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SG

Sow Good Inc. (SOWG)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2025 was sharply down year over year as revenue fell 88% to $1.86M and gross margin contracted to (7%) on lower volumes and elevated occupancy costs; sequentially, revenue declined vs Q1 and margins swung negative due to production delays and labor constraints that pushed shipments into July .
  • No quantitative guidance was issued; management emphasized stabilized operations, fulfilled Halloween shipments in July, accelerating retail momentum (Five Below, Albertsons), and early international success in the UAE as setup for 2H reacceleration .
  • Liquidity remains tight: cash ended Q2 at $0.96M with inventory at $20.81M; management is “right‑sizing” occupancy costs and targeting cash flow breakeven “before the end of the year” .
  • Estimate context: S&P Global shows no Q2 Street consensus for revenue or EPS; no beat/miss assessment is possible. Coverage appears minimal; any future estimates likely need to reflect lower volume run‑rate and margin rebuild timelines (S&P Global data).*

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Completed production/packaging/shipping of holiday inventory and fulfilled Halloween shipments in July; partnerships deepened with Five Below and Albertsons (SKU and order volume expansions) .
  • Early international traction: UAE launch exceeding expectations, driving repeat orders and SKU expansion, validating global appetite for the brand .
  • Cost focus and operational stabilization: management reduced bonus expense, is right‑sizing occupancy, and re‑aligning production with demand; OpEx fell YoY to $3.9M .
    • Quote: “Operations continued to stabilize… demand accelerated—outpacing output due to temporary labor shortages. We’re actively scaling our workforce” .

What Went Wrong

  • Severe top‑line and margin compression: revenue fell to $1.86M from $15.65M YoY and gross margin declined to (7%) from 58%, primarily on lower sales and higher occupancy costs .
  • Competitive pressure from major CPG entrants and production delays (labor shortages) constrained output and pushed shipments out of Q2 .
  • Liquidity tightness: cash declined to $0.96M (from $1.62M in Q1 and $3.72M at YE), with high inventories ($20.81M) and continued negative Adjusted EBITDA of $(2.69)M .

Financial Results

Quarterly trend (oldest → newest)

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$1.38 $2.48 $1.86
Gross Margin %(88)% (reported); ~31.8% ex-reserve 45% (7)%
Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)$2.9 $3.51 $3.94
Net Income (Loss) ($USD Millions)$(4.17) $(2.57) $(4.19)
Diluted EPS ($)$(0.40) $(0.23) $(0.36)
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions, non‑GAAP)$(2.75) $(0.79) $(2.69)
Cash and Cash Equivalents ($USD Millions)$3.72 $1.62 $0.96
Inventory, net ($USD Millions)$20.31 $21.14 $20.81

Q2 year-over-year

MetricQ2 2024Q2 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$15.65 $1.86
Gross Margin %58% (7)%
Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)$4.12 $3.94
Net Income (Loss) ($USD Millions)$3.34 $(4.19)
Diluted EPS ($)$0.29 $(0.36)
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions, non‑GAAP)$6.22 $(2.69)

Notes:

  • Non‑GAAP Adjusted EBITDA excludes D&A, interest, taxes, share‑based compensation, and loss on early extinguishment of debt; management provides limitations to non‑GAAP measures .

Segment and KPI detail

  • Segments: Not disclosed/applicable in filings/press materials for Q2 2025.
  • Additional KPIs: Retail partner expansion (Five Below, Albertsons), UAE launch; new product pipeline (caramel, yogurt snacks) highlighted qualitatively .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY/Q3‑Q4 2025None providedNone providedN/A
Gross Margin %FY/Q3‑Q4 2025None providedNone providedN/A
Operating ExpensesFY/Q3‑Q4 2025None providedNone providedN/A
Tax RateFY 2025None providedNone providedN/A
Segment/OtherFY 2025None providedNone providedN/A

