One Group Hospitality - Earnings Call - Q2 2025
August 5, 2025
Transcript
Speaker 5
Greetings, and welcome to The ONE Group's second quarter 2025 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. A brief question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. Should you need any assistance, please signal a conference specialist by pressing the star key followed by zero. After today's presentation, there'll be an opportunity to ask questions. To join the question queue, you may press star, then one on your touch-tone phone. To withdraw your question, please press star, then two. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference call over to Tyler Loy. Please go ahead.
Speaker 3
Thank you, Operator, and hello everyone. Before we begin our formal remarks, let me remind you that part of our discussion today will include forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance, and you should not place undue reliance on them. These statements are also subject to numerous risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from what we expect. Please also note that these forward-looking statements reflect our opinion only as of the date of this call. We undertake no obligation to revise or publicly release any revisions of these forward-looking statements, considering new information or future events. We refer you to our recent SEC filings for a more detailed discussion of the risks that could impact our future operating results and financial condition.
During today's call, we will discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures, which we believe can be useful in evaluating our performance. However, the presentation of these measures or other information should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for results prepared in accordance with GAAP. For reconciliations of these measures, such as adjusted EBITDA, adjusted net income, restaurant EBITDA, comparable sales, and total food and beverage sales at company-owned, managed, licensed, and franchised units to GAAP measures, along with a discussion of why we consider these measures useful, please see our earnings release issued today. With that, I would like to turn the call over to Manny Hilario.
Speaker 4
Thank you, Tyler, and thanks to everyone joining us on today's call. Before we get into the results, I want to take a moment to recognize the incredible dedication of our more than 10,000 teammates across the organization. Your commitment to excellence not only drives our performance, it creates the great guest memories that keep our guests coming back time and time again. With that, I'd like to discuss our second quarter highlights. We are pleased to have delivered results that met our expectations. We achieved strong top-line growth of 20%, driven by the successful integration of our Benihana acquisition and continued execution of our key strategic initiatives. Adjusted EBITDA was $23.4 million, underscoring our ability to drive efficiencies and profitability despite the challenging consumer environment.
This quarter, we made additional investments in marketing, which helped drive positive same-store sales at Benihana and positive traffic at STK, the second and third consecutive quarters for each metric, respectively. Integration efforts following the Benihana acquisition are progressing ahead of schedule, and we are already realizing meaningful operational synergies across multiple business areas. Finally, our development strategy continues to gain momentum. So far this year, we have opened three new company-owned restaurants and our second franchised Benihana Express location. Now let's discuss our strategic priorities. Number one, first, drive and accelerate same-store sales growth. Same-store sales growth remains our top priority, and we continue to execute against our proven framework built around three pillars: operational excellence, culinary innovation, and relevant and timely marketing. Demand remains strong during peak periods, particularly on Fridays and Saturdays, and we are focused on maximizing throughput through enhanced reservation systems and centralized logistics.
These tools also allow us to better manage high-volume occasions like our record-breaking Mother's Day, by balancing no-shows and walk-in traffic to deliver exceptional guest experiences. To address weekday traffic, we've continued to emphasize value-focused programming, including our pre-fixe menus at $69 for STK and $39 across all other brands, along with our highly popular $3, $6, $9 happy hour menus. These offerings are resonating with more value-conscious guests while maintaining our premium positioning. As we see more thoughtful spending behavior, particularly at STK, with increased demand for shared dishes and pre-fee selections, we've leaned into these patterns to drive weekday traffic and engagement. On the culinary innovation front, our YGOO program at Benihana continues to meet expectations, and we are preparing exciting new premium menu enhancements across the portfolio intended to drive engagement and average check. Marketing continues to be a core growth lever.
Our new Friends with Benefits loyalty program, launched in Q2, is designed to deepen guest relationships across all brands. With more than 7 million contacts in our marketing database, this initiative is already showing strong traction and repeat visitation. Members earn points for every dollar spent and receive exclusive rewards, including birthday and half-birthday offers that encourage frequency and celebration across our portfolio. As national casual dining chains intensify promotional campaigns, we are responding with investments in targeted grassroots marketing, including stronger local store marketing and digital engagement to build brand affinity and guest frequency. Secondly, focus on asset-light or low-cost growth opportunities and prioritize high-quality relocations. We continue to execute our multi-pronged growth strategy, balancing company-owned development with asset-light models that deliver capital-efficient returns.
