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SOUTHERN MISSOURI BANCORP, INC. (SMBC)·Q4 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Diluted EPS of $1.39 was flat sequentially but up 16.8% YoY, driven by higher net interest income and a lower tax rate; noninterest expense included $0.43M one-time consulting cost, implying underlying EPS of ~$1.42 if excluded .
- Net interest margin expanded to 3.46% (3.47% on annualized-day-count basis), supported by lower funding costs and higher loan yields; management expects further margin tailwinds from CD repricing and easing deposit competition .
- Credit costs rose: PCL increased to $2.5M on higher net charge-offs, including a $3.8M write-down within special-purpose CRE and a $0.74M C&I charge-off; NPLs increased to 0.56% of loans, while ACL coverage remained robust at 224% of NPLs .
- Dividend was raised 8.7% to $0.25 (125th consecutive quarterly dividend), signaling confidence in capital and earnings durability .
- Outlook: pipeline to fund in 90 days rose to $224.1M; management targets mid-single-digit loan growth for FY26; near-term prepayments could temper net growth, but margin and fee initiatives are incremental catalysts .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- “We have seen improvement in the net interest margin this year with continued loan growth and moderate operating expense growth,” supporting EPS growth and improved efficiency (54.6%) .
- Margin drivers include loan yield expansion and easing deposit competition; average loan origination ~7.3% vs ~6.3% for loans maturing in the next 12 months, positioning for further NIM expansion .
- Fee upside: card network volume incentives added $0.54M in the quarter; annual bonuses will be accrued in FY26 to smooth noninterest income .
What Went Wrong
- Credit costs elevated: $5.3M net charge-offs including a $3.8M special-purpose CRE charge-off; PCL rose to $2.5M, lifting YoY and sequential credit provisioning .
- Noninterest income fell 6.3% YoY due to accounting for tax credits shifting from fee income to direct tax reduction under ASU 2023-02 and a $0.11M MSR fair value hit .
- Legal/professional expenses were elevated by $0.43M consulting costs to negotiate a large vendor contract, temporarily pressuring operating leverage .
Financial Results
Core P&L and Profitability vs prior year, prior quarter, and estimates
Wall Street Consensus vs Actual (S&P Global)
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Note: S&P’s “Revenue” for banks may differ from press-release presentation; press release components sum to $47.61MM (Net interest income + Noninterest income) .
Balance Sheet and Mix
Asset Quality and Liquidity KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We have seen improvement in the net interest margin this year with continued loan growth and moderate operating expense growth, which improved overall earnings and profitability in fiscal twenty twenty five.”
- “If we calculated the net interest margin by annualizing the day count in the fourth quarter, it would have been 3.47% as compared to 3.44% in the linked quarter…”
- “Our average loan origination rate was about 7.3% compared to the average loans we have maturing over the next twelve months of 6.3%.”
- “We took a $3.8 million charge in the quarter on one of the three [special-purpose CRE] loans… It would not surprise me if we would have additional charge off on the other remaining building.”
- “Since the last quarter, we’ve seen a modest uptick in M&A discussions… we remain optimistic about the potential for attractive opportunities.”
Q&A Highlights
- Loan growth momentum steady through the quarter; several larger credits indicated near-term payoffs, implying higher prepayment activity near term, primarily in non-owner-occupied CRE .
- Margin outlook constructive: origination yields above maturing loan rates and ability to pull down CD specials as competition eased; potential incremental benefit if Fed cuts reduce funding costs .
- Special-purpose CRE: updated appraisal triggered $3.8M write-down; 42% specific reserve on remaining balances; potential additional charge-offs possible .
- Deposit mix and CDs: average CDs at ~4.24% rolling to ~4.0%; growth less heavily weighted to CDs in FY26 given strong funding position .
- Capital allocation: buybacks remain secondary to M&A where earn-back appears shorter at current valuation .
Estimates Context
- Q4 2025 EPS beat: Actual $1.39 vs consensus $1.255; management’s underlying EPS would be ~$1.42 if excluding $0.43M consulting cost, reinforcing the beat narrative *.
- Q4 2025 Revenue slight miss on S&P’s definition: Actual $45.11MM vs consensus $46.26MM; press-release components totaled $47.61MM, reflecting definitional differences for bank “revenue” *.
- Street may raise NIM and EPS trajectories given deposit cost relief, origination spread, and fee accrual changes; conversely, credit-loss assumptions may drift higher near term given special-purpose CRE and ag pressures .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
*Estimates and S&P-defined actuals marked with asterisks.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Earnings quality improved: NIM expansion and operating efficiency gains drove EPS strength despite higher credit costs; dividend increase signals confidence .
- Margin tailwinds: origination yields > maturing rates, CD repricing lower, and easing deposit competition support further NIM expansion into FY26 .
- Credit normalization underway: special-purpose CRE and C&I write-downs lifted PCL; ACL remains strong relative to NPLs, but watch for additional CRE charge-offs .
- Growth pipeline robust: loans to fund in 90 days rose to $224.1M; near-term prepayments may dampen net growth, but management targets mid-single-digit FY26 loan growth .
- Fee initiatives: card network incentives recognized; FY26 accrual smooths quarterly volatility, offering incremental noninterest income support .
- Capital deployment optionality: preference for M&A over buybacks given earn-back calculus; improving tangible book value (+14.1% YoY) provides capacity .
- Trading implications: near-term positive bias from margin and dividend catalysts; monitor headlines around CRE appraisals and ag credit to gauge risk premium adjustments .