Surmodics - Q2 2024
May 1, 2024
Executive Summary
- Q2 FY2024 delivered strong top-line growth and a return to GAAP profitability: revenue $32.0M (+18% YoY) and GAAP diluted EPS $0.02; Adjusted EBITDA improved to $4.8M; management raised FY2024 revenue and EPS guidance for the second time this year.
- Medical Device momentum drove results: product sales +40% YoY to $11.1M on SurVeil DCB shipments to Abbott and Pounce thrombectomy growth; performance coatings royalties +27% with $1.4M catch-up payments; IVD declined 5% on softer substrate sales.
- Guidance raised: FY2024 revenue to $122–$124M (prior $117–$121M) and Non-GAAP diluted loss per share to $(0.67)–$(0.47) (prior $(1.17)–$(0.87)); FY product gross margin now mid- to high-50s (prior mid-50s).
- Commercial catalysts: full launches of Pounce Venous (March) and Pounce LP (April), plus steady SurVeil commercialization by Abbott; Q2 results exceeded internal expectations by ~$2.5M vs prior range, supporting raised outlook.
- Stock reaction catalysts: raised guidance and profitability inflection; visible VI portfolio ramp (SurVeil, Pounce arterial/venous, Pounce LP) and coatings growth increase confidence into 2H FY24 and beyond.
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- SurVeil DCB commercialization: steady monthly orders from Abbott; positive physician feedback; TRANSCEND RCT supports non-inferiority vs IN.PACT Admiral despite 75% lower drug load, aiding adoption narrative.
- VI product launches and traction: completion of LMEs and full launches for Pounce Venous and Pounce LP; strong arterial thrombectomy growth with Pounce arterial exceeding $1M/quarter revenue per management color.
- Coatings strength and cash generation: performance coatings royalties +27% YoY (incl. $1.4M catch-up), $7.4M cash from operations aided by a $3.4M cash tax refund; quarter-end cash/investments $40.9M.
What Went Wrong
- IVD softness: revenue down 5% YoY on lower substrate sales; segment operating margin slightly down vs prior year (47% vs 49%) reflecting revenue decline.
- Product gross margin dilution: 60.8% vs 62.6% YoY driven by higher mix of not-yet-scaled device products (SurVeil, Pounce, Sublime) and under-absorption/production inefficiencies.
- One-time revenue tailwind: $1.4M royalty catch-up payments boosted Q2 coatings; management flagged this as atypical, a factor to watch in modeling.
Transcript
Operator (participant)
Welcome everyone to Surmodics' second quarter of fiscal year 2024 earnings call. Please note that this call is being webcast. The webcast is accessible through Investor Relations section of the Surmodics website at www.surmodics.com, where an audio replay will be archived for future reference. An earnings press release disclosing Surmodics quarterly and full year results was issued earlier today and is available on the company website as well. Before we begin, I would like to remind everyone that remarks in response to your questions on today's call may contain forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are covered under the Safe Harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, and includes statements regarding Surmodics' future financial and operating results or other statements that are not historical facts.
Please be advised that actual results could differ materially from those stated or implied by Surmodics' forward-looking statements, resulting from certain risks and uncertainties, including those described in the company's SEC filings. Surmodics disclaims any duty to update or revise these forward-looking statements as a result of new information, future events, developments, or otherwise. This call will also include references to non-GAAP measures because Surmodics believes they provide useful information for investors. Today's earnings release contains reconciliation tables to GAAP results. I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. Gary Maharaj, Surmodics President and Chief Executive Officer. Please go ahead, sir.
Gary Maharaj (President and CEO)
Thank you, Kat, and welcome everyone to our second quarter fiscal year 2024 earnings call. Let me provide you with a brief overview of what we plan to cover today. I will review our quarterly financial performance at a high level and discuss the operational progress we've made with respect to our key strategic objectives for fiscal 2024. Tim will then walk through our financial results in further detail and review our financial guidance, which we updated in our earnings press release earlier this morning. I'll then share some concluding thoughts on our outlook before opening the call for questions. With that as a backdrop, let's begin with a review of our quarterly financial results. Our team achieved impressive revenue performance in our second fiscal quarter, culminating in total revenue growth of 18% year-over-year to $32 million.
We grew 19%, excluding license fee revenue related to our SurVeil drug-coated balloon, which represented a headwind of approximately $240,000 year-over-year. Our team's performance handily exceeded our expectations for the quarter, coming in $2.5 million above the range of expectations that we shared on our last earnings call. Looking at the revenue year-over-year performance of our two business segments, revenue from our In Vitro Diagnostics, or IVD segment, decreased 5% to $7.1 million, which was consistent with our expectations, given the high comparable of the prior year quarter. Our revenue growth in the second quarter was exclusively driven by the Medical Device segment revenue, which increased 26% to $24.8 million, and 29%, excluding the headwind I mentioned, related to the SurVeil DCB license fee revenue.
Within our Medical Device segment, our year-over-year performance was fueled primarily by product sales, which increased by 40% year-over-year. That's 40, generating $3.2 million of growth. I'm pleased to report that nearly all of the $3.2 million in medical device product sales growth was driven by sales of our Vascular Interventions portfolio, which includes our SurVeil DCB, Pounce thrombectomy, and Sublime Radial Access products. We were pleased with the performance of each of these three product platforms that I'll discuss in detail later. We also saw impressive contributions from royalties and license fee revenue related to our Medical Device Performance Coatings, which increased 27% year-over-year, generating $2.2 million of growth, driven in part by a $1.4 million in catch-up payments reported to us by our customers.
Importantly, both of these areas of our Medical Device segment exceeded our expectations, driving the $2.5 million of total revenue outperformance that we saw relative to our stated range of expectations for the quarter. In addition to our strong revenue performance, we achieved notable year-over-year improvements in our profitability profile, including an $8 million improvement from a GAAP net loss to GAAP net income, and a $6.3 million increase in our adjusted EBITDA. We generated significantly $7.4 million in cash flow from operations in the quarter to further strengthen our balance sheet. Our cash flow performance exceeded our expectations this quarter, driven in part by the royalty catch-up payments I just mentioned, as well as a $3.4 million cash tax refund that we secured from the IRS during the second quarter, which Tim will discuss.