This year, we have opened a new Benihana in San Mateo, California, which is the highest performing new Benihana in the company's 60-year history, followed by a new STK in Topanga, and we relocated STK Westwood to a larger, higher-capacity location to strengthen our presence in that key market. Additionally, we opened our second franchise, Benihana Express, in Miami's Bayside Marketplace. As you can see, franchising is gaining momentum, and we are in active discussions with high-quality partners. Over time, we expect franchise, license, and managed locations to represent over 60% of our total footprint, driving scalable growth and reduced capital intensity. Looking ahead, we plan to open five to seven new venues in 2025, including a company-owned Benihana in Seattle, Washington, and the relocation of Kona Grill, San Antonio, to a higher-performing trade area. Relocations remain a key strategy to unlock stronger returns in existing markets.
By prioritizing nearby high-quality real estate opportunities in markets that already embrace our brands, we can increase capacity, optimize traffic, and better position our brands for long-term success. Number three, continue optimization of the Grill portfolio. We continue to assess and optimize performance across our portfolio, and the Grill concepts remain a clear area of focus. While execution at the store level is strong, traffic in the upscale casual segments remains challenged. We are responding with more targeted marketing, enhanced visibility, and grassroots efforts to drive awareness, trial, and repeat visits. This past quarter, we closed five Grill locations that were coming up on lease renewals or whose real estate quality did not match that of the rest of the portfolio. Our growth strategy for the Grill concepts will be very disciplined. We will grow selectively, focusing only on top-tier opportunities that align with our brand standards and return profile.
As the broader casual dining segment experiences pressure, we remain committed to enhancing performance while making strategic decisions to ensure long-term viability. Number four, maintain balance sheet flexibility. Our balance sheet remains strong, with approximately $50 million in liquidity between cash, short-term receivables, and revolver availability. This provides us with operational flexibility to navigate near-term challenges while supporting long-term investments. We continue to prioritize positive cash flow generation and have implemented cost discipline across all our functions, from labor optimization to marketing efficiency. Lastly, the Benihana integration is progressing ahead of plan. We've already captured a significant portion of the $20 million in expected synergies, with full realization targeted by the year-end 2026. Importantly, this integration is not just about cost savings. We are leveraging our strengths in operations, culinary innovation, and marketing to unlock top-line growth across Benihana and RA Sushi.
Looking longer term, we remain focused on scaling from $1 billion to $5 billion in system-wide sales. Our development roadmap includes over 200 potential STK locations and more than 400 Benihana opportunities in the U.S., supported by a blend of company-owned, franchised, licensed, and managed locations. STK continues to deliver industry-leading unit economics, generating approximately $11 million in annual revenues, with 20% plus restaurant-level margins. As we previously mentioned, the Benihana in San Mateo is significantly above target from a revenue, profit, and cash-on-cash return perspective. Based on the success of our new prototype that we opened in San Mateo, we now believe that the new model can deliver $8 million in annual revenues and restaurant-level margins in the mid-20% before any franchise fees. We anticipate net capital expenditures will be between $3 million and $5 million per location and expect significant franchise interest in this model.
As we move into the back half of 2025, we remain confident in our strategy and our ability to execute. Despite a challenging macro environment, we are seeing positive signals and are well-positioned to gain share through our differentiated vibe dining model. We are building a unique portfolio of iconic brands that deliver not only for guests but for our shareholders. With that, let me turn it over to Tyler for the financial details. Tyler?
Speaker 3
Thank you, Manny. As a reminder, beginning this year, we are reporting financial information on a fiscal quarter basis using four 13-week quarters, with the addition of a 53rd week when necessary. For 2025, our fiscal calendar began on January 1, 2025, and will end on December 28, 2025. Our second quarter contains 91 days. Let me start by discussing our second quarter financials in greater detail before providing our outlook for the third quarter in the current year. As a reminder, we realized 61 days of the Benihana and RA Sushi acquisition in the previous year's quarter. In addition, the current quarter includes $5.6 million in lease termination and exit expenses related to the five Grill locations we exited, nearly all of which was non-cash flowing through our operating and net income.
Total consolidated GAAP revenues were $207.4 million, increasing 20.2% from $172.5 million for the same quarter last year. Included in total revenues were our company-owned restaurant net revenue of $203.9 million, which increased 20.6% from $169 million for the prior year quarter. The increase was primarily due to the 30 additional days of ownership of Benihana and RA Sushi and contributions from the opening of seven restaurants since the beginning of the second quarter of 2024. These were partially offset by a 4.1% reduction in consolidated comparable sales. Management license and incentive fee revenues remained flat at $3.5 million for both quarters. Company-owned restaurant cost of sales as a percentage of company-owned restaurant net revenue remained flat at 21.2% for both quarters. This was primarily due to integration synergy offset by higher than anticipated inflation driven by chicken, egg, and certain cuts of beef.
