SI
SYNOPSYS INC (SNPS)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 FY24 revenue was $1.636B (+11% YoY) with non-GAAP EPS $3.40 (+13% YoY), both above the midpoints of company guidance; GAAP EPS was $1.79 as non-GAAP excludes stock comp, amortization and M&A/divestiture items .
- Management guided FY25 to double‑digit revenue growth ($6.745–$6.805B) and ~40% non‑GAAP operating margin, with 1H/2H revenue split ~45/55 due to an eight‑day calendar headwind in 1H and timing of IP/hardware deliveries; Q1 FY25 revenue is $1.435–$1.465B and non‑GAAP EPS $2.77–$2.82 .
- Strategic catalysts: Ansys acquisition remains on track for 1H25; HSR waiting period expired and Synopsys is working with the FTC staff on remedies; customers are “overwhelmingly supportive” of the pro-competitive deal .
- Demand drivers: AI/HPC design starts, multi‑die architectures, and hardware‑assisted verification underpin robust Design Automation growth; DSO.ai has now optimized 700+ cumulative tape‑outs, and hardware logged record activity with 50+ repeat HAPS customers and 8 new ZeBu EP customers in Q4 .
- Estimates context: Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) was unavailable; we benchmark to prior guidance and reported results. Q4 actuals landed within/above company Q4 guidance midpoints; FY25 initial guidance embeds conservative China and export‑control assumptions .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
- What Went Well
- Delivered record Q4 revenue ($1.636B) and non‑GAAP EPS ($3.40), capping FY24 with 15% revenue growth and ~25% non‑GAAP EPS growth; CEO: “AI‑driven reinvention of compute…expands our opportunity” .
- Design Automation up 17% YoY in Q4; strong Fusion Compiler wins (TSMC N2/N4) and accelerating Synopsys.ai adoption with 30–60% faster time to results across 11 EDA products .
- Hardware and IP strength: 50+ repeat HAPS customers and 8 new ZeBu EP in Q4; 7 PCIe 6 wins and more than 20 die‑to‑die design wins; TSMC 2024 Partner of the Year for Interface IP .
- What Went Wrong
- Q1 FY25 guide is sequentially down due to 8 fewer days (~$80M) and a low IP pull‑down quarter; management flagged more second‑half weighting for IP and hardware .
- China/export controls: New BIS rules added customers to the entity list and restricted some technologies; FY25 outlook fully incorporates these headwinds and broader China macro pragmatism .
- Segment margin mix: Design IP margin compressed vs prior year in Q4 (36.7% vs 46.0% in Q4’23) on mix and timing, even as full‑year IP margin expanded 500 bps; DA segment margin also eased vs Q3 on mix .
Financial Results
Revenue and EPS by Quarter
Segment Revenue and Margins
Selected P&L Line Items (Q4 FY24)
KPIs and Operating Metrics
Actual vs Prior Guidance (Q4 FY24)
Note: GAAP vs non‑GAAP differs primarily by stock‑based compensation, amortization of intangibles, and acquisition/divestiture‑related items .
Guidance Changes
New FY25 and Q1 FY25 Guidance (initial issuance)
Management also expects non‑GAAP operating margin ~40% for FY25 at the midpoint .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategy and AI tailwinds: “The AI-driven reinvention of compute is accelerating the pace, scale and systemic complexity of technology R&D, which in turn expands our opportunity” — CEO, Sassine Ghazi .
- FY25 setup and discipline: “We expect to deliver double-digit revenue growth and 40% operating margin… balancing our guidance with pragmatism given… largest acquisition in our history and… macro uncertainties” — CEO .
- Visibility: “Resilient and stable business model with noncancelable backlog of $8.1 billion” — CFO, Shelagh Glaser .
- Second-half weighting rationale: “10 fewer days in the first half of 2025… ~ $100 million;… timing of IP and hardware deliveries” — CFO .
- Regulatory progress: “HSR waiting period has expired… working cooperatively with FTC staff to conclude the investigation and… review of proposed remedies” — CEO .
Q&A Highlights
- Guide context and conservatism: FY25 outlook reflects “tale of two markets” (AI infra strong vs. other end-markets slower), China macro and new restrictions, and Ansys integration readiness; hence pragmatic 11.5–12.5% underlying growth view .
- Q1 sequential downtick: About $80M from eight fewer days; Q1 a “low” IP pull‑down quarter; stronger 2H as customers time IP/hardware intake .
- Export controls: New BIS restrictions and entity list additions fully incorporated into FY25 guide .
- Hardware capacity: Customer space/power constraints push some hardware deliveries to 2H; ZeBu Cloud offered as bridge but limited in scale .
- Pricing/leverage: Operating margin expansion is multiyear and broad-based (AI in internal workflows, digital transformation); +150 bps guided for FY25 .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus estimates for Q4 FY24 revenue and EPS were unavailable at time of analysis; therefore, we benchmark performance to prior company guidance and reported results. Values from S&P Global could not be retrieved due to request limits and are not included here (consensus unavailable). The quarter’s revenue and non‑GAAP EPS came in within/above the company’s Q4 guidance bands and above the guidance midpoint .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- AI/multi‑die remain powerful secular drivers for Synopsys across EDA, IP, and hardware; Q4 delivered broad‑based execution with strong AI product traction (DSO.ai, VSO/ASO, knowledge assistants) and multi‑die/IP wins .
- FY25 set-up is second‑half weighted (calendar headwind, IP/hardware timing); near‑term quarterly lumpiness should not distract from targeted ~40% non‑GAAP operating margin and double‑digit top‑line growth .
- Hardware capacity (customer space/power) and export restrictions (especially China) are non‑trivial near‑term headwinds but are explicitly embedded in guidance, de‑risking the outlook .
- Ansys remains a strategic catalyst; HSR waiting period expiration and ongoing FTC dialogue are positives; closing in 1H25 would expand TAM and enable electronics‑physics co‑design leverage .
- Segment watch: IP remains lumpy but structurally strong; Design Automation demand robust with advanced node and AI design starts; track segment margins (DA/IP) as product mix shifts .
- KPI/Visibility: $8.1B non‑cancelable backlog and recurring EDA contracts underpin high visibility; continue to monitor renewal/pricing and AI uplift in ACV over time .
- Trading setup: Expect softer Q1 seasonally and by calendar effect, with a more constructive 2H ramp; catalysts include regulatory milestones on Ansys and continued AI/hardware/IP wins .
Appendix: Additional Q4 Product/Portfolio Updates
- Post‑quarter, Synopsys announced industry‑first Ultra Ethernet and UALink IP to connect massive AI accelerator clusters (up to 1.6Tbps bandwidth, up to 200Gbps/lane) with collaborations from AMD, Astera, Juniper, Tenstorrent, XConn — reinforcing AI data‑center interconnect leadership heading into 2025 .