Sign in

You're signed outSign in or to get full access.

SS

SONIDA SENIOR LIVING, INC. (SNDA)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 delivered strong operational momentum: resident revenue rose 30.6% year over year to $79.3M, Adjusted EBITDA increased 43.2% to $13.6M, and same‑store NOI margin expanded ~280 bps to 27.5% (vs. 24.8% in Q1 2024). Management emphasized continued acceleration in the acquisitions portfolio and disciplined cost control .
  • Same‑store occupancy reached 86.8% (+100 bps YoY), RevPAR increased to $3,711 and RevPOR to $4,274, while the acquisitions portfolio posted 31.3% sequential NOI growth and margin improvement on integration progress .
  • Net loss attributable to common shareholders was $(13.9)M (diluted EPS $(0.77)), largely due to interest expense and depreciation, and the absence of prior year debt extinguishment gains. Liquidity remained solid with $14.0M cash and $43.2M of credit facility availability at quarter‑end .
  • Stock‑reaction catalysts: consolidation benefits in acquired assets, rate renewal increases (6.6–6.9%), and technology investments (EHR, clinical systems) support margin expansion; operating tailwinds include constrained new supply and stabilization efforts in higher‑yield Southeast acquisitions .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Same‑store performance: NOI up 19.3% YoY with margin 27.5%, driven by +100 bps occupancy and 5.5% RevPOR increases; management highlighted disciplined execution and renewal pricing power .
  • Acquisition portfolio: 31.3% sequential NOI growth and margin up 450 bps from Q4, reflecting rapid integration of Sonida’s operating model and targeted capex in new vintage assets across FL/GA .
  • Technology and clinical infrastructure: rollout of clinical health information systems, fall detection, nurse call, and employee scheduling by Q3; portfolio‑wide August Health EHR partnership to elevate care and data‑driven operations .

What Went Wrong

  • GAAP loss persisted: Q1 net loss attributable to common shareholders of $(13.9)M (diluted EPS $(0.77)) versus Q1 2024 profit that benefited from a $38.1M debt extinguishment gain; interest expense increased YoY on incremental borrowings .
  • Indiana Medicaid disruption: managed Medicaid transition reduced admissions and pressured occupancy/bad debt in affected communities, requiring repositioning to private‑pay models and temporary unit removals from service .
  • Seasonality and mix: Q4 2024 saw slight occupancy downtick vs. Q3 due to normalization of seasonality at higher occupancy levels; continued mix effects can mute RevPOR when IL units lead occupancy gains .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Total Revenues ($USD Millions)$74.750 $91.931 $91.923
Resident Revenue ($USD Millions)$66.951 $77.053 $79.255
Operating Expense ($USD Millions)$50.492 $59.225 $60.414
G&A Expense ($USD Millions)$11.793 $11.815 $8.472
Interest Expense ($USD Millions)$9.839 $9.596 $9.446
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$(0.98) $(0.38) $(0.77)
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$10.073 $12.348 $13.565
Same‑Store NOI Margin (%)26.7% 25.5% 27.5%
Same‑Store Occupancy (%)87.0% 86.6% 86.8%

Segment/Portfolio Breakdown

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Same‑Store Resident Revenue ($USD Millions)$63.036 $62.928 $58.429
Non Same‑Store Resident Revenue ($USD Millions)$3.915 $14.125 $20.826
Same‑Store NOI ($USD Millions)$16.812 $16.028 $16.070
Non Same‑Store NOI ($USD Millions)$(0.277) $(3.020) $(4.071)

KPIs

KPIQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
RevPAR ($/month)$3,692 $3,678 $3,711
RevPOR ($/month)$4,244 $4,248 $4,274
Same‑Store Occupancy (%)87.0% 86.6% 86.8%
Rate Increase (% YoY or renewal)+5.5% YoY +6.3% renewal on 3/1/2024 +6.6–6.9% renewal on 3/1/2025

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Portfolio NOI Target ($USD Millions)Near‑term~$100M illustrative target introduced (Q4 2024) Reiterated achievability with Q1 annualized growth progress Maintained
Annual Rent Renewal Rate (%)Mar 1 anniversary~6.3% (2024 campaign) ~6.6% (portfolio‑wide) to 6.9% (same‑store) (2025) Raised
Acquisitions Pipeline2025Robust pipeline highlighted (Q4 2024) 2 off‑market communities under contract for $22M; Q2 closing expected New/Expanded
Balance Sheet/Liquidity2025$150M revolving credit facility; $35M immediate availability YE 2024 $60M drawn; $43.2M available; weighted avg rate ~5.4% portfolio Updated status