Company-owned restaurant operating expenses as a percentage of company-owned restaurant net revenue increased 210 basis points to 63.5% from 61.4% at the prior year quarter. This was primarily due to the addition of Benihana and RA Sushi results in April, which typically have lower revenues and lower margins than that of the rest of the quarter. In addition, company-owned operating expenses were impacted by investments in marketing, general cost inflation, and fixed cost de-leveraging driven by a decrease in comparable store sales. Restaurant EBITDA decreased 210 basis points to 15.4% compared to 17.5% in the prior year quarter. This included restaurant EBITDA of 18.5% for the Benihana location and 15.9% at STK location. The two new STK restaurants opened during the quarter impacted STK margins by 80 basis points due to increased costs during the startup period, and we anticipate these costs to normalize during the balance of the year.
On a total reported basis, general administrative costs increased $1 million or 9.7% to $11.7 million from $10.6 million in the prior year quarter, driven by the addition of Benihana in the second quarter of last year, offset by reduction in performance-based compensation expense. When adjusting for stock-based compensation, adjusted general and administrative expenses were $10.2 million and $9.1 million in the second quarter of 2025 and 2024, respectively. As a percentage of revenues, when adjusting for stock-based compensation, adjusted general and administrative costs improved 40 basis points to 4.9% compared to 5.3%. The improvement is due to the sales leverage realized through the Benihana acquisition, the implementation of cost savings and integration synergies, and a reduction in performance-based compensation expense. Depreciation and amortization expense was $10.9 million compared to $8 million in the prior year quarter.
The increase was primarily related to depreciation and amortization for the Benihana and RA Sushi restaurants, depreciation associated with the opening of seven new company-owned venues since July 2024, and capital expenditures to maintain and enhance the guest experience in our restaurants. Pre-opening expenses were $1.4 million, consisting primarily of payroll, training, and other costs for Benihana San Mateo and STK Topanga, which opened in March 2025 and April 2025, respectively. Payroll and travel costs for the training team and pre-opening expenses for restaurants currently under development. Pre-opening expenses were $2.5 million in the prior year quarter. Operating income was $0.7 million compared to $1.1 million in the second quarter of 2024 and included $5.6 million in lease termination and exit costs in the current year quarter. Excluding those costs, operating income would have been $6.3 million.
Interest expense was $10.3 million compared to $7.9 million in the prior year quarter due to our higher level of outstanding debt post-acquisition, which occurred during the second quarter of last year. Provision for income tax was $0.7 million compared to a benefit of $3.5 million in the prior year quarter. The effective income tax rate for the day through the second quarter was -11.3% compared to 27.1% at the same time in the previous year, which is driven by the company's FICA TIF credit. Net loss was $10.1 million compared to a net loss of $7.3 million in the second quarter of 2024, and the current year includes the $5.6 million aforementioned excess expenses, the majority of which were non-cash.
Net loss available to common stockholders was $18.2 million or $0.59 net loss per share compared to $11.9 million in the second quarter of 2024 or $0.38 net loss per share. Adjusted net income was $1.7 million or $0.05 adjusted net income per share compared to an adjusted net income of $6.3 million or $0.19 adjusted net income per share in the prior year quarter. Adjusted EBITDA attributable to The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. was $23.4 million compared to $21.8 million in the prior year quarter, an increase of 7.3%. We finished the quarter with $15.1 million in cash and short-term credit card receipts. Our cash and cash equivalents were lower versus the previous quarter due to the impact of biweekly payroll and reduction of accrued payroll at the end of the second quarter versus the end of the first quarter.
We finished the quarter with $33.6 million available under our revolving credit facility, which remained undrawn. Under the current conditions, our term loans do not have a financial covenant. Now I would like to provide some forward-looking commentary regarding our business. This commentary is subject to risks and uncertainties associated with forward-looking statements as discussed in our SEC filing. We, as always, remind our investors the actual number and timing of new restaurant openings for any given period is subject to a number of factors outside the company's control, including macroeconomic conditions, weather, and factors under control of landlords, contractors, licensee, and regulatory and licensing authorities. Based on the information available now and the expectations as of today, we are issuing the following financial targets for the third quarter of 2025.
Beginning with the top line, we project total GAAP revenues of between $190 million and $195 million, which reflects our anticipation of consolidated comparable sales of minus 4% to minus 2%. Managed franchise and licensee revenues are expected to be between $3 million and $4 million. Total company-owned operating expenses as a percentage of company-owned restaurant net revenue is approximately 86%. Total G&A, excluding stock-based compensation, is approximately $11 million. Adjusted EBITDA is between $15 and $18 million. Finally, restaurant pre-opening expenses are between $1 and $2 million. Based on the information available now and the expectations as of today, we are reiterating the following financial targets for fiscal year 2025. Please note, this does not include the potential impacts of tariffs on broader economic conditions. We project total GAAP revenues of between $835 and $870 million, which reflects our anticipation of consolidated comparable sales of minus 3% to 1%.