All in all, we were quite pleased with our second quarter financial results across the board. Shifting to a discussion of our recent operational performance, I'm excited to report that our team's achievements in recent months enabled us to deliver strong progress with respect to each of our three stated strategic objectives for fiscal 2024. Let's begin with our first objective, to capitalize on the key near-term growth catalysts in our Vascular Interventions portfolio by facilitating the adoption and utilization of our SurVeil DCB, Pounce thrombectomy, and Sublime Radial Access products. Our success with respect to this initiative is reflected in part by the strong product revenue growth in the Medical Device segment. As I mentioned earlier, growth in sales of these products fueled a 40% increase in product revenue and accounted for nearly all of the $3.2 million of product sales growth in the segment.
Most notably, we saw consistent demand for our SurVeil drug-coated balloon from our commercial partner, Abbott, following the initial stocking order placed in our fiscal first quarter. As we shared on our last earnings call, we were pleased to see Abbott initiate the commercialization of our SurVeil DCB in late January. As their team has progressed through the initial months of commercialization, we have been focused on satisfying their demand for product and providing technical information to support their sales, marketing, and clinical training activities. Since the fulfillment of the initial SurVeil stocking order during the first quarter, we have received orders and updated forecasts from Abbott on a monthly basis, and our team has been continuously building and shipping product to meet these monthly orders. From a manufacturing standpoint, I'm pleased with our successful transition to a steady state of operations following the initial stocking order.
As I've said before, drug-coated balloons are some of the most difficult interventional devices to make in the industry, and we take pride in our ability to efficiently manufacture the SurVeil DCB to an exacting standard. While our commercial partner remains in the first few months of commercialization, the initial feedback garnered from physician users has been positive. Based on this feedback, we believe SurVeil's ability to achieve uniform, targeted transfer and retention of paclitaxel at the treatment area, with a highly deliverable balloon platform, and ultimately achieve clinical outcomes consistent with the market-leading IN.PACT Admiral device, which carries a 75% higher drug load of the cytotoxic drug. This represents a compelling clinical advantage for physicians seeking to optimize treatment of peripheral artery disease.
Our TRANSCEND randomized controlled trial, which demonstrated the excellent safety and effectiveness of our SurVeil DCB at 12, 24, and 36 months post-procedure, represents important clinical evidence for the Abbott team that can leverage these to articulate the compelling advantages while engaging potential physician users. We look forward to Abbott's continued efforts in the market as they work to facilitate adoption of the SurVeil DCB by raising awareness among key accounts, education, and navigating the approval and contracting process associated with each account. Aside from the strong demand for our SurVeil DCB from our commercial partner, direct sales of our Pounce thrombectomy products were the most important driver of the 40% or $3.2 million of product sales growth we achieved in Medical Device segment in the second quarter.
The size of our direct sales team has remained consistent throughout the first half of the year, with 23 territory managers at the end of the second quarter. As a result of our team's efforts to develop existing accounts, expand our active customer base, our Pounce Thrombectomy System and Sublime Radial Access products both continued to gain traction in the marketplace. Sales of both products exceeded our expectations during the quarter, driven by strong commercial uptake from new and existing customers. Specifically, we saw strong growth in both of our active customer base and in the average revenue per existing customer. In addition, we also saw contributions from our new products, which I'll discuss now.
In addition to driving adoption and utilization of our existing Pounce and Sublime products, our team continued to advance the limited market evaluations for new additions to our Vascular Interventions portfolio, including both Pounce Venous for the venous vasculature and Pounce Low Profile for the arterial vasculature. These efforts enabled us to achieve considerable progress with respect to our second strategic objective for fiscal 2024, which is to facilitate our long-term growth by developing and introducing new products and line extensions to enhance our existing Pounce, Sublime, and Medical Device Performance Coatings portfolio. Let's begin with an update on Pounce Venous. During our second quarter, we completed our limited market evaluation, or LME, for the Pounce Venous device. Pounce Venous is a 10 French mechanical thrombectomy system designed for mechanical declotting in the peripheral vasculature without the need for capital equipment.
During the LME, we were able to evaluate clinical performance in over 75 venous procedures, representing a considerable variety of clinical cases across a broad range of clot morphologies and with a large number of physician operators. Pounce Venous has been used throughout the peripheral anatomy, ranging from iliac, iliofemoral, femoropopliteal, and the subclavian veins. The device's low profile has enabled flexibility in access sites, ranging from popliteal, internal jugular, brachial veins, to as far as the patient's calf. Clinically, the dual-action design of Pounce Venous has shown the ability to remove large volumes of acute and subacute thrombus via its Archimedes screw technology, while the device's basket is designed to remove chronic clots. Physician feedback has been invaluable as we work to better understand a broad array of clinical, user, and product dynamics.
Our key physician users have highlighted some key differentiating features, which make this product unique in the venous thrombectomy space. For example, the device's dynamically adjustable basket automatically adapts to changes in vessel size while applying consistent radial force, even within smaller vessels. Given the goal of minimizing vessel trauma, physicians have appreciated the ability to expand and retract the basket to spot treat only the areas of need, versus repeatedly dragging a mechanical device through the entire vasculature between every pass. Pounce can be resheathed, readvanced, and deployed within the clot region if the physician desires, and the basket is retracted during removal in non-target treatment zones. In addition to this positive feedback, on March the fourth, we were pleased to see the publication of a multicenter study in the Journal of Vascular Surgery by Dr.
Stephen Black, et al., which evaluated the safety and performance of Pounce Venous in 19 patients with acute iliofemoral deep vein thrombosis. The study met its primary endpoint of complete or near complete thrombus removal, achieved in all patients, with a median treatment time of 23 minutes. All safety endpoints were achieved as well, with no major bleeding, no device-related events. Based on these findings, the researchers concluded that Pounce Venous is both safe and effective for the removal of thrombus in patients with acute iliofemoral deep vein thrombosis. While our FDA 510(k) clearance for Pounce Venous currently does not include a specific clinical indication for the treatment of deep vein thrombosis, we are pleased to see the results of this study.
More broadly, this study in our LME further demonstrate that Pounce Venous is safe and effective for removing a variety of different types of thrombus, including chronic clots, in a single treatment session, one that can enable physicians to enhance the efficiency and versatility while minimizing vessel trauma during use. The device's low-profile, dual-action technology, combined with the physician-controllable basket, ease of use, and incredibly low learning curve, are likely to be key drivers of product adoption. Like the rest of the Pounce thrombectomy platform, Pounce Venous also provides additional compelling advantages for a physician, and that requires no capital equipment and helps to minimize the need for overnight thrombolytic therapy. On the heels of this important progress, we are excited to announce in our earnings release this morning that Pounce Venous has now transitioned to a full commercial launch in March.
