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SiriusPoint Ltd (SPNT)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2025 delivered a clean underwriting beat: Core combined ratio improved 3.8 pts YoY to 89.5% and consolidated combined ratio was 86.1% as catastrophe losses were minimal and prior-year development was favorable .
  • Revenue and normalized EPS exceeded S&P Global consensus: revenue $748.2M vs $720.1M est., and normalized EPS $0.66 vs $0.57 est. (3 estimates)*; GAAP diluted EPS was $0.50 as FX losses and interest expense partially offset underwriting strength .
  • Mix shift and operating execution continued: GPW grew 10% in Core (5th consecutive quarter of double-digit growth) led by Insurance & Services, while BVPS ex-AOCI rose 3.2% QoQ to $15.64 and BSCR stood at an estimated 223% .
  • Management tone remained confident—reiterating the 12–15% across-the-cycle ROE framework—citing lower volatility, underwriting discipline, and talent additions as catalysts for sustained performance .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Underwriting outperformance: Core combined ratio improved to 89.5% (−3.8 pts YoY), with underwriting income up 83% YoY to $67.6M; consolidated combined ratio was 86.1% .
    • Top-line momentum: Core GPW +10% YoY with strength in Insurance & Services; Core NPE +16.7% YoY, marking the fifth straight quarter of double-digit Core GPW growth .
    • Management confidence and culture: “Our second quarter results reflect the strength of our disciplined underwriting strategy...another purposeful step towards our goal of becoming a best-in-class underwriter.” — CEO Scott Egan .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Investment and FX headwinds: Net investment income decreased YoY due to a smaller asset base; FX losses were $16.7M in the quarter .
    • Services margin compression: Service margin declined to 14.7% vs 16.9% in Q2’24 as mix and normalization weighed on margins .
    • Higher interest burden: Interest expense increased to $21.1M in Q2; management flagged a portion relates to LPTs .

Financial Results

MetricQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Total Revenues ($M)$743.3 $727.3 $748.2
Net Premiums Earned ($M)$590.5 $626.7 $652.0
Diluted EPS (GAAP) ($)$0.57 $0.49 $0.50
Underlying Diluted EPS ($)$0.30 $0.52 $0.66
Combined Ratio – Consolidated (%)89.0% 91.4% 86.1%
Core Combined Ratio (%)93.3% 95.4% 89.5%

Segment performance (Core segments)

SegmentMetricQ2 2024Q2 2025
Insurance & ServicesGross Premiums Written ($M)$490.2 $560.4
Net Premiums Earned ($M)$297.2 $369.2
Combined Ratio (%)96.0% 89.3%
Underwriting Income ($M)$11.9 $39.5
ReinsuranceGross Premiums Written ($M)$352.5 $369.7
Net Premiums Earned ($M)$256.2 $276.4
Combined Ratio (%)90.2% 89.8%
Underwriting Income ($M)$25.0 $28.1

Key KPIs

KPIQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
BVPS ex-AOCI (Diluted) ($)$14.64 $15.15 $15.64
Annualized ROE (%)17.9% 12.9% 12.7%
Net Investment Income ($M)$78.2 $71.2 $68.2
Service Margin (%)16.9% 30.6% 14.7%
Favorable PYD ($M)$4.9 $34.3 $13.8

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Net Investment Income (NII)FY 2025$265–$275M $265–$275M; “on target” Maintained
Across-the-cycle ROE frameworkMulti-year12–15% 12–15% reiterated; HY underlying ROE 15.4% Maintained
Series B Preference DividendQ3 2025 Payable Aug 29, 2025$0.50 per share declared; record Aug 14, 2025 Dividend declared

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: The Q2 2025 earnings call transcript could not be retrieved due to a document issue. The below synthesizes disclosures from the Q2 press release and investor presentation (prepared remarks-equivalent).

