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SI

SYNOPSYS INC (SNPS)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 FY24 revenue was $1.636B (+11% YoY) with non-GAAP EPS $3.40 (+13% YoY), both above the midpoints of company guidance; GAAP EPS was $1.79 as non-GAAP excludes stock comp, amortization and M&A/divestiture items .
  • Management guided FY25 to double‑digit revenue growth ($6.745–$6.805B) and ~40% non‑GAAP operating margin, with 1H/2H revenue split ~45/55 due to an eight‑day calendar headwind in 1H and timing of IP/hardware deliveries; Q1 FY25 revenue is $1.435–$1.465B and non‑GAAP EPS $2.77–$2.82 .
  • Strategic catalysts: Ansys acquisition remains on track for 1H25; HSR waiting period expired and Synopsys is working with the FTC staff on remedies; customers are “overwhelmingly supportive” of the pro-competitive deal .
  • Demand drivers: AI/HPC design starts, multi‑die architectures, and hardware‑assisted verification underpin robust Design Automation growth; DSO.ai has now optimized 700+ cumulative tape‑outs, and hardware logged record activity with 50+ repeat HAPS customers and 8 new ZeBu EP customers in Q4 .
  • Estimates context: Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) was unavailable; we benchmark to prior guidance and reported results. Q4 actuals landed within/above company Q4 guidance midpoints; FY25 initial guidance embeds conservative China and export‑control assumptions .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well
    • Delivered record Q4 revenue ($1.636B) and non‑GAAP EPS ($3.40), capping FY24 with 15% revenue growth and ~25% non‑GAAP EPS growth; CEO: “AI‑driven reinvention of compute…expands our opportunity” .
    • Design Automation up 17% YoY in Q4; strong Fusion Compiler wins (TSMC N2/N4) and accelerating Synopsys.ai adoption with 30–60% faster time to results across 11 EDA products .
    • Hardware and IP strength: 50+ repeat HAPS customers and 8 new ZeBu EP in Q4; 7 PCIe 6 wins and more than 20 die‑to‑die design wins; TSMC 2024 Partner of the Year for Interface IP .
  • What Went Wrong
    • Q1 FY25 guide is sequentially down due to 8 fewer days (~$80M) and a low IP pull‑down quarter; management flagged more second‑half weighting for IP and hardware .
    • China/export controls: New BIS rules added customers to the entity list and restricted some technologies; FY25 outlook fully incorporates these headwinds and broader China macro pragmatism .
    • Segment margin mix: Design IP margin compressed vs prior year in Q4 (36.7% vs 46.0% in Q4’23) on mix and timing, even as full‑year IP margin expanded 500 bps; DA segment margin also eased vs Q3 on mix .

Financial Results

Revenue and EPS by Quarter

MetricQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Revenue ($B)$1.455 $1.526 $1.636
GAAP EPS ($)$1.92 $2.73 $1.79
Non-GAAP EPS ($)$3.00 $3.43 $3.40

Segment Revenue and Margins

MetricQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Design Automation Revenue ($M)$1,054.9 $1,062.6 $1,118.2
Design IP Revenue ($M)$399.8 $463.1 $517.8
Design Automation Adjusted Op Margin (%)39.6% 41.5% 37.0%
Design IP Adjusted Op Margin (%)31.2% 36.7% 36.7%

Selected P&L Line Items (Q4 FY24)

MetricQ4 2024
Gross Margin ($M)$1,260.963
Operating Income ($M)$310.802
Net Income from Continuing Ops ($M)$279.281
Diluted Shares (M)155.991

KPIs and Operating Metrics

KPIQ4 2024
Non‑cancelable backlog$8.1B (FY-end, flat YoY on continuing ops basis)
DSO.ai adoption700+ cumulative tape‑outs; up to 90% of SoC blocks on some chips
HAPS hardware50+ repeat customers; >10 new customers in Q4
ZeBu EP hardware7 repeat and 8 new customers in Q4

Actual vs Prior Guidance (Q4 FY24)

MetricPrior Guide (Q3 release)Actual Q4 2024Outcome
Revenue ($B)$1.614–$1.644 $1.636 At high end/above midpoint
Non‑GAAP EPS ($)$3.27–$3.32 $3.40 Above range
GAAP EPS ($)$2.25–$2.39 $1.79 Below guide on GAAP due to non‑GAAP add‑backs (see reconciliation)

Note: GAAP vs non‑GAAP differs primarily by stock‑based compensation, amortization of intangibles, and acquisition/divestiture‑related items .

Guidance Changes

New FY25 and Q1 FY25 Guidance (initial issuance)

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue ($M)Q1 FY25N/A$1,435–$1,465 Initiated
Revenue ($M)FY25N/A$6,745–$6,805 Initiated
GAAP Expenses ($M)Q1/FY25N/A$1,142–$1,162 / $4,926–$4,983 Initiated
Non‑GAAP Expenses ($M)Q1/FY25N/A$945–$955 / $4,045–$4,085 Initiated
Non‑GAAP I&O ($M)Q1/FY25N/A$20–$22 / $94–$98 Initiated
Non‑GAAP Tax RateQ1/FY25N/A16% / 16% Initiated
GAAP EPS ($)Q1/FY25N/A$1.81–$1.95 / $10.42–$10.63 Initiated
Non‑GAAP EPS ($)Q1/FY25N/A$2.77–$2.82 / $14.88–$14.96 Initiated
Operating Cash Flow ($M)FY25N/A~ $1,800 Initiated
Free Cash Flow ($M)FY25N/A~ $1,600 Initiated
Capex ($M)FY25N/A~ $170 Initiated
1H/2H Revenue SplitFY25N/A45% / 55%; 10 fewer days in 1H (-$100M) Initiated

