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SD

SOLITRON DEVICES INC (SODI)·Q4 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 FY2025 was mixed: net sales fell 22% YoY to $3.13M while bookings surged 301% to $8.92M, driving backlog up 62% YoY to $18.11M; the company posted a net loss of $0.37M ($-0.18/sh) amid lower beginning backlog and increased rework in the quarter .
  • Management flagged a near-term air pocket with “soft revenues” expected in Q1 FY2026, improvement late in Q2 FY2026, and a steadier run-rate by Q3 FY2026; bookings are expected to lag sales in coming quarters despite robust end-market commentary for AMRAAM and HIMARS .
  • Preliminary April update guided a Q4 loss of ~$0.1–$0.2M; the final Q4 net loss was larger at $0.37M, reflecting revenue softness and additional items (including a $0.1M inventory reserve noted in the preliminary update) .
  • No Wall Street consensus was available for Q4 FY2025 (thin coverage). We anchor on company-reported figures and S&P Global confirms the absence of consensus for EPS and revenue (consensus unavailable; values retrieved from S&P Global)*.

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Bookings momentum: “Net bookings increased 301% to $8.92 million” in Q4, boosting backlog to $18.11M (+62% YoY), positioning future revenue conversion when production schedules normalize .
    • Defense program demand tailwinds: “We continue to see positive comments related to future production levels for both the AMRAAM and HIMARS programs,” including RTX noting AMRAAM production “scheduled to double in calendar year 2025,” and a HIMARS follow-on award likely driving supplemental orders in coming quarters .
    • New product pipeline: “We continue to see increased interest in new product development, including silicon carbide,” with prototypes in customer testing—potential incremental revenue streams longer term .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Revenue and margin compression: Q4 net sales declined 22% YoY to $3.13M; gross profit fell to $0.58M and operating income swung to a $(0.17)M loss as lower opening backlog and rework pressured conversion and mix .
    • Final results below preliminary loss range: preliminary Q4 net loss guided to ~$0.1–$0.2M; final Q4 net loss was $(0.37)M (additional drags beyond the inventory reserve cited in the preliminary update) .
    • Quality/supply disruptions earlier in FY2025: a plating supplier issue in Q2 drove scrapping of >2,000 parts, depressing revenue and inflating costs; while Q3 improved, Q4 also saw “increased level of rework,” highlighting execution risk in the near term .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 FY2024 (Feb 29, 2024)Q2 FY2025 (Aug 31, 2024)Q3 FY2025 (Nov 30, 2024)Q4 FY2025 (Feb 28, 2025)
Revenue ($M)$4.004 $3.581 $3.369 $3.131
Gross Profit ($M)$1.226 $0.738 $1.001 $0.577
Gross Margin (%)30.6% (calc from $1.226/$4.004) 20.6% (calc from $0.738/$3.581) 29.7% (calc from $1.001/$3.369) 18.4% (calc from $0.577/$3.131)
Operating Income ($M)$0.368 $0.050 $0.326 $(0.171)
Net Income ($M)$5.685 (non-recurring gains in FY2024) $0.017 $0.266 $(0.374)
Diluted EPS ($)$2.73 $0.01 $0.13 $(0.18)

Notes: FY2024 benefited from a $2.24M bargain purchase gain and a $3.02M tax valuation allowance release; Q4 FY2025 margin pressure driven by lower opening backlog and increased rework .

KPIs and Backlog/Bookings

KPIQ4 FY2024Q2 FY2025Q3 FY2025Q4 FY2025
Bookings ($M)$2.23 $1.75 $8.05 $8.92
Backlog ($M, period-end)$11.21 $7.57 $12.28 $18.11
Book-to-Bill (x)0.56x (calc $2.23/$4.004) 0.49x (calc $1.75/$3.581) 2.39x (calc $8.05/$3.369) 2.85x (calc $8.92/$3.131)

Estimates vs. Actuals (Q4 FY2025)

MetricConsensusActual
Revenue ($M)N/A*$3.131
EPS ($)N/A*$(0.18)

*Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Guidance Changes

Metric/TopicPeriodPrevious Guidance/CommentaryCurrent Guidance/CommentaryChange
Revenue cadenceFY2026 Q1–Q3None“Soft revenues in Q1 FY2026… sales to pick up at the end of Q2… steadier level in Q3” Introduced qualitative outlook
Bookings outlook4Q CY2024 to FY2025On Oct 15, 2024: expected $7–$12M bookings by calendar year-end (incl. potential end-of-life order) Q4 FY2025 bookings $8.92M; FY2025 bookings $20.76M; next few quarters bookings expected to lag sales Achieved within range; updated trajectory (bookings lag)
Defense program demand (AMRAAM/HIMARS)CY2025–next few quartersNoneRTX CEO said AMRAAM production “scheduled to double in CY2025”; HIMARS follow-on award implies supplemental orders in next few quarters; strong foreign demand Positive end-market outlook added
Quality/operationsNear termQ2 issue with plating supplier drove scrappage of >2,000 parts Q4 cited “increased level of rework”; near-term execution focus Continued operational scrutiny