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2024 & Q1 2025)Current Period (Q2 2025)Trend
Underwriting discipline & CORFY24 Core COR 91.0%; steady attritional improvement; 10th straight quarter of UW profit in Q1’25 Core COR 89.5% (−3.8 pts YoY); 11th consecutive UW profit; Insurance & Services COR 89.3% Improving
Cat volatility & riskCat ratio among the lowest in peer group in 2023/24; Q1’25 CA wildfires $59–68M guided impact Cat impacts limited in Q2; favorable PYD continued; stronger retro and portfolio mix reaffirmed Improving/Contained
Capital & solvencyBSCR 214% at FY24; CMIG repurchase completed; debt-to-cap within range BSCR est. 223%; BVPS ex-AOCI +3.2% QoQ Stable to better
Investment incomeFY25 NII guidance $265–275M; Q1’25 NII $71M on track Q2 NII $68.2M; full-year guidance reaffirmed; smaller asset base lowers NII YoY In line
MGA rationalization & services100%-owned A&H MGA fee income strong in FY24; Arcadian deconsolidated Net services fee income stable; service margin 14.7% vs 16.9% YoY Mixed (margin lower)
Taxes/regulatoryBermuda corporate income tax increased Q1 effective tax rate Q2: +4.5 pt YoY effective tax increase due to Bermuda tax Headwind persists
Large loss/aviationMinimal details previouslyReinsurance noted a $9M large aviation loss (“Air India crash”) in HY commentary Isolated impact

Management Commentary

  • Strategic focus: “With each quarter, we demonstrate our ability to deliver consistent and stable earnings...another purposeful step towards our goal of becoming a best-in-class underwriter.” — Scott Egan, CEO .
  • Performance narrative: Underwriting gains driven by reduced cats and favorable PYD (Property and A&H), with Insurance & Services seeing significant loss ratio improvement and Reinsurance benefitting from lower acquisition costs and fewer cats in Q2 .
  • Operating momentum: Management highlighted being named Program Insurer of the Year, record employee engagement, and senior talent additions as reinforcing execution and culture .

Q&A Highlights

The Q2 2025 earnings call transcript was unavailable for retrieval. Based on the investor presentation’s “Key Comments,” management emphasized:

  • Profit bridge and non-operating items: Q2 saw $16.7M FX losses and $21M interest expense, of which ~$8M relates to LPTs; effective tax rate increased ~4.5 pts YoY due to Bermuda corporate tax .
  • Investment outlook: NII tracking to $265–$275M FY25 guidance despite a smaller asset base post capital actions .
  • Loss environment: Reinsurance experienced an isolated $9M aviation large loss; otherwise cat exposure was limited in Q2 with continued favorable PYD .

Estimates Context

  • Beat vs S&P Global consensus:
    • Normalized EPS (Primary/Normalized): $0.66 actual vs $0.57 est.; +$0.09 beat (3 est.)*
    • Revenue: $748.2M actual vs $720.1M est.; +$28.1M beat (3 est.)*
      Drivers: Better underwriting (attritional improvements, limited cats) and favorable PYD, partially offset by lower NII vs prior year and FX/interest headwinds .
  • Potential estimate revisions: Core margin trajectory and strong Insurance & Services performance suggest upward bias to underwriting assumptions; however, lower services margin and FX/tax headwinds could temper EPS flow-through .
    Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Estimates table (S&P Global)

MetricQ2 2025 EstimateQ2 2025 Actual
EPS Normalized (Primary) ($)0.57 (3 est.)*0.66*
Revenue ($M)720.1 (3 est.)*748.2*

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Underwriting quality is compounding: Core COR at 89.5% and double-digit Core premium growth underpin durable earnings power even with lighter investment tailwinds .
  • Insurance & Services is the engine: Loss ratio improvements and scale are driving outsized contribution, with COR dropping to 89.3% from 96.0% YoY .
  • Risk normalization is sticking: Limited Q2 cats and consistent favorable PYD validate portfolio actions, retro structure, and reserving prudence .
  • Capital strength intact: BVPS ex-AOCI up 3.2% QoQ and BSCR est. 223% offer flexibility while maintaining discipline on growth and risk .
  • Watch the non-operating noise: FX and tax (Bermuda) are headwinds, and services margin moderated; these may cap near-term EPS leverage despite margin gains .
  • Thesis: Mix shift to lower-volatility specialty insurance and disciplined reinsurance, plus capital optimization, supports the 12–15% across-the-cycle ROE framework over the medium term .

Sources: Q2 2025 8-K/press release, financial supplement, and investor presentation; Q1 2025 and Q4 2024 8-Ks for trends.
Key citations by section:

  • Financials, segments, KPIs, underwriting and investment results - -; -; -.
  • Guidance and capital ; ; .
  • Management quotes .

Footnote: Values retrieved from S&P Global.*