Six Flags Entertainment Corp/OLD (SIX)·Q2 2023 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Revenue grew 2% year over year to $443.7M, attendance rose 6% to 7.1M, and Adjusted EBITDA increased 5% to $160.8M, while diluted EPS fell to $0.25 primarily due to a $38M increase in self-insurance reserves and higher interest expense .
- Per-capita spending declined 5% (admissions -7%, in-park -2%) on a higher season-pass mix and lower average season-pass pricing; this was partially offset by stronger food and beverage sales .
- Management highlighted execution against a guest-experience strategy, with investment in park infrastructure, beautification, and new events (Flavors of the World, Summer Nights Spectacular), and reiterated optimism for H2 seasonal events and 2024 new attractions .
- Balance sheet actions: total reported debt was $2,352M, cash $52M; the company repaid $94M of debt in Q2; deferred revenue increased 3% YoY to $177M, supported by higher season-pass sales YTD .
- S&P Global Wall Street consensus estimates for Q2 2023 were unavailable via our data connector; we therefore cannot assess beats/misses versus consensus for this quarter (S&P Global data unavailable).
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Attendance recovery and revenue uptick: revenue +2% YoY to $443.7M and attendance +6% YoY to 7.1M, driven primarily by increased pass sales .
- Adjusted EBITDA improvement: Adjusted EBITDA rose to $160.8M (+5% YoY), excluding the unusual self-insurance reserve adjustment .
- Strategic initiatives: “Following a year of transition, our strategy is taking hold…we have invested significantly in park infrastructure and beautification, and…introduced an exciting lineup of new events” — Selim Bassoul, President & CEO .
What Went Wrong
- EPS and net income pressure: diluted EPS fell to $0.25 (from $0.53) and net income attributable to Six Flags declined to $20.6M, largely due to a $38M increase in self-insurance reserves and higher interest expense from floating-rate debt and revolver borrowing .
- Per-capita spending headwinds: total guest per-capita spend decreased 5% YoY, reflecting a higher mix of season-pass holders who spend less per visit on certain in-park items; admissions per-capita down 7% and in-park per-capita down 2% .
- SG&A spike from reserves: selling, general and administrative expense rose due to the reserve adjustment; excluding the $38M adjustment, cash operating costs increased by less than $1M (higher advertising and seasonal wages, offset by headcount reductions and other savings) .
Financial Results
Headline Financials (Quarterly progression)
Note: Press release narrative cites “Revenue of $444 million,” which rounds the Statement of Operations figure ($443.7M) .
YoY vs Q2 2022 (as disclosed)
Segment Revenue Breakdown
KPIs and Balance Sheet Highlights
Guidance Changes
No formal quantitative revenue/EPS/margin guidance was provided in the Q2 2023 8-K press release or exhibits; management commentary focused on investments in events and attractions and optimism for H2 seasonal events and 2024 new attractions .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Note: We attempted to read the full Q2 2023 earnings call transcript; retrieval failed due to a document database inconsistency. Themes below synthesize disclosed items from the Q4 2022, Q1 2023, and Q2 2023 press releases.
Management Commentary
- “Following a year of transition, our strategy is taking hold…we are seeing a return to a solid growth trajectory in attendance, revenue and earnings.” — Selim Bassoul, President & CEO .
- “Delighting our guests is our number one priority…we have invested significantly in park infrastructure and beautification, and…introduced an exciting lineup of new events…” — Selim Bassoul .
- Outlook: optimism for H2 events (Oktoberfest Food Festival, Kids Boo Fest, Fright Fest, Holiday in the Park) and heavy investment in marketable attractions in 2024 .
Q&A Highlights
We attempted to read the full Q2 2023 earnings call transcript; retrieval failed due to a document database inconsistency. As a result, specific Q&A themes and guidance clarifications from the call are unavailable from our primary-source tools at this time.
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus estimates for Q2 2023 (EPS, revenue, EBITDA) were unavailable via our data connector; we attempted retrieval but lacked CIQ mapping for SIX (S&P Global data unavailable).
Where estimates may need to adjust: Given attendance recovery (+6% YoY) and Adjusted EBITDA improvement (+5% YoY) contrasted with EPS pressure from the $38M reserve adjustment and higher interest costs, models likely need to reflect the unusual SG&A item and evolving pass mix effects on per-capita spending .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Attendance and revenue trajectory improving: Q2 revenue +2% YoY and attendance +6% YoY on stronger pass sales; watch for H2 event-driven volume and operating leverage .
- Mix trade-off: Higher season-pass mix and lower average pass pricing reduce per-capita spending (admissions and certain in-park categories), partially offset by stronger food & beverage; pricing/mix management is a key driver of margin outcomes .
- Adjusted EBITDA growth despite headwinds: +5% YoY to $160.8M, with the $38M self-insurance reserve adjustment excluded; underscores underlying operating progress .
- Balance sheet moves: $94M debt repaid in Q2; total debt $2,352M and cash $52M; deferred revenue up to $177M indicates healthier forward demand via pass sales .
- Interest expense is a meaningful headwind: Higher floating-rate debt costs and revolver usage pressured net income/EPS; rate environment and capital structure warrant close monitoring .
- Seasonal catalysts: Oktoberfest, Boo Fest, Fright Fest, Holiday in the Park plus 2024 attractions should support attendance; execution and weather are key variables for H2 .
- Modeling note: Incorporate unusual reserve adjustment into non-GAAP views; absent S&P Global consensus, frame scenarios around attendance recovery, per-capita dynamics, SG&A normalization, and interest costs .
Additional References and Data
- Statement of Operations and balance sheet details for Q2 2023 (including segment revenues, SG&A, operating income) .
- Q1 2023 operating metrics and capital structure updates (notes issuance, revolver capacity) .
- Q4 2022 pricing/mix narrative and KPI baselines .