System1, Inc. (SST)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 revenue was $78.1M, up sequentially and above Wall Street consensus ($73.3M)*; Adjusted EBITDA rose 18% YoY to $11.7M, while GAAP net loss improved to $(21.5)M .
- Gross profit increased 7% YoY to $27.9M and Adjusted Gross Profit reached $41.0M; Products segment strength (Startpage, MapQuest, CouponFollow) offset Marketing weakness amid advertising volatility .
- Management withheld Q3 2025 guidance due to uncertainty at a key advertising partner and broader demand/tariff volatility, maintaining a cautious stance despite operational improvements .
- Structural/operational updates: 1-for-10 reverse split (effective June 12), segment realignment to Marketing and Products, ongoing material weaknesses with a remediation plan; liquidity remained solid with $63.6M cash and $50M revolver availability .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Products-led outperformance: Products revenue +34% YoY to $24.0M and Products adjusted gross profit +32% YoY to $22.7M driven by Startpage, MapQuest, and CouponFollow momentum .
- CEO highlighted AI-driven turnaround and margin expansion in organic products; “continued turnaround driven by AI adoption across our entire company” (Michael Blend) .
- Cost discipline: Salaries/benefits and SG&A down YoY; operating loss improved to $(15.9)M vs $(29.1)M, reflecting expense reductions and mix shift to higher-margin Products .
What Went Wrong
- Top-line decline: Revenue fell 17% YoY on Marketing softness; RTAC eased to 117% from 120%, and TAC decreased to $114.9M from $120.2M as advertising demand remained volatile .
- No forward guidance: Company did not provide Q3 guidance due to uncertainty at a key partner and tariff policy risk, limiting visibility and potentially pressuring sentiment .
- Ongoing controls issues: Material weaknesses in ICFR persisted; remediation is underway but not yet effective, a governance overhang for investors .
Financial Results
Consolidated P&L and Margins (oldest → newest)
Note: Q1 diluted EPS row is approximate if computed from available net loss/shares; the definitive diluted EPS for Q1 was not disclosed in press materials. Q2 diluted EPS (GAAP) per 10-Q is $(2.23) .
Segment Breakdown (Q2 2025 vs Q2 2024)
KPIs (Q2 2025 vs Q2 2024)
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Note: Q2 2025 call transcript content was unavailable due to a retrieval error; themes reflect press release and 10‑Q narrative .
Management Commentary
- “Our strong performance this quarter reflects System1's continued turnaround driven by AI adoption across our entire company.” — Michael Blend, CEO .
- “We are pleased with our second quarter financial results, specifically our 6% and 18% year‑over‑year increase in adjusted gross profit and adjusted EBITDA, respectively.” — Tridivesh Kidambi, CFO .
- Product highlights: Startpage DAUs +25% YoY (June), MapQuest white‑label solution launch, CouponFollow organic sessions +44% YoY .
Q&A Highlights
- Q2 2025 earnings call transcript could not be retrieved due to a database inconsistency; therefore, Q&A specifics and any intra‑quarter guidance clarifications were not accessible via primary sources [12:—].
- Narrative clarifications are drawn from the 8‑K/press release and 10‑Q, including the decision to withhold Q3 guidance and segment performance drivers .
Estimates Context
How results compared to Wall Street consensus (S&P Global):
Notes: Primary EPS actuals from S&P Global were −1.469 (Q4 2024), −1.900 (Q1 2025), and −1.947 (Q2 2025)*; GAAP diluted EPS per 10‑Q for Q2 2025 was −$2.23 . Values with asterisks were retrieved from S&P Global (Capital IQ).
Implication: Company beat revenue estimates in Q1 and Q2; EPS losses were less negative vs consensus in S&P Global terms, but GAAP diluted EPS in 10‑Q for Q2 was −$2.23, reflecting share count and classification effects .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Products segment is structurally improving and driving margin expansion; adjusted gross profit growth (+6% YoY) despite lower consolidated revenue underscores mix shift benefits .
- Marketing remains exposed to partner marketplace dynamics; RTAC drift and TAC reduction signal prudent spend management amid volatile demand .
- With no Q3 guidance, near‑term visibility is limited; monitor partner developments (Google/Microsoft) and tariff policy impacts referenced by management .
- Liquidity/credit: $63.6M cash and $50M revolver availability support operations; term loan outstanding ~$270.1M principal with fair value ~$139.1M implies discounted trading and refinancing optionality .
- Governance: Material weaknesses persist; remediation plan is active—progress here is key for valuation multiple and institutional sponsorship .
- Corporate actions: 1-for-10 reverse split effected; all per‑share metrics retro‑adjusted—use post‑split shares for modeling .
- Operational catalysts: Startpage DAUs, MapQuest white‑label launch, CouponFollow session growth underpin Products revenue durability; continued AI adoption is central to management’s turnaround narrative .
S&P Global disclaimer: All consensus estimate values marked with an asterisk (*) were retrieved from S&P Global (Capital IQ).