Given the attractive features and advantages I just outlined, our team is energized and ready to bring this new treatment option to our physician customers, providing them with a new tool to enhance the capabilities and outcomes for these patients. Turning to our Pounce Low Profile thrombectomy system. As a reminder, Pounce Low Profile, or LP, features the same mechanism of action as our original Pounce mid-profile thrombectomy system. Pounce LP expands the capabilities of our existing offering with a specific clinical indication to treat smaller diameter peripheral arterial vessels, ranging from 2-4 millimeters, such as those found below the knee. On our earnings call in February, I mentioned that the clinical outcomes and feedback from our initial 10 LME cases have been overwhelmingly positive.
I'm now pleased to report that the LME continued to surpass our expectations, with simply impressive clinical and product performance as we progressed through the quarter, and we were equally pleased with the strong, positive feedback we obtained. As a reminder, vascular vasculature below the knee tends to be narrow and delicate. Physicians currently have really limited options for removing clot and debris in below-the-knee vessels, which greatly heightens the level of concern for embolic events that can occur during any endovascular procedure. While a hospitalized treatment likely will include overnight thrombolytic therapy, and it may have some usefulness in treating soft acute clots, it's a costly option. Thrombolytic therapy is also often contraindicated in patients with elevated risk of bleeding. Similarly, the performance of aspiration-based technology is quite limited, given that aspiration can be less effective, especially in these smaller diameter, harder-to-reach vessels.
In addition, aspiration technology runs the risk of inadvertently driving clots further down the vessel, further complicating the procedure. The stakes are quite high, and Vascular Interventionalists often have struggled to address harder, subacute, and chronic clots in this area without resorting to open surgery. Performing surgery on tibial arteries is typically quite challenging and often seen as an approach to avoid for patients in poor health. With this in mind, a single session on the table endovascular approach, like Pounce LP, can completely transform how below the knee and small arterial vessel clot is viewed and treated. I'd like to repeat that: It can completely transform how below-the-knee vessels are treated. With this as a backdrop, it's difficult to overstate the level of positive feedback Pounce LP has received from physicians involved in our LME. In contrast to the challenges I just described with expensive overnight thrombolytic therapy.
Aspiration and open surgery, our early physician users have found that Pounce LP can be deployed past clots all the way down into the ankle with relative ease. Pounce LP's baskets are then expanded, and the device is retracted to quickly pull out clots, regardless of their morphology, restoring flow to the patient's limb, with the entire process taking just a few minutes. In view of the success of these cases and the consistency of the feedback received, I'm excited to announce today that we have also initiated the full commercial launch of Pounce LP, which began in April. We're looking forward to providing physicians this new non-surgical solution that fills an important critical gap in existing thrombectomy toolkits.
In addition to this progress with respect to our thrombectomy platform, we continue to be pleased with the market's response to Preside, the latest and most advanced hydrophilic coating technology in our Medical Device Performance Coatings business. As we discussed in detail on our last earnings call, Preside Hydrophilic Coatings impact both industry-leading lubricity and enhanced coating durability to coated devices. After securing early 510(k) clearances and initiating the commercial launch of Preside Hydrophilic Coatings during our first quarter, we have seen significant interest from both new and existing customers interested in integrating Preside into their next generation of neurovascular, coronary, and peripheral vascular devices. Per our typical process, we are actively working with our customers to conduct feasibility studies for each device and the coating application, so they can proceed to securing necessary regulatory approvals.
With both our Preside and Serene Hydrophilic Coatings on the market, we will continue to enhance and then strengthen our position as the industry-leading provider of performance coating technologies. Lastly, we continue to deliver on our third and final strategic objective by driving durable revenue growth and cash flow generation across our core medical device, performance coatings offerings, and IVD businesses. Revenue from these two areas of our business increased 8% year-over-year on a combined basis. This performance is well driven by strong growth in Medical Device Performance Coatings, where we saw a lot of royalty and license fee revenue that exceeded our expectations, benefiting from the $1.4 million in catch-up payments reported by our customers and continued growth in customer utilization of our Serene Hydrophilic Coatings.
This performance more than offset the performance in our diagnostics business, where we saw revenue decrease 5% against our largest fiscal quarter of 2023, driven primarily by lower sales of substrate products. As I mentioned earlier, the performance of IVD business was consistent with our expectations for the quarter. Incremental revenue generated by these two core business on a combined basis yields significant contributions to our adjusted EBITDA growth on a year-over-year basis, enhancing our profitability profile. So stepping back, we're quite proud of our recent pace of execution in fiscal 2024. This has translated to strong financial performance in the first half of the year, and meaningful progress with respect to all of our stated objectives.
Looking at our year-over-year results in the first half of our fiscal year, our team's execution has enabled us to achieve product sales growth of 41% in our Medical Device segment. In combination with the strong contribution from our core businesses, this performance accelerated our total revenue growth to 20% on a year-over-year basis in the first half of fiscal 2024. 22% growth, excluding the SurVeil license fee revenue. In combination with our continued focus on controlling our expenses, our strong revenue performance enabled us to achieve significant year-over-year enhancements to our profitability profile. In the first half of fiscal 2024, we were essentially break even on a GAAP net income basis. We generated $8.7 million of adjusted EBITDA, and reported $1.4 million in cash used in operating activities.
With $41 million in cash and investments on our balance sheet and access to approximately $65 million of additional debt capital at quarter end, we are well capitalized to support our operations and future growth objectives. Lastly, let me thank every Surmodics team member for what you have made possible in the first half of this fiscal year. The commercialization of four major new products to date, our SurVeil DCB, Pounce Venous, Pounce LP, and our Preside coating. It is your dedication, perseverance, and belief that makes a difference in the lives of patients with the commercial availability of these innovative devices and technologies. We look forward to capitalizing on these important growth catalysts as we tap the significant incremental opportunity that they collectively address. With that said, I'll turn it over to Tim.
I know you've been excited to wait for what Tim has to say here. He will discuss our second quarter financial results of fiscal 2024 guidance in detail. Tim?
Tim Arens (CFO)
Thank you, Gary. Unless noted, all references to second quarter results are on a GAAP and year-over-year basis. Total revenue for the second quarter of fiscal 2024 increased $4.8 million, or 18% to $32 million. Excluding SurVeil DCB license fee revenue, total revenue increased $5 million or 19% to $30.9 million. Our earnings press release includes detailed reconciliations of total revenue, excluding SurVeil DCB license fee revenue. Product revenue increased $2.7 million, or 18% to $18.1 million. Medical device product revenue increased $3.2 million, or 40% to $11.1 million, the second consecutive quarter of 40% or higher growth in our medical device business. Medical device product revenue growth was primarily driven by monthly shipments of our SurVeil drug-coated balloon to Abbott and increased sales of our Pounce thrombectomy device platform.