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

No earnings call transcript was available for Q4 FY2025. Themes below synthesize company disclosures across Q2–Q4 FY2025.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2, Q3 FY2025)Current Period (Q4 FY2025)Trend
Supply chain/qualityQ2: plating supplier issue causing scrapping of >2,000 parts; Q3: operational recovery, adjusted OI view “Increased level of rework” affected Q4; lower beginning backlog constrained revenue Stabilizing but execution-sensitive
Bookings/backlogQ2: bookings down; expected large orders; Q3: bookings $8.05M, backlog $12.28M Bookings $8.92M; backlog $18.11M; bookings to lag sales near term Bookings surge; conversion timing shifts
Defense program demandLimited prior specificity; expectation for orders from largest programs AMRAAM doubling in CY2025 per RTX; HIMARS follow-on award supports supplemental orders; strong foreign demand Strengthening end-market signals
New products (SiC)Interest, prototypes in testing (Q2/Q3) Continued interest; optimism for added revenue sources Steady progress
Macro/governmentRisk disclosures around spending, Ukraine, rates (Q2/Q3) Similar risk framing in Q4 release Unchanged risk posture

Management Commentary

  • “We expect soft revenues in the first quarter of fiscal year 2026… and for sales to pick up at the end of the fiscal second quarter, before reaching a steadier level in the fiscal third quarter.”
  • “We continue to see positive comments related to future production levels for both the AMRAAM and HIMARS programs. The CEO of RTX recently stated that AMRAAM production was scheduled to double in calendar year 2025… HIMARS continues to perform well in Ukraine… Lockheed was just awarded a follow-on contract… which should lead to a supplemental order within the next few quarters.”
  • “We continue to see increased interest in new product development, including silicon carbide. We have developed various prototypes for testing by potential customers and continue to be optimistic about creating additional revenue sources.”
  • Q2 operational disruption: “An issue with a plating supplier… resulted in fully reserving over 2,000 parts… scrapping the parts caused a loss of revenue while incurring the cost…”
  • Q4 operational note: revenue decline “primarily due to… lower backlog at the beginning of the fiscal 2025 third quarter… along with an increased level of rework in the fourth quarter” (April preliminary update) .

Q&A Highlights

No analyst Q&A was available for Q4 FY2025. Company disclosures clarified:

  • Preliminary to final delta: final Q4 net loss ($0.37M) larger than preliminary loss range (~$0.1–$0.2M), consistent with revenue softness and rework/inventory reserve commentary .
  • Near-term revenue cadence and bookings-to-sales timing as the key drivers for FY2026 Q1–Q3 .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global shows no consensus for Q4 FY2025 EPS or revenue; the company appears thinly covered by the Street. We therefore benchmark to reported results (consensus unavailable; values retrieved from S&P Global)*.
  • Implication: Estimate revisions are unlikely to be a near-term catalyst; stock likely trades on order/backlog disclosures and defense production updates rather than “beat/miss” optics .

*Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Orders-led setup: Bookings and backlog inflected sharply (Q4 bookings $8.92M; backlog $18.11M), creating a clearer revenue pipeline once rework clears and production ramps .
  • Near-term softness, improving 2H cadence: Management expects soft Q1 FY2026, improvement late Q2, and steadier Q3—watch for shipment conversion against the enlarged backlog .
  • End-market momentum: AMRAAM and HIMARS commentary suggests multi-quarter demand strength; monitor RTX/Lockheed production schedules as upstream catalysts to SODI order flow .
  • Execution watch items: Q4 margin pressure (18.4% gross margin) and rework call for tight operational control; any quality/throughput improvements could unlock stronger decremental/incremental margins (calc from reported figures) .
  • Limited sell-side coverage: With no consensus, directionally significant updates on bookings/backlog may drive outsized stock reactions; traders should focus on 8-Ks and press releases for intra-quarter order updates .
  • MEI integration and SiC pipeline: Full-year MEI contribution ($6.08M FY2025) and SiC prototypes offer optionality for mix and margin as programs mature .
  • Risk balance: Government budget dynamics, supply chain/quality, and timing of large defense program orders remain the key swing factors disclosed by management .

Citations

  • Q4 FY2025 results and financials:
  • Preliminary Q4 update:
  • Q3 FY2025 results:
  • Q2 FY2025 results and disruption:
  • End-market commentary (AMRAAM/HIMARS):
  • Risk disclosures: