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Sterling Check Corp. (STER)·Q2 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Revenue grew 5.3% year-over-year to $200.5M, with inorganic growth of 6.2% offsetting a 0.9% organic constant-currency decline; sequentially, revenue rose 7.8% from Q1 ($186.0M) as base declines moderated .
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $46.3M with margin of 23.1%, down 320 bps YoY but up 240 bps QoQ, driven by improved revenue trends and continued expense discipline; YoY margin pressure reflected lower-margin M&A mix and higher third-party vendor costs .
  • GAAP net loss was $(6.2)M (diluted EPS $(0.07)), improving vs Q1’s $(8.0)M (EPS $(0.09)); prior-year Q2 was a modest $0.3M profit (EPS $0.00) .
  • Cash and equivalents were $74.2M and total debt $555.5M; net leverage remained 2.8x. Post quarter, the company repaid $20M on the revolver; expected merger with First Advantage remains the key catalyst and the company is not hosting earnings calls during the pending transaction .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Strength in controllable organic drivers: New business growth accelerated to 7% YoY, up/cross-sell to 9%, and client retention was 97%; base declines narrowed from Q1. CEO: “The second quarter was another period of solid business momentum… accelerated our revenue growth to 5% year-over-year” .
  • Sequential margin expansion: Adjusted EBITDA margin improved 240 bps QoQ to 23.1% due to revenue acceleration and expense discipline .
  • M&A contribution: Inorganic growth of 6.2% supported topline; integration work (decommissioning redundant systems at A-Check/Vault) continued to enhance delivery of drug and health services .

What Went Wrong

  • Organic constant currency revenue declined 0.9% YoY; base business remained a headwind at -14% YoY, reflecting ongoing hiring-market challenges .
  • Margin compression YoY: Adjusted EBITDA margin fell 320 bps to 23.1% on lower-margin M&A revenue mix and increased third-party vendor costs tied to revenue mix shifts .
  • Free cash flow pressure YTD: H1 2024 FCF was $8.8M vs $23.7M in the prior year, driven by lower operating income and higher cash taxes; quarterly FCF improved to $10.8M in Q2 from Q1’s $(1.9)M .

Financial Results

Sequential Trend (Q4 2023 → Q1 2024 → Q2 2024)

MetricQ4 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024
Revenue ($USD Millions)$169.4 $186.0 $200.5
GAAP Net (Loss) Income ($USD Millions)$(3.384) $(7.955) $(6.232)
GAAP Diluted EPS ($USD)$(0.04) $(0.09) $(0.07)
Net (Loss) Income Margin %(2.0)% (4.3)% (3.1)%
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$41.9 $38.5 $46.3
Adjusted EBITDA Margin %24.7% 20.7% 23.1%
Adjusted Net Income ($USD Millions)$19.7 $17.4 $21.8
Adjusted EPS—Diluted ($USD)$0.21 $0.19 $0.23

YoY Comparison (Q2 2023 → Q2 2024)

MetricQ2 2023Q2 2024YoY Change
Revenue ($USD Millions)$190.4 $200.5 +5.3%
GAAP Net (Loss) Income ($USD Millions)$0.323 $(6.232) N/M
GAAP Diluted EPS ($USD)$0.00 $(0.07) N/M
Net (Loss) Income Margin %0.2% (3.1)% (330) bps
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$50.0 $46.3 (7.4)%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin %26.3% 23.1% (320) bps
Adjusted Net Income ($USD Millions)$26.2 $21.8 (16.8)%
Adjusted EPS—Diluted ($USD)$0.28 $0.23 (17.9)%

Estimates vs Actuals (Q2 2024)

MetricActualWall Street Consensus (S&P Global)Beat/Miss
Revenue ($USD Millions)$200.5 UnavailableN/A
GAAP Diluted EPS ($USD)$(0.07) UnavailableN/A
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$46.3 UnavailableN/A
Note: S&P Global consensus estimates were unavailable for STER in our dataset due to a CIQ mapping error in the SPGI feed.