IVD product revenue decreased $440,000, or 6% to $7 million, primarily driven by lower sales of our substrate products. We were pleased with this performance as the prior year quarter was the highest revenue quarter during fiscal 2023 for our IVD business. Royalty and license fee revenue increased $2 million, or 21% to $11.4 million. Performance Coatings, royalty, and license fee revenue increased $2.2 million, or 27% to $10.3 million. Royalty revenue benefited from $1.4 million in catch-up payments in the normal course of our customers reporting sales-based royalties. Royalty revenue growth was also driven by customer-reported royalties in excess of estimated royalty, as well as continued growth in customer utilization of our Serene Hydrophilic Coating.
SurVeil DCB license fee revenue decreased $240,000, or 18% to $1.1 million, corresponding to the decrease in TRANSCEND clinical study costs incurred. R&D services revenue was $2.4 million and was consistent with the prior year period. Moving down the P&L, product gross margin was 60.8% compared to 62.6% in the prior year period. As we shared last quarter, sales of our near-term growth catalysts, our SurVeil drug-coated balloon, Pounce and Sublime products, are increasing as a proportion of total company product sales. These device products are not yet at scale, and product gross margins are impacted by the associated under absorption and production inefficiencies. R&D expense decreased $2.7 million, or 21% to $10.2 million.
This was primarily driven by lower SurVeil DCB related costs, the timing of development and commercialization of our thrombectomy devices, and the benefits from the spending reduction plan we implemented during the second quarter of fiscal 2023. SG&A expense increased $130,000, or 1% to $13.1 million. Lastly, in the prior year quarter, we reported $1.3 million in severance-related restructuring expense from the workforce restructuring implemented last year. We were pleased to generate GAAP operating income in both our medical device and IVD businesses during the quarter. Our medical device business reported operating income of $300,000, compared to a loss of $7.1 million in the prior year period, primarily reflecting our strong revenue growth and lower R&D expenses.
Two items I discussed earlier, the $1.4 million in royalty revenue catch-up payments recognized this quarter, and the $1.3 million restructuring expense in the prior year, provided tailwinds to our performance as well. Our IVD business reported operating income of $3.4 million, or 47% of IVD revenue, compared to $3.6 million, or 49% of IVD revenue in the prior year period, reflecting the decrease in IVD revenue. Turning to income taxes. We reported income tax benefit of $80,000, compared to income tax expense of $370,000 in the prior year period. GAAP net income was $250,000, or $0.02 per diluted share, compared to a net loss of $7.7 million, or a loss of $0.55 per diluted share in the prior year period.
Non-GAAP net income was $1.1 million or $0.07 per diluted share, compared to a net loss of $5.6 million, or a loss of $0.40 per diluted share in the prior year period. Non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA was $4.8 million, compared to adjusted EBITDA loss of $1.5 million in the prior year period. Our earnings press release includes detailed reconciliations of GAAP to non-GAAP measures. Moving to the balance sheet. During the second quarter, we reported cash provided by operating activities of $7.4 million and capital expenditures of $1.3 million.
Cash provided by operating activities in the second quarter benefited from the receipt of a $3.4 million cash tax refund from the IRS associated with the CARES Act employee retention credit, which we have discussed in our prior earnings calls and which we were pleased to receive during this period. We ended the second quarter with $40.9 million in total cash and cash equivalents and investments and available-for-sale securities, an increase of $5.8 million during the quarter. Long-term debt of $29.5 million was unchanged during the quarter. At quarter end, we had access to approximately $65 million in additional borrowing capacity under our existing credit agreement.
Turning now to fiscal 2024 guidance, which we updated in our earnings release today to reflect both our outperformance in the second quarter, as well as our improved outlook for the remainder of fiscal 2024. We now expect fiscal 2024 total revenue to range from $122 million-$124 million, representing a decrease of 8%-6%. Excluding SurVeil DCB license fee revenue, we expect revenue to range from $118 million-$120 million, representing an increase of 15%-17%. This compares to our prior range of $113 million-$117 million, or an increase of 10%-14% over the prior year.
SurVeil DCB license fee revenue is expected to be approximately $4 million in fiscal 2024, compared to $29.6 million in fiscal 2023. We now expect fiscal 2024 GAAP loss per diluted share to range from a loss of $0.90 to a loss of $0.70, compared to our prior range of a loss of $1.40 to a loss of $1.10. Non-GAAP loss per diluted share is expected to range from a loss of $0.67 to $0.47 per share, compared to our prior range of a loss of $1.17 to a loss of $0.87 per share. I'll now share a few additional considerations for modeling purposes.
With respect to our fiscal 2024 total revenue guidance, product revenue is expected to be approximately 60% of total revenue, driven largely by contributions from our product growth catalysts. Specifically, we now expect combined product revenue from our SurVeil, Pounce, and Sublime products of at least $15.5 million, an increase from the $14 million we communicated last quarter. Revenue associated with our Medical Device Performance Coatings offerings and IVD business is expected to grow in the low to mid-single digits from the $88.3 million of combined revenue generated in fiscal 2023. Our fiscal 2024 diluted loss per share guidance reflects the following assumptions for the full fiscal year. Product gross margin is expected to be in the mid- to high-50s. We expect operating expenses, excluding product costs, to decrease in the mid-single digits.
We expect R&D expense to range from $39.5-$40.5 million, representing a decrease of 15%-13%. We expect SG&A expense to range from $53-$54 million, representing an increase of 2%-4% as we invest in our commercial organization. Interest expense is expected to be approximately $3.5 million, consistent with the prior year. Finally, our EPS guidance reflects full-year tax expense of $3.5-$4.5 million. With respect to our revenue growth in the third quarter, we expect third quarter total revenue to range from approximately $29.5-$30.5 million, representing a decrease of approximately 44%-42%.
Excluding SurVeil drug-coated balloon license fee revenue, we expect third quarter revenue to range from $28.5 million-$29.5 million, representing an increase of 7%-11%. As a reminder, in the third quarter of fiscal 2023, we recognized $25.9 million of SurVeil drug-coated balloon license fee revenue, the majority of which was related to the PMA milestone payment achieved in the period. Lastly, with respect to cash utilization, at the end of fiscal 2023, we had $45.4 million of cash and investments, which included $3.9 million of available-for-sale securities. We now expect to finish fiscal 2024 with approximately $35 million-$38 million in cash and investments, representing a year-over-year decrease of $10 million-$7 million.
