ES
E.W. SCRIPPS Co (SSP)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 revenue was $540.1M and diluted EPS was a loss of $0.59, with results impacted by financing transaction costs and lower political advertising; adjusted EBITDA was $88.9M, and net leverage declined to 4.4x .
- Versus Wall Street consensus: revenue was a slight miss ($540.1M vs $542.1M*), EPS missed (-$0.59 vs -$0.22*); company-reported adjusted EBITDA ($88.9M) outpaced SPGI EBITDA consensus ($84.7M*) while Networks segment margin improved to 27% (+900 bps YoY) .
- Management updated full-year guidance: cash interest cut to $170–$175M, capex to $45–$50M, cash taxes to $5–$10M; Q3 guide calls for Local Media revenue down mid-to-high 20% with core ~flat and Networks revenue down low single digits as expense reductions moderate .
- Balance-sheet actions and regulatory momentum are key catalysts: a $750M second-lien notes offering refinanced 2027 notes and reduced near-term maturities; a station swap with Gray and FCC/legal developments could enable portfolio optimization and retrans margin expansion .
Estimates marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Networks margin expansion: Scripps Networks segment margin reached 27% in Q2 (+900 bps YoY), with segment profit of $55.9M on disciplined expense management (down >12% YoY) .
- Streaming/CTV growth: Connected TV revenue rose 57% YoY with strong WNBA and NWSL demand, and streaming hours up ~40% (about 15% of total viewing), bolstering ad revenue resilience .
- Sports monetization: NBA Finals on ABC and NHL playoffs (Golden Knights, Panthers) delivered >$5.5M in revenue in the quarter; CFO quantified >$7M combined playoff contribution, with local sports driving low-single-digit annual core ad growth tailwind .
- “Our Scripps Sports strategy… is helping to drive streaming/connected TV revenue, which grew 57% in the second quarter.” — CEO Adam Symson .
What Went Wrong
- Core ad softness and auto weakness: Local Media core advertising fell 1.9% to $136.5M; automotive was the weakest category amid macro/tariff uncertainty, contributing to Local Media segment profit decline to $55.8M from $88.1M .
- Political compares: Political revenue dropped to $2.6M vs $28.2M in the prior-year election quarter, pressuring Local Media revenue (-8.3% YoY) .
- EPS headwinds from transactions and preferred: $38.1M financing transaction costs, $5.6M deferred financing write-off, and $3.0M extinguishment loss added ~$0.13/share to the loss; preferred dividend reduced EPS by $0.18 despite non-payment .
Financial Results
Consolidated Performance vs Prior Periods and Consensus
Estimates marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment Performance
Local Media Revenue Components
Additional KPIs and Operating Data
- Networks segment margin: 27% in Q2 2025 (vs ~18% in 2024) .
- Connected TV revenue growth: +57% YoY in Q2 2025 .
- Streaming hours: +40% in Q2; ~15% of total viewing .
- Playoff/sports revenue: NBA on ABC >$5.5M in Q2; NBA + NHL playoffs combined >$7M contribution .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We delivered a very solid financial performance for the second quarter in the face of a soft advertising climate. That included 900 basis points of Scripps Networks margin improvement.” — CEO Adam Symson .
- “CTV revenue for the quarter was up 57%… Game inventory for both [WNBA/NWSL] leagues has been commanding premium advertising revenue rates.” — CFO Jason Combs .
- “Between [refinancing transactions], we have now retired or extended the maturity of up to $1.7B… and only increased our cost of capital by just over 1%.” — CFO Jason Combs .
- “I predict we will see net retrans margin expansion ahead.” — CEO Adam Symson .
- “Our next maturity due is our 2028 term loan B-2, which we intend to pay off completely through cash flow.” — CEO Adam Symson .
Q&A Highlights
- Q3 outlook and political cadence: Core ~flat amid early-quarter hesitancy, building into September with political crowd-out; political in off-year similar to past odd-years (~mid-$20Ms for full year) .
- Deregulation/portfolio optimization: Active discussions for swaps/select asset sales to improve operating durability and accelerate debt paydown; Gray swap proceeding through FCC/DOJ .
- Retrans margin and sub trends: Net retrans margin expansion expected largely from lower programming expenses; sub churn running mid-single digits with potential moderation from bundling .
- Networks structure and sports mix: Sports drives premium rates and cross-network packages; continued search for financially disciplined sports partners; ION’s unique distribution in FAST differentiates monetization .
- Preferred equity: Earliest takeout Jan ’26; intend to PIK dividend near-term to prioritize debt paydown; action contingent on leverage and rate environment .
Estimates Context
- Revenue: Actual $540.1M vs consensus $542.1M* (slight miss) .
- EPS: Actual $(0.59) vs consensus $(0.22)* (miss), impacted by financing costs and preferred dividend .
- EBITDA: SPGI EBITDA consensus $84.7M*; company-reported adjusted EBITDA was $88.9M, reflecting expense controls and streaming strength .
Estimates marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Networks margin expansion is durable and driven by streaming/CTV and sports—near-term tailwinds should continue into Q3 despite modest revenue pressure .
- Local Media core is holding up better than peers, aided by sports; expect seasonal political crowd-out to boost September and Q4 pacing .
- Balance sheet risk reduced: $750M notes refinancing and April term loan/AR securitization actions push out maturities with leverage down to 4.4x; cash interest/capex guidance lowered, improving FY25 cash generation .
- Regulatory catalysts: Eighth Circuit ruling and FCC tone support station swaps/duopolies and portfolio optimization—potential medium-term uplift to profitability and retrans margins .
- Estimates likely to adjust: EPS expectations should reflect transaction costs/preferred impact; EBITDA trajectory may improve as cost reductions cycle and sports/CTV mix grows .
- Watch auto ad recovery and macro clarity (rates/tariffs); management sees hesitancy as transitory with potential rebound, but near-term visibility remains limited .
- Trading lens: Near-term catalysts include Q3 pacing into September political, continued sports monetization, and any FCC actions/regulatory approvals on swaps; medium-term thesis hinges on Networks margin maintenance, retrans margin expansion, and deleveraging execution .
Appendix: Other Relevant Press Releases (Context)
- Station swap with Gray Media (announced July 7): Management expects a year-end close, creating new duopolies and deeper market coverage .
- WNBA renewal (June 13): Multi-year extension for Friday Night Spotlight on ION after strong 2024 viewership gains .
- Senior notes offering (July 28/29): Proposed $650M offering upsized and priced at $750M 9.875% second-lien notes due 2030 to redeem 2027 notes and prepay portion of 2028 term loan .