Sign in

You're signed outSign in or to get full access.

NP

NUSCALE POWER Corp (SMR)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 revenue reached $13.4M, up $12.0M YoY, driven by FEED Phase 2 and the Technology License Agreement (TLA) for RoPower; operating loss narrowed to $35.3M; cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments ended the quarter at $521.4M .
  • Results materially exceeded Wall Street consensus: revenue $13.38M vs $3.44M estimate (bold beat) and EPS -$0.11 vs -$0.115 estimate; magnitude reflects FEED/TLA revenue recognition and cost discipline (Values retrieved from S&P Global).
  • Management reaffirmed commercialization progress: 12 modules already in manufacturing, supply chain readiness advancing, and anticipates a firm customer order in 2025; NRC approval for the uprated 77 MWe design was anticipated by July and subsequently achieved on May 29, 2025 (early) .
  • Near-term catalysts: finalized PPAs with hyperscalers/utilities via ENTRA1’s BOO/BOOT model and early NRC 77 MWe Standard Design Approval, both positioning NuScale for first project execution and potential cash-inflow on modules .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • FEED/TLA execution translated to strong YoY revenue growth (Q1 2025: $13.4M vs $1.4M), improving operating loss; “This increase was driven by revenues generated from the FEED Phase 2 project and the Technology License Agreement for the RoPower Doicești power plant.” .
  • Liquidity strengthened: $521.4M cash, equivalents, and short-term investments; raised $102.4M gross via ATM; CFO: “ending the first quarter…cash and cash equivalents of $491.4M and short-term investments of $30M” .
  • Commercial momentum and supply chain readiness: 12 modules in manufacturing; supplier agreements advancing (Doosan, Framatome, Paragon); CEO: “we anticipate final approval…by July…we continue to gather early valuable knowledge…” .
  • Positive hyperscaler engagement for AI loads; CEO: “I would classify upwards to 10 as advance…term sheets…site visits to Doosan’s facilities” .
  • Regulatory milestone: NRC approved the 77 MWe uprate on May 29, 2025, enhancing economics and addressable market .

What Went Wrong

  • Company remains loss-making: Q1 operating loss of $35.3M; net loss persisted; management reiterated quarterly OpEx burn of ~$40–$45M with possible near-term increases for supply chain investments .
  • Dependence on project milestones and contract timing: monetization hinges on first firm order and PPAs; management highlighted complexity of multi-party deals (developer, utility operator, offtaker, financing) .
  • Policy/trade uncertainties: management monitoring tariffs; while not anticipating material impact, any changes could affect supply chain costs/schedules .

Financial Results

Income Statement (USD Millions, EPS in USD)

Periods are ordered oldest → newest.

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($)$0.475 $34.224 $13.375
Operating Income ($)-$41.019 -$11.9 -$35.327*
Net Income ($)-$17.459 -$180.3 (incl. $170.0 non-cash warrants) -$14.005*
Diluted EPS ($)-$0.18 -$0.69*-$0.11

Notes:

  • Asterisks (*) denote values retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Q4 2024 net loss included a $170.0M non-cash warrants fair value expense .

Margins (%)

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Gross Margin %37.9%*91.1%*52.4%*
EBIT Margin %N/A*-25.2%*-264.1%*
Net Income Margin %N/A*-219.1%*-104.7%*

Note: Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Q1 2025 vs Wall Street Consensus (S&P Global)

MetricActualConsensusSurprise
Revenue ($)$13.375M$3.441M+$9.934M (bold beat)
EPS ($)-$0.11-$0.115+$0.005

Note: Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Selected KPIs

KPIQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Cash, Cash Equivalents & ST Investments ($)$161.7M $446.7M $521.4M
ATM Shares Sold (Gross Proceeds)4.5M shares; $102.4M gross
Modules in Manufacturing (count)“first modules…in production” 12 modules in long-lead production 12 modules continuing; supply chain advancing
Customer Deposits ($)$20.0M (RoPower)

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
NRC 77 MWe Standard Design Approval Timing2025Anticipated mid-2025/July Achieved May 29, 2025 Raised (earlier than guided)
Financial Guidance (Revenue, EPS, Margins)2025Not providedNot providedMaintained (no formal guidance)
Liquidity Runway2025–2026~2 years runway target Reiterated ~2 years; may increase supply chain spend Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ3 2024 (Nov 2024)Q4 2024 (Mar 2025)Q1 2025 (May 2025)Trend
Hyperscalers/AI OfftakeEmphasized urgent AI demand; nuclear/SMR favored; multiple tech tie-ins (Microsoft/Constellation, Google/Talen) ENTRA1-led senior-level discussions; PPAs targeted ~10 advanced discussions; term sheets exchanged; site visits to Doosan Strengthening
Supply Chain ReadinessDoosan producing first modules; broad supplier investments 12 modules long-lead materials; Alleima tubes; Paragon agreement Prebid with Doosan; fuel notifications to Framatome; supplier working group scaling; capacity ~20 modules/year Advancing capacity
Regulatory77 MWe SDA review targeted mid-2025; EPZ/site boundary advantages reiterated “On schedule,” near completion of technical requirements “Anticipate final approval by July”; monitoring potential tariff impacts Achieved early approval post-Q1
RoPower (Romania)Phase 2 FEED authorized; Class 3 estimate work planned Subcontract work driving revenue; 2-step FID approach Class III estimate due fall 2025; FID targeted late 2025/early 2026 On track
Financing/Cash BurnATM use; cash position rising; OpEx reduction YoY Warrants exercised; reduced OpEx; strong cash Cash ~$491.4M plus $30M ST investments; OpEx $41–$45M run-rate; conservative ATM stance Stable/conservative