Our updated expectation represents an improvement of $6-7 million compared to the expectations shared on our first quarter earnings call, driven by improved operating performance. As we have discussed in detail on recent earnings calls during fiscal 2023, cash and investments increased $26 million, reflecting an influx of cash from the $27 million milestone payment upon receiving PMA for the SurVeil drug-coated balloon, as well as $19.3 million in net debt proceeds from our term loan and revolving credit facility. Setting aside these items, cash and investments decreased by approximately $20 million in fiscal 2023. With this in mind, our updated expectations for fiscal 2024 year-end cash and investments reflects an improvement in cash use of $10-13 million compared to the $20 million in fiscal 2023 I just mentioned.
Our expectations for fiscal 2024 year-end cash and investments continue to reflect the following assumptions: capital expenditures of up to $5 million, compared to $2.9 million in fiscal 2023, which includes certain investments postponed last year as part of our spending reduction plan, and payments totaling $2.7 million to satisfy obligations related to previous acquisitions, of which $930,000 was paid during the second quarter. We remain focused on disciplined expense management and optimization of working capital, and importantly, our fiscal 2024 guidance continues to assume no borrowings under our credit agreement. With that, I'll turn the call back to Gary for closing remarks.
Gary Maharaj (President and CEO)
Thanks, Tim. As Tim mentioned, we're pleased to raise our financial guidance today for the second time this year, which reflects both our recent outperformance and our increased outlook for the balance of the year. Importantly, I want to emphasize that the low end of our guidance range now calls for total revenue growth of at least 15% year-over-year, excluding the headwinds related to the SurVeil DCB license fee revenue. We expect this growth to be fueled by revenue from our Vascular Interventional products of at least $15.5 million, compared with our initial expectation of $13.5 million. Looking ahead, our team is energized by our recent success and remains focused on executing our growth strategy to continue our recent momentum as we enter the second half of fiscal 2024.
With steady growth and cash flow generation from our core businesses, demonstrated commercial traction from our existing products, and an expanded portfolio of innovative Vascular Interventional devices addressing large and under-penetrated markets, we believe Surmodics is exceptionally well positioned to deliver strong, sustained revenue growth. By accelerating our growth while continuing to control our expenses and allocate capital dynamically and strategically, we remain committed to delivering sustained improvements in our underlying profitability profile. Surmodics is focused on delivering value for the benefit of our patients, our customers, our employees, and investors. It's important that you know we have the courage and the commitment to continue to pursue our mission to improve the detection and treatment of disease. I'd like to conclude my prepared remarks today by thanking all of these important stakeholders for their support of our company and our continued pursuit of this mission.
We really need more companies like Surmodics. Operator, we'll now open the call for questions.
Operator (participant)
Thank you. If you would like to ask a question, please signal by pressing star one on your telephone keypad. If you are using a speakerphone, please make sure your mute function is turned off to allow your signal to reach our equipment. We do ask that you limit yourself to one question and one follow-up. If you would like to ask additional questions, we invite you to add yourself to the queue again by pressing star one. Our first question will come from Brooks O'Neil from Lake Street Capital Markets. Please proceed.
Brooks O'Neil (Senior Research Analyst)
Good morning. As usual, you guys offer a very thorough and complete overview, but I think it's offensive that you talk about all this detail, and then you say we can ask one question and one follow-up. But I'll try my best to stick to your requirements here. So first, I'm just curious, if you could help us to calibrate the TAM for SurVeil today. And then the second part of question one, could you give us a sense for whether the level of revenue the product is beginning to generate is sufficient to maintain Abbott's long-term interest in this product, in this market?
Gary Maharaj (President and CEO)
Yeah, Brooks, I'll start with the second part there. You know, we don't want us to speculate about what Abbott needs, but I can tell you that the partnership is strong, and they're excited about getting going, and it's very early innings. As far as, you know, their portfolio and their strategy and numbers and stuff, I don't have the information to speculate, nor would I want to. I'll turn over some of the TAM component to Tim here, but think of it, it's a bit of a dynamic TAM. Since the FDA unwound the label warning on paclitaxel a year ago, I guess, it was last year.
Every patient who's going to be treated with a balloon angioplasty procedure in the periphery, in my opinion, is a candidate for a drug-coated balloon. I mean, with so many randomized. I don't know, we have seven randomized control trials, culminating with the TRANSCEND trial, which I will say is the best one, the best ever run trial in this space, as, because it was head-to-head, but really clearly demonstrates the durability and importance of, uh, anti-restenotic drug on a balloon. And that durability, as I said, the data is quite compelling. So if you want to prevent restenosis rates from plain old balloon, the mandate should be you always use a drug-coated balloon, not just for difficult lesions, not. So I would say the TAM is much, much larger than the current market.
But I know, Tim, we've been tracking the IMS data and seeing the rebound of the market, so I'll turn that over to you.
Tim Arens (CFO)
That's right. The TAM really hasn't changed, Brooks. You know, there's over 500,000 above-the-knee cases that are performed in the U.S. annually. Given kind of the cases leverage multiple balloons, I've heard anywhere from 1.3, north of 1.3 balloons per procedure. If you're looking at ASPs from a list perspective that are greater than 1,500, obviously there's some discounts, but that gets you to about a billion-dollar TAM. I think, you know, one of the reasons Abbott was interested in negotiating an agreement for distribution rights back in 2018 was because of the TAM and how they viewed, as Gary mentioned, a technology that could really provide a lot of benefit to patients that were suffering from peripheral vascular disease.
To be clear, it's very early in Abbott's launch. They launched in late January. We're here on May first. We're three months into it. I'll just refer you back to our prepared remarks. Every month, we've been receiving orders from Abbott. Every month, Brooks. As Gary mentioned, they've been consistent. We're pleased with the orders. We're manufacturing, we're shifting, we're recognizing revenue. So, you know, let's, let's make sure we don't forget to ask the question again next quarter and maybe even the quarter after. But we're pleased with what we're seeing right now.
Just the one question, though.
Brooks O'Neil (Senior Research Analyst)
I'll only ask that one. Now, just as a follow-up sort of to that, related to Abbott, I saw an announcement the other day that they got approval for a dissolving drug-coated stent for below the knee.
Gary Maharaj (President and CEO)
Yes.
Brooks O'Neil (Senior Research Analyst)
Frankly, that they probably put that in unless they have a catheter to open the vessel a little bit. Are they showing any new or renewed interest in your products that are developed for below the knee?
