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S3

Staffing 360 Solutions, Inc. (STAF)·Q3 2022 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2022 delivered strong top-line growth: revenue rose 39.2% to $66.1M (44.3% constant-currency), with gross profit up 28.1% to $12.3M; adjusted EBITDA improved to $3.1M from $1.5M YoY, reflecting Headway integration benefits and margin progress .
  • GAAP profitability was modest: operating income of $0.5M and net income of $1.0M, versus prior-year net income inflated by $9.5M PPP loan forgiveness; diluted EPS was $0.43 vs $6.89 last year due to PPP comps .
  • Management highlighted structural improvements: fixed-term debt reduced to $9.4M from ~$70M in 2020 and U.S. ABL facilities consolidated to extend maturity into 2024 and lower borrowing costs, supporting future cash flow and growth .
  • No formal quantitative guidance was issued; tone was constructive with expectations for continued revenue growth and margin improvement, with integration savings of ~$1.8M on track from Headway .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Revenue growth accelerated with Q3 revenue at $66.1M (+39.2% YoY; +44.3% cc), driven by seasonally strong period and first full-quarter contribution from Headway Workforce Solutions .
  • Adjusted EBITDA improved to $3.1M vs $1.5M YoY, reflecting integration synergies and operational execution; management emphasized “paradigm changing service delivery approach” and margin progress .
  • Capital structure progress: fixed-term debt down to $9.4M (from ~$70M in 2020) and U.S. ABL consolidation to extend maturities into 2024 and reduce borrowing costs, positioning for scalability .

What Went Wrong

  • Comparability issues: prior-year PPP loan forgiveness of $9.5M inflated Q3 2021 EBITDA ($10.5M) and EPS ($6.89), obscuring underlying YoY trends on GAAP metrics; excluding PPP, the company showed improvement but headline YoY comps appear weaker .
  • Currency headwinds: GBP/USD movements adversely impacted translation of UK results (management quantified a $54K adjusted EBITDA translation headwind in H1; Q3 saw continued FX pressure) .
  • UK demand variability: certain UK clients slowed due to project evaluations and pending government contracts, requiring cost actions (~GBP 500k annualized) and implying a multi-quarter recovery path .

Financial Results

Consolidated Performance vs Prior Periods and Year-Over-Year

MetricQ3 2021Q2 2022Q3 2022
Revenue ($USD Millions)$47.5 $59.1 $66.1
Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$9.6 $10.5 $12.3
Gross Profit Margin %20.2% (=$9.6/$47.5) 17.8% (=$10.5/$59.1) 18.6% (=$12.3/$66.1)
Operating Income ($USD Millions)$0.47 N/A (not disclosed in call)$0.50
EBIT Margin %1.0% (=$0.47/$47.5) N/A0.8% (=$0.50/$66.1)
Net Income ($USD Millions)$8.7 (includes $9.5M PPP forgiveness) N/A (not disclosed in call)$1.0
Net Income Margin %18.3% (=$8.7/$47.5; PPP-influenced) N/A1.5% (=$1.0/$66.1)
Diluted EPS ($USD)$6.89 N/A (see Q2 10-Q)$0.43
EBITDA ($USD Millions)$10.5 (PPP-influenced) N/A$3.0
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$1.5 $1.438 $3.1

Notes:

  • Q2 2022 operating income, net income, EPS were not specified on the call transcript; see Q2 2022 10-Q for full GAAP details (filed 2022-08-23) .
  • PPP forgiveness ($9.5M in Q3’21) materially affected YoY comparability for EBITDA and EPS .

Sequential Trend View (Q2 2022 → Q3 2022)

  • Revenue increased from $59.1M to $66.1M (+11.8%), reflecting seasonality and Headway contribution .
  • Gross profit rose from $10.5M to $12.3M (+17.2%); margin improved from 17.8% to 18.6% (+80 bps) .
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased from $1.438M to $3.1M, driven by integration savings and operational execution .

Segment / Contribution (where disclosed)

ItemQ2 2022Q3 2022
Headway Revenue Contribution ($USD Millions)$11.5 Not disclosed (first full quarter cited qualitatively)
Headway Gross Profit Contribution ($USD Millions)$1.3 Not disclosed (seasonality noted)

KPIs

KPIValuePeriod
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$3.1 Q3 2022
EBITDA ($USD Millions)$3.0 Q3 2022
TTM Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$5.7 TTM to Oct 1, 2022
TTM Adjusted Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$35.9 TTM to Oct 1, 2022
TTM Adjusted EBITDA as % of Adjusted GP10.4% TTM to Oct 1, 2022
Operating Leverage (TTM)Derived from growth of Adj. EBITDA vs Adj. GP (company KPI definition) TTM

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue, Margins, EPSFY 2022 / Q4 2022None issuedNone issuedMaintained: No formal quantitative guidance provided

