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SP

Service Properties Trust (SVC)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 results were broadly in line with plan: total revenue was $435.2M, Adjusted EBITDAre was $115.8M, and Normalized FFO/share was $0.07; comparable hotel RevPAR rose 2.6% despite renovation disruption and softer demand late in the quarter .
  • Versus S&P Global consensus, SVC posted a modest revenue beat (+1.0%) and a slight Primary EPS beat (−$0.48 actual vs −$0.52 est); S&P’s EBITDA “actual” was essentially in line (and sits below SVC’s Adjusted EBITDAre due to definitional differences). Expect limited estimate changes near-term [GetEstimates Q1 2025] .
  • Portfolio optimization advanced: four hotels and three net lease assets sold ($22.7M) with additional hotels under agreement; management reiterated plans to sell roughly $1.1B of hotels in 2025 to delever, with the deck citing 123 hotels and management discussing ~125 hotels on the call .
  • Liquidity and balance sheet remain focal points: quarter-end liquidity was ~$680M; net lease occupancy stayed high (97.8%) with healthy rent coverage (2.07x), supporting cash flow resiliency during lodging renovations and macro softness .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Comparable hotel RevPAR +2.6% YoY, outperforming the industry by ~40 bps; excluding eight hotels under renovation, RevPAR +3.7% YoY. Select service outperformed with strong Hyatt Place post-renovation traction (RevPAR +35% YoY at renovated hotels) .
    • Net lease stability: 97.8% leased, 8-year WALT, and aggregate rent coverage at 2.07x; limited 2025 expirations (2.1% of minimum rents), reinforcing cash flow durability .
    • Progress on portfolio optimization: 4 hotels and 3 net lease assets sold ($22.7M) and 4 more hotels under agreement ($26.5M); management reiterated the $1.1B hotel sale program and highlighted strong buyer demand with 4 awarded buyers for the 114 Sonesta hotel pool .
    • Management quote: “SVC began the year with…a 2.6% increase in comparable hotel RevPAR…we…ended the quarter with over $680 million of liquidity. Our strategic focus remains on strengthening our balance sheet through asset sales and reinvesting in our hotels…” — CEO Chris Bilotto .
  • What Went Wrong

    • GAAP profitability remained pressured: net loss widened to $(116.4)M; net loss/share of $(0.70), driven by higher interest expense and $37.1M of impairment on 16 hotels .
    • Hotel margins compressed: Adjusted Hotel EBITDA fell to $23.0M with a 6.9% margin; GOP margin for comparable hotels declined 330 bps YoY to 21.4%, reflecting renovation disruption and higher labor and utilities .
    • Demand softness emerged intra-quarter: RevPAR decelerated from >2.5% in January to ~0.5% in March; April prelim was down ~1% YoY; government and international segments, plus reduced airline crew business, weighed on trends .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Total Revenues ($M)491.2 456.6 435.2
Net Loss ($M)(46.9) (76.4) (116.4)
Net Loss/Share ($)(0.28) (0.46) (0.70)
Normalized FFO/Share ($)0.32 0.17 0.07
Adjusted EBITDAre ($M)155.0 130.6 115.8
Adjusted Hotel EBITDA ($M)60.1 42.8 23.0
Adjusted Hotel EBITDA Margin (%)15.4% 12.0% 6.9%

Segment revenue detail

SegmentQ3 2024 ($M)Q4 2024 ($M)Q1 2025 ($M)
Hotel Operating Revenues390.9 357.0 335.0
Rental Income (Net Lease)100.2 99.5 100.2
Total Revenues491.2 456.6 435.2

Key KPIs (Company-Reported)

KPIQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Comparable Hotel RevPAR ($)94.73 84.27 83.67
All-Hotel RevPAR ($)94.58 84.13 83.52
Net Lease Occupancy (%)97.6% 97.6% 97.8%
Net Lease Rent Coverage (x)2.16x 2.10x 2.07x

Consensus vs. Actuals (S&P Global; Q1 2025)

MetricConsensus*Actual*Surprise
Revenue ($M)430.7*435.2*+$4.5M / +1.0%*
EBITDA ($M)114.0*114.0*+$0.0M / +0.0%*
Primary EPS ($)(0.52)*(0.48)*+$0.04*

