BI
Block, Inc. (SQ)·Q3 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Gross profit rose 19% year-over-year to $2.25B; Adjusted EBITDA hit a record $807M with a 36% margin, and Adjusted Operating Income reached $444M (20% margin), reflecting disciplined OpEx and strong Cash App/Square execution .
- Cash App gross profit grew 21% YoY to $1.31B on higher inflows per active and monetization; Square gross profit grew 16% YoY to $932M, with Square GPV up ~7.5% YoY and improving momentum into October .
- Q4 2024 guidance: gross profit $2.31B (+14% YoY), Adjusted EBITDA $725M (31%), Adjusted Operating Income $355M (15%); 2024 profitability guidance raised (Adj. EBITDA to $3.00B; Adj. OI to $1.56B), implying Rule of 36; preliminary 2025 outlook calls for ≥15% gross profit growth and margin expansion toward Rule of 40 in 2026 .
- Management highlighted catalysts: Afterpay on Cash App Card (transforming 24M cards into an alternative to credit), field sales ramp, single POS app, Square orders migration unlocking pre-auth/bar tabs; discrete timing shifts reduce Q4 gross profit growth by ~3 points, with benefits now expected in 2025 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Record profitability: Adjusted EBITDA $807M (+69% YoY) and Adjusted OI $444M, with margin expansion under disciplined OpEx (“our highest quarterly profitability ever”) .
- Cash App momentum: Gross profit +21% YoY; inflows per active +9% YoY to $1,233; monetization rate 1.52%; strong adoption across Card, Borrow, BNPL, and Cash App Pay partnerships (e.g., Lyft) .
- Square operations and product: Orders migration completed, unlocking pre-auth/bar tabs; consolidated Dashboard; improving Square GPV growth trends into October; partnerships (T-Mobile, SalonCentric, JCB/JMS, MerPay) broaden distribution .
What Went Wrong
- Q4 timing impacts: Shift of Cash App Borrow expansion and a partner transaction cost benefit to 2025, trimming Q4 gross profit growth by ~3 percentage points .
- Cash App MAUs growth moderated (57M, +3% YoY), with deliberate onboarding/limit controls and bank-the-base focus; unit economics strong via ARPU growth ($75 gross profit per active, +16% YoY) .
- Square U.S. GPV growth slowed to 4.9% in Q3 (weather late September; discretionary softness), though trends improved a “couple percentage points” into October and international GPV remained strong at ~20% YoY .
Financial Results
Segment Gross Profit
Key KPIs and Volume
Notes:
- Q3 net income included a $5M bitcoin remeasurement gain; Q2 included a $70M bitcoin remeasurement loss; Q1 included a $233M bitcoin remeasurement gain, impacting GAAP EPS .
- Reporting change: BNPL results fully consolidated into Cash App beginning Q4’23; prior periods revised accordingly .
Guidance Changes
Management also noted that Q4’24 growth reflects ~3 percentage points headwind from shifting (i) a Square partner transaction-cost benefit and (ii) Cash App Borrow expansion into 2025, with underlying business trends “stable to improving” .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Gross profit was $2.25 billion, up 19% year-over-year… our highest quarterly profitability ever for both adjusted operating income and adjusted EBITDA on a dollar and margin basis.” – Amrita Ahuja .
- “We’re about to transform 24 million Cash App Cards into a better alternative to credit cards when we launch Afterpay on Cash App Card.” – Shareholder Letter .
- “We’re currently testing a new and enhanced Square for Restaurants point-of-sale… and will make this available to all sellers in 2025… [and] rolling out our single app experience.” – Amrita Ahuja .
- “We grew our Square brand and performance marketing investments more than 20% year-over-year in the third quarter and began ramping sales hiring, including field sales.” – Amrita Ahuja .
Q&A Highlights
- Square GPV acceleration: Q3 growth was 7.5% overall, 4.9% U.S.; improved by “a couple percentage points” in October; international +20% YoY in Q3 .
- Field sales and partnerships: Initial local field reps deployed; 10–20% improvement in per-rep productivity YTD; partnerships broaden lead-gen and upmarket deal sizes .
- Q4 timing effects: Shifts in Square partner transaction cost benefit and Cash App Borrow expansion to 2025; Q4 bottom-line guidance raised despite go-to-market spend ramp .
- Cash App engagement vs actives: MAUs ~57M, +3% YoY; ARPU/gross profit per active $75 (+16% YoY); onboarding/limit controls deliberate to promote a healthy ecosystem .
- Afterpay on Cash App Card: Early tests showing encouraging attach; phased rollout from retroactive offers to pre-purchase enablement; millions of Cash App Card MAUs expected eligible in 2025 .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus estimates could not be retrieved due to a CIQ mapping issue. As a result, this report does not include Wall Street consensus comparisons for Q3 2024. Values were intended to be sourced from S&P Global but were unavailable at time of analysis.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Profitability inflecting: Continued margin expansion with record Adjusted EBITDA and OI; FY24 profitability guide raised, implying Rule of 36, supporting a re-rating case on sustained profitable growth .
- Cash App durability: Even with moderated MAUs growth, ARPU and monetization continue to rise; Borrow, BNPL, and Card deepen engagement; 2025 marketing ramp likely accelerates direct deposit actives .
- Square execution: Orders migration unlocks feature parity and new capabilities; single app/Dashboard simplify onboarding/usage; field sales and partnerships should drive upmarket penetration and GPV .
- Near-term growth optics: Q4 growth dampened by ~3pts due to timing shifts, but underlying trends stable/improving; watch January/1H’25 as deferred benefits and go-to-market spend ramp flow in .
- 2025/2026 trajectory: Preliminary ≥15% gross profit growth in 2025 with margin expansion; management reaffirmed Rule of 40 target in 2026 (mid-teens growth, mid-20% adjusted OI margin) .
- Strategic catalysts: Afterpay on Cash App Card, Cash App Pay enterprise wins (e.g., Lyft), Square Restaurant POS enhancements, QR wallets in Japan, and broader partnerships pipeline add multi-year growth drivers .
Citations: Q3 2024 earnings call transcript ; Q3 2024 8‑K and Shareholder Letter ; Q2 2024 earnings materials ; Q1 2024 earnings materials .