Management qualitative outlook: “anticipate continued revenue growth and margin improvements” with ~$1.8M integration savings on track from Headway; ABL facility consolidation to extend maturity to 2024 and lower borrowing costs .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: No Q3 2022 earnings call transcript located; themes below reflect Q2 2022 call and Q3 2022 press release.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 2022)Current Period (Q3 2022)Trend
AI/Technology initiatives (CRM consolidation)Implementing single U.S. CRM (AvionteBOLD) to double candidate access; aggressive go-live schedule; remote onboarding to reduce costs Continued emphasis on “paradigm changing service delivery approach” and operational efficiency; specific CRM progress not detailed in press release Continuing execution; digital enablement underpinning margin gains
Integration savings (Headway)~$1.8M integration savings realized; more to come with system/vendor consolidation First full-quarter Headway contribution; $1.8M integration savings “on track” Scaling benefits materializing; savings tracking to plan
Macro/FX impactsGBP/USD translation headwind; adjusted EBITDA impacted by ~$54K YTD Continued FX translation pressure implied; constant-currency growth cited (+44.3%) FX headwinds persist; cc reporting mitigates
Regional trends (UK)Two clients slowed; cost actions (~GBP 500k annualized) to improve productivity; recovery expected over “couple of quarters” UK specifics not quantified; continued margin improvements referenced Stabilization expected; recovery underway but multi-quarter
Capital structure & liquidityWorking to renew/migrate ABL facilities (MidCap, HSBC, White Oak); maturities addressed, diligence ongoing U.S. ABL facility consolidation complete; extends maturity to 2024 and lowers borrowing costs; fixed-term debt reduced to $9.4M De-risking balance sheet; improved financing terms
Product/brand developmentLaunch of Butler, Bridge & May in UK; early results “better than expected” Not discussed in Q3 press release Early traction; monitoring rollout

Management Commentary

  • “Our paradigm changing service delivery approach continues to gain momentum in the market, delivering strong revenue growth and significant margin improvements in the third quarter.” — Brendan Flood, Chairman, CEO and President .
  • “This quarter also marked the first full quarter of contribution from our recent acquisition of Headway Workforce Solutions… on track to implement $1.8M of wide-ranging integrations savings.” .
  • “We have reduced our fixed term debt to $9.4M from a high of $70M in 2020 and… consolidated our U.S. asset-based lending facility, which will extend maturity into 2024 and significantly lower borrowing costs.” .
  • “Our buy-integrate-build strategy is beginning to pay dividends, and we anticipate continued revenue growth and margin improvements…” .

Additional operational detail (Q2 call):

  • “We delivered $1.438M adjusted EBITDA… Headway provided $140,000… integration savings of $1.8M will flow through the second half and beyond.” .
  • “Implementing a single CRM… AvionteBOLD… more than doubles our candidate database… reducing brick-and-mortar in favor of hubs and remote onboarding.” .

Q&A Highlights

  • UK revenue softness and recovery path: FX explained ~$1.7M of YoY decline; project/government contract timing drove demand variability; cost actions (~GBP 500k) implemented; recovery expected over a couple of quarters .
  • Headway margins: Long-term average margin expected ~10% given seasonality (e.g., teacher roles hibernate in summer), with employer-of-record mix influencing quarterly swings .
  • Debt maturities/ABL facilities: Active work with White Oak/MidCap/HSBC; diligence progressed; facilities continue to run; subsequent Q3 update confirms U.S. ABL consolidation and extended maturity .
  • Share buybacks/insider purchases: No buyback due to low float; insider purchases constrained by possession of MNPI during acquisition and financing processes .
  • New brand launch: Butler, Bridge & May launched in UK for professional admin roles; early results better than expected, aiding cross-brand opportunities .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus estimates for Q3 2022 (revenue and EPS) were unavailable due to missing CIQ mapping for STAF in the SPGI database. As a result, we cannot provide a beat/miss assessment versus Wall Street consensus for this quarter. Values would have been retrieved from S&P Global if available.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Strong sequential and YoY revenue growth with improving gross margins and adjusted EBITDA signal operational momentum entering seasonally strong periods; Headway integration is contributing to scale benefits .
  • GAAP YoY comparisons are distorted by prior-year PPP forgiveness; focus on adjusted metrics and constant-currency growth to assess underlying trends .
  • Balance sheet de-risking and ABL consolidation extend maturities to 2024 and reduce borrowing costs, supporting cash generation and future acquisition capacity .
  • FX remains a headwind; UK demand variability is being actively managed with cost actions and a multi-quarter recovery trajectory, suggesting near-term margin sensitivity to mix and currency .
  • Digital transformation (AvionteBOLD CRM, remote onboarding) should enhance candidate sourcing and productivity, underpinning margin improvement initiatives through 2023 .
  • With no formal guidance and unavailable consensus estimates, near-term trading will hinge on continued execution, Headway synergy realization, and updates on financing terms and UK pipeline stabilization .
  • Watch for Q4 seasonal uplift, additional integration savings disclosures, and any segment/geographic detail to validate margin trajectory and cross-selling progress .

Appendix: Detailed Financial Tables

Income Statement Highlights

MetricQ3 2021Q2 2022Q3 2022
Revenue ($USD Millions)$47.5 $59.1 $66.1
Cost of Revenue ($USD Millions)$37.9 N/A$53.8
Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$9.6 $10.5 $12.3
SG&A ($USD Millions)$8.5 N/A$11.0
D&A ($USD Millions)$0.69 N/A$0.79
Operating Income ($USD Millions)$0.47 N/A$0.50
Interest Expense ($USD Millions)$1.01 N/A$1.13
Net Income ($USD Millions)$8.71 (PPP-influenced) N/A$1.03
Diluted EPS ($USD)$6.89 N/A$0.43

Non-GAAP Reconciliation (Quarterly/TTM)

MetricQ3 2021Q2 2022Q3 2022TTM (Oct 1, 2022)
EBITDA ($USD Millions)$10.54 (PPP-influenced) N/A$3.01 $(4.07)
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$1.49 $1.44 $3.08 $5.71
Adjusted GP ($USD Millions)N/AN/AN/A$35.87
Adjusted EBITDA / Adjusted GP (%)N/AN/AN/A10.4%

Disclosure: Non-GAAP definitions include exclusions for interest, taxes, D&A, acquisitions/capital raising/non-recurring expenses, non-cash charges, goodwill impairment, re-measurement gains, restructuring, PPP forgiveness, other income, and non-recurring legal/professional fees .