SP
SOUTH PLAINS FINANCIAL, INC. (SPFI)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 delivered a clean beat operationally: diluted EPS rose to $0.96 versus $0.66 in Q3 and $0.61 in Q4 2023, with NIM expanding 10 bps to 3.75% on lower deposit costs; net income increased to $16.5M, and efficiency improved to 57.5% .
- Deposit cost relief and disciplined liquidity drove margin gains; average cost of deposits fell 18 bps sequentially to 229 bps, while loan yields held at 6.69% despite rate cuts and payoff mix shifting away from low-rate loans .
- Credit metrics remained stable: ACL/Loans at 1.42%, NPA/Assets at 0.58%, and annualized NCOs at 0.11%; loans HFI grew $17.7M in the quarter as CRE owner-occupied growth offset payoffs .
- Management guides to low–mid single-digit loan growth for FY2025 and expects NIM to stabilize with potential incremental improvement; near-term (Q1 2025) noninterest expense to normalize toward Q3 levels; dividend maintained at $0.15/share and buyback capacity in place .
- Catalysts: continued deposit repricing, pipeline conversion in major metros (Dallas/Houston/El Paso), mortgage servicing rights fair value tailwinds (+$0.07 EPS in Q4), and potential selective M&A optionality given robust capital ratios (CET1 13.53%, TCE/TA 9.92%) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Margin expansion and earnings leverage: NIM rose to 3.75% on lower deposit costs (2.29% total cost of deposits; 3.12% cost on interest-bearing), driving net interest income to $38.5M; “rate cuts in our case will likely help our NIM… we should still see minor improvements in the NIM” .
- Pipeline strength and loan growth: loans HFI increased $17.7M q/q, with $9M growth in major metros to $1.06B; “underlying loan demand has been strong… pipeline at the highest levels since mid-2022” .
- Noninterest income mix pivot: mortgage MSR fair value adjustment added ~$3.5M to mortgage revenues and ~$0.07 EPS after-tax; disciplined expense management improved efficiency to 57.5% .
What Went Wrong
- Elevated payoffs constrained loan growth: Q4 growth was modest as several clients experienced liquidity events leading to asset sales and debt reduction; management expects payoffs may persist into Q1/Q2 .
- Deposit balances declined: total deposits fell $94.8M q/q due to seasonal escrow declines (~$35M) and planned ~$50M sweep reductions, lowering NIB balances and NIB mix to 25.8% .
- AOCI pressure and TBV per share: book value fell to $26.67 on AOCI declines from higher long-term rates; TBV per share decreased to $25.40 q/q despite stronger earnings .
Financial Results
Segment and balance sheet mix
KPIs
Estimates vs. Actuals (S&P Global consensus)
Note: Wall Street consensus data from S&P Global was unavailable at the time of retrieval due to vendor rate limits; therefore estimate comparisons are qualitative.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We will never sacrifice credit quality for loan growth, and I'm very pleased with the continued strong credit quality of our loan portfolio as we enter 2025.” — Curtis Griffith .
- “I would hope we could keep [NIM] where it's at and hopefully incrementally improve… deposit costs will still come down just a little bit… loan yields may trend down slightly.” — Steven Crockett .
- “Our pipeline is much better than it was this time last year… we feel optimistic about it.” — Brent Bates .
- “Fourth quarter earnings were positively impacted by $0.07 per share, after tax, for the fair value adjustment of the mortgage servicing rights.” — Steven Crockett .
- “We expect to deliver low to mid-single digit loan growth for the full year 2025.” — Curtis Griffith .
Q&A Highlights
- NIM outlook: Management expects stabilization with potential incremental improvement as deposit costs continue to decline and liquidity positioning helps avoid “overpricing on the cost side” .
- Loan yields dynamics: New originations coming on around ~7%, while fixed-rate loans rolling off were often in high-4s to 5s, helping average yields hold; some higher-yield payoffs also occurred .
- Payoffs and pipeline: Elevated payoffs tied to client liquidity events may persist into Q1/Q2, but production is expected to outpace paydowns; pipeline notably stronger versus last year .
- Credit update: Previously highlighted multifamily nonaccrual is paying and progressing per plan; credit outlook remains constructive .
- Capital allocation/M&A: Dividend maintained; buyback optionality remains but activity likely muted; more M&A opportunities anticipated, but high hurdle for deals with minimal dilution and solid earn-back .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus estimates were unavailable at the time of retrieval due to vendor rate limits; therefore, numeric comparisons to Street EPS/revenue were not possible. Actual Q4 metrics indicate a directional beat versus typical seasonal patterns given NIM expansion, cost discipline, and MSR FV tailwinds .
- Expect estimate revisions to reflect improved margin trajectory, noninterest income contributions from MSR, and cautious near-term loan growth (flat in Q1, building thereafter) .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Margin tailwind intact: sequential NIM expansion to 3.75% on falling deposit costs, with management positioned for stabilization/slight improvement — supportive for NII and EPS trajectory .
- Loan growth visibility: FY2025 guide to low–mid single-digit growth with a strong pipeline in major metros; watch near-term headwinds from elevated payoffs in Q1 .
- Credit steady amid cycle: ACL/Loans at 1.42%, NPA/Assets 0.58%; NOO CRE exposures have low estimated LTVs (income-producing ~53%; office ~56%), supporting resilience .
- Earnings quality: Efficiency ratio improved to 57.5% due to lower personnel and mortgage commissions; MSR FV added $0.07 EPS — monitor sustainability as rates evolve .
- Capital and distributions: CET1 13.53%, TCE/TA 9.92%; $0.15 dividend continues; buyback optionality provides flexibility in volatile markets .
- Tactical focus: Expect deposit repricing benefits to persist into Q1; watch NIB mix and deposit trends as liquidity is added to match loan growth .
- Medium-term thesis: Community bank with disciplined underwriting, improving margin profile, balanced revenue mix, and optionality for selective M&A — set up for EPS compounding as loan growth converts and cost of funds drifts lower .
References: Q4 earnings press release and 8‑K materials , 8‑K with exhibits and dividend , Q4 earnings call transcripts – –, prior quarter releases for trend analysis – –.