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SONIDA SENIOR LIVING, INC. (SNDA)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 showed strong top-line growth and occupancy, but GAAP profitability deteriorated due to merger-related costs and an impairment; adjusted EBITDA grew year-over-year while same-store margins compressed sequentially .
  • Same-store occupancy reached the highest post-Covid level at 87.7%, with October spot occupancy at 89.0%, positioning margins to expand as labor initiatives take hold .
  • Management announced a definitive $1.8B merger with CNL Healthcare Properties to create a scaled pure-play senior housing platform; closing is expected late Q1/early Q2 2026 and is the key stock catalyst .
  • Wall Street consensus estimates were unavailable via S&P Global; results are assessed against company-reported figures and qualitative call commentary (see Estimates Context).

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Occupancy and rate traction: Same-store occupancy peaked post-Covid at 87.7% and October spot hit 89.0%; RevPAR grew to $3,817 and blended RevPOR to $4,353 in Q3 . “Our portfolio top line continued to deliver sequential growth... Same-store occupancy increased 90 basis points sequentially to 87.7%” (CEO) .
  • Acquisition portfolio accelerating: Sequential occupancy +180 bps; resident revenue +14.5%; community NOI +22.0% QoQ, evidencing successful integration and labor normalization . “We have hardly any contract labor... premium labor and overtime are normalizing, aiding NOI” (CFO) .
  • Strategic M&A: Announced $1.8B CHP merger with accretive AFFO/FFO synergies and deleveraging; collar-based stock consideration and $2.32 cash per CHP share; expected closing late Q1/early Q2 2026 .

What Went Wrong

  • GAAP loss widened: Net loss attributable to shareholders was $(26.9)m vs $(13.8)m YoY, driven by $6.2m transaction/restructuring costs and a $4.7m impairment; interest expense remained elevated .
  • Margin compression: Same-store NOI margin fell to 27.3% from 28.6% in Q2 as labor did not flex timely with rapid occupancy ramp early in the quarter .
  • Operating cost pressure: Non-labor expenses increased (utilities, electricity) due to prolonged summer conditions in TX/SE markets; overall labor as % of revenue rose 70 bps QoQ before improving late in the quarter .

Financial Results

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Total Revenues ($USD Millions)$91.923 $93.525 $98.038
Net Income (Loss) Attributable to Sonida Shareholders ($USD Millions)$(12.529) $(1.563) $(26.911)
Diluted EPS ($)$(0.77) $(0.16) $(1.56)
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions, non-GAAP)$13.565 $14.093 $13.159
Same-Store Occupancy (%)86.8% 86.8% 87.7%
Same-Store NOI Margin (%) (non-GAAP)27.5% 28.6% 27.3%

Notes: Q2 same-store occupancy is disclosed as 86.5% in the Q2 press release highlights (56-community cohort) ; the investor deck tables reflect 55-community same-store cohort at 86.8% .

KPI Trends (Same-Store Portfolio)

KPIQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
RevPAR ($/month)$3,623 $3,787 $3,817
RevPOR ($/month)$4,158 $4,361 $4,353
Same-Store Resident Revenue ($USD Millions)$55.905 $58.524 $58.928
Same-Store Community NOI ($USD Millions, non-GAAP)$15.679 $16.714 $16.087
Same-Store Community NOI Margin (%) (non-GAAP)28.0% 28.6% 27.3%

Acquisition Portfolio (At-Share) – Sequential Dynamics

MetricQ2 2025Q3 2025
Weighted Average Occupancy (%)77.3% 79.1%
RevPAR ($/month)$4,793 $4,904
RevPOR ($/month)$6,205 $6,203
Resident Revenue ($USD Millions)$17.3 $19.8
Community NOI ($USD Millions, non-GAAP)$4.1 $5.0
Community NOI Margin (%) (non-GAAP)23.7% 25.3%

Segment/Acuity Breakdown (Same-Store RevPOR)

AcuityQ3 2024 RevPOR ($/month)Q3 2025 RevPOR ($/month)
Independent Living$2,868 $2,984
Assisted Living$4,786 $4,980
Memory Care$6,337 $6,556
Blended Total$4,158 $4,353

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY/QuarterNone providedNone providedMaintained (no formal guidance)
MarginsFY/QuarterNone providedNone providedMaintained (no formal guidance)
OpExFY/QuarterNone providedNone providedMaintained (no formal guidance)
OI&E/TaxFY/QuarterNone providedNone providedMaintained (no formal guidance)
Strategic Transaction TimelineCHP MergerN/AClosing expected late Q1 or early Q2 2026New disclosure

