Sign in

You're signed outSign in or to get full access.

SI

SYNOPSYS INC (SNPS)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Revenue grew 14% year-over-year to $1.740B, but non-GAAP EPS of $3.39 missed Wall Street consensus; management cited IP underperformance amid China export restrictions and a foundry customer issue as key drivers .
  • Guidance reset: full-year revenue was raised to $7.03–$7.06B, while non-GAAP EPS and free cash flow were cut to $12.76–$12.80 and ~$950M, respectively, reflecting IP headwinds, Ansys integration costs/seasonality, and higher interest burden from acquisition financing .
  • Ansys acquisition closed July 17, expanding Synopsys into simulation/analysis; backlog reached $10.1B and hardware demand remained strong, but the company is taking a more conservative Q4 view and plans ~10% headcount reduction by FY26 to drive efficiency and accelerate synergies .
  • Stock-relevant narrative shifts: revenue raise alongside EPS/FCF cuts and explicit IP roadmap pivot are likely to drive estimate resets; longer-term bullish narrative anchored on AI, multi-die/3DIC, and silicon-to-systems with Ansys integration .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Design Automation strength: segment revenue up 23% YoY to $1.312B, adjusted operating margin 44.5%, driven by hardware wins (ZeBu/HAPS) and resilient EDA demand; Ansys S&A performed in line with expectations .
  • Strategic milestone: “Q3 was a transformational quarter… we closed the Ansys acquisition – expanding our portfolio, customer base and opportunity” (CEO) .
  • Multi-die/3DIC and AI momentum: customers piloting Synopsys.ai GenAI capabilities (~20 customers), multi-die tapeouts, and anticipated integrated thermal sign-off with Ansys next year .

What Went Wrong

  • IP underperformance: Design IP revenue fell 8% YoY to $427.6M; margin compressed to 20.1% as investments met lower-than-expected revenue .
  • Specific headwinds: China export restrictions disrupted design starts beyond the six-week window; a major foundry customer’s challenges delayed expected IP returns; resource/roadmap decisions diluted focus (CEO detailed three factors) .
  • EPS/FCF reset: FY25 non-GAAP EPS cut to $12.76–$12.80 and FCF to ~$950M due to lower IP revenue and interest impacts from cash utilization and new debt for Ansys .

Financial Results

Actuals (chronological order)

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue ($USD Billions)$1.455 $1.604 $1.740
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$1.89 $2.24 $1.50
Non-GAAP EPS ($)$3.03 $3.67 $3.39
Non-GAAP Operating Margin (%)36.5% 38.0% 38.5%

Year-over-Year (Q3 compare)

MetricQ3 2024Q3 2025
Revenue ($USD Billions)$1.526 $1.740
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$2.73 $1.50
Non-GAAP EPS ($)$3.43 $3.39

Q3 vs Wall Street Consensus (S&P Global)

MetricConsensusActualBeat/Miss
Revenue ($USD Billions)$1.767*$1.740 Miss ($0.027B)*
Non-GAAP EPS ($)$3.745*$3.39 Miss ($0.355)*

Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.

Segment Breakdown (Q3 2025)

SegmentRevenue ($USD Millions)Adjusted Operating Margin (%)YoY Revenue Change
Design Automation$1,312.1 44.5% +23% vs $1,062.6
Design IP$427.6 20.1% −8% vs $463.1

KPIs (Q3 2025)

KPIValue
Backlog$10.1B
Free Cash Flow~$632M
Cash + Short-term Investments$2.594B
Total Debt$14.318B

Non-GAAP to GAAP reconciling items (Q3): Stock-based compensation $267.7M; amortization of acquired intangibles $74.9M; acquisition/divestiture items $120.0M; tax adjustments $(157.5)M .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue ($B)FY 2025$6.745–$6.805 $7.03–$7.06 Raised
Non-GAAP EPS ($)FY 2025$15.11–$15.19 $12.76–$12.80 Lowered
Operating Cash Flow ($B)FY 2025~$1.5 ~$1.13 Lowered
Free Cash Flow ($B)FY 2025~$1.3 ~$0.95 Lowered
Non-GAAP Expenses ($B)FY 2025$4.05–$4.09 $4.43–$4.44 Raised
Non-GAAP Tax Rate (%)FY 202516 16 Maintained
Revenue ($B)Q4 2025n/a$2.23–$2.26 New
GAAP EPS ($)Q4 2025n/a$(0.27)–$(0.16) New
Non-GAAP EPS ($)Q4 2025n/a$2.76–$2.80 New
Non-GAAP I&O ($M)Q4 2025n/a$(179)–$(181) New
Shares (FD, M)Q4 2025n/a187–188 New