Note: S&P Global’s EBITDA/“Primary EPS” definitions differ from SVC’s Adjusted EBITDAre/GAAP EPS; SVC reported Adjusted EBITDAre of $115.8M for Q1 2025 . Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Hotel RevPAR ($)Q2 2025Not previously provided$99–$102 (company view) New
Adjusted Hotel EBITDA ($M)Q2 2025Not previously provided$69–$74 (company view) New
Hotel Dispositions (count/value)FY 2025114 hotels planned (Oct-2024) ~123 hotels (deck) / ~125 hotels (call) , ~$1.1BIncreased scope vs. initial plan
Common Dividend ($/share/qtr)2025 run-rate$0.01 declared in Q4’24 $0.01 declared Apr 2025 Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ3 2024 (Prev-2)Q4 2024 (Prev-1)Q1 2025 (Current)Trend
Portfolio optimization / hotel salesAnnounced plan to sell 114 Sonesta focused-service hotels in 2025; liquidity/deleveraging focus Marketing 115 hotels underway; more sales executed Deck states 123 hotels planned; mgmt references ~125 hotels, 4 buyers selected; phased closings through Q2–Q3 Scope broadened; timeline phasing
Renovation program / post-reno liftOngoing; drag in focused-service Renovation-driven RevPAR outperformance in Q4 despite displacement Renovations weighed on margins; Hyatt Place post-reno strong (+35% RevPAR YoY) Near-term drag, selective lift
Demand/macro (gov’t, intl, airlines)Macro headwinds noted Seasonal strength in Q4; monitoring inflation/rates RevPAR decelerated Mar; April −1% prelim; gov’t/international/airline crew softness Softening intra-quarter
Net lease durability97.6% leased; coverage ~2.16x 97.6% leased; coverage 2.10x 97.8% leased; coverage 2.07x; minimal 2025 expiries (2.1%) Stable/high occupancy; slight coverage drift
Capital allocation / financingABS in place; deleveraging priority Raised $ via asset sales; revolver usage New $45M VFN secured by net lease portfolio; proceeds to acquisitions/debt Incremental secured flexibility
Tariffs / supply chainMonitoring tariffs/FF&E sourcing; cost contingencies in capex Proactive mitigation

Management Commentary

  • Strategy: “We are confident that our portfolio optimization initiatives, durable cash flows from our triple net lease assets and effective capital management will be significant drivers of long-term value creation.” — CEO Chris Bilotto .
  • Lodging trends: “RevPAR softened as the quarter progressed…pullback in government and inbound international travel as well as airlines reducing flight commitments and crew business.” — CEO .
  • Dispositions: “We plan to sell 125 hotels in 2025 for approximately $1.1 billion…portfolio awarded to four buyers…sales will be completed in phases over the next few quarters.” — CEO .
  • Net lease: “Aggregate coverage…2.07x…nearly 98% leased…only 2.1% of minimum rents scheduled to expire in 2025.” — VP Jesse Abair .
  • Q2 outlook: “Projecting second quarter RevPAR of $99 to $102 and adjusted hotel EBITDA of $69 million to $74 million…headwinds in travel and lodging…renovation revenue displacement.” — CFO Brian Donley .

Q&A Highlights

  • Intra-quarter RevPAR cadence: ~+2.5% YoY in January, decelerating to ~+0.5% in March; April prelim −1% YoY, with expected ramp through Q2 .
  • Demand mix: Government cancellations ($2.5M) and airline crew pullback; group pace +6.5% ($9M) YoY provides offset .
  • Disposition timing: Majority of the 114-hotel Sonesta pool closing in phases across Q2–Q3; robust buyer interest and diligence driving timeline .
  • Use of proceeds / balance sheet: Plan to address 2026 note maturities using asset-sale proceeds remains unchanged .
  • Capex and tariffs: 2025 capex ~$250M; pricing largely locked for 2025 projects; pursuing sourcing and scope adjustments to mitigate tariff/supply-chain risk .
  • Impairment context: Impairments tied to a subset of the 114-hotel pool where fair value < carrying value; overall expects net gain on sale when the full pool closes .

Estimates Context

  • Q1 2025 vs S&P Global consensus: revenue $435.2M actual vs $430.7M est (+1.0%), EBITDA $114.0M actual vs $114.0M est (in line), Primary EPS −$0.48 actual vs −$0.52 est (+$0.04*). Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
  • Note: S&P’s Primary EPS and EBITDA frameworks differ from SVC’s GAAP EPS and Adjusted EBITDAre. SVC reported Adjusted EBITDAre of $115.8M and net loss/share of $(0.70) for Q1 2025 . This definitional gap can drive differences between company-reported figures and S&P’s “actuals.”

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Near-term: Results were steady against lowered expectations, but margins remain pressured by renovations and macro softness; Q2 guide embeds continued headwinds and ongoing displacement, arguing for conservative near-term estimates .
  • Medium-term: The $1.1B hotel sale program (deck ~123; call ~125) is the key deleveraging catalyst; execution phasing into Q3 should be the main stock driver, alongside visibility on 2026 maturities .
  • Mix shift: As the portfolio tilts toward net lease (high occupancy, long WALT, stable coverage), valuation could migrate toward net lease REIT peers, potentially improving the multiple over time if execution holds .
  • Capital flexibility: New $45M VFN and existing ABS program highlight financing optionality from the net lease platform; proceed prudently with small, accretive retail acquisitions during the transition .
  • Watchlist items: (1) Disposition closings/timing and realized proceeds, (2) RevPAR trajectory after April softness, (3) renovation completion and post-reno uplift, (4) net lease coverage trends, especially TA, and (5) tariff/supply chain impacts on capex and timing .

Additional Notes and References

  • Dividend: $0.01/share quarterly distribution declared April 10, 2025 (payable ~May 15) .
  • Liquidity & leverage: Liquidity ~$680M; net debt/TTM Adjusted EBITDAre 9.9x; rolling four-quarter interest coverage 1.5x .
  • Dispositions executed in Q1: four hotels (514 keys) for $19.6M and three vacant net lease properties (103,043 sf) for $3.1M; additional four hotels under agreement for $26.5M .

Footnote on estimates: All items marked with an asterisk (*) are Values retrieved from S&P Global.