Managed franchise and licensee revenues are expected to be between $15 and $16 million. Total company-owned operating expenses as a percentage of company-owned restaurant net revenue of 83.5% to 82.2%. Total G&A, excluding stock-based compensation, is approximately $47 million. Adjusted EBITDA is between $95 and $115 million. Restaurant pre-opening expenses are between $7 and $8 million. An effective income tax rate of approximately 7.5%. Total capital expenditures net of allowances received from landlords are between $45 and $50 million. Finally, we plan to add five to seven expenditures. I will now turn the call back to Manny.
Speaker 4
Thank you, Tyler. Before we open it up for questions, I want to emphasize how excited we are about the future of our business. Our path to $5 billion in system-wide sales remains clear and achievable. With our strengthened portfolio, expanded franchise capabilities, and proven ability to deliver industry-leading margins, we're well-positioned to capture significant opportunities ahead of us. We thank you for your continued support and look forward to sharing our progress in the quarters ahead. Tyler and I look forward to your questions. Operator.
Speaker 5
Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. To ask a question, you may press star, then one on your touch-tone phone. If you are using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the keys. If at any time your question has been addressed and you would like to withdraw your question, please press star, then two. At this time, we will pause momentarily to assemble our roster. Our first question comes from Brian Mullen of Piper Sandler. Please go ahead.
Speaker 0
Hey, thank you, guys. Question on Benihana. It's encouraging to see the positive things for sales again at the brand. As we look at the current quarter, it seems like the brand has an easier comparison. Last year was down 4% in the third quarter. Can you just remind us what some of the issues were last year that you'll be lapping over? Did that have to do with integration or maybe something else? Just related to that, talk about any initiatives you're particularly excited about to drive the top line at Benihana over the balance of this year.
Speaker 4
I mean, that's a great question regarding Benihana third quarter last year. Probably the more significant challenge we had with Benihana last year was that post our acquisition, we found out that there were a lot of HVAC opportunities within the model. As you know, it's a really hot restaurant with the tables in the restaurant. We spent quite a bit of time last year working out the temperature and airflow issues in the restaurant. I think that was kind of a year-one learning for us. This year, we're much more proactive going into the summer months. We made sure that we got all the ventilation and some of those issues taken care of. We feel much better about the sales opportunity for the brand in the third quarter this year.
Speaker 0
Okay. Speaking with Benihana, can you talk about the recently opened restaurant in San Mateo? It sounds like it's been a great opening from an AUV perspective. Manny, maybe remind everyone what was different with this opening versus some of the legacy restaurants. What have you learned and what does that tell you about the future growth opportunity?
Speaker 4
Yeah, I think the difference, well, there's several. One is on the actual design of the restaurant, we chose to eliminate the sushi bar from within the property. There's no sushi bar in the restaurant, which created additional space for tables. We also decided to add tables in the bar area, which was new for the model. We were able to concentrate more tables within the restaurant. Actually, it's only 7,000 square feet, and we were able to get in there a significant amount of tables. The other things that we've done, we lightened up the colors. We added a takeout delivery station in the property, which helps with the flow of the customers coming in and out. The color scheme of the restaurant is brighter, more welcoming. It's a more bright, colorful environment, new artwork. It's significantly better from an aesthetics perspective.
From a pre-opening model, we did a lot of earlier marketing, which was not really typical. We put a lot more ads, we put a lot more emphasis on the pre-marketing, and we leveraged our digital assets right away to let people know that we were open. I think the opening from day one, frankly, we were super busy on the first two or three weeks of the opening. We opened the doors and frankly it was all about managing capacity. We've been very happy with that. As we continue operating the restaurant, I think that the consumer base in the market really has embraced that restaurant. We feel pretty good about, if you will, the new look and feel as well as the new pre-opening model that we put in place for the location.
Speaker 0
Okay, that's great. Just one more for me. A question on the STK brand. You spoke to this in the prepared remarks a bit, but can you just talk about how you're managing this business at the moment? Is ensuring positive traffic, does that remain the main objective right now, even if you need to continue to give up a little bit in average check at least during the week? Is that how you foresee this at least while we're in this consumer environment? Any color on that would be great.
