STAAR SURGICAL CO (STAA) Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 revenue was $42.6M, down 45% year over year, but above consensus; EPS was a larger-than-expected loss due to China sell-in pause and restructuring (revenue beat vs estimates; EPS miss) . Consensus: revenue $40.3M*, EPS -$0.60*; Actual: $42.6M and -$1.10; beat on revenue, miss on EPS. Values retrieved from S&P Global*.
- Ex-China revenue grew 9% YoY to $42.2M; China revenue was $0.4M as distributors consumed elevated in-country inventory, consistent with plan to resume normalized China sales in Q3 .
- Gross margin fell to 65.8% (from 78.9% a year ago) on lower U.S. production volumes, Switzerland ramp costs (~6 pts), and higher excess/obsolete reserves (~4 pts); management targets ~70% in 2H25 before returning to 75–80% longer-term .
- Guidance was withdrawn given global uncertainty and evolving China tariffs; company executed tariff mitigation (consignment into China) and is ramping Switzerland manufacturing; STAA later authorized a $30M share repurchase (potential stock reaction catalyst) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Ex-China growth: Net sales excluding China rose 9% YoY to $42.2M; regions ex-China posted Y/Y growth (Americas +9%, EMEA +10%, APAC ex-China +8–10%) .
- Tariff mitigation and supply assurance: Consignment inventory shipped to China ahead of tariff implementation; management believes sufficient inventory in-country to meet most demand into early 2026; Switzerland facility ramp underway to supply China without U.S.-origin tariff exposure .
- Clear cost actions: $22.7M restructuring, impairment and related charges to right-size operations and target ~$225M SG&A run-rate exiting 2025; majority focused on U.S. .
- Management tone on China procedures: “In-market demand in China is getting stronger,” and expect normalized recognized sales in Q3, including revenue recognition of prior $27.5M shipment upon payment .
What Went Wrong
- China sell-in pause crushed reported sales: China revenue was $0.4M in Q1 as distributors consumed existing inventory; global sales down 45% YoY .
- Gross margin compression: 65.8% vs 78.9% YoY on lower U.S. volumes, Switzerland ramp (≈6 pts), and excess/obsolete inventory reserves (≈4 pts) .
- EPS miss vs consensus: Diluted EPS -$1.10 vs -$0.60* consensus; adjusted EBITDA swung to a $(26.4)M loss vs $5.3M a year ago . Values retrieved from S&P Global*.
- Guidance withdrawn: February 2025 outlook rescinded due to macro uncertainty and evolving tariff policy, increasing investor modeling difficulty .
Financial Results
Estimate comparison (Q1 2025):
Segment/geography
Key KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We have to do better, and we will… return this great company to sustainable growth that reflects our brand’s earnings power and strength.” — CEO Stephen Farrell .
- “In-market demand in China is getting stronger… on track to resume more normalized reported sales for China beginning in Q3… expect to recognize in Q3 the $27.5M of sales associated with the Q4 2024 order.” — CEO Stephen Farrell .
- “Consigned inventory… sufficient to meet most demand through early 2026… ramping Switzerland manufacturing… validations and approvals expected this summer.” — President & COO Warren Foust .
- “We are targeting 70% gross margin in the second half of 2025… expect a return to 75–80% after Switzerland ramp.” — Interim CFO Deborah Andrews .
- “We are withdrawing the Company’s previous financial outlook” due to economic uncertainty and evolving tariff policy. — CEO Stephen Farrell .
Q&A Highlights
- Guidance withdrawal vs qualitative “color”: Management withdrew formal guidance but provided ranges and confidence commentary; emphasized transparency and near-term inability to be “near certain” amid tariff uncertainty .
- China trends and inventory: End-market sales consistent through Q1 months; inventory to contractual levels by end of next month; normalized sales Q3; $27.5M payment/revenue by Q3; sufficient in-country/consignment inventory .
- Tariffs and supply chain: Consignment inventory plus planned Swiss manufacturing to mitigate tariffs; approvals expected summer; optimistic tariffs may ease; contingency plans in place .
- Competition: iBright impact immaterial; EVO brand strength and toric offering differentiate; competition could expand the pie .
- Pricing and U.S. go-to-market: No major pricing changes; focus on clinical/economic confidence; measured U.S. cost reductions while sustaining growth initiatives and expanding beyond laser funnel .
Estimates Context
- Q1 2025 results vs consensus: Revenue $42.6M vs $40.3M* (beat); EPS -$1.10 vs -$0.60* (miss). EPS # of estimates: 10*; Revenue # of estimates: 12*. Values retrieved from S&P Global*.
Where estimates may need to adjust:
- Model lower near-term gross margin given Switzerland ramp and inventory reserves (management indicates ~70% in 2H25 vs prior ~75%) .
- Ex-China growth holds; add Q3 China normalization and $27.5M recognition timing to Q3 revenue cadence; consider consignment revenue timing effects .
- Reflect withdrawn formal FY guidance and tariff uncertainty; build scenarios around tariff evolution and Swiss capacity timing .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Q1 prints show ex-China resilience and revenue beat, but EPS was pressured by restructuring and margin headwinds; ex-China momentum remains intact .
- China normalization is a Q3 story: expect recognized sales to resume then, including $27.5M revenue upon payment; monitor sell-through and inventory reduction milestones .
- Margin trajectory: expect ~70% GM in 2H25 and path back toward 75–80% as Swiss manufacturing scales and U.S. underutilization abates—model transitional cost drag through 2025 .
- Tariff mitigation is credible: consignment and Switzerland supply reduce near-term tariff exposure; regulatory timeline in China (EVO+ mid-year) adds potential ASP/product catalyst .
- Capital allocation signal: $30M buyback authorization highlights management confidence and could support shares near-term amid guidance withdrawal .
- Cost discipline: $22.7M restructuring and targeted ~$225M SG&A run-rate exiting 2025 should underpin EBITDA recovery in 2H if revenue rebounds as planned .
- Trading lens: Near-term volatility likely around China/tariff headlines; a Q3 inflection (recognition of consignment and payment) plus EVO+ approval could be positive catalysts—watch monthly China procedure trends and tariff developments .
Additional Documents (Q1 2025 period)
- STAAR Surgical Reports First Quarter 2025 Results (press release) –.
- Form 8-K including Exhibit 99.1 (press release) and 99.2 (call slides) –.
- Share repurchase authorization ($30M) press release (May 16, 2025) .
- Board changes and earnings call scheduling (April 23–24, 2025) .
Notes: All non-GAAP metrics per company definitions and reconciliations; adjusted EBITDA reconciliation provided in filings . Constant currency sales provided for transparency .