TD SYNNEX CORP (SNX) Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 FY25 delivered record non-GAAP gross billings ($22.73B) and non-GAAP EPS ($3.58), with revenue $15.65B up 6.6% YoY and above the high end of outlook; gross margin expanded 68 bps YoY to 7.22% as mix shifted more net, while GAAP EPS was $2.74 .
- Broad-based strength: Endpoint Solutions (PC refresh, AI PCs) and Advanced Solutions (software, cybersecurity, cloud) drove double-digit gross billings growth; HIVE grew mid-30s with margins stabilizing and operating profit above expectations, lifting company results .
- Q4 FY25 guidance calls for revenue $16.5–$17.3B, non-GAAP gross billings $23.0–$24.0B, non-GAAP EPS $3.45–$3.95, tax rate ~23%, and interest expense ~$91M; dividend declared at $0.44 per share (10% YoY increase) .
- Capital returns remained robust: $210M in Q3 (repurchases $174M, dividends $36M); free cash flow was $214M in Q3, with management targeting ~$850M FCF in Q4 and ~$800M for FY25 given elevated working capital from growth (near-term cash conversion cycle improvement expected) .
- Catalysts: upside surprise to revenue and EPS versus S&P Global consensus, stronger-than-expected HIVE momentum and Q4 EPS guidance; watch for tariff/macro developments and CFO transition announced Oct 2 (David Jordan named CFO) as potential governance signal .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Record non-GAAP diluted EPS ($3.58) and gross billings ($22.7B), both above guidance; “our third quarter non-GAAP gross billings and diluted earnings per share established new records” — CEO Patrick Zammit .
- HIVE strength: gross billings up mid-30s with margins returning to historical levels and operating profit exceeding expectations; customer diversification improved, with second-largest customer accelerating and networking/compute demand robust .
- Mix tailwinds: software gross billings up 26% (cybersecurity, infrastructure software) and PCs strong on Windows 11 refresh and higher AI PC mix; gross margin expanded and cost-to-gross profit improved to 58% as SG&A scaled .
What Went Wrong
- Cash flow trajectory: free cash flow $214M in Q3; full-year FCF reset to ~$800M (from prior $1.1B commentary), reflecting higher working capital needs, particularly at HIVE with longer cash conversion cycles .
- Gross-to-net remained elevated (~31%) due to more agent transactions (HIVE) and higher software mix, dampening reported revenue versus gross billings; net treatment above prior year and slightly higher than expected .
- Macro/public sector: U.S. federal demand softer, tariff uncertainty cited; management remains “cautiously optimistic” given geopolitical and trade risks .
Financial Results
Regional Q3 FY25 vs Q3 FY24 Breakdown
KPIs and Balance Metrics
Guidance Changes
Note: Q3 FY25 actuals came in above the high end of Q2-provided Q3 guidance on revenue and non-GAAP EPS .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Our performance is a clear result of our teams’ strong execution, a differentiated go-to-market strategy, and a global, end-to-end portfolio of products and services that is unrivaled.” — CEO Patrick Zammit .
- HIVE: “Gross billings increasing in the mid-30s… margins returned to historical levels, and operating profit exceeded expectations… customer mix is shifting favorably; substantial growth beyond our top customer.” — CEO .
- Portfolio momentum: “Software continued to be a standout, experiencing a 26% increase in gross billings… continued demand in PCs driven by a higher mix of AI PCs and the Windows 11 refresh cycle.” — CEO .
- Margin/operating leverage: “Gross margin… increased 23 bps YoY… Non-GAAP SG&A expense was $655M, or 3% of gross billings… cost-to-gross profit was 58%… Non-GAAP operating income increased 21% YoY to $475M.” — CFO .
- Q4 outlook: “Gross billings $23–$24B… net revenue $16.5–$17.3B… non-GAAP net income $281–$322M… non-GAAP diluted EPS $3.45–$3.95… tax rate ~23%… interest expense $91M.” — CFO .
Q&A Highlights
- HIVE sustainability and drivers: Management cited broad program/customer growth, second-largest customer demand returning, and stronger supply chain services; growth skewed to networking and traditional compute (GPU projects in pipeline) .
- PC pull-forward and refresh: Q3 pull-forward minimal; demand driven by Windows 11 refresh and rising AI PC mix; refresh in “mid to late innings” .
- Free cash flow recalibration: FY25 FCF now ~$800M; Q4 ~$850M, split between earnings and 2–3 day CCC improvement; medium-term net income-to-FCF conversion ~95% intact .
- Macro/tariffs: Team remains cautious given tariff and geopolitical uncertainty; guide implies prudent stance vs Q2 commentary .
- Customer diversification: Pipeline healthy across hyperscalers (“Super 6”) and sovereign opportunities; continued investments in U.S. manufacturing/SMT and engineering to move up the value chain .
Estimates Context
Q3 FY25 actuals vs Wall Street consensus (S&P Global):
- Q3 FY25 delivered a revenue beat (+$0.54B vs $15.11B consensus) and a strong EPS beat (+$0.53 vs $3.05 consensus); Q2 also beat both metrics, while Q1 was below EPS consensus amid HIVE mix/FX dynamics .
- Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Strong beat-and-raise setup: Revenue and EPS exceeded consensus; Q4 EPS guidance midpoint (~$3.70) implies continued double-digit YoY profit growth — a near-term positive for sentiment and potential multiple support .
- HIVE momentum and margin stabilization reduce prior risk; diversification beyond top customer and networking/compute strength underpin Q4 expectations despite lumpy dynamics .
- Mix-driven economics: Elevated gross-to-net reflects more agent transactions and software mix; however, this structure supports higher gross margins and operating leverage via lower SG&A-to-billings .
- PC refresh and AI PCs remain a tailwind through Q4; monitor cadence into FY26 as refresh normalizes and pricing benefits fade .
- Free cash flow path: FY FCF reset to
$800M with targeted CCC improvements in Q4; strong Q4 cash inflow ($850M) is critical for capital return capacity and de-leveraging . - Capital returns intact: $210M returned in Q3 (repurchases/dividends) and $0.44 dividend declared; repurchase opportunism likely continues given cash generation plans .
- Watch risks: Tariff/geopolitical uncertainty and HIVE lumpiness; governance continuity post CFO transition (Oct 2) appears managed with internal appointment (David Jordan) .
Why Results Moved
- Upside was driven by: stronger HIVE programs (networking/compute), broad-based software/cybersecurity growth, and continued PC refresh/AI PC mix; net presentation lifted margins while reported revenue converted lower from billings .
- Management execution and cost discipline improved cost-to-gross profit; SG&A efficiency and higher gross margins expanded operating margins despite elevated interest costs .
- Guidance reflects confidence in sustained demand (gross billings +~11% QoQ midpoint), stabilized HIVE margins, and contained tax/OI&E assumptions .
Appendix: Additional Context
- Q3 balance sheet/cash: Cash $874M; total assets $31.68B; LT borrowings $3.04B; current borrowings $1.19B; equity $8.45B .
- Regional constant currency impacts: Consolidated revenue CC $15.34B (down ~$316M FX), with Europe CC revenue reflecting FX headwinds; Americas/APJ modest CC adjustments .
- Corporate updates: CFO transition announced Oct 2 (David Jordan appointed CFO) — timing post-quarter; operational continuity highlighted by CEO .
All data and quotes sourced from TD SYNNEX’s Q3 FY25 8-K press release and earnings call, and prior two quarters’ filings/transcripts as cited.