Management Commentary

  • “We anticipate final approval by the NRC by July of this year…we are proud to be a first mover…manufacturing preparedness…to assure a 2030 delivery” — John Hopkins (CEO) .
  • “Upwards to 10 [customer discussions] as advance…multiple iterations of term sheets…customer site visits to Doosan’s manufacturing facilities” — John Hopkins .
  • “Once we sign a contract…we expect somewhere around 25% of cost of modules to come in the first year and for NuScale to be cash flow positive from that perspective.” — Ramsey Hamady (CFO) .
  • “Doosan has the capacity to put out about 20 modules a year…we want multiple projects…not a one-off.” — John Hopkins .
  • “Cash position…$491.4M and short-term investments of $30M…ATM program…$102.4M gross proceeds.” — Ramsey Hamady .

Q&A Highlights

  • Timing/definition of “firm order”: Focus on near-term contracts, term sheet negotiations, PPAs as key milestones; management expects a 2025 firm order .
  • Delivery capability and capacity: Supply chain can support ~20 modules/year; pursuing simultaneous project readiness, but initial focus is on securing the first “hard” contract .
  • Cash burn and ATM: OpEx ~$41–$45M/quarter; management targets ~2 years of runway and remains conservative; ATM usage opportunistic, no large capital raises expected near term .
  • RoPower FEED Phase 2: Class III estimate targeted for fall 2025; FID late 2025/early 2026; continued subcontract revenue .
  • Tariffs/macro: Management monitoring; does not anticipate material impact currently .

Estimates Context

  • Q1 2025 beat: Revenue $13.375M vs $3.441M estimate; EPS -$0.11 vs -$0.115 estimate (bold beat). Magnitude of revenue surprise principally reflects FEED Phase 2 and TLA-driven recognition and rising commercialization activity (Values retrieved from S&P Global).
  • Near-term estimates: Consensus for Q3/Q4 2025 implies low-teens million quarterly revenue and modest losses; trajectory sensitive to timing of first project PPAs and initial module cash-inflows (Values retrieved from S&P Global).

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • The business pivot to commercialization is showing up in P&L: meaningful FEED/TLA revenue and lower OpEx produced a narrower operating loss; liquidity is ample to bridge to first project cash-inflows .
  • Regulatory de-risking improved further: early NRC approval of the 77 MWe uprate expands economic viability and strengthens competitive position vs non-light-water SMRs (no HALEU) .
  • Commercial pipeline is tangible: ~10 advanced dialogues with hyperscalers/governments/utilities; ENTRA1’s model reduces execution risk for offtakers and utilities, increasing probability of 2025 firm order .
  • Supply chain readiness is a differentiator: 12 modules in manufacturing, long-lead items procured, and supplier working group coordination suggest NuScale can compress delivery schedules upon order .
  • Near-term stock catalysts: announcement of first project/PPAs, module prepayments (cash positive in year 1 of modules), and additional supplier or offtake partnerships .
  • Risk monitor: project/contract timing remains the swing factor; tariff changes, permitting timelines, and supply chain capacity ramp are watch items (management currently sees limited tariff impact) .
  • Trading setup: the combination of early NRC approval and a significant Q1 beat vs consensus creates a setup where confirmed PPAs could re-rate expectations for 2026–2030 cash generation; downside relates to slippage in firm-order timing (Values retrieved from S&P Global) .

References:

  • Q1 2025 press release: revenue, operating loss, liquidity, commercialization updates .
  • Q1 2025 8-K: summary, liquidity detail .
  • Q1 2025 earnings call: commercialization, supply chain, estimates of capacity, cash burn, RoPower timeline, PPAs .
  • Prior quarters (trend): Q4 2024 8-K and call (cash build via warrants; revenue $34.2M; non-cash warrants expense) ; Q3 2024 8-K and call (cash position $161.7M; FEED progress) .
  • NRC 77 MWe Standard Design Approval (May 29, 2025): milestone achieved .

S&P Global disclaimer: All values marked with an asterisk (*) and all consensus estimate figures in tables and narrative are retrieved from S&P Global.