SC
SpartanNash Co (SPTN)·Q3 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2024 was operationally resilient: revenue fell 0.6% to $2.25B, GAAP EPS was flat at $0.32, and adjusted EPS declined to $0.48; adjusted EBITDA was $60.5M with margin 2.7% flat YoY as gross margin expanded 50 bps to 15.8% despite lower volumes .
- Mix and merchandising gains, lower LIFO, and leaner corporate costs offset Wholesale volume pressure (incl. a 2.9% Amazon headwind) and Retail labor/healthcare inflation; Retail sales grew 1.9% aided by Metcalfe’s, though comps were -0.7% with sequential improvement through the quarter .
- Guidance narrowed/lowered: FY24 adj. EBITDA to $252–$257M (from $255–$270M) and adj. EPS to $1.85–$1.95 (from $1.85–$2.10); sales unchanged at $9.5–$9.7B; FY24 capex trimmed to $135–$140M (from $135–$145M) .
- 2025 preview: low single‑digit topline and mid single‑digit adj. EBITDA growth vs. FY24, bolstered by two tuck‑in deals (Fresh Encounter and Markham) expected to add >$10M adj. EBITDA annually and ~+$225M net sales after eliminations for Fresh Encounter plus >$20M from Markham . Potential stock catalysts: tightened FY24 profitability outlook, evidence of Retail comp inflection, Wholesale ex‑Amazon stabilization, and M&A accretion trajectory .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Gross margin expanded 50 bps to 15.8% on accretive mix, higher vendor funding, and lower LIFO; adj. EBITDA margin held at 2.7% YoY despite volume declines .
- Wholesale adj. EBITDA rose 14.8% YoY to $44.8M on better gross profit rate and merchandising transformation benefits; military channel posted its 11th consecutive YoY growth quarter .
- Retail sales +1.9% aided by Metcalfe’s; comps improved sequentially, with “the 3 best periods of the year so far in Q3” per CEO Tony Sarsam .
- Quote: “Our transformational initiatives are outperforming our expectations… helping to partially offset headwinds… and we plan to capture more benefits from the 2024 investments by the end of this year.” — CEO Tony Sarsam .
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What Went Wrong
- Consolidated net sales -0.6% on lower Wholesale volumes; Amazon represented a 2.9% headwind within Wholesale; Retail comps -0.7% .
- Higher restructuring charges, store labor and healthcare costs pressured SG&A; Retail adj. EBITDA fell to $15.7M (from $21.9M) on wage/healthcare and lower gross rate .
- Leverage ticked up: net long‑term debt/adj. EBITDA to 2.4x from 2.2x in Q2 amid investment and M&A pipeline build; FY24 adj. EBITDA guidance trimmed to $252–$257M .
Financial Results
Overall performance: sequential and YoY (oldest → newest)
Margins snapshot (oldest → newest)
Segment performance
- Q3 2024 vs Q3 2023 (YoY)
- Q3 2024 vs Q2 2024 (Sequential)
KPIs and balance sheet (oldest → newest where applicable)
Note: Q1 2024 was a 16‑week quarter vs 12‑week Q2/Q3 .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategic message: “We continue to invest in our business to expand margin, capture additional cost savings… and deliver value‑add products… These elements have established a solid foundation to drive organic and inorganic growth, including the upcoming acquisitions of Fresh Encounter and Markham.” — CEO Tony Sarsam .
- Profitability drivers: “Gross profit… increased to 15.8% of net sales… driven by an accretive sales mix, higher vendor funding and a reduction in LIFO expense… [offset by] higher restructuring charges… retail store labor and health care costs.” — CFO Jason Monaco .
- 2025 outlook and M&A: “In fiscal 2025, we expect low single‑digit top‑line growth and mid single‑digit adjusted EBITDA growth… Fresh Encounter… >$350M retail sales (~$225M total company after eliminations) and Markham… >$20M sales annually… In aggregate… add more than $10M in adjusted EBITDA.” — CFO Jason Monaco and press releases .
- Retail playbook: “We are starting to see some positive trends… comps were down 70 bps… and we had the 3 best periods of the year so far in Q3.” — CEO Tony Sarsam .
Q&A Highlights
- C‑store/fuel strategy (Markham): Expanding stable, synergistic fuel/convenience with cross‑loyalty benefits near supermarkets; expect continued organic/inorganic investment in the space .
- Amazon trajectory: Relationship stabilizing after prolonged declines; not counting on growth in outlook .
- Private label penetration: “High 20%” penetration; Finest Reserve premium line performing well; PL supports traffic and value .
- Promotions/vendor funding: Expect continued vendor investment to drive volumes in tighter environment; merchandising transformation strengthens vendor relationships .
- Wholesale ex‑Amazon: Up nearly 3% ex Amazon in the quarter; dollar channel cited as a growth vector .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global/Capital IQ consensus estimates could not be retrieved at this time; therefore, comparisons to Wall Street consensus (revenue, EPS, EBITDA) are unavailable. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Where estimates may need to adjust:
- FY24 profitability midpoint lowered (adj. EBITDA and EPS), which may drive modest downward revisions to 2H profitability; early FY25 commentary implies a baseline for upward estimate adjustments tied to M&A accretion and execution on margin programs .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Margin resiliency continues: 50 bps gross margin expansion and flat 2.7% adj. EBITDA margin YoY demonstrate mix, vendor funding, and merchandising progress offsetting volume headwinds .
- FY24 profitability bar modestly lower, but controlled: Narrowed adj. EBITDA/EPS ranges reflect macro and cost pressures; execution focus shifts to 4Q delivery and 2025 setup .
- Retail is bending the curve: Sequential comp improvement and 1.9% sales growth with Metcalfe’s support—watch CVP rollout and deeper promotions as potential traffic catalysts .
- Wholesale stabilization ex‑Amazon is emerging: ~+3% ex Amazon; military remains a durable growth engine; Amazon becoming less of a delta but still a drag in models .
- Balance sheet capacity for M&A: ~2.4x net leverage and ~$500M liquidity provide flexibility; Fresh Encounter/Markham accretion (> $10M adj. EBITDA) underpins FY25 growth preview .
- Trading setup: Near term, stock may key off tightened FY24 profitability guide and evidence of Retail comp inflection; medium term, M&A integration, vendor funding durability, and Amazon stabilization are narrative drivers .
- Capital returns continue: Quarterly dividend maintained at $0.2175 per share during the period .
Additional Context: Other Relevant Press Releases in the Period
- Fresh Encounter acquisition: 49 stores in OH/IN/KY; expands retail footprint by 33%; closing expected late November (subject to conditions) .
- Markham Enterprises acquisition: Three c‑stores/fuel centers in Michigan; close expected in December (subject to conditions) .
- Dividend: $0.2175 per share declared Sept 11, payable Oct 4 .