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 2025)Previous Mentions (Q2 2025)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
Occupancy & RatesSame-store occupancy 86.8%; RevPAR $3,711; RevPOR $4,274; margin expansion YoY Same-store occupancy 86.5–86.8%; RevPAR $3,797; RevPOR $4,388 Same-store occupancy 87.7%; October spot 89.0%; RevPAR $3,817; RevPOR $4,353 Improving
Labor & TechnologyBuild-out of clinical resources; operating cadence revised Foundational improvements; early labor volatility; onboarding without added FTEs EHR rollout completed; scheduling/nurse call data driving labor flex; hours per resident day improving Improving
M&A/IntegrationActive acquisitions; owner-operator densification Added Tampa & Atlanta assets; Ally term loan refinanced CHP merger announced; acquisition portfolio NOI up; yield >10% at 2024 cohort Accelerating
Capital StructureATM program; credit facility availability $137m Ally term loan; credit facility availability $32.9m Credit facility outstanding $86.1m; $40.9m available; 57% fixed-rate debt; WAI 5.5% Stable/Improving
Referral MixReliance on outside placements down from 43% to 26% YoY Continued internal leads driving occupancy/margins Improving

Management Commentary

  • “In the third quarter, total portfolio community NOI grew approximately 21%, driven by solid rent growth and strong results in the acquisition portfolio.” (CEO)
  • “In the same-store portfolio, occupancy achieved its highest levels post-Covid at 87.7%, with end of October spot occupancy reaching 89.0%.” (CEO)
  • “We are moving in a positive direction on the labor front... technology to staff our communities based on daily service and clinical needs... key to achieving margin expansion as occupancy approaches 90%.” (CEO)
  • “Our acquisition portfolio NOI increased by $900,000 or 22% sequentially... when removing the losses from newly opened and September acquisitions, the increase jumps to $1.1 million or 28%.” (CFO)
  • “The total transaction costs were $75 million... $6 million of that in Q3; we should continue to see transaction costs each month into next year.” (CFO)

Q&A Highlights

  • Occupancy trajectory vs industry: Management acknowledged earlier summer lag vs peers; emphasized October spot 89.0% and improved internal lead generation reducing paid referrals; focus on margin flow-through as occupancy nears 90% .
  • Merger costs cadence: ~$6.2m transaction costs in Q3 as part of ~$75m total expected; further costs to accrue ahead of closing .
  • RevPAR vs expense trend: Targeting margin expansion into “30+% range” via rate discipline and labor management normalization; labor volatility in July/August subsided by quarter end .
  • Labor utilization: Minimal contract labor; premium/overtime normalizing; permanent staffing being built in acquisition communities to support NOI .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus estimates for EPS and revenue were unavailable for Q3 2025 and the prior two quarters; only actuals were returned, so no beat/miss assessment versus consensus can be made. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Near-term: Evidence of accelerating occupancy and acquisition performance should support margin recovery into Q4/Q1; watch labor flex and non-labor cost inflation (utilities) for flow-through risk .
  • Merger catalyst: CHP transaction materially scales Sonida, adds liquidity/free float, and is expected to be accretive to FFO/AFFO with ~$16–20m annual corporate synergies; closing late Q1/early Q2 2026 is a key event path .
  • Balance sheet: Weighted average interest ~5.5% with 57% fixed-rate mix; $40.9m credit availability at Q3 provides flexibility; majority of maturities in 2029+ .
  • Non-GAAP vs GAAP: Adjusted EBITDA growth (+30.7% YoY) contrasts with widening GAAP loss due to transaction/impairment; monitor ongoing merger costs through 2026 and the timing of synergy realization .
  • Pricing power: Private-pay rent increases near 5% YoY and level-of-care fees +14% YoY underpin RevPOR momentum, supporting margin expansion as labor improves .
  • Execution priorities: Management focus on outlier communities (notably TX cohort), pruning non-strategic assets, and codifying labor-tech processes to stabilize margins .
  • Risk watch: Elevated interest rates, labor market tightness, and integration complexity from CHP are principal execution risks cited by management; ensure covenant compliance and integration plans progress as disclosed .

Citations: Q3 press release and 8-K exhibit (financials, NOI metrics, occupancy, merger) ; Q3 Earnings Call Transcript (prepared remarks, labor/occupancy, acquisition performance, Q&A) ; Q2 PR (financials, occupancy and RevPAR/RevPOR, Ally term loan) ; Q1 PR (financials, same-store improvements) .

Disclaimer: *Values retrieved from S&P Global.