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SONIDA SENIOR LIVING, INC. (SNDA)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 showed strong top-line growth and occupancy, but GAAP profitability deteriorated due to merger-related costs and an impairment; adjusted EBITDA grew year-over-year while same-store margins compressed sequentially .
- Same-store occupancy reached the highest post-Covid level at 87.7%, with October spot occupancy at 89.0%, positioning margins to expand as labor initiatives take hold .
- Management announced a definitive $1.8B merger with CNL Healthcare Properties to create a scaled pure-play senior housing platform; closing is expected late Q1/early Q2 2026 and is the key stock catalyst .
- Wall Street consensus estimates were unavailable via S&P Global; results are assessed against company-reported figures and qualitative call commentary (see Estimates Context).
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Occupancy and rate traction: Same-store occupancy peaked post-Covid at 87.7% and October spot hit 89.0%; RevPAR grew to $3,817 and blended RevPOR to $4,353 in Q3 . “Our portfolio top line continued to deliver sequential growth... Same-store occupancy increased 90 basis points sequentially to 87.7%” (CEO) .
- Acquisition portfolio accelerating: Sequential occupancy +180 bps; resident revenue +14.5%; community NOI +22.0% QoQ, evidencing successful integration and labor normalization . “We have hardly any contract labor... premium labor and overtime are normalizing, aiding NOI” (CFO) .
- Strategic M&A: Announced $1.8B CHP merger with accretive AFFO/FFO synergies and deleveraging; collar-based stock consideration and $2.32 cash per CHP share; expected closing late Q1/early Q2 2026 .
What Went Wrong
- GAAP loss widened: Net loss attributable to shareholders was $(26.9)m vs $(13.8)m YoY, driven by $6.2m transaction/restructuring costs and a $4.7m impairment; interest expense remained elevated .
- Margin compression: Same-store NOI margin fell to 27.3% from 28.6% in Q2 as labor did not flex timely with rapid occupancy ramp early in the quarter .
- Operating cost pressure: Non-labor expenses increased (utilities, electricity) due to prolonged summer conditions in TX/SE markets; overall labor as % of revenue rose 70 bps QoQ before improving late in the quarter .
Financial Results
Notes: Q2 same-store occupancy is disclosed as 86.5% in the Q2 press release highlights (56-community cohort) ; the investor deck tables reflect 55-community same-store cohort at 86.8% .
KPI Trends (Same-Store Portfolio)
Acquisition Portfolio (At-Share) – Sequential Dynamics
Segment/Acuity Breakdown (Same-Store RevPOR)
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “In the third quarter, total portfolio community NOI grew approximately 21%, driven by solid rent growth and strong results in the acquisition portfolio.” (CEO)
- “In the same-store portfolio, occupancy achieved its highest levels post-Covid at 87.7%, with end of October spot occupancy reaching 89.0%.” (CEO)
- “We are moving in a positive direction on the labor front... technology to staff our communities based on daily service and clinical needs... key to achieving margin expansion as occupancy approaches 90%.” (CEO)
- “Our acquisition portfolio NOI increased by $900,000 or 22% sequentially... when removing the losses from newly opened and September acquisitions, the increase jumps to $1.1 million or 28%.” (CFO)
- “The total transaction costs were $75 million... $6 million of that in Q3; we should continue to see transaction costs each month into next year.” (CFO)
Q&A Highlights
- Occupancy trajectory vs industry: Management acknowledged earlier summer lag vs peers; emphasized October spot 89.0% and improved internal lead generation reducing paid referrals; focus on margin flow-through as occupancy nears 90% .
- Merger costs cadence: ~$6.2m transaction costs in Q3 as part of ~$75m total expected; further costs to accrue ahead of closing .
- RevPAR vs expense trend: Targeting margin expansion into “30+% range” via rate discipline and labor management normalization; labor volatility in July/August subsided by quarter end .
- Labor utilization: Minimal contract labor; premium/overtime normalizing; permanent staffing being built in acquisition communities to support NOI .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus estimates for EPS and revenue were unavailable for Q3 2025 and the prior two quarters; only actuals were returned, so no beat/miss assessment versus consensus can be made. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Near-term: Evidence of accelerating occupancy and acquisition performance should support margin recovery into Q4/Q1; watch labor flex and non-labor cost inflation (utilities) for flow-through risk .
- Merger catalyst: CHP transaction materially scales Sonida, adds liquidity/free float, and is expected to be accretive to FFO/AFFO with ~$16–20m annual corporate synergies; closing late Q1/early Q2 2026 is a key event path .
- Balance sheet: Weighted average interest ~5.5% with 57% fixed-rate mix; $40.9m credit availability at Q3 provides flexibility; majority of maturities in 2029+ .
- Non-GAAP vs GAAP: Adjusted EBITDA growth (+30.7% YoY) contrasts with widening GAAP loss due to transaction/impairment; monitor ongoing merger costs through 2026 and the timing of synergy realization .
- Pricing power: Private-pay rent increases near 5% YoY and level-of-care fees +14% YoY underpin RevPOR momentum, supporting margin expansion as labor improves .
- Execution priorities: Management focus on outlier communities (notably TX cohort), pruning non-strategic assets, and codifying labor-tech processes to stabilize margins .
- Risk watch: Elevated interest rates, labor market tightness, and integration complexity from CHP are principal execution risks cited by management; ensure covenant compliance and integration plans progress as disclosed .
Citations: Q3 press release and 8-K exhibit (financials, NOI metrics, occupancy, merger) ; Q3 Earnings Call Transcript (prepared remarks, labor/occupancy, acquisition performance, Q&A) ; Q2 PR (financials, occupancy and RevPAR/RevPOR, Ally term loan) ; Q1 PR (financials, same-store improvements) .
Disclaimer: *Values retrieved from S&P Global.