Gary Maharaj (President and CEO)
We haven't had any discussions with them about that, but the Esprit stent is an alignment stent that's bioresorbable, and I believe it specifically got PMA approval this week. It's specifically for below the knee vessels. So, as far as our Sundance, we continue to make progress in looking for parties of interest, and we have conversations with multiple parties there. Sundance requires some investment and allocation of capital to get it to an IDE level. At this point, we would choose not to move much more on that without a partner helping the funding of that. But we are in the space. Yeah.
Brooks O'Neil (Senior Research Analyst)
No, no. Oh, okay. You are in discussions? Okay, I'm just gonna ask one more, which is, obviously, you know, over the past five years, R&D spending has been in the range of 50% of revenue. It's been a very productive investment, and it shows tremendous promise. Do you expect to continue spending at that dollar level or that percent of revenue level-
Gary Maharaj (President and CEO)
Right.
Brooks O'Neil (Senior Research Analyst)
Now that we're.
Gary Maharaj (President and CEO)
Yeah.
Brooks O'Neil (Senior Research Analyst)
Let's say, breaking into the clear here?
Gary Maharaj (President and CEO)
Right. And I'll give you a little bit of the strategy, then. Tim will follow up with some of the actual hard edges. So if you don't have a pipeline, you have to develop a pipeline, right? And so pipelines.
Brooks O'Neil (Senior Research Analyst)
Right.
Gary Maharaj (President and CEO)
Are something which requires, as you know, accelerated R&D investment. Eventually, the pipeline gets into equilibrium. What's going in and what's coming out, generating cash are in equilibrium, and those help offset each other. So, the clinical trial costs are coming out. We have multiple year follow-up. We have a couple more years of follow-up in some of them. Revenue is going up, but the level of R&D spending that we are contemplating right now are really on the Vascular Intervention portfolio, making sure the platforms we have, thrombectomy and radial access, venous and arterial thrombectomy and radial access, that we fill out those platforms with the complete product line so that we can have a compelling competitive advantage. That's still in process. We still have Pounce XL we still have things like Pounce Over the Wire.
We have many things in that pipeline within that, that box of current platforms. We also want to make sure on the, the performance coatings business, we have Preside and our teams, just a, a remarkably talented chemical engineering team, of how we further advance that technology. So we can make the game over. I mean, Surmodics is, is going to lead this field, and we're not ceding that leadership advantage in our performance coatings business. Apart from that, Tim, I'll turn it over to you. I would expect to see some-
Tim Arens (CFO)
Thank you, Brooks. You know, we're really pleased that we're starting to see the product revenue grow the way it's been growing. As Gary and I had mentioned in the prepared remarks, we're expecting at least $15.5 million of revenue this year, and we keep increasing our guidance every quarter with regard to these products. This is a culmination of those investments in R&D over several years. As you mentioned, 50% of our revenue in the past had been invested in R&D. There's clearly, this year, you heard in my remarks in terms of some of the modeling considerations, we're having a lower spend in R&D this fiscal year versus the prior fiscal year, and that's really attributable to the R&D spend that had gone into SurVeil and other drug-coated balloon platforms. That's really what the driver is.
We've continued to invest, obviously, in some of the Vascular Intervention products with regard to Pounce and Sublime, of which notably, we've launched a few and commercialized a few here just within the last quarter. So I wouldn't drive you or guide you to thinking that we'd get back to 50% of revenue would be spent on R&D. At least we don't see that in the near and intermediate term by any means. And certainly, as our revenue continues to jump, and Brooks, you go back several years ago, we were in the mid-$70 million in terms of revenue generated annually. Here we are, talking about $122 million-$124 million. So it, there is. It'd be very unlikely that we'd get back to 50%.
Gary Maharaj (President and CEO)
Yeah.
Tim Arens (CFO)
But we feel very confident that we're making the appropriate level of investments in R&D at this point.
Brooks O'Neil (Senior Research Analyst)
Perfect. That's very helpful. Congratulations on all you've accomplished.
Tim Arens (CFO)
Thank you, Brooks.
Operator (participant)
Our next question comes from Mike Matson from Needham & Company. Please proceed.
Joseph Conway (Equity Research Associate)
Hey, guys, this is Joseph from Mike. Just a couple from us. The $14 or I guess $15.5 million guide for, you know, Pounce SurVeil Sublime. We, you know, was just wondering if we could maybe get a little bit more color on those numbers. You know, not necessarily asking for a split, but, you know, if there is any more upside to that, any raises, wondering if you could call out, you know, where you think that those would come from, whether it be a specific product. And then I don't know if you said it in the prepared remarks, but the raise today, is that driven by the launches of LP and or you know of Pounce LP and Pounce Venous or.
Yeah, just a little more color on that would be great.
Tim Arens (CFO)
Sure. It's a great question, and I'm sure a lot of people are thinking and wanting to ask the same question. So thanks for putting it out there. Yes, I would tell you that, you know, our view today on this, at least 15.5, is at least 15.5. Justin, let's be real clear on the question with regard to the raise and what's coming or what's coming from Pounce LP and Pounce Venous. We're very measured on that. It's very early stages. We've completed the limited market evaluations. They went very well. But as you can imagine, we're going to be appropriately conservative in terms of including in our guidance any real significant revenue increases until we validate and get traction.
The $15.5, although it does include some revenue from these recent product launches, it's not what's driving it entirely. It's a portion of the increase. You had asked about could we provide a bit more context and color between the products? And we're not, we're not in a position here, and nor are we, do we believe it's all that helpful for investors to be getting a lot of product level detail on revenue. At the current stage of these products, they're pretty modest still, even though we're guiding to $15.5, there is noise, and I don't think it is very helpful from a modeling perspective or helping provide any real perspective that will be of use.
But what I will say is, we have communicated that SurVeil, if you go back to the prepared remarks, was an important contributor or significant contributor along with Pounce. And as you know, there was no Pounce or no SurVeil product revenue in fiscal 2023. So you can imagine there that a lot of that growth, over $3 million of product revenue growth in the med device business, we did see some of that coming from SurVeil and a fair amount coming from Pounce. But we're gonna provide some color and context, but we're just not going to be providing specificity in terms of the numbers at this point. So hopefully that's helpful.
The prepared remarks are intended to help give you what you're looking for, and I'm sure we'll have more to say as we kind of go through the coming quarters in terms of the performance from these recently launched products and the continued performance from SurVeil as well.