Management also expects non‑GAAP operating margin ~40% for FY25 at the midpoint .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 & Q3 FY24)Current Period (Q4 FY24)Trend
AI/EDA monetizationDSO.ai ~20% uplift on renewals; VSO/ASO early; AI seen lifting core EDA growth toward 12–14% over time DSO.ai across 700+ tape‑outs; 30–60% faster results via knowledge assistants on 11 products Accelerating adoption
Multi‑die & advanced nodes3D IC Compiler momentum; N2/N3 validations; die‑to‑die (UCIe) ~50 lifetime wins by Q2 End‑to‑end multi‑die solution with TSMC test chip; >20 die‑to‑die wins; 40‑Gb UCIe IP wins Broadening
Hardware‑assisted verificationStrong Q2/Q3 demand; ZeBu EP traction; HAPS for multi‑die Record year; 50+ repeat HAPS customers; 8 new ZeBu EP in Q4; building ZeBu Cloud to bridge capacity Strong and capacity‑constrained near term
China/macro & export controlsCautious stance; growth still expected in FY24 New BIS rules incorporated; China expected at/below corporate growth; pragmatic outlook Persistent headwind
Backlog/visibility$7.9B in Q2; $7.9B in Q3 on continuing ops $8.1B FY-end, flat YoY on continuing ops; supports guidance Stable/high visibility
Ansys acquisitionOn track 1H25; customer support; separate operations HSR waiting period expired; working with FTC on remedies; closure expected 1H25 Advancing regulatory path
Segment mix & marginsIP “lumpy”; strong Q2/Q3 IP growth; DA double-digit TTM Q1 FY25 low IP pull‑down; FY25 margin expansion +150 bps guided; 40% OM target Near‑term lumpiness, medium‑term leverage

Management Commentary

  • Strategy and AI tailwinds: “The AI-driven reinvention of compute is accelerating the pace, scale and systemic complexity of technology R&D, which in turn expands our opportunity” — CEO, Sassine Ghazi .
  • FY25 setup and discipline: “We expect to deliver double-digit revenue growth and 40% operating margin… balancing our guidance with pragmatism given… largest acquisition in our history and… macro uncertainties” — CEO .
  • Visibility: “Resilient and stable business model with noncancelable backlog of $8.1 billion” — CFO, Shelagh Glaser .
  • Second-half weighting rationale: “10 fewer days in the first half of 2025… ~ $100 million;… timing of IP and hardware deliveries” — CFO .
  • Regulatory progress: “HSR waiting period has expired… working cooperatively with FTC staff to conclude the investigation and… review of proposed remedies” — CEO .

Q&A Highlights

  • Guide context and conservatism: FY25 outlook reflects “tale of two markets” (AI infra strong vs. other end-markets slower), China macro and new restrictions, and Ansys integration readiness; hence pragmatic 11.5–12.5% underlying growth view .
  • Q1 sequential downtick: About $80M from eight fewer days; Q1 a “low” IP pull‑down quarter; stronger 2H as customers time IP/hardware intake .
  • Export controls: New BIS restrictions and entity list additions fully incorporated into FY25 guide .
  • Hardware capacity: Customer space/power constraints push some hardware deliveries to 2H; ZeBu Cloud offered as bridge but limited in scale .
  • Pricing/leverage: Operating margin expansion is multiyear and broad-based (AI in internal workflows, digital transformation); +150 bps guided for FY25 .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus estimates for Q4 FY24 revenue and EPS were unavailable at time of analysis; therefore, we benchmark performance to prior company guidance and reported results. Values from S&P Global could not be retrieved due to request limits and are not included here (consensus unavailable). The quarter’s revenue and non‑GAAP EPS came in within/above the company’s Q4 guidance bands and above the guidance midpoint .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • AI/multi‑die remain powerful secular drivers for Synopsys across EDA, IP, and hardware; Q4 delivered broad‑based execution with strong AI product traction (DSO.ai, VSO/ASO, knowledge assistants) and multi‑die/IP wins .
  • FY25 set-up is second‑half weighted (calendar headwind, IP/hardware timing); near‑term quarterly lumpiness should not distract from targeted ~40% non‑GAAP operating margin and double‑digit top‑line growth .
  • Hardware capacity (customer space/power) and export restrictions (especially China) are non‑trivial near‑term headwinds but are explicitly embedded in guidance, de‑risking the outlook .
  • Ansys remains a strategic catalyst; HSR waiting period expiration and ongoing FTC dialogue are positives; closing in 1H25 would expand TAM and enable electronics‑physics co‑design leverage .
  • Segment watch: IP remains lumpy but structurally strong; Design Automation demand robust with advanced node and AI design starts; track segment margins (DA/IP) as product mix shifts .
  • KPI/Visibility: $8.1B non‑cancelable backlog and recurring EDA contracts underpin high visibility; continue to monitor renewal/pricing and AI uplift in ACV over time .
  • Trading setup: Expect softer Q1 seasonally and by calendar effect, with a more constructive 2H ramp; catalysts include regulatory milestones on Ansys and continued AI/hardware/IP wins .

Appendix: Additional Q4 Product/Portfolio Updates

  • Post‑quarter, Synopsys announced industry‑first Ultra Ethernet and UALink IP to connect massive AI accelerator clusters (up to 1.6Tbps bandwidth, up to 200Gbps/lane) with collaborations from AMD, Astera, Juniper, Tenstorrent, XConn — reinforcing AI data‑center interconnect leadership heading into 2025 .