SL
SLB LIMITED/NV (SLB)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 revenue rose sequentially to $8.93B (+4% q/q) but declined 3% y/y; EPS excluding charges was $0.69 (-7% q/q, -22% y/y), and adjusted EBITDA was $2.06B (~flat q/q, -12% y/y) .
- SLB modestly beat Street consensus on revenue ($8.93B vs $8.92B*) and EPS ex-charges ($0.69 vs $0.664*), while adjusted EBITDA was essentially in line ($2.06B vs $2.06B*) .
- Guidance points to a stronger Q4: high single-digit sequential top-line growth and 50–150 bps adjusted EBITDA margin expansion, driven by international markets, Digital, and a full quarter of ChampionX contribution .
- Management emphasized resilience amid a “fully supplied oil market,” highlighting Digital’s differentiated growth and the strategic shift toward production and recovery solutions; integration of ChampionX was cited as a positive catalyst .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Digital delivered 11% q/q revenue growth to $658M, with ARR reaching $926M; margins expanded 250 bps q/q, underscoring high-margin growth and leadership in AI and platforms . “Our Digital business delivered revenue growth both sequentially and year on year… This high-margin and growing business is a true differentiator,” said CEO Olivier Le Peuch .
- Production Systems revenue rose 18% q/q and 14% y/y to $3.47B, aided by two months of ChampionX ($575M revenue; $106M pretax operating income), with management citing early synergy momentum and customer adoption .
- North America revenue increased 17% q/q (to $1.93B), aided by ChampionX and stronger offshore/digital/data center; management also highlighted robust activity across several Middle East and Asia countries .
What Went Wrong
- Year-on-year softness persisted: revenue -3% y/y; GAAP EPS -40% y/y to $0.50; adjusted EBITDA -12% y/y, reflecting lower international activity (notably Saudi Arabia) and margin compression .
- APS headwinds: production interruption in Ecuador and the Canada APS divestiture reduced revenue and contributed to margin pressure; CFO quantified ~60 bps adjusted EBITDA margin impact from Ecuador and ~30 bps from the Canada divestiture .
- Segment margins compressed: Well Construction margin down 273 bps y/y (activity reductions in Mexico, Saudi Arabia, and Asia) and Production Systems margin down 98 bps y/y (geographic mix and lower subsea margins), partially offset by ChampionX accretion .
Financial Results
Estimates marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment Breakdown (Revenue and Pretax Operating Margin)
Key KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “SLB improved revenue despite the backdrop of a fully supplied oil market, an uncertain geopolitical environment and subdued commodity prices” .
- “ChampionX enhances our portfolio and underscores the value of expanding our presence in the less cyclical production market” .
- “Digital… is our fastest-growing business… a true differentiator and reflects our industry leadership” with four revenue categories (Platforms & Applications, Digital Operations, Digital Exploration, Professional Services) .
- “Looking ahead, it is more likely that the international markets will lead an activity rebound… SLB is well positioned to benefit from such a recovery” .
Q&A Highlights
- Production & recovery thesis: “OpEx is indeed growing… we are able to unlock new solutions… combining the broadest lift portfolio, intervention, chemistry and digital capabilities” .
- Digital growth and ARR: ARR >$900M; targeting ~$1B; seasonal Q4 step-up and durable margin profile; EBITDA margin ~35% FY as a baseline into 2026 .
- Deepwater: White space fading; gradual rig strengthening; subsea bookings/backlog to exceed last year; material subsea growth in 2027 .
- Saudi Arabia: Activity stabilized with likely rebound in 2026 across gas and oil .
- Data Center Solutions: Plan to expand globally with hyperscalers; low capex intensity; pipeline in Asia .
Estimates Context
- Q3 comparison vs Street: revenue slight beat ($8.93B vs $8.92B*), EPS ex-charges beat ($0.69 vs $0.664*), adjusted EBITDA essentially in line ($2.061B vs $2.063B*) .
- Q4 Street embedded: consensus revenue ~$9.55B* and EPS ~$0.744*, consistent with management guide for high single-digit sequential growth and margin expansion .
- FY trajectory: FY 2025 consensus revenue ~$35.62B* and EPS ~$2.89*, with FY 2026 modest growth; Digital’s structurally higher margins and ChampionX synergies may support estimate stability despite near-term macro .
Estimates marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Sequential improvement with ChampionX and Digital offsets macro softness; Q3 prints were resilient but margins compressed y/y on regional activity declines and APS issues .
- Near-term setup constructive: Q4 guide for high-single-digit revenue growth and +50–150 bps margin expansion, with a full quarter of ChampionX and seasonally stronger Digital .
- Strategic pivot toward production and recovery (less cyclical, OpEx-heavy) broadens wallet share and stabilizes earnings through cycles; early customer wins and integrations are encouraging .
- Digital is a multi-year growth engine with rising ARR and high margins; management expects Digital to outgrow upstream spending and deliver ~35% FY margin in 2025 .
- International should lead the next rebound (deepwater pipeline, gas capacity projects); management sees Saudi stabilization and potential 2026 uptick, supporting medium-term thesis .
- Capital returns remain robust: $4B planned in 2025 via dividends and buybacks; dividend maintained at $0.285 per share; net debt improved q/q .
- Watch APS normalization and subsea margin mix; estimate revisions likely tilt positive for Q4 but hinge on international execution, Digital seasonality, and ChampionX synergy capture .