Gary Maharaj (President and CEO)
You know, Tim has very long legs, so he can kick me under the table, but I'll give you one nugget that, that will help. It wasn't too long ago, we were talking about the direct sales of Vascular Interventions product. Just without SurVeil, we're getting to $1 million, over $1 million a quarter consistently. What I will share, and just this one nugget, is Pounce Arterial by itself is over $1 million a quarter. So I can't give you any more than that, but I just, you know, I, I wanted to make sure people understood the magnitude of the growth we are, we are experiencing in some of these areas.
Joseph Conway (Equity Research Associate)
Okay. Yeah, no, all of that is really helpful and much appreciated. I guess maybe, let's see, maybe one on Abbott and SurVeil. Just maybe wondering how long, you know, maybe rough timeline or something, when you guys believe you can get to kind of a reasonable medical device gross margin, you know, somewhere 60%-80%, you know, with the relationship, or I guess, you know. Yeah, I guess how high do the transfer payments need to get to really realize that? Just, I guess adding two.
Gary Maharaj (President and CEO)
Yeah.
Joseph Conway (Equity Research Associate)
Two kind of, you know, sub so questions on that.
Gary Maharaj (President and CEO)
Sure.
Joseph Conway (Equity Research Associate)
Do you expect any capacity increase in the future? And, you know, excluding this, milestone payment last year, do you guys expect any gross margin benefit, or improvement this year?
Gary Maharaj (President and CEO)
I'll turn over to Tim for the finer points, but just, you know, when you. This will apply to all of our, the VI, Vascular Interventions products as well. So when you launch a product, then the first thing you want to know is you get a stable product performing in the marketplace. And any product is small tweaks and engineering change orders. So until we have a stable product, we don't like to commit it to a low-cost environment that makes thousands of them in one, just in a specific operation. So some of these products are achieving stability right now, like the first version of Pounce Arterial. Then when the product is stable and we're satisfied it's stable, then we can really drive costs out. And there are two things helping us there.
Joseph Conway (Equity Research Associate)
Mm-hmm.
Gary Maharaj (President and CEO)
One is the cost, volume, profit relationship that helps absorb overhead, that really does that. And then the second one is we can lean out those lines specifically because we know we're making it in that exact variant forevermore. As far as SurVeil goes, as Tim has mentioned in the past, and all of these products we built the fixed infrastructure to scale, so we don't see need for huge capital equipment when we do scale. And so Tim will talk about that. But in the early days, we're just, overhead is not our friend. Volume is our friend to overcome that overhead absorption. Tim?
Tim Arens (CFO)
I really like the question, and if you go back and take a look at what the product gross margin was for the quarter, it was just under 61%. And I'm quite sure and convinced that it's significantly higher than the consensus estimate. But you'll have heard me comment during the modeling considerations portion of the script that we now expect product gross margins to range from mid-fifties to high fifties. If you go back and compare it to what we said during the February call, we said mid-fifties. So there's a reason why we're migrating favorably on the product gross margins, and that's because we're seeing the benefits of scale. Clearly, we had a really strong Q2, product revenue outperformed our expectations and consensus. We're pushing that through the rest of the year.
Justin, as you mentioned, you highlighted that there's a couple new products. Obviously, we've got that reflected in on a modest level, but scale helps. And we're also becoming more efficient in the manufacturing. As Gary mentioned, it's one thing to have a small number of products that you're manufacturing on a monthly basis or a quarterly basis, and that grows, but our teams are becoming more efficient in the manufacturing environment, and so we're getting the benefit of improved yields, and being able to manufacture these products more effectively and efficiently, and that's what's driving the guidance there.
In terms of when we can get to medtech-like gross margins, I would say we've made a substantial stepwise function higher improvement in product gross margins for the likes of SurVeil and Pounce over the last quarter. We continue to have scale. I think we'll continue to do that, and we'll continue to be more efficient. But I won't be so bold to tell you, you know, precisely when we think we'll get there. But I will tell you that if we continue to grow at the rate that we're growing, it should probably be a couple of years, but if even. But again, we're very pleased with the performance, and a lot of the credit goes to the ops teams.
Gary Maharaj (President and CEO)
Yeah, I mean, there are scenarios where we can get there in calendar 2025, but we don't want to.
Tim Arens (CFO)
That's right.
Gary Maharaj (President and CEO)
We don't want to give.
Tim Arens (CFO)
We don't want to provide guidance for 25 quite, quite yet.
Joseph Conway (Equity Research Associate)
Sure, sure. All right. Well, thank you very much for all the details. Super helpful, and congrats on the quarter.
Gary Maharaj (President and CEO)
Thank you.
Tim Arens (CFO)
Thank you.
Operator (participant)
Our next question comes from Jim Sidoti, from Sidoti & Company. Please proceed.
Jim Sidoti (Analyst)
Hi, good morning, and thanks for taking the questions. First one, a quick one. Other than that $1.4 million of catch-up revenue, was there anything in the quarter you would consider one time that added to revenue?
Tim Arens (CFO)
No, that $1.4 million catch-up payment is really the one thing that was unique to the quarter that would, could be considered to be more of a one-time.
Jim Sidoti (Analyst)
Okay. And I know you, you're reluctant to give any product-specific guidance, but I'm sure you have internal projections for SurVeil. Can you just give us a sense, you know, are you exceeding those internal projections, and by approximately how much on a percentage basis?
Tim Arens (CFO)
I like the question, Jim. I'll restrain myself from giving you an answer other than to say it's obviously we had a really strong quarter in Q2, exceeded our expectations, exceeded consensus. You saw that we raised past the beat, which implies that we have confidence in the second half of the year. We have not changed our guidance with regard to the IVD and coatings business. So I think that probably gives you the insight that I want you to take away. We're very pleased with the performance with SurVeil, Pounce and Sublime.
Jim Sidoti (Analyst)
Okay. And then, just a question on the sales team. You know, I know you've made some changes to that last year. You know, is it time to expand again? And can you talk a little bit about international? You don't have any sales there now. Have you considered distribution for sales outside the United States?
Gary Maharaj (President and CEO)
You know, we. The short answer is, we have considered all options internationally, but, you know, like the Roman Empire, we want to be able to make sure we secure the U.S. market first. And we're trying to be quite disciplined on where we allocate investments and capital, especially given the need to show returns over the short-term horizon here, versus too many long-term, deep passes. So the short answer is no, not at this point, but it is, it is, it is not off the table. It will only be on the table if it, if it, doesn't impact our cash utilization. We don't want to spend more cash at this point, to go to other geographies. But if there's a partner and a capability where we can demonstrate it's not a use of cash, we'll consider it.
and the first part of the question was. Was that it? I think that was it.
