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SPRUCE BIOSCIENCES, INC. (SPRB)·Q2 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2024 delivered lower collaboration revenue but materially improved operating efficiency, with operating expenses down 28% year over year and 20% quarter over quarter, and net loss narrowed to $9.2M; cash and equivalents were $69.7M with runway through end of 2025 .
- Programmatically, management reiterated near-term catalysts: topline data from CAHmelia-204 (adult CAH) and CAHptain-205 (adult/pediatric CAH) now anticipated in Q4 2024, shifting later vs Q1’s timeline; an EOP2 FDA meeting is targeted for 1H 2025 .
- Strategic expansion into precision psychiatry via HMNC collaboration adds optionality in MDD, with HMNC funding a Phase 2 PoC and Spruce retaining an option to in-license Cortibon on positive results; HMNC expects to initiate the study in Q4 2024 .
- No quantitative financial guidance was provided beyond cash runway. Wall Street consensus estimates via S&P Global were unavailable for Q2 2024 due to request limits; therefore, beats/misses vs estimates cannot be assessed at this time.
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Operating discipline: Total operating expenses fell to $11.6M in Q2, down from $16.1M in Q2 2023 and $14.6M in Q1 2024; net loss narrowed to $9.2M from $12.8M in Q2 2023 and $11.6M in Q1 2024 .
- Clear upcoming clinical catalysts: “In the fourth quarter of 2024, we plan to report primary efficacy and safety data through week 24 plus interim data from the open-label extension of the CAHmelia-204 study…” (CEO Javier Szwarcberg) .
- Portfolio optionality via MDD: HMNC collaboration advances a precision psychiatry path with HMNC funding a Phase 2 PoC and Spruce holding a worldwide in‑license option for Cortibon if results are positive .
What Went Wrong
- Revenue softness: Collaboration revenue declined to $1.6M vs $2.2M in Q2 2023 and $2.0M in Q1 2024, reflecting pacing of recognition from the Kaken upfront .
- Program timing slippage: CAHmelia-204 and CAHptain-205 toplines moved to Q4 2024 vs Q1’s prior Q3 2024 expectation, elongating the data catalyst timeline .
- Prior clinical miss still overhang: CAHmelia-203 in adult CAH with severe hyperandrogenemia did not meet its primary endpoint, necessitating program adjustments and realignment .
Financial Results
KPIs and Balance Sheet Highlights
Notes
- Stock‑based compensation within operating expenses: $1.7M in Q2 2024 vs $1.2M in Q2 2023 .
- Cash runway reiterated through end of 2025 .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We remain committed to advancing the development of tildacerfont and opening a new chapter in the management of CAH…” (CEO Javier Szwarcberg) .
- “We believe that tildacerfont has the potential to address severe hyperandrogenemia in CAH at higher doses taken BID. If results from CAHmelia-204 and CAHptain-205 are positive, we intend to meet with the U.S. Food and Drug Administration…” .
- On MDD: “We believe that Cortibon has the potential to enable tildacerfont to be advanced as a precision therapeutic for personalized medicine in patients with MDD… We are excited to collaborate with HMNC and initiate a Phase 2 proof-of-concept study…” .
Q&A Highlights
- No Q&A transcript is available for Q2 2024; therefore, no call‑based clarifications can be assessed for this quarter.
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus estimates (S&P Global) for Q2 2024 EPS and revenue were unavailable due to SPGI daily request limits at time of query; as a result, we cannot evaluate beats/misses vs consensus for this quarter.
- Where future comparisons are needed, we will anchor to S&P Global consensus and update post‑availability.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Operating efficiency is improving: material reductions in OpEx and net loss provide downside protection ahead of data catalysts .
- Clinical inflection now Q4 2024: both CAHmelia-204 and CAHptain-205 toplines are synchronized in Q4; the consolidated window concentrates event risk and potential stock reaction catalysts .
- Adult CAH strategy focuses on GC reduction (potential registrational endpoint), addressing adherence and dose considerations surfaced in CAHmelia-203 .
- Precision psychiatry optionality via HMNC collaboration broadens TAM and could introduce a separate catalyst path (MDD Phase 2 PoC initiation in Q4 2024) .
- Balance sheet supports runway through end of 2025, providing capacity to reach and digest multiple data readouts and conduct EOP2 regulatory interactions without near‑term financing pressure .
- Near-term trading setup is catalyst‑driven: outcomes from CAHmelia-204 and CAHptain-205 are likely to dictate valuation; investors should monitor dose‑response, GC reduction magnitude, safety, and FDA alignment statements post‑readout .
- Medium‑term thesis hinges on clinical validation translating into registrational trial design clarity and potential partnering (e.g., PCOS or MDD), with continued operating discipline to bridge to pivotal execution .
Sources: Q2 2024 8‑K and Exhibit 99.1 press release ; Q2 2024 press release (duplicate) ; Q1 2024 8‑K ; FY 2023 8‑K ; HMNC collaboration press release ; POWER study press release .