Speaker 4
Yeah, I mean, I think our strategy with STK still is traffic, working with happy hour, working with, you know, value price points. Obviously, in the current economy with the uncertainty with the consumer, we think it's wise to have a great value proposition. We continue to emphasize that. I think as we go into the third, fourth quarter progressions, one of the things we'll continue doing is emphasizing premium products. The barbell approach to try to mitigate the impact of value will continue to be our strategy there. As I've always said, STK is about market share. We're retaining market share in the existing restaurants, and as we continue opening new restaurants, we're gaining market share. I feel very positive about the future of STK just because we're really grabbing market share right now in an environment that you should not.
If you look at all the industry statistics, sales are relatively flat in the industry, but traffic is down. I would say that STK being at the price point that it is and getting traffic is an incredible success in terms of marketing and execution.
Speaker 0
Okay, thanks, Manny.
Speaker 5
Our next question comes from Anthony Lebiedzinski of Sidoti & Company. Please go ahead.
Speaker 0
Good afternoon, and thank you for taking the question. First, I just wanted to check in if you guys could talk about the cadence of your same-store sales during the second quarter and whether or not you saw any notable regional differences in traffic or just same-store sales overall.
Speaker 1
Hey, Tyler. Yep. We definitely saw April and May, April with the holiday shift and a little bit of the spring break shift coming out a little slower. We saw a sequential improvement throughout the quarter, and June ended up being the most, having the best in same-store sales of the cadence throughout the quarter.
Speaker 0
Gotcha. All right. As far as any regional differences to speak of, or was it consistent throughout your operating area?
Speaker 4
I think you probably could see that. By the way, this is Manny, so I didn't introduce myself there. Probably the most meaningful geographical difference for us has been Vegas. Vegas was probably a challenge market from just what we saw. Other than that, I wouldn't call out anything other than that one particular market.
Speaker 0
Was this because of change in convention schedules? I think you had talked on the last call about that.
Speaker 4
Yeah, we have, I mean, there's definitely been shifting. If you even look at the casino outlooks for the rest of the year, there's definitely a shifting in conferences. I also think that the other factor impacting Las Vegas has been the decline in Canadian visitors as well as some even Mexico traffic in the market. It's a combination of visitor traffic right now, as well as shifting of some of the convention calendar.
Speaker 0
Gotcha. Okay. Thinking about your guidance for the year, you kept it unchanged. It does imply a meaningful step up in the fourth quarter relative to what you've done so far and your guidance for the third quarter. Can you just walk us through what gives you the confidence to maintain the annual guidance?
Speaker 4
I can't wait to get to the fourth quarter because as you've probably seen in our seasonal results, we do like fourth quarters. I think particularly for us this year, you know, we had Benihana for the first time last year in the fourth quarter. We frankly have record days around every single one of the holidays. Our biggest challenge, frankly, was managing the logistics and the throughputs at the tables. That's one of the areas that The ONE Group is very good at, logistics and management at tables. We think that there's a pretty large opportunity for us, particularly with Benihana going into the fourth quarter. As you know, Benihana is a significant part of our sales now. It's over 55% of our sales. We feel very good about that. Then, as I mentioned earlier, STK continues to deliver strong traffic results.
We think that the holidays, again, will be an opportunity for us to leverage those traffic buildups that we've been having for the last three quarters. I think we'll be a continued track of building the traffic there. As we look at the year, obviously, the fourth quarter is the quarter that we feel very good about.
Speaker 0
Sounds good. I'm sorry, go ahead.
Speaker 4
Yeah, again, notice that none of my comments have to do with the economy. It all has to do with kind of internal identified areas that I think I can get the team organized around. I think these are all within our control, manageable situations. Obviously, always the background is if the economy gets significantly worse, then obviously that'll be a little bit difficult to achieve. In the context of the economy staying where it is and just the identified opportunities that we had from last year, I think this year should be a very good fourth quarter for us.
Speaker 0
Sounds very good. Thank you very much and best of luck.
Speaker 4
Thank you, sir.
Speaker 5
Our next question comes from Mark Smith of Lake Street Capital Markets. Please go ahead.
Speaker 2
Hi guys. I wanted to ask first just about kind of the differences between Grill Concepts and, you know, STK and Benihana customers. You know, what kind of behaviors are you seeing different between those customers?
Speaker 4
I think, at least for us, as I speak of Grill and we talk about the performance of it, there's at least three or four factors that I keep reminding people about the Grill Concepts for us. Number one is just the way that the business model was built. There's a great connection of those locations to the movie business, and the movie business has been, frankly, challenged since COVID. That's kind of one of the things that we've continued to battle. The second thing that we continue to, from a consumer and brand perspective, is that the Grills do have seafood exposure. They're one of the higher consumptions of seafood. In reality, when the consumer is more uncertain about the future or makes changes in their buying patterns, seafood tends to be one of the areas that is less frequent.