Balance Sheet and Liquidity (Quarter-End)

MetricQ1 2024Q2 2024
Cash and Equivalents ($USD Millions)$67.0 $74.2
Total Debt ($USD Millions)$559.2 $555.5
Net Leverage (Net Debt/Adj. EBITDA)2.8x 2.8x
Post-Q2 Revolver Repayment$20.0M repaid post-quarter

KPIs and Operating Drivers

KPIQ1 2024Q2 2024
Organic Constant Currency Revenue Growth (Decline) %(4.9)% (0.9)%
Inorganic Revenue Growth %8.7% 6.2%
Combined New Business + Up/Cross-Sell + Attrition Growth %11% N/A
New Business Growth %N/A7%
Up/Cross-Sell Growth %N/A9%
Client Retention %N/A97%
Base Business Revenue Change YoY %(16)% (14)%
Free Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$(1.9) $10.8

Segment Breakdown

Sterling does not disclose segment revenue breakdown in the release; reported results are presented on a consolidated basis .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY 2024None providedNone providedMaintained (no formal guidance)
Adjusted EBITDA MarginFY 2024None providedNone providedMaintained (no formal guidance)
Free Cash FlowFY 2024None providedNone providedMaintained (no formal guidance)
Merger Close TimingTransactionExpected Q3 2024 (initial announcement)Expected Q4 2024Updated later to Q4 2024 in Q2 release

Management commentary indicates expectations for “further improvement over the course of the year” and margin expansion as base declines moderate, but no numerical guidance ranges were issued .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Sterling did not host an earnings call due to the pending merger with First Advantage . Themes are drawn from company releases.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2023 & Q1 2024)Current Period (Q2 2024)Trend
Macro hiring backdrop/base businessQ4: Base declined 14% amid macro uncertainty; Q1: hiring market challenging, base -16% Base decline -14% with improvement from Q1; continued macro uncertainty Improving
M&A integration/synergiesQ4: Socrates & A-Check yielding benefits; Vault announced for Jan 2024 Decommissioning redundant systems at A-Check/Vault; inorganic growth +6.2% Ongoing execution
Technology modernization (Ignite/Nucleus)Q4: Ignite completed; early realization of $25M annualized savings Continued decommissioning/migration activities; modest costs Winding down
AI/technology investment outlookTransaction announcement highlights increased investment in AI and digital ID post-merger Management excited about pending FA transaction; innovation emphasis Anticipated acceleration post-close
Legal/regulatory/settlementsQ4: class action settlements (small) $1.0M non-recurring settlements impacting comparability Episodic
Revenue drivers (new biz, cross-sell, retention)Q4: Achieved/exceeded targets; Q1: combined drivers +11% New business +7%, up/cross-sell +9%, retention 97% Strengthening

Management Commentary

  • “We accelerated our revenue growth to 5% year-over-year, with particularly robust organic revenue growth from new business, up-sell / cross-sell, and client retention… Moderated base declines should also help drive further expansion in our margins” — Josh Peirez, CEO .
  • “In the first quarter… we were particularly pleased to report year-over-year growth of 11% from the combination of new business, up/cross-sell, and customer attrition… We expect margins to improve over the course of the year” — Josh Peirez, CEO .
  • On the merger: “We are excited by the pending transaction with First Advantage, expected to close in Q4 2024, and we look forward to even greater innovation, client experiences, and shareholder value creation once the synergistic deal closes” .

Q&A Highlights

  • No Q&A this quarter; Sterling did not host an earnings conference call given the pending First Advantage merger .
  • Any clarifications on drivers and margins were provided in the press release, including non-GAAP reconciliations and base/organic/inorganic contributions .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global Wall Street consensus estimates for STER Q2 2024 were unavailable in our dataset due to a CIQ mapping error; as a result, we cannot quantify beats/misses vs consensus. Actual results are shown above, and estimate comparisons are marked N/A.
  • Given sequential improvement in revenue and margin vs Q1, sell-side models may need to reflect a faster narrowing of base declines and M&A integration progress, but formal consensus verification was not possible this quarter .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Sequential acceleration: Revenue rose 7.8% QoQ and Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded 240 bps QoQ, indicating the thesis of base-decline moderation and cost discipline is playing out into H2 .
  • Controllable growth drivers strong: New business (+7%), up/cross-sell (+9%), and 97% retention support a constructive topline mix even as base hiring remains a headwind .
  • Margin dynamics: YoY margin pressure from lower-margin M&A and vendor costs persists, but improving base trends and integration efficiencies should support further margin recovery over the year .
  • Liquidity and leverage: Cash increased to $74.2M, total debt at $555.5M, with net leverage steady at 2.8x; post-quarter $20M revolver repayment underscores ongoing cash generation and balance sheet management .
  • Merger catalyst: Expected Q4 2024 close with FA positions Sterling to invest more in AI/digital ID and realize synergies; absence of earnings calls may reduce near-term information flow but the strategic narrative is supportive .
  • Near-term trading: Watch for regulatory/closing updates on the merger and continued signs of base-decline moderation; FCF trajectory improved sequentially and can be a support to deleveraging .
  • Medium-term thesis: Combination with FA plus integration synergies and stabilized hiring cycles could drive margin normalization and EPS accretion; monitor vendor cost mix and M&A margin impacts to gauge sustainability .