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Neuronetics, Inc. (STIM)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2024 revenue was $22.5M (+11% YoY), driven by $4.4M of Greenbrook clinic revenue post-close; however core U.S. system (-15% YoY) and treatment session (-14% YoY) revenues declined, and gross margin compressed 1,140 bps to 66.2% on clinic mix .
  • Operating expenses increased with acquisition and one-time items; the company later revised Q4 to net loss $(12.7)M and adjusted EBITDA $(0.4)M (from prior +$0.1M), reflecting purchase accounting updates tied to the Greenbrook deal .
  • 2025 guidance maintained: Q1 revenue $28–30M; FY revenue $145–155M; gross margin ~55%; OpEx $90–98M; management continues to target cash-flow positive beginning in Q3 2025, underpinning the post-merger investment case .
  • Integration is on track: actions to realize >$21M of the targeted $22M annualized cost synergies are executed; growth catalysts include BMP expansion, utilization lift in clinics, and aggressive SPRAVATO buy-and-bill rollout (35 clinics now; targeting most locations by YE25) .
  • Stock narrative catalysts: successful synergy capture and execution on SPRAVATO/buy-and-bill and BMP expansion supporting the FY25 guide and the Q3’25 cash-flow-positive milestone .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Closed transformative Greenbrook acquisition (Dec 9) creating a vertically integrated model; executed actions to realize >$21M of $22M targeted annualized cost synergies; added $4.4M Q4 clinic revenue .
    • Management reiterated a path to mid-teens FY25 pro forma growth and cash-flow positive in Q3’25; reiterated Q1 and FY25 guidance on the call and in the press release .
    • CEO message: “Neuronetics now stands as the clear leader in TMS therapy … building momentum toward … becoming cash flow positive in Q3 2025” .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Gross margin fell to 66.2% (vs 77.6% LY) due to clinic mix and lower treatment session revenue; U.S. system and treatment revenues declined YoY (-15% and -14%), partly due to eliminating intercompany treatment revenue post-acquisition .
    • Q4 operating expenses rose to $26.4M (revised), reflecting Greenbrook-related professional fees and consolidation; net loss widened to $(12.7)M (revised) .
    • Q4 adjusted EBITDA revised to $(0.4)M from initial +$0.1M after final purchase accounting updates, tempering the initial non-GAAP profitability narrative .

Financial Results

Summary by quarter (oldest → newest)

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024
Revenue ($M)$18.53 $22.49
Gross Margin %75.6% 66.2%
Operating Expenses ($M)$21.73 $26.37 (revised)
Net Loss ($M)$(13.34) $(12.68) (revised)
Diluted EPS ($)$(0.44) $(0.34) (revised)
Systems Shipped (units)49 46 (PR); company slide shows 47 (see note)
U.S. Treatment Session Revenue ($M)$13.33 $12.86
U.S. Clinic Revenue ($M)$0.00 $4.45
Cash & Cash Equivalents ($M, period-end)$20.87 $18.46

Note on shipments: press release states 46 systems shipped in Q4; supplemental slide table shows 47; we anchor to the press release and flag the discrepancy .

YoY performance (Q4 2024 vs Q4 2023)

MetricQ4 2023Q4 2024YoY
Revenue ($M)$20.31 $22.49 +11%
Gross Margin %77.6% 66.2% -1,140 bps
Operating Expenses ($M)$20.20 $26.37 (revised) +31% (revised)
Diluted EPS ($)$(0.19) $(0.34) (revised) N/M

Segment/Category details

Category (U.S. unless noted)Q4 2023 ($M)Q4 2024 ($M)YoY
NeuroStar Advanced Therapy System$4.52 $3.85 -15%
Treatment Sessions$14.88 $12.86 -14% (intercompany elimination post-close)
Clinic Revenue (Greenbrook)$0.00 $4.45 N/A
Other$0.47 $0.49 +4%
U.S. Total$19.87 $21.64 +9%
International$0.44 $0.85 +93%
Total Revenue$20.31 $22.49 +11%

Revenue trend (sequential)

MetricQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Total Revenue ($M)$16.45 $18.53 $22.49
U.S. Systems Revenue ($M)$4.00 $4.11 $3.85
U.S. Treatment Session Revenue ($M)$11.66 $13.33 $12.86
U.S. Clinic Revenue ($M)$0.00 $0.00 $4.45
Systems Shipped (units)50 49 46 (PR); slide shows 47

Non-GAAP

  • Adjusted EBITDA Q4 2024 revised to $(0.415)M (from initial +$0.108M), reflecting acquisition accounting updates; FY 2024 adjusted EBITDA revised to $(21.79)M .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueQ1 2025No prior Q1 guide disclosed publicly$28.0–$30.0M New item disclosed
RevenueFY 2025$145–$155M (Jan 13, 2025) $145–$155M (Mar 4, 2025) Maintained
Gross MarginFY 2025~55% (Jan 13, 2025) ~55% (Mar 4, 2025) Maintained
Total OpExFY 2025$90–$98M (Jan 13, 2025) $90–$98M (Mar 4, 2025) Maintained
ProfitabilityFY 2025Cash flow positive beginning Q3 2025 (Jan 13, 2025) Cash flow positive beginning Q3 2025 (Mar 4, 2025) Maintained