They tend to take those visits out faster than other types of culinary. The third item that I mention about the Grill in general is because we have a concentrated base of sales in sushi. Everybody who now can get a sushi machine can be in the sushi business relatively with a low entry point or low barriers of entry. There's a proliferation of really low-cost sushi competitors everywhere. We've had to deal with the fact that those are things that are different about that business. The fourth item too, as you may recall, the reason we bought the Grill is we like the bars, we like the vibe that came with the bars. If you look at all the metrics in today's consumption of alcohol, that's one of the areas that you see a little bit of a slip. Those are all the handicaps. We understand that.
Those things, we do have answers for all of them. We also had some locations that were not exactly in real estate that we would have done today. Right now we're working the portfolio, as you saw on some of our releases and on our 10Q, we did close five Grill locations in the quarter because we're resetting the portfolio. Priority number one is to reset the portfolio. Priority number two is we continue to innovate in the brand. We're looking at the menus and adding a lot of food offerings that are beyond seafood. The third thing is we just continue to evolve marketing because in the casual category right now, marketing is critical and there's a lot of big competitors with big budgets. We do have to step up our marketing and investment.
Those are kind of like the, if you will, kind of a really long answer to your question, but the reality is there are some short-term challenges there, but we still like the Grill in the long term because as consumer confidence comes back, we think that they're going out for seafood offerings and everything else will get back in play. Hopefully, that's helpful. That was a pretty long answer.
Speaker 2
No, that's very helpful. I did want to dig into just the closures a little bit more if we could. Just, you know, were these all Kona Grill? You know, were all of these lumped into kind of what you call non-core units? Maybe how many of those closures were at the end of the lease term?
Speaker 4
Yeah, the majority of them were on the final option of their leases. They were already kind of lapsing out. That was a big important factor in terms of how we've identified some of these locations. Not only were they at the end of their life cycle, some of them required significant capital investments. We didn't think that, you know, based on their performance and the quality of the real estate that we really want to go there. That's, you know, those were the ones that we're classifying as a non-core Grill in our external reports.
Speaker 2
Okay. Last one for me. I think, Tyler, you had talked a little bit about some places where you've seen some food inflation. I think it was chicken, eggs, and a little bit of beef. Any other insights or anywhere post-quarter where you're maybe seeing some inflationary pressure?
Speaker 1
Yeah, Mark, I think we saw some of those commodities come down a little bit. I think that we anticipate a little bit less pressure there on the commodities coming in the second half of the year. I think the one thing that we're watching is just, you know, beef prices are just tending to be a little bit more sticky than maybe we would like.
Speaker 2
Okay, great. Thank you.
Speaker 4
Yeah, I would just add to that, that with that in mind, this is exactly where innovation and going through the four quarters, we look at our offerings for the fourth quarter. We probably, again, depending on what the commodities basket looks like, you know, we'll be able to kind of navigate around some of that through some of the offerings that we would put out there. We've already contracted for some frozen seafood for the fourth quarter. That kind of helps us keep the cost basket somewhat mitigated.
Speaker 2
Great, thank you.
Speaker 5
Our next question comes from Joe Gomes of Noble Capital. Please go ahead.
Speaker 2
Good afternoon. I was wondering if you could give us a little more color in the franchising efforts for Benihana. I know we've talked in the past, you've updated the infrastructure, you're elevating awareness. I'm just trying to get a better handle of when you think you're going to start to see agreements come in, and is there going to be, do you think, one store or multiple locations? Is it existing or new franchisees that you think are going to be attracted to the model? Just a little more color there would be appreciated.
Speaker 4
Great, great question. We've obviously already addressed the fact that we've invested in infrastructure. That's been done already. The second item that we've worked on is with San Mateo being kind of our new prototype, really working on the cost per square foot because obviously to drive franchising interest, you got to have a strong and a cost so that franchisees can afford to build these restaurants. I think that's been something that we've worked on and we got a lot of learnings out of San Mateo. Check the box on getting to the right cost on that. In terms of Benihana franchising specifically, we have two models. We have the full-size restaurant, Benihana restaurant. What we're seeing there is we're seeing a lot of interest from existing franchisees. We have existing franchisees in the system now that are wanting to do number two and three.
