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NUSCALE POWER Corp (SMR)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 revenue reached $13.4M, up $12.0M YoY, driven by FEED Phase 2 and the Technology License Agreement (TLA) for RoPower; operating loss narrowed to $35.3M; cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments ended the quarter at $521.4M .
- Results materially exceeded Wall Street consensus: revenue $13.38M vs $3.44M estimate (bold beat) and EPS -$0.11 vs -$0.115 estimate; magnitude reflects FEED/TLA revenue recognition and cost discipline (Values retrieved from S&P Global).
- Management reaffirmed commercialization progress: 12 modules already in manufacturing, supply chain readiness advancing, and anticipates a firm customer order in 2025; NRC approval for the uprated 77 MWe design was anticipated by July and subsequently achieved on May 29, 2025 (early) .
- Near-term catalysts: finalized PPAs with hyperscalers/utilities via ENTRA1’s BOO/BOOT model and early NRC 77 MWe Standard Design Approval, both positioning NuScale for first project execution and potential cash-inflow on modules .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- FEED/TLA execution translated to strong YoY revenue growth (Q1 2025: $13.4M vs $1.4M), improving operating loss; “This increase was driven by revenues generated from the FEED Phase 2 project and the Technology License Agreement for the RoPower Doicești power plant.” .
- Liquidity strengthened: $521.4M cash, equivalents, and short-term investments; raised $102.4M gross via ATM; CFO: “ending the first quarter…cash and cash equivalents of $491.4M and short-term investments of $30M” .
- Commercial momentum and supply chain readiness: 12 modules in manufacturing; supplier agreements advancing (Doosan, Framatome, Paragon); CEO: “we anticipate final approval…by July…we continue to gather early valuable knowledge…” .
- Positive hyperscaler engagement for AI loads; CEO: “I would classify upwards to 10 as advance…term sheets…site visits to Doosan’s facilities” .
- Regulatory milestone: NRC approved the 77 MWe uprate on May 29, 2025, enhancing economics and addressable market .
What Went Wrong
- Company remains loss-making: Q1 operating loss of $35.3M; net loss persisted; management reiterated quarterly OpEx burn of ~$40–$45M with possible near-term increases for supply chain investments .
- Dependence on project milestones and contract timing: monetization hinges on first firm order and PPAs; management highlighted complexity of multi-party deals (developer, utility operator, offtaker, financing) .
- Policy/trade uncertainties: management monitoring tariffs; while not anticipating material impact, any changes could affect supply chain costs/schedules .
Financial Results
Income Statement (USD Millions, EPS in USD)
Periods are ordered oldest → newest.
Notes:
- Asterisks (*) denote values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Q4 2024 net loss included a $170.0M non-cash warrants fair value expense .
Margins (%)
Note: Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Q1 2025 vs Wall Street Consensus (S&P Global)
Note: Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Selected KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We anticipate final approval by the NRC by July of this year…we are proud to be a first mover…manufacturing preparedness…to assure a 2030 delivery” — John Hopkins (CEO) .
- “Upwards to 10 [customer discussions] as advance…multiple iterations of term sheets…customer site visits to Doosan’s manufacturing facilities” — John Hopkins .
- “Once we sign a contract…we expect somewhere around 25% of cost of modules to come in the first year and for NuScale to be cash flow positive from that perspective.” — Ramsey Hamady (CFO) .
- “Doosan has the capacity to put out about 20 modules a year…we want multiple projects…not a one-off.” — John Hopkins .
- “Cash position…$491.4M and short-term investments of $30M…ATM program…$102.4M gross proceeds.” — Ramsey Hamady .
Q&A Highlights
- Timing/definition of “firm order”: Focus on near-term contracts, term sheet negotiations, PPAs as key milestones; management expects a 2025 firm order .
- Delivery capability and capacity: Supply chain can support ~20 modules/year; pursuing simultaneous project readiness, but initial focus is on securing the first “hard” contract .
- Cash burn and ATM: OpEx ~$41–$45M/quarter; management targets ~2 years of runway and remains conservative; ATM usage opportunistic, no large capital raises expected near term .
- RoPower FEED Phase 2: Class III estimate targeted for fall 2025; FID late 2025/early 2026; continued subcontract revenue .
- Tariffs/macro: Management monitoring; does not anticipate material impact currently .
Estimates Context
- Q1 2025 beat: Revenue $13.375M vs $3.441M estimate; EPS -$0.11 vs -$0.115 estimate (bold beat). Magnitude of revenue surprise principally reflects FEED Phase 2 and TLA-driven recognition and rising commercialization activity (Values retrieved from S&P Global).
- Near-term estimates: Consensus for Q3/Q4 2025 implies low-teens million quarterly revenue and modest losses; trajectory sensitive to timing of first project PPAs and initial module cash-inflows (Values retrieved from S&P Global).
Key Takeaways for Investors
- The business pivot to commercialization is showing up in P&L: meaningful FEED/TLA revenue and lower OpEx produced a narrower operating loss; liquidity is ample to bridge to first project cash-inflows .
- Regulatory de-risking improved further: early NRC approval of the 77 MWe uprate expands economic viability and strengthens competitive position vs non-light-water SMRs (no HALEU) .
- Commercial pipeline is tangible: ~10 advanced dialogues with hyperscalers/governments/utilities; ENTRA1’s model reduces execution risk for offtakers and utilities, increasing probability of 2025 firm order .
- Supply chain readiness is a differentiator: 12 modules in manufacturing, long-lead items procured, and supplier working group coordination suggest NuScale can compress delivery schedules upon order .
- Near-term stock catalysts: announcement of first project/PPAs, module prepayments (cash positive in year 1 of modules), and additional supplier or offtake partnerships .
- Risk monitor: project/contract timing remains the swing factor; tariff changes, permitting timelines, and supply chain capacity ramp are watch items (management currently sees limited tariff impact) .
- Trading setup: the combination of early NRC approval and a significant Q1 beat vs consensus creates a setup where confirmed PPAs could re-rate expectations for 2026–2030 cash generation; downside relates to slippage in firm-order timing (Values retrieved from S&P Global) .
References:
- Q1 2025 press release: revenue, operating loss, liquidity, commercialization updates .
- Q1 2025 8-K: summary, liquidity detail .
- Q1 2025 earnings call: commercialization, supply chain, estimates of capacity, cash burn, RoPower timeline, PPAs .
- Prior quarters (trend): Q4 2024 8-K and call (cash build via warrants; revenue $34.2M; non-cash warrants expense) ; Q3 2024 8-K and call (cash position $161.7M; FEED progress) .
- NRC 77 MWe Standard Design Approval (May 29, 2025): milestone achieved .
S&P Global disclaimer: All values marked with an asterisk (*) and all consensus estimate figures in tables and narrative are retrieved from S&P Global.