Note: No formal quantitative revenue/EPS guidance provided in Q1 materials; management focused on NOI, occupancy, pricing, integration and acquisition milestones .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2024)Previous Mentions (Q4 2024)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
Technology/Clinical systemsEmphasis on digital marketing and BI tools to lower acquisition costs Continued BI tools and third‑party platforms for rate optimization and clinical programming Clinical health systems, fall detection, nurse call, employee scheduling; August Health EHR across portfolio Expanding adoption and scale
Supply/Demand MacroLimited capital availability; bid‑ask wide for value‑add; targeting double‑digit cap rates Constrained new supply; projects don’t pencil; tailwind to occupancy/margins Pipeline rich with debt‑motivated sellers; off‑market deals in Southeast Tailwinds persistent
Regulatory/Legal (Medicaid)Indiana Medicaid shift elevating bad debt; re‑apply coverage; policy revisions planned Repositioning 5 assets to reduce Medicaid exposure; invest $4–$5M; ROI >30% expected Active mitigation/repositioning
Regional Trends (Southeast)19 communities added; FL/SC portfolio acquired; Atlanta PSA 11 Q4 acquisitions; Southeast densification; yields >10% in Q1 on 10‑asset bundle 2 more communities under contract in FL/GA; $22M Q2 close Ongoing densification
Labor/TurnoverWage increases ~inflation; lower reliance on contract labor; stable FTEs Turnover down ~10% in 2024; focus on stable full‑time workforce Lowest company turnover % for a quarter; further reductions in Q2 Improving
Pricing Power+5.5% resident rates; concessions declining Anticipated strong 2025 renewal in line with 2024; level‑of‑care pricing enhancements 6.6–6.9% renewals impacting ~70% of resident base Strong/consistent

Management Commentary

  • “Same‑store portfolio NOI grew by 19.3% year‑over‑year, and the acquisition portfolio NOI increased 31.3% sequentially from Q4 2024… Our Q1 annualized NOI for the acquisition portfolio implies a 9.1% yield on cost” — Brandon Ribar, CEO .
  • “As more fully described later… we have identified 5 such assets for strategic repositioning to capture a higher rate, private pay customer base… excluded from our same‑store until these strategic plans have been fully executed” — Kevin Detz, CFO .
  • “Investments in our clinical health information system, resident fall detection, nurse call and employee scheduling will be fully implemented by Q3 this year” — Brandon Ribar .
  • “We are under contract to acquire 2 more communities in major southeastern markets for a combined $22 million with closings expected in Q2” — Brandon Ribar .
  • “Completion of these projects will meaningfully reduce the company's Medicaid percentage of total revenue, currently at 9%, and we expect return on investment to exceed 30%” — Brandon Ribar on Indiana repositioning .

Q&A Highlights

  • Repositioning strategy and timeline: 5 Indiana communities being repositioned to private‑pay models with capital investment and temporary unit removals to align with long‑term business mix and margin goals .
  • Pipeline and acquisition color: Two additional off‑market acquisitions in Florida/Georgia consistent with late‑2024 deals, expected to stabilize at low double‑digit yields, reinforcing accretive growth .
  • Mix and rate trajectory: Management reaffirmed strong 2025 pricing power and focus on accelerating occupancy and margin expansion in newly acquired communities; labor markets stable with no material immigration impacts noted .

Estimates Context

  • Consensus availability: S&P Global consensus was unavailable for EPS and the number of estimates; revenue consensus mean was not provided for Q1 2025. Only actual revenue appears in the dataset. Therefore, a beat/miss assessment versus Wall Street consensus cannot be determined at this time. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Metric (Q1 2025)Consensus MeanActual
Revenue ($USD)N/A*$91.923M
Primary EPS ($)N/A*$(0.77)

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Same‑store momentum remains robust with margin expansion and pricing power; acquisitions are scaling rapidly with strong sequential NOI improvement—expect continued consolidation benefits and improving blended margins as integration matures .
  • The Indiana Medicaid shift is being actively addressed through private‑pay repositioning with targeted capex and expected >30% ROI; near‑term occupancy impacts should give way to improved revenue quality and margins .
  • Liquidity and balance sheet flexibility are intact: $150M revolver, $43.2M availability, and extended Fannie Mae maturities to 2029 reduce refinancing risk; weighted average debt cost ~5.4% portfolio supports earnings compounding as NOI grows .
  • Technology deployment (EHR and clinical systems) and BI tools are tangible differentiators that should enhance care outcomes, pricing capture, and labor scheduling efficiency—drivers of sustained margin improvement .
  • Southeast densification and off‑market sourcing underpin accretive external growth; double‑digit stabilized yields and discounted purchase bases provide compelling return profiles .
  • Without consensus estimates, traders should anchor on operating KPIs (RevPAR, occupancy, NOI margin, Adjusted EBITDA) and integration milestones; any upside surprises likely come from faster‑than‑expected acquisition stabilization and private‑pay mix shift .
  • Watch Q2: closure of two acquisitions, further technology rollouts by Q3, and progress on repositioning projects—each a potential narrative catalyst for sentiment and valuation .

Notes on sources: No 8‑K Item 2.02 press release was available for Q1 2025 in the catalog; analysis relies on the Q1 2025 press release and full earnings call transcript, plus prior quarter releases and calls for trend comparisons .