Context (prior quarter): On Nov 12, 2024, Neuronetics guided standalone Q4 2024 revenue to $19–$20M and FY 2024 to $71–$72M; the consolidated Q4 actual was $22.5M (includes Greenbrook post-close) and FY 2024 was $74.9M .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2 and Q-1)Current Period (Q4 2024)Trend
Greenbrook integration and cost synergiesQ3: Shareholders approved acquisition; synergies expected; cash-flow breakeven by Q3’25 .Closed Dec 9; >$21M of $22M targeted synergies executed; reaffirmed Q3’25 cash-flow positive .Improving execution; synergy realization ahead of plan.
BMP (Better Me Provider) rollout and impactQ3: National rollout underway; >350 sites .BMP participants treat ~3x more patients; 350 sites now, 125+ working to join; reducing time to treatment 2.2x faster .Scaling; positive throughput and responsiveness metrics.
SPRAVATO buy-and-billQ3: Planned acceleration post-merger .63 clinics offering; 35 on buy-and-bill; goal: most clinics by YE25; 75% of GBK growth tied to SPRAVATO in FY25 plan .Rapid rollout; meaningful growth lever.
Margins and consolidation mixQ3 GM 75.6% (pre-clinic mix) .FY25 GM guided ~55% due to clinic mix; GBK clinic margins to mid-30s after underperforming closures .Structural GM reset; pathway to improve clinic margins.
Seasonality and cadenceHistoric seasonality highlighted (Q1 ~19–20% of annual) .Q1’25 guide $28–30M; expect ramp through Q2/Q3 and strongest Q4 .Normal pattern expected post-integration.
Change Healthcare impactHeadwinds in 2024 .Disruption largely behind; alternative processing implemented .Operational recovery supports 2025 execution.

Management Commentary

  • CEO: “By expanding our Better Me Provider network and acquiring Greenbrook, we’ve created an unparalleled TMS treatment platform while rapidly improving our financial position.”
  • CEO: “We’re building momentum toward our dual objectives of double-digit revenue growth for the year and becoming cash flow positive in Q3 2025.”
  • CFO: “Gross margin was 66.2%… primarily a result of the inclusion of the Greenbrook clinics business… Q4 EBITDA includes approximately $10.6M in nonrecurring expenses.”
  • CEO: “We are nearly 40% through the SPRAVATO buy-and-bill rollout… now over 35 clinics utilizing this billing method… will offer buy-and-bill in most Greenbrook clinics by the end of 2025.”
  • CFO (clinics): “GBK clinic margins… 27–28% in 2024; implied guidance for 2025 is mid-30%s, driven by closure of 35 underperforming clinics.”

Q&A Highlights

  • Guidance composition: FY25 revenue split framework ~$65–$70M Neuronetics standalone and ~$80–$85M Greenbrook, predicated on BMP-driven growth and SPRAVATO expansion/buy-and-bill conversion .
  • Margin levers: Consolidated GM guided to ~55% with GBK clinic margins improving to mid-30%s; continued cost-out in NeuroStar manufacturing and clinic optimization .
  • SPRAVATO cash dynamics: Minimal CapEx per clinic (~$10k); working-capital need for drug inventory potentially up to ~$5M, mitigated via distributor 120-day terms and recent $18.9M equity raise .
  • Utilization targets: GBK average ~4 patients/day per system; BMP sites at 6–8; plan to lift GBK to 5–6 over 2025–2026; +1 patient/day ≈ ~$10M annualized revenue opportunity .
  • Footprint strategy: Hold GBK at 95 clinics (most profitable set) and focus on utilization and process standardization rather than expansion .

Estimates Context

  • We attempted to retrieve S&P Global consensus for Q4 2024 revenue and EPS; the request could not be fulfilled due to a daily request limit. As a result, we cannot provide definitive beat/miss vs Wall Street consensus at this time (S&P Global data unavailable).
  • Given management’s commentary and the reported results, potential estimate revisions for FY25 may center on: (i) pace of SPRAVATO buy-and-bill conversion, (ii) clinic utilization ramp, and (iii) synergy realization cadence .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Integration is executing: >$21M of ~$22M cost synergies already actioned; lowers OpEx base and supports FY25 cash-flow inflection goal (Q3’25) .
  • Structural mix shift: Consolidation with clinics resets gross margins (~55% guide) but provides scale and recurring service revenue; clinic margin improvement (mid-30%s) is central to earnings power .
  • Growth engines: BMP expansion (350+ sites, +125 in pipeline) and SPRAVATO buy-and-bill (35 clinics now; most by YE25) are the primary revenue drivers embedded in FY25 guidance .
  • Q4 quality signals mixed: headline growth +11% YoY aided by clinic revenue, but core system and treatment revenues declined YoY and gross margin compressed; one-time acquisition costs weighed on non-GAAP performance (revised) .
  • FY25 setup: Guidance maintained from Jan to Mar; early-2025 execution on utilization and SPRAVATO conversion will be key check-ins versus targets .
  • Liquidity/working capital: $18.5M cash at YE24 plus $18.9M equity raise post-quarter strengthen flexibility to fund SPRAVATO inventory and integration initiatives .
  • Watchlist for next quarter: cadence of SPRAVATO clinic adds and buy-and-bill conversions; BMP site adds; GBK utilization lift; confirmation of margin improvement and synergy capture pace .

Appendix: Additional Context

  • Transaction closing PR (Dec 10, 2024) confirms combined structure and integration priorities .
  • Q3 2024 PR correction (Nov 12, 2024) reiterates cash-flow breakeven targeted for Q3’25; Q3 revenue $18.5M; GM 75.6% .
  • March 27, 2025 update revised Q4 and FY 2024 GAAP/adjusted metrics due to Greenbrook purchase accounting and share count; we use revised figures throughout .