Jim Sidoti (Analyst)
On the U.S. sales force, are you happy with.
Gary Maharaj (President and CEO)
Oh, just U.S. sales force? Yes. So look, I'll tell you, we have concentrated and curated an amazing sales team here, and they continue to impress me. You know, they're building territories from scratch, and that's never easy. Finally, people are not just saying, "Surmodics who?" People are realizing us. We made a Morgan Stanley report recently on a KOL on Pounce, and Morgan Stanley doesn't even cover us. But the short answer is we will continue to look for opportunities to grow, but it's not just a mass sprinkling of territories. We're really being quite selective with our sales leadership, where the heat maps are and where the opportunities lie.
Now, Pounce Venous and how that goes in the next couple of quarters could change our allocation of that, because, you know, to cover a territory's expenses, which were salaries, commissions, and expenses, Pounce Venous is a very high ASP product, as is Pounce Arterial as well. And so if that allows us to start covering territory expenses at an accelerated fashion, then we will. We still use the term go as we grow or grow as we go. We can see the territories we want, so we're not too far ahead on cash utilization. Cash is very important to us, as you can tell.
Jim Sidoti (Analyst)
Right. Right. And it doesn't appear that you're gonna need to raise cash anytime soon, that the cash you have on the balance sheet is more than enough to fund the growth.
Gary Maharaj (President and CEO)
Yeah, and I hope investors get the point of what we're seeing in this quarter, is how we have managed cash looking forward and also how we've managed it before. Yes.
Jim Sidoti (Analyst)
All right. Thank you.
Gary Maharaj (President and CEO)
Thanks.
Tim Arens (CFO)
Thanks, Jim.
Operator (participant)
Our next question comes from Mike Petusky from Barrington Research. Please proceed.
Mike Petusky (Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst)
Hey, good morning, guys. Tim, I may have missed this. Did you say whether the profit-sharing piece for SurVeil was like? Has that started? Are you guys participating in that at this point, or has that not been calculated yet on these first orders?
Tim Arens (CFO)
Yep, thank you for the question, Mike. Yes, we've communicated on this topic in the past. Probably weren't very clear on it here during our prepared remarks, but yes, the way the profit sharing works, it's not unlike what we have to do with our royalties. For those of you who've followed the story for a while, you appreciate that given the accounting standards, we have to make an estimation of what our customers sell and what our royalty will be on the coatings part of the business. It's not unlike that with regard to the profit sharing with SurVeil. So when we ship product to Abbott, we calculate based upon the unit shipped, what the profit sharing will be based upon a number of assumptions, including the selling price and including the number of units that are actually sold.
So we have to take into consideration units that are used for promotional or samples that aren't charged, as well as units that might expire. Recall, we have a two-year shelf life, so we're pretty conservative in these assumptions at the moment. We have yet to receive the first profit-sharing report from Abbott. We'll have a little bit more insight on the first one when we get together for the August call. But there is an amount that's included in the product revenue, and which obviously impacts the product gross margins. But we've not made any changes to our assumptions from what we included in Q1, relative to what we booked in Q2 and how we forecast for the full year. So no changes there.
Mike Petusky (Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst)
Okay, so essentially, you're saying you could come back and say, "Okay, well, you know, we did a reconciliation with Abbott, and there's a disagreement, so we have to sort of back off," you know, although it sounds like you're being conservative, you're trying to be conservative with this.
Tim Arens (CFO)
Yeah, I'd say the probability of that risk, you know, without having perfect clarity, would be low. I think that there's. The probability, in my view, would be that it would be favorable versus unfavorable, but, I'm, I'm sitting here today on May first, not having received any, reports from Abbott, with regard to the key assumptions that we've modeled. We've gotten a little feedback and some insights that we've used and some market data, but I feel comfortable, with regard to what we've included in our assumptions to derive or come up with our estimated profit sharing, Mike.
Mike Petusky (Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst)
Okay. All right, very good. And then, I haven't heard this talked about, I don't think, in a while. In terms of Abbott's plans for SurVeil OUS, have they communicated anything there as far as timing or even plans to do it?
Gary Maharaj (President and CEO)
There's no change. What they have communicated is that they want to really make sure they fill out this U.S. market first. And, you know, at some point, if they get to that, we'll have that discussion, and at an appropriate point, if it's reportable, we will. But so far, no.
Mike Petusky (Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst)
Okay. So not even like, sort of like, "Hey, you know, you know, we sort of run this business for six quarters in the U.S., and then we start. "Like, there's no—there's nothing on the drawing board in terms of longer-term plan there?
Gary Maharaj (President and CEO)
Yeah, we have not had those discussions.
Tim Arens (CFO)
Yeah, we wouldn't have visibility to that at this point, Mike. They've not commented on that, nor have we asked, quite frankly.
Gary Maharaj (President and CEO)
Yeah.
Tim Arens (CFO)
But I think we're all focused on making sure that we're able to supply not only product, but technical data information that's useful for their marketing and selling and training purposes. We certainly would welcome the opportunity to produce more units for Abbott for sale in other international markets, but that's not what we're manufacturing today. It's only U.S.
Gary Maharaj (President and CEO)
Yeah.
Mike Petusky (Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst)
Okay. And just last question. Obviously, the first couple of quarters of this fiscal have come in really strongly. I think a lot of people, at least people we've talked to, are sort of interested in what 25 could look like, and I'm just curious. I mean, is there any chance that you guys may give, you know, sort of a little bit of a preview on that, say, before the fourth quarter conference call? Like, is there a chance that maybe after the third quarter or something towards the end of this sorry, go ahead.
Gary Maharaj (President and CEO)
I wanna say more than likely not, and not because we're trying to be coy only. We have multiple hypotheses and assumptions that we're validating, and some of those data points, again, we're just launching a couple products right now. So the way we look at the fiscal 25 is we have hypotheses of where those products get to. If it's above, below, then we change our assumptions before that. And given the fact that we're so close to the end of the fiscal year, even then, we wouldn't have as many data points as I would typically like to have. So I would say tune in until the November fourth-quarter earnings call.
Mike Petusky (Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst)
Okay, fair enough. All right. Thank you, guys. I appreciate it.
Tim Arens (CFO)
Appreciate it, Mike.
Gary Maharaj (President and CEO)
Thank you.
Operator (participant)
We are currently seeing no remaining questions at this time. That does conclude our conference for today. Thank you for your participation.