenue in 2024, with growth continuing into '25 and beyond. These products have gross margins generally accretive to the corporate average, providing both good revenue and good margin. We believe revenue from clocking could approach $100 million in the next few years.

    5. Largest Customer Outlook
      Q: Any updates on your largest customer in 2025?
      A: We haven't seen any press releases about new products from them, and we get our information the same way you do. Let's wait and see what happens.

    6. China Automotive Market
      Q: How is your position in China's auto market?
      A: About 30%–40% of our automotive business comes from China. Our products are used in the most innovative products, and with China's lead in automotive innovation, especially in electric vehicles and automation, there's a bigger use case there. As U.S., European, and Japanese companies adopt these technologies, we expect more penetration.

    7. Operating Expenses
      Q: Will you get leverage on OpEx as revenue grows?
      A: Yes, we expect to grow revenue much faster than OpEx. In Q4, OpEx was $32.5 million, and we expect it to be roughly the same in Q1, with some offsets. We'll continue making strategic investments in R&D and go-to-market as revenue grows. OpEx should grow at probably not more than half the rate of revenue.

    8. CED Segment Growth
      Q: Which applications in CED will drive growth?
      A: We sell more units into AECs, NIC cards, and optical modules, which have higher volumes. Products for GPUs have higher pricing but lower volumes. It depends on which segment does better, but we expect all these segments to grow in 2025.

    9. Bookings Improvement Drivers
      Q: What's driving the improvement in bookings?
      A: Bookings are strong due to solid demand across all sectors. Lead times are stable, and demand is coming from industrial, military, aerospace, automotive, mobile IoT consumer, and CED markets. It's not an over-the-top demand but looks solid.

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