You'll see some new agreements and some new commitments coming from existing franchisees on the big box model. You probably saw that we opened up our second Benihana Express in Miami. We got a tremendous amount of excitement around that brand. It basically offers the same food that you would see at a Benihana, particularly we have a really good offering in fried rice. There's been a lot of excitement about bringing the Benihana product without having to put the full tables in the dining room. That model, we've actually showed that off in a lot of franchising conferences. We've started to participate in a lot of industry events and so forth. We're starting to get a building of a book of people who are looking at it. We've just opened our second one. We have a third one in the pipeline.
Actually, we have a third and fourth one in the pipeline that we'll be announcing in the near future. I think the pipeline is building up for the Benihana Express as well. We're probably 90 days out from starting to make some announcements on development agreements.
Speaker 2
Great, thanks for that. Just looking at the balance sheet, cash at quarter end fell to about $4.5 million from $21 million at the end of the first quarter. I was wondering, is there anything specific behind that? Are you still comfortable with the liquidity level there? Just some more detail on that would be appreciated.
Speaker 1
Hey, Joe, this is Tyler. Yeah, we talked a little bit about it in our prepared remarks around kind of the shifts in working capital on a week-to-week basis. A lot of what you're seeing there is just the difference in accrued payroll and the amount of accrued payroll that we have on the balance sheet between kind of one week to the next. That's a big part of what's driving that. I think from a liquidity perspective, yeah, I think we feel comfortable from just an overall liquidity position.
Speaker 4
Yeah, I think you also, if you look at our capital guidance for the year, and you look at our guidance and where we spent the money, we're front-ended on capital for a lot of reasons. We have the new restaurants coming up right at the beginning of the year. I think, as I answered one of the questions, we did have some planned CapEx, particularly for Benihana, that we got out of the way in the first and second quarter because we want to get the HVACs and everything ready for the summer. I think it's a function of both the working capital shift as well as a front-ended CapEx budget.
Speaker 2
Great, thanks for that. I'll get back in queue.
Speaker 4
Thanks.
Speaker 5
Our next question comes from Jim Sanderson of Northcoast Research. Please go ahead.
Speaker 0
Hey, thanks for the question. I wanted to go back to the outlook for the back half of the year on same-store sales. I think the guide has a nice range in there. What would it take or how do you look at getting to the lower range in the third and fourth quarter, assuming that your exit is around negative 4%?
Speaker 1
Hey, Jim, it's around negative 2%, really, for the back half of the year.
Speaker 0
What would it take you to get to that stronger outlook? I'm entirely looking at the puts and takes based on the range you've provided.
Speaker 4
You mean getting to the better end of the range?
Speaker 0
Yeah, I'm quite the same.
Speaker 4
Okay. I think probably, as I mentioned earlier, obviously going into the fourth quarter, the big variable is always the event business. We're still kind of early on figuring out what that ultimately looks like. As I mentioned earlier on to one of the other questions, I think it's really about how much throughput we can get through Benihana because that ultimately makes all the difference in the world. Said a little differently, our turn times right now are about two hours at Benihana. If we can get it down to about 90 minutes in the fourth quarter, that's really what the answer is. Whatever we end up between 90 minutes and two hours on our turn times is really going to make a difference on how much we can really push that fourth quarter sales, if that makes any sense.
Speaker 0
Sure. Yeah, leaning into marketing events for holiday perhaps, and then improving turn times at Benihana would be two variables we could see you get a little bit further along.
Speaker 4
Exactly.
Speaker 0
On the guide. Excellent. To that point, how do we look at the loyalty program? That's something you just launched. What do you expect out of that? Meaning, do you expect higher frequency, higher average spend? Anything you can tell us about how that's going to work?
Speaker 4
I think another great question. We have 7 million members in the database now, and it's really now about creating activity with them. It's now a marketing game of, you know, communication and driving awareness about it. We're also now really engaging in sign-ups at the restaurant. We've put a lot of efforts and campaigns behind that. I think the next three to six months, you're going to see us continue to go heavy on bringing people in and then utilizing more direct marketing to that group. As you know, in the industry today, a significant amount of visits in the industry now is with loyalty attached to it.
We think going into the fourth quarter again, as we build momentum with the program in the third quarter, because we just very recently launched it, as momentum builds in loyalty, we'll start seeing a payoff of that in the fourth quarter. For sure, I think the first quarter of next year is where we'll really see the payoff of really building up these nice databases and loyalty.
Speaker 0
Understood. Going back to the new Benihana location in San Mateo and that strong performance, any learnings that you can apply to the current store base that would improve the result?
Speaker 4
Yeah, that's another great question. The first thing that we're learning is that we're probably going to move sushi bars to a lot of the back of the house in existing restaurants, which would free up room in a lot of our properties to have two to three tables in some of these properties. As we start adding two to three tables in some of these properties, we should see a significant improvement on throughput. That's kind of the short-term strategy and short-term learning out of it. I think the other thing that we've learned from the new opening in San Mateo is having a dedicated takeout delivery station at the location takes customers away from the host stand and really opens up the flow of customers in the property. We already have a very constricted flow because we're busy.