Management emphasized operational stabilization, cost optimization, and demand acceleration, but issued no quantitative ranges for revenue, margins, OpEx, or other metrics .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q‑2: Q4 2024)Previous Mentions (Q‑1: Q1 2025)Current Period (Q2 2025)Trend
Competitive landscapeQuality issues and increased competition weighed on Q4; inventory reserve hit margins .“Increased competitive pressure” cited for lower revenue; strengthened liquidity via note exchanges .Competition from major CPG entrants drove softer demand; initial surge fading as consumers return to brand .Stabilizing; competition still elevated but intensity moderating per mgmt.
Supply chain & laborSummer heat/quality issues resolved with packaging and temp‑controlled shipping .Improved operations; expanding retail doors .Temporary labor shortages delayed shipments into July; operations now stabilized .Improving; near‑term bottlenecks easing.
Cost/occupancyHigher facility/occupancy weighed on Q4 margins .Focus on cost efficiency; right‑sizing footprint .“Right‑size occupancy,” lower bonus expense, G&A trending down .Cost discipline improving, occupancy still a headwind.
Distribution & retail partnersExpanding footprint into new doors .Everyday launches at Winn‑Dixie, Ace, “Orville/Orgill,” Holiday at Albertsons .Deeper Five Below/Albertsons partnerships; Ace/Orgill steady; national grocer review stage 3 .Broadening and deepening.
InternationalN/A in Q4 release.N/A.UAE launch exceeding expectations; building for Q4 expansion .Positive early traction.
Innovation pipelinePreparing adjacent categories (jerky, yogurt melts) .Continued innovation emphasis .Caramel line and yogurt snacks; new soft chew; seasonal SKUs .Accelerating pipeline.
Liquidity/financingRaised equity in 2024; cash $3.7M YE .Note exchanges to extend maturities; cash $1.6M .Cash $1.0M; mgmt expects cash flow breakeven “before the end of the year” .Tight but managed; breakeven targeted.

Management Commentary

  • Strategic focus: “With operations now stable… we’ve refocused on scaling as a category leader… deepened our partnerships with Five Below and Albertsons… launched in the UAE… advancing strategic conversations [for] shelf space, private label, and category growth” .
  • Execution priorities: “Optimizing our cost structure and conserving cash… right size our cost base… streamlining storage… demand‑driven growth model” .
  • International: “Results [in UAE] are exceeding expectations—validating global appetite for our brand” .
  • Innovation: “Early excitement around our freeze‑dried yogurt snacks and caramel offerings… new soft chew version” .
  • CFO tone: “Approaching the second half… drive top line growth, improve operational leverage, and rebuild from a more resilient foundation” .

Notable quotes

  • CEO: “Demand accelerated—outpacing output due to temporary labor shortages. We’re actively scaling our workforce and streamlining operations” .
  • CEO: “With Halloween and holiday shipments complete, we are positioned to… stabilize the supply chain and execute on growth” .
  • CFO: “We ended the quarter with cash… of $1.0 million… [we will] drive the top line growth, improve operational leverage” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Inventory and financing needs: Management highlighted long shelf life and discounting two SKUs (Sweet Geeks, Sweet Worms) through discount channels; at current run rate, financing needs are manageable while occupancy right‑sizing continues .
  • Cash flow breakeven: CEO indicated “before the end of the year” for cash flow breakeven; CFO concurred .
  • Analyst participation: Limited Q&A (one analyst), consistent with minimal coverage .

Estimates Context

  • Consensus availability: No S&P Global consensus was available for Q2 2025 revenue, EPS, or target price; historical actuals only are reflected. As such, no beat/miss can be determined (S&P Global data).*
  • Implications: Given the magnitude of YoY declines and negative EBITDA, any future Street models would likely reset revenue run‑rate lower and embed a gradual margin rebuild as occupancy is right‑sized and volumes recover.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Execution over outlook: With no quantitative guidance, the near‑term setup hinges on executing against stabilized operations, labor scaling, and the holiday sell‑through that was shipped by July .
  • Liquidity watch: Cash at $0.96M and inventory at $20.81M warrant close monitoring; progress on occupancy reductions and working capital conversion is critical in 2H .
  • Demand signals improving: Retail partnerships are expanding (Five Below, Albertsons), a major national grocer review is advancing, and UAE traction is strong—potential 2H catalysts if fulfillment keeps pace .
  • Margin rebuild path: Gross margin recovery depends on volume throughput, occupancy right‑sizing, and labor stabilization; Adjusted EBITDA likely remains sensitive to mix and utilization .
  • Competitive intensity: Management suggests the initial surge from large CPG entrants is fading; sustained brand differentiation and innovation cadence (caramel/yogurt) remain key .
  • Breakeven goal: Management’s target of cash flow breakeven before year‑end is a tangible milestone to track, contingent on cost actions and revenue acceleration .
  • Risk/reward: Stock will be sensitive to any tangible evidence of revenue reacceleration, gross margin inflection, and capital structure/liquidity updates; conversely, delays in sell‑through or further working capital drag could pressure the equity.

Footnotes:

  • Values retrieved from S&P Global.