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    SYNOPSYS (SNPS)

    Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

    Reported on Feb 7, 2025 (After Market Close)
    Pre-Earnings Price$588.00Last close (Dec 4, 2024)
    Post-Earnings Price$544.52Open (Dec 5, 2024)
    Price Change
    $-43.48(-7.39%)
    • Strong momentum in AI infrastructure investments: Synopsys is benefiting from increased investments by customers serving the AI infrastructure market, with these customers needing advanced IP for complex multi-die designs and first adopting Synopsys's AI-driven solutions.
    • Operational efficiency driving margin expansion: The company has a multiyear focus on driving leverage and improving operating margins, expecting a 150 basis points improvement to 40% in fiscal year 2025, achieved through efficiency initiatives including AI and software modernization.
    • Healthy backlog providing revenue visibility: Synopsys has an $8.1 billion non-cancelable backlog, flat year-over-year despite delivering 15% growth, indicating strong business health and high revenue visibility for the future.
    • Synopsys is experiencing deceleration in China due to economic slowdown and expanded restrictions, which could impact growth in that region. They anticipate China growth to be in line with corporate average rather than above it. ,
    • The company provided a more conservative revenue growth guidance for FY 2025 at 11.5% to 12.5%, which is below previous starting ranges, due to macroeconomic uncertainties, slower recovery in certain markets like mobile, PC, automotive, and preparation for the pending Ansys acquisition.
    • Revenue guidance is more second-half weighted than usual, with 55% of revenue expected in the second half, leading to skepticism about their ability to achieve these targets if there are delays in customer pull-downs for IP and hardware.
    MetricYoY ChangeReason

    Total Revenue

    -6%

    Primarily impacted by a drop in time-based product revenue, which offset growth in Design Automation. Prior-period comparisons were strong, and macro softness in the U.S. further weighed on revenue.

    Design Automation

    +17%

    Driven by broad-based demand for advanced node designs and AI-driven verification solutions; ongoing HPC and automotive projects contributed to continued momentum.

    Time-Based Products

    -16%

    Declined due to expiration of previously booked TSL licenses and fewer large multi-year renewals relative to the prior period.

    Upfront Products

    +15%

    Higher demand for IP and hardware products increased upfront sales; strong adoption in prototyping/emulation and automotive IP invigorated short-term revenue.

    United States

    -21%

    Reflects reduced renewals and some deal timing shifts compared to a robust prior-year base; also impacted by ongoing macro uncertainties.

    China

    +33%

    Benefited from post-pandemic rebound and solid adoption in automotive (e.g., EV expansion) and advanced semiconductor design, despite broader regulatory headwinds.

    Korea

    +19%

    Growth fueled by semiconductor and display design projects and continued traction in HPC, partly boosted by faster adoption of advanced process technology.

    Other

    -11%

    Decrease mainly from regional shifts in project timing and a less favorable product mix compared to last year, with no significant pull-ins this period.

    Net Income

    +217%

    Driven by strong operating performance, improved margins, and one-time gains on deferred compensation plan assets and strategic investments; prior-year base was comparatively lower.

    MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange

    Revenue

    Q1 2025

    no prior guidance

    $1.435B to $1.465B

    no prior guidance

    Total GAAP Costs and Expenses

    Q1 2025

    no prior guidance

    $1.14B to $1.16B

    no prior guidance

    Total Non-GAAP Costs and Expenses

    Q1 2025

    no prior guidance

    $945M to $955M

    no prior guidance

    GAAP EPS

    Q1 2025

    no prior guidance

    $1.81 to $1.95

    no prior guidance

    Non-GAAP EPS

    Q1 2025

    no prior guidance

    $2.77 to $2.82

    no prior guidance

    Revenue

    FY 2025

    no prior guidance

    $6.745B to $6.805B

    no prior guidance

    Total GAAP Costs and Expenses

    FY 2025

    no prior guidance

    $4.93B to $4.98B

    no prior guidance

    Total Non-GAAP Costs and Expenses

    FY 2025

    no prior guidance

    $4.05B to $4.09B

    no prior guidance

    Non-GAAP Operating Margin

    FY 2025

    no prior guidance

    40% at the midpoint

    no prior guidance

    Non-GAAP Tax Rate

    FY 2025

    no prior guidance

    16%

    no prior guidance

    GAAP EPS

    FY 2025

    no prior guidance

    $10.42 to $10.63

    no prior guidance

    Non-GAAP EPS

    FY 2025

    no prior guidance

    $14.88 to $14.96

    no prior guidance

    Cash Flow from Operations

    FY 2025

    no prior guidance

    $1.8B

    no prior guidance

    Free Cash Flow

    FY 2025

    no prior guidance

    $1.6B

    no prior guidance

    MetricPeriodGuidanceActualPerformance
    Revenue
    Q4 2024
    $1.614B to $1.644B
    $1.636B
    Met
    GAAP EPS
    Q4 2024
    $2.25 to $2.39
    $7.26
    Surpassed
    Revenue
    FY 2024
    $6.105B to $6.135B
    $6.127B (sum of Q1+ Q2+ Q3+ Q4)
    Met
    GAAP EPS
    FY 2024
    $9.71 to $9.85
    $14.78 (sum of Q1 EPS 2.95+ Q2 EPS 1.91+ Q3 EPS 2.66+ Q4 EPS 7.26)
    Surpassed
    TopicPrevious MentionsCurrent PeriodTrend

    AI infrastructure-driven demand

    Consistently a major demand theme from Q1–Q3, fueling HPC design cycles and verification solutions ( ).

    Strong growth driven by HPC chip design expansions and hyperscaler investments. AI remains a secular driver ( ).

    Recurring with increasingly positive momentum

    China deceleration and restrictions

    Cautious since Q1, referencing entity list restrictions, macro deceleration, and pragmatic approach ( ).

    Shrinking customer pool in China due to expanding restrictions, incorporated into FY’25 guidance ( ).

    Recurring with more cautious sentiment

    Ansys acquisition

    High synergy potential and strong customer support in Q1–Q3, focusing on regulatory approvals and integration benefits ( ).

    Largest transaction in engineering software, regulatory progress ongoing, mindful of integration risk, synergy with multi-physics, expected closing in 1H FY’25 ( ).

    Recurring with consistent positivity

    Hardware business and verification solutions

    Sustained strength in Q1–Q3, including VSO.ai adoption and large-scale HPC customer deployments ( ).

    Record year in hardware with strong momentum in HAPS and ZeBu; AI-driven verification solutions expanding ( ).

    Recurring with ongoing strong performance

    IP business growth and revenue lumpiness

    Double-digit IP growth mentioned each quarter; lumpiness linked to customer design schedules in Q1–Q3 ( ).

    24% YoY growth to $1.91B in FY’24, driven by automotive and advanced-node demand; revenue remains lumpy due to pull-down timing ( ).

    Recurring; steady growth with normal fluctuations

    Operating margin and efficiency focus

    From Q1–Q3, margins steadily expanded from mid-30s to near-40%, reflecting continuous operational discipline and investment prioritization ( ).

    Non-GAAP operating margin of 38.5% in FY’24, targeting 40% in FY’25; AI and digital transformation drive productivity ( ).

    Recurring with consistent upward margin trajectory

    Backlog fluctuations

    Q3 backlog at $7.9B, Q2 at $7.9B, Q1 at $8.2B, showing normal ebbs and flows from large customer orders ( ).

    Stable at $8.1B, flat YoY; delivered 15% growth without tapping backlog. Noncancelable contracts ensure resilience ( ).

    Recurring with manageable variations

    Intel outsourcing EDA and IP needs

    Discussion in Q3–Q2 about Intel shifting from in-house EDA/IP since 2007; partnership on Intel Foundry 18A process ( ).

    No mention of Intel outsourcing in Q4 FY’24.

    Not mentioned in current period

    Weighted second-half revenue guidance for FY’25

    No mention in Q1–Q3.

    First mention of a more second-half weighted FY’25 (45%-55% split) due to 10 fewer days in H1 and IP/hardware timing ( ).

    New topic in the current period

    Multi-die integration

    Q3–Q1 detail expansions in multi-die IP, 3D IC Compiler, and synergy with Ansys, demonstrating rising adoption and design challenges ( ).

    Projected to comprise 90% of HPC AI designs by 2027; TSMC multi-die tape-out using Synopsys solutions highlights growing complexity ( ).

    Recurring with growing importance

    1. FY'25 Growth Guidance
      Q: Why is FY'25 growth guidance lower at 11.5%-12.5%?
      A: Management provided a balanced view for FY'25, considering several factors. They observe a "tale of two markets": customers serving the AI infrastructure build-out are doing incredibly well and benefiting Synopsys across EDA, hardware, and IP. However, the rest of the semiconductor market (mobile, PC, automotive, industrial) is not delivering similar growth levels. Additionally, macro uncertainties, particularly in China where the economy continues to decelerate and restrictions are expanding, are impacting their outlook. Lastly, they are preparing for the closing of the Ansys acquisition, the largest in the engineering software industry, and need to be prudent around any potential disruption. Therefore, after delivering a 15% growth last year, they are guiding 11.5% to 12.5% growth for FY'25 with pragmatism.

    2. Impact of China's Slowdown
      Q: How is China's slowdown impacting Synopsys' outlook?
      A: Revenue and growth in China have decelerated over the past 3-5 years due to a shrinking pool of customers caused by restrictions. The Chinese economy continues to decelerate, and the proliferation of start-ups has diminished. Synopsys anticipates China will not be above the corporate growth but in line with the corporate average performance. They are taking these factors into account and continue to be pragmatic in their FY'25 guidance.

    3. Large Customer Restructuring
      Q: How does restructuring at your largest customer affect Synopsys?
      A: Large customers have multiyear committed EDA contracts that are ratable over 3+ years. They also have contracts for IP and hardware, with pull-downs and timing depending on their roadmap. If a customer pauses or shifts projects, IP pull-downs and hardware consumption shift to the right, impacting revenue timing. Synopsys will see lumpiness on a customer-by-customer basis, and they have incorporated these dynamics into the FY'25 guidance and the 45%-55% revenue split, accounting for the timing of pull-downs.

    4. Operating Margin Expansion
      Q: How are you achieving operating margin improvement despite slowing revenue growth?
      A: Synopsys is driving leverage across the company through a multiyear focus on efficiency. They improved operating margin by 2 points last year and are targeting another 150 basis points improvement in FY'25. This is achieved by enhancing efficiency in R&D, modernizing software development, and driving digital transformation. As they bring Ansys in, they will work towards synergies.

    5. Seasonality and Second Half Weighting
      Q: Why is there significant second-half weighting in FY'25, and should investors be skeptical?
      A: Two main effects drive the 45%-55% split. First is a mechanical effect: there are 10 fewer days in the first half of FY'25 compared to FY'24 due to the fiscal year change, leading to a $100 million headwind in the ratable business. Second, upfront businesses (IP and hardware) are more second-half weighted based on customer pull-downs. IP is lumpy, and hardware customers need time to secure space and power for installations, leading to more second-half activity. Synopsys is building out ZeBu Cloud to assist customers in the meantime. Management emphasizes their track record of delivering on commitments and notes that lumpiness is due to their successes and shifting revenue profiles.

    6. Growth in AI Design Starts
      Q: What is the outlook for growth in AI design starts?
      A: Investments from hyperscalers and semiconductor companies serving them have been accelerating over the last 3-5 years. Hyperscalers are increasing their silicon investments to differentiate and optimize their workloads. Semiconductor companies are delivering AI accelerators with increasing roadmaps, greatly contributing to Synopsys' revenue growth. Management does not see this momentum slowing down in FY'25 with that cohort of customers.

    7. Impact of Department of Commerce Rules
      Q: Do new U.S. semiconductor rules impact FY'25 outlook?
      A: Yes, some customers were added to the entity list, and new technology restrictions were introduced. However, these most recent restrictions are fully incorporated into Synopsys' FY'25 guidance.

    8. Alignment for Growth and AI Strategy
      Q: How are you preparing operations for growth and AI opportunities?
      A: Crossing $6 billion in revenue requires evolving how they drive product development and deliver solutions. Synopsys is focusing on scaling the company, restructuring to support market-leading innovation, and modernizing engineering workflows. They are investing in technologies to improve R&D efficiency and productivity.

    9. Customer-Specific AI Use Cases
      Q: How do customer-specific AI use cases affect your offerings?
      A: Synopsys first embedded AI into their products, such as the XSO.ai family, which has seen good customer adoption. For knowledge assistant AI applications, customers prefer to train AI models based on their own data and workflows. The next phase involves agentic generative AI, which will change how they deliver and monetize solutions, potentially leading to new business models.

    10. Potential Royalty Models for IP
      Q: Are you considering royalty models for IP deliverables?
      A: For traditional interface IP, Synopsys does not plan to introduce royalties and will continue with base monetization. Some parts of their IP business already involve royalties, which will continue. The next inflection point is delivering beyond interface IP, such as subsystems or chiplets, where new business models, including royalties, could be explored.

    11. Clarification on Backlog
      Q: Is the $8.1 billion backlog adjusted for Software Integrity?
      A: Yes, the FY'23 ending backlog of $8.1 billion is adjusted for Software Integrity.

    12. Impact of Optical Solutions Divestiture
      Q: Is there any revenue impact from the Optical Solutions divestiture?
      A: No, the Optical Solutions Group will remain part of their continuing business until the Ansys transaction closes and is still included in their forecast.

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