If you go to our Benihana on Fridays and Saturdays, it's standing room only in the front area. Having the tucked away takeout delivery really helps move through people. We see actually, frankly, a little better turn times in that restaurant just because it's easier to flow customers from the front of the dining room to the table. I think that's been two easy to adopt kind of learnings from that prototype for the rest of the brand.
Speaker 0
Okay. Just one last question for me. As far as closures go, is there anything we should be thoughtful of going forward with respect to leases that would indicate further closures or exiting the RA Sushi business?
Speaker 4
I mean, again, as I always say, we always look at the portfolio. We're always looking at seeing what makes the most sense to keep around. Frankly, we're always evaluating that. We're looking at end-of-lease restaurants. The reality is we already have a lot of grills who are kind of in that 17, 18, 19 year of life. You may know this or not, but Kona Grill's expansion period was between 2006 and 2010. It was kind of like the golden age of growth for them. On that note, there's a lot of restaurants approaching that 20-year cycle on it.
Obviously, the decision that Tyler and I and the team have to make is, do you chase an old asset that needs a massive remodel at the end of the lease and has problematic real estate, or do we go ahead and, as I mentioned in my prepared statements, the returns on Benihana are great. If you look at the San Mateo return profile or even STK's best profile of ROIs in the industry, it really becomes a capital allocation exercise in terms of where we go with our capital.
Speaker 0
All right. Thank you.
Speaker 5
Our next question comes from Roger Lipton of Lipton Financial. Please go ahead.
Speaker 2
Yes. Hi, Manny. Hi, Tyler. Thanks for taking my question. Most of my questions have been answered already, but to get back to San Mateo. Very impressive, of course. That leads me to wonder, the Seattle, Washington locations and next Benihana to open for the company. What's the configuration there in terms of size and cost so far? When will it open?
Speaker 4
Roger, the Seattle location is on Lake Union. It's going to be a flagship type location. It has some of the best stunning water views that you can possibly get in a restaurant. It's a really high-quality real estate. We did change it. Originally, we were going to do a Kona Grill there, and mid-design cycle, we chose to go with a Benihana instead of Kona Grill there just because we thought the revenue potential based on what we saw in San Mateo was much greater. It's really a matter of, obviously, we have to go back to the city with some changes to the design and the electrical requirements. We're still thinking that we can probably open that one by the end of the year. That's kind of our target date for Lake Union, to get it open by the end of this year.
It's a beautiful, stunning location, so it should do very well for the brand.
Speaker 2
How large is it, Manny?
Speaker 4
That location is about 7,000-ish square feet, so it's almost identical to what we got in San Mateo.
Speaker 2
Right. You just made reference to reevaluating how you spend your money and allocating what was going to be a Kona. I would imagine you're starting to rethink, assuming San Mateo continues to do as well as it has, that next year might be a little more emphasis on company-operated Benihana's than you might have previously thought.
Speaker 4
I mean, we haven't gotten there yet, but of course, as I said on my prepared statements, the great returns on the Benihana full-size footprint actually drive franchise interest. We've seen that coming from big franchisees who want to invest in the brand. The reality is we have a 400-plus footprint outlook for Benihana in the U.S. So we're very early on in the growth story of that. I know it's a 60-year brand, but if I look at the potential of it, we're still very early on. The reality is to open all that 400-plus with company-owned assets is a big commitment. Having really sized up to be a great franchise model is a good way of us accelerating the brand. Ultimately, I think having a bigger brand allows us for a lot more marketing and advertising synergies with Benihana.
I think that's really the goal now, to grow Benihana a little faster so that we can get more marketing and advertising out of the model.
Speaker 2
Right. Okay, that's all I've got for now. Best of luck. We're all obviously excited about the prospects for Benihana.
Speaker 4
Thank you, sir.
Speaker 5
This concludes our question and answer session. I would now like to turn the conference call back over to Manny Hilario for any closing remarks.
Speaker 4
Thank you. As I always close my calls with, I want to thank our teammates. They're doing a fantastic job of living our mission every day of executing on great restaurants and creating unforgettable memories all the time. I appreciate the team's continued effort on it. Frankly, they were the driver of our performance in Q2. I look forward to seeing everybody on this call out in our restaurants. Everyone have a great afternoon.
Speaker 5
This concludes today's conference call. You may disconnect your lines. Thank you for participating and have a pleasant day.