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Squarespace, Inc. (SQSP)·Q3 2023 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2023 revenue was $257.1M (+18% YoY) with adjusted EBITDA of $66.5M; GAAP diluted EPS was $(0.12). Revenue beat third‑party consensus, while EPS missed amid a larger income tax provision .
  • Management raised FY23 guidance to revenue of $1,002–$1,006M and unlevered free cash flow (UFCF) of $232–$236M; Q4 guidance set at revenue of $261–$264M and UFCF of $56–$60M, reflecting continued momentum and Google Domains synergies .
  • Presence revenue grew 20% YoY to $179.5M; Commerce revenue grew 15% YoY to $77.6M; KPIs improved with ARPUS +10% YoY to $226.05 and unique subscriptions +5% YoY to 4.4M .
  • Gross margin pressure in Q3 stemmed from Google Domains onboarding (upfront registry costs against ratable revenue recognition); management expects normalization over time, with cross‑sell into Squarespace’s suite as the transformative driver .
  • Stock catalysts: revenue beat, FY guidance raise above prior ranges, and narrative on payments rollout and domain cross‑sell opportunity .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Record quarter with 18% topline growth; adjusted EBITDA rose to $66.5M (≈26% of revenue). CEO: “We are on track to exceed $1 billion in total revenue by the end of 2023.” CFO: “Strong customer demand and retention” drove outperformance .
  • Presence revenue +20% YoY; ARPUS +10% YoY to $226.05, supported by pricing and mix shift to higher‑value plans .
  • Raised FY23 revenue/UFCF guidance and set Q4 guidance reflecting momentum, payments rollout, and Google Domains go‑to‑market synergies .

What Went Wrong

  • GAAP diluted EPS $(0.12) vs external consensus expectations for positive EPS; management cited a larger income tax provision driving GAAP net loss .
  • Gross margin compressed sequentially due to Google Domains onboarding costs recognized upfront versus revenue recognized ratably over 12 months .
  • Commerce GPV/GMV softness vs estimates; GMV was $1.50B vs two‑analyst average of $1.54B, and ARPUS slightly below two‑analyst average estimates ($226.05 vs ~$229.36) .

Financial Results

Headline P&L and Cash Flow (Quarterly)

MetricQ1 2023Q2 2023Q3 2023
Revenue ($USD Millions)$237.0 $247.5 $257.1
Diluted EPS ($USD)$0.00 $0.03 $(0.12)
Operating Income ($USD Millions)$1.5 $36.7 $27.6
Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$194.1 $204.4 $205.3
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$30.9 $73.4 $66.5
Cash from Operations ($USD Millions)$64.2 $52.5 $53.3
Unlevered Free Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$67.1 $54.8 $54.1

Segment Revenue

Segment Revenue ($USD Millions)Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3 2023
Presence$164.4 $172.1 $179.5
Commerce$72.6 $75.5 $77.6

KPIs

KPIQ1 2023Q2 2023Q3 2023
Unique Subscriptions (000s)4,264 4,305 4,404
ARPUS ($)$212.76 $219.42 $226.05
Total Bookings ($USD Millions)$265.8 $256.1 $267.0
ARRR ($USD Millions)$990.5 $980.8 $1,013.5
GMV ($USD Millions)$1,534.1 $1,525.5 $1,498.2

Actuals vs External Consensus (Q3 2023)

MetricConsensus (Seeking Alpha)Actual
Revenue ($USD Millions)$251.9 $257.1
Primary EPS (GAAP Diluted) ($USD)$0.29 $(0.12)

Note: Alternative third‑party source showed consensus revenue $252.1M and EPS $0.12 . S&P Global consensus was unavailable due to a mapping error in our CIQ integration; therefore, we relied on public third‑party sources.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue ($USD Millions)FY 2023$969–$981 (issued May 9, 2023) $987–$995 (raised Aug 8, 2023) Raised
Revenue ($USD Millions)FY 2023$987–$995 (Aug 8) $1,002–$1,006 (Nov 7) Raised
UFCF ($USD Millions)FY 2023$192–$207 (May 9) $217–$225 (Aug 8) Raised
UFCF ($USD Millions)FY 2023$217–$225 (Aug 8) $232–$236 (Nov 7) Raised
Revenue ($USD Millions)Q3 2023$250–$253 (Aug 8) n/a (actual reported) —n/a
UFCF ($USD Millions)Q3 2023$47–$51 (Aug 8) n/a (actual reported) —n/a
Revenue ($USD Millions)Q4 2023n/a$261–$264 New
UFCF ($USD Millions)Q4 2023n/a$56–$60 (CFO bridge: CFOps $53–$57; capex ≈$5; interest net tax ≈$7.5) New

