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SKECHERS USA INC (SKX)·Q1 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Skechers delivered record Q1 2024 sales of $2.25B (+12.5% YoY) and diluted EPS of $1.33 (+30% YoY), with gross margin at 52.5% (+360 bps) and operating margin at 13.3% (+210 bps), driven by strength in both Wholesale (+9.8%) and Direct‑to‑Consumer (+17.3%) and broad-based regional growth (EMEA +17%, APAC +16%, Americas +8%) .
- Management raised full‑year 2024 guidance: sales to $8.725–$8.875B (from $8.60–$8.80B) and EPS to $3.95–$4.10 (from $3.65–$3.85), citing stronger-than-expected demand and wholesale recovery; Q2 sales guided to $2.175–$2.225B and EPS to $0.85–$0.90 given heavier demand-creation spending in Q2 .
- Domestic wholesale returned to growth (+7.7%); international wholesale grew 10.9%; DTC rose 24.1% internationally and 8.0% domestically, underscoring category leadership in comfort technologies (notably Hands‑Free Slip‑ins) and robust omni-channel execution .
- Mix and lower freight drove margin gains; management expects freight tailwinds to fade post-Q1, with future gross margin support from product/channel mix and DTC growth; elevated marketing in Q2 aims to cement Skechers’ ownership of Slip‑ins technology, impacting quarterly EPS phasing but supporting full‑year performance .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Broad-based growth with record quarterly sales and strong profitability: “Record sales of $2.25 billion, EPS of $1.33, gross margins of 52.5% and an operating margin of 13.3%” (COO) . Wholesale rebounded (+9.8%) with domestic wholesale +7.7%, and DTC grew +17.3% .
- International strength with EMEA +17.4%, APAC +15.9%, China +13.3%; international represented ~65% of total sales (CFO/COO remarks) .
- Guidance raised for FY24 (sales and EPS), reflecting stronger order books and robust sell-through; management reiterates confidence in $10B 2026 sales goal .
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What Went Wrong
- Operating expenses deleveraged 150 bps YoY to 39.2% on higher marketing, labor, and facility costs (selling +50 bps; G&A +100 bps), partially offsetting gross margin gains .
- Q2 EPS guided below Q1 due to heavier demand creation spending timing (seasonal advertising cadence; intention to “own” Slip‑ins technology in consumers’ minds) .
- India remains a watch item: near-term regulatory uncertainty around import restrictions and local manufacturing capacity constraints; management remains long‑term optimistic .
Financial Results
Overall performance (sequential comparison)
Q1 YoY comparison
Non-GAAP constant currency (Q1 2024 vs Q1 2023)
- Constant currency Q1 2024: Sales $2,269.8M; EPS $1.37 vs reported $1.33; illustrates FX headwind in the quarter .
Segment breakdown (Q1 YoY)
Geography/channel (Q1 YoY)
KPIs and balance sheet
Drivers and context
- Margin expansion was primarily due to lower unit costs (freight normalization) and higher ASPs/product mix; opex rose with brand demand creation and higher labor/facility costs .
Guidance Changes
Management also noted Q2 EPS will be lower sequentially due to timing of demand creation spend focused on brand building and Slip‑ins technology; spend benefits the full‑year trajectory .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We saw growth of 17% in our Direct‑to‑Consumer segment and 10% in Wholesale… domestic wholesale business returned to growth, increasing 8% over last year.” – David Weinberg, COO .
- “Wholesale sales increased 9.8%… seeing a recovery in domestic wholesale… International wholesale sales also returned to growth… inventory congestion… abated.” – John Vandemore, CFO .
- “Gross margin was 52.5%, up 360 bps… driven by lower freight costs and a favorable product mix as consumers sought out our higher‑margin technology‑infused products.” – CFO .
- “For the second quarter, we expect… EPS $0.85–$0.90… down slightly… due primarily to the timing of demand creation spending… critical to driving growth on a full‑year basis.” – CFO .
- “We remain confident in our objective of achieving $10 billion in sales by 2026.” – CFO .
Q&A Highlights
- Domestic wholesale rebound: Stronger-than-expected rebound driven by broader embrace of comfort technologies and earlier shipments; expectation for similar domestic wholesale growth in Q2 with timing variability around back‑to‑school .
- Gross margin outlook: Freight tailwind largely exhausted after Q1; forward GM supported by product/channel mix and DTC outgrowth; distributor growth could modestly dilute GM but benefits operating margin .
- Marketing cadence: Q2 is peak demand‑creation quarter (several hundred bps higher than average) to cement Slip‑ins brand ownership; benefits accrue through H2 .
- China trajectory: Continued recovery with double‑digit growth; ample runway as newer tech products roll out; second DC in China targeted to improve efficiency (start‑up costs mainly 2025–2026) .
- ASP/units: 2024 growth to be more unit‑driven; modest ASP lift from mix as consumers choose higher‑value tech products .
Estimates Context
- We attempted to retrieve S&P Global consensus for Q1 2024 and forward periods, but S&P Global access limits prevented retrieval at this time. As a result, we cannot quantify beats/misses versus Wall Street consensus for revenue/EPS in this report (S&P Global consensus data unavailable due to request limit) [SPGI error in tool].
Management indicated results exceeded internal expectations and drove a full‑year guidance raise, but that is not a substitute for Street consensus comparisons .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Momentum inflection: Wholesale recovery combined with sustained DTC strength drove record Q1 revenue and margin expansion; broad geography participation de‑risks the growth profile .
- Guidance raised: FY24 sales and EPS both raised; Q2 EPS guide reflects upfront brand spend to solidify tech leadership, supporting full‑year numbers despite quarterly phasing .
- Margin quality: Freight tailwinds fade, but product/channel mix and DTC outgrowth should support structurally higher gross margins; watch for distributor mix effects on GM but favorable OM .
- International engine: EMEA/APAC are key growth drivers; China recovery remains intact; India is a medium‑term opportunity pending regulatory clarity and local capacity build .
- Capacity/readiness: New DCs (Panama Q2, Colombia 2024, second China DC) enhance logistics and scalability ahead of peak seasons and long‑term growth .
- Tech differentiation: Hands‑Free Slip‑ins, Arch Fit, Max Cushioning continue to drive mix and pricing power; proactive marketing aims to entrench Skechers’ tech brand equity .
- Capital allocation: Share repurchases continue; capex trimmed to $325–$375M while funding growth priorities; strong liquidity preserved .
Additional Notes
- Q1 2024 outperformed the Q1 guidance issued on Feb 1: actual sales $2.252B vs $2.175–$2.225B; EPS $1.33 vs $1.05–$1.10, reflecting stronger demand and wholesale rebound .
- Store base expanded to 5,203 (+35 QoQ), with 147 openings and 112 closures across company-owned and partner doors in Q1 .
Citations
- Q1 2024 8‑K press release and exhibits .
- Q1 2024 earnings call transcript (prepared remarks and Q&A) .
- Q4 2023 8‑K press release and Q4 2023 earnings call transcript for prior‑quarter context and initial FY24/Q1 guidance .
- Q3 2023 8‑K press release for two‑quarters‑back trend context .