Management attributes FY guide changes to IP weakness, interest impact from the $4.3B term loan, and Ansys integration/seasonality, while maintaining confidence in revenue growth and synergies .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Trend
China/export controlsAnticipated below corporate average; deceleration from macro and restrictions Reiterated decline YoY; BIS speculation addressed; China −28% 1H pacing Export restriction disrupted design starts; continued headwinds Deteriorating then persistent headwind
IP business modelFluctuation vs tough compare; expanding interface/foundation IP for AI IP +21% YoY; strong interface demand (SerDes/PCIe) Shift toward subsystems/chiplets; exploring royalty elements; resource pivot Transition to higher-value subsystems
Hardware (ZeBu/HAPS)New HAPS 200/ZeBu 200 launched; back-half weighted supply Strong momentum; verification demand Record shipments; hyperscaler wins Strengthening
Multi-die/3DIC3D heterogeneous design wins Displacing manual flows; >40 chiplets engagement Integrating Ansys thermal sign-off; first integrated solution 1H next year Accelerating integration
AI in EDAGenAI assistants, 30–35% productivity gains .ai adoption across stack; optimization momentum ~20 customers piloting GenAI; Agentic AI vision (L2→L5) Expanding capability and roadmap
Ansys integrationRegulatory progress; pending close Near-term clearance; confidence in synergies Closed; buyer approval for OSG/PowerArtist pending; Q4 seasonality shift Integration underway; divestiture pending
Cost actionsNormal expense timing Bond issuance effects; margin steady ~10% headcount reduction by FY26 to drive scale/efficiency Cost discipline rising

Management Commentary

  • “Q3 was a transformational quarter… we closed the Ansys acquisition – expanding our portfolio, customer base and opportunity.” (CEO) .
  • “Strength in Design Automation was offset by weakness in Design IP… taking a more conservative view of Q4, while guiding another consecutive year of profitable growth.” (CFO) .
  • IP headwinds: export restrictions in China extended impact beyond six weeks; foundry customer delays; roadmap/resource allocation decisions now being pivoted toward higher-growth opportunities (CEO) .
  • Efficiency plan: actions starting soon to reduce global headcount roughly 10% by end of FY26 to accelerate strategy and synergies (CEO/CFO) .
  • Integration and seasonality: Ansys conformed to Synopsys fiscal calendar; strength historically in Nov–Dec will hit Synopsys Q1; buyer approval for Optical Solutions Group and PowerArtist still pending (CFO) .

Q&A Highlights

  • IP outlook and durability: Management expects a transitional/muted IP year into FY26; pivot to subsystems and possible royalty components to better monetize customization; capacity scaling via AI/methodology changes .
  • Margin bridge: Q4 margin decline driven primarily by IP revenue pressure despite higher-margin Ansys; long-term mid-40% operating margin target unchanged (CFO) .
  • Debt and liquidity: Cash well above operating minimums; interest payments in 2025 and principal paydown to begin in 2026; term loans due 2027–2028; cash inflow expected upon OSG/PowerArtist divestiture completion (CFO) .
  • Ansys growth drivers: confidence in synergies; 3DIC and physical AI (digital twin) create near-term opportunities; channel preserved and leveraged (CEO/CFO) .
  • Customer concentration: Efforts to diversify exposure; Ansys expands regional/customer mix (e.g., Europe vs China) (CEO) .

Estimates Context

  • Q3 2025 results missed S&P Global consensus on both revenue ($1.767B*) and non-GAAP EPS ($3.745*), with actuals of $1.740B and $3.39, respectively .
  • Estimate reset likely: FY25 EPS/FCF guidance reductions and IP caution point to downward revisions, while revenue raise and backlog support top-line resilience .

Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Short-term: Expect EPS and FCF estimate cuts following the FY25 reset; shares may remain sensitive to IP execution updates and China/foundry headlines .
  • Medium-term: Revenue durability supported by DA strength, backlog, and hardware demand; Ansys adds simulation/analysis scale and cross-sell into silicon-to-systems .
  • Watch catalysts: OSG/PowerArtist buyer approval timing, Q4 seasonality/Ansys contribution, and specifics on IP roadmap pivot and monetization (e.g., royalties/subsystems) .
  • Margin trajectory: Near-term compression from IP; management reiterates mid-40% long-term margin ambition as integration efficiencies and headcount actions flow through FY26 .
  • AI edge: Synopsys.ai and Agentic AI roadmap should sustain competitive differentiation and potential new monetization avenues as workflows evolve .
  • Balance sheet: Elevated debt from Ansys financing raises interest burden short term; cash remains adequate, with expected divestiture proceeds to support deleveraging (CFO) .