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ1 2023 (May 9)Q2 2023 (Aug 8)Q3 2023 (Nov 7)Trend
AI/technology initiativesDiscussed integrating LLMs and new onboarding “Blueprint”; record trials from product updates Continued product improvements; momentum in presence/commerce; pricing success “Squarespace Refresh 2023” as one of strongest release years; payments rollout to a single‑digit % of U.S. customers Rising feature depth; packaging work ahead
Google Domains acquisitionDefinitive agreement announced June 15; not yet closed in Q1 Guidance noted proposed impact excluded; acquisition pending Closed Sep 7; bookings uplift; near‑term gross margin dip from registry costs; long‑term cross‑sell expected Synergies materializing
Pricing/mix and ARPUSPricing success; UFCF margin 28% ARPUS up 7% YoY; higher value plan mix ARPUS up 10% YoY; continued shift to higher‑value website plans Positive mix shift
Macro/demandStrong demand, bookings growth Retention + new demand; bookings +16% YoY Demand and retention strong; ARR exceeded $1B Stable to improving
Commerce/GPVGMV down YoY in Q1; focus on commerce roadmap GMV roughly flat YoY GMV $1.50B; slightly below estimates; payments rollout continuing Mixed
MarginsHigh UFCF; operating efficiency EBITDA margin strong Near‑term gross margin compression from domains onboarding; normalization expected Temporary pressure

Management Commentary

  • CEO: “We are on track to exceed $1 billion in total revenue by the end of 2023, a significant milestone… Squarespace Refresh 2023… marks one of the strongest years of product releases in our history” .
  • CFO: “We delivered another record quarter with 18% topline growth, exceeding our revenue and unlevered free cash flow expectations, achievements fueled by strong customer demand and retention” .
  • CFO on Google Domains margin impact: onboarding new domains recognizes registry costs upfront while revenue is ratable, causing temporary gross margin impact; margins expected to normalize; cross‑sell is the transformative opportunity .

Q&A Highlights

  • Gross margin dynamics: sequential dip (~380bps referenced by analyst) tied to domain registry cost timing vs ratable revenue recognition; normalization anticipated over time .
  • Product packaging/pricing: management plans to simplify and verticalize packaging around personas to better surface specialized functionality; payments rollout underway (single‑digit % of U.S. customers) .
  • Google Domains overlap: substantial portion of ~10M acquired domains are not overlapped with existing Squarespace subs, supporting net new cross‑sell potential .

Estimates Context

  • Revenue beat: Actual $257.1M vs Seeking Alpha consensus $251.9M; Zacks reported $252.1M consensus; implies ~$5.0–$5.1M beat .
  • EPS miss: GAAP diluted EPS $(0.12) vs third‑party consensus ranging $0.12–$0.29; miss driven by higher income tax provision per company .
  • S&P Global consensus was unavailable due to a CIQ mapping error; results above rely on external public sources.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Revenue momentum and raised FY guidance signal durable growth; presence segment strength and ARPUS gains support mix and pricing power .
  • Near‑term gross margin headwind from Google Domains onboarding is mechanical; focus should be on medium‑term cross‑sell opportunity and payments attach to acquired domain cohorts .
  • Adjusted EBITDA and UFCF remain robust despite GAAP EPS volatility tied to taxes, underlining cash generation capacity into Q4 and FY23 .
  • Commerce KPIs (GMV) were softer vs estimates; monitor payments rollout pace and commerce packaging in 2024 for inflection .
  • Narrative catalysts: “Refresh 2023” product year, payments rollout, international expansion, and Google Domains synergies—all underpinning FY guidance raise and potential estimate revisions higher on revenue/UFCF .
  • Secondary offering (Nov 15) by a selling stockholder increased float; no primary proceeds to the company—neutral to cash but relevant for trading dynamics and supply .

Additional sources used for trend and transcript references: Q2 press release (Aug 8) ; Q1 press release (May 9) ; Q3 transcript excerpts .