SP
Service Properties Trust (SVC)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 delivered mixed results: total revenues declined sequentially to $478.8M and year-over-year to $478.8M, while net loss per share remained at -$0.28; Normalized FFO fell to $0.20/share and Adjusted EBITDAre decreased to $145.0M, impacted by hotel dispositions and expense pressures .
- Versus consensus, revenue and EPS were modest misses; revenue of $478.8M vs $481.1M estimate*, and EPS of -$0.2465 vs -$0.245 estimate*; management flagged hotel EBITDA below guidance due to asset sale timing and insurable events .
- Strategic actions strengthened the balance sheet: $580.2M zero‑coupon senior secured notes (net ~$490M) and $800M 2026 unsecured notes redeemed; no significant maturities until 2027 with $650M revolver availability .
- Portfolio transition advanced: 40 hotels sold in Q3 ($292.4M), six more in October ($66.5M), with 69 hotels under PSA ($567.5M) expected to close in Q4; 2025 hotel sale proceeds targeted at ~$958.9M .
- Near-term catalysts: closing the remaining hotel sales and applying proceeds to redeem the $400M notes due Feb 2027; Q4 guidance calls for RevPAR of $86–$89 and adjusted hotel EBITDA of $20–$25M amid seasonal and industry headwinds .
Values marked with * in this section are retrieved from S&P Global.
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Liquidity and maturities de-risked: issued $580.2M zero‑coupon notes (net proceeds ~$490M) and redeemed $350M of 2026 notes, then all $450M of 2026 notes in October; no significant maturities until Feb 2027 and $650M revolver available .
- Disposition momentum: sold 40 hotels for $292.4M in Q3; under PSA for 69 hotels aggregating $567.5M expected to close in Q4; total 2025 hotel sale proceeds now expected ~$958.9M .
- Net lease durability: portfolio 97.3% occupied, annualized minimum rent ~$389M, weighted average lease term 7.5 years, rent coverage ~2.04x; year-over-year rent grew >2% and NOI rose 50 bps, supported by acquisitions .
Management quote: “We believe these initiatives will continue to strengthen the resilience and growth potential of our cash flows, delivering meaningful value to our shareholders.” — Christopher Bilotto, President & CEO .
What Went Wrong
- Hotel EBITDA miss vs guidance: adjusted hotel EBITDA fell 18.9% YoY to $45.4M and below guidance by ~$9.7M due to asset sale timing and fire disruptions at two full‑service hotels; GOP margin declined 330 bps to 24.4% .
- Expense pressure: labor, repairs, and insurance costs weighed on retained hotel portfolio; RevPAR modestly up YoY, but margins compressed; retained portfolio adjusted hotel EBITDA fell $7M YoY to ~$36M .
- Travel center rent coverage trending lower: coverage moderated sequentially; management not concerned given BP guaranty but continues to monitor .
Financial Results
Consolidated Performance vs Prior Periods and Estimates
Actuals vs Wall Street Consensus (S&P Global) — Q3 2025
Values marked with * are retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment Revenue Breakdown
Hotel KPIs (All Hotels Total/Average)
Net Lease Metrics
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “RevPAR was consistent with our guidance, while hotel EBITDA fell below our expectations, primarily due to the impact of hotel dispositions during the quarter.” — Christopher Bilotto, President & CEO .
- “Our hotel portfolio generated adjusted hotel EBITDA of $44.3M… These results came in below the low end of our hotel EBITDA guidance range by $9.7M, primarily due to a $6.6M impact from hotels sold prior to September 30 and a $2.9M impact from fire‑related disruption at two full‑service hotels.” — Brian Donley, CFO .
- “We have repaid all $700M of senior notes scheduled to mature in 2026… and all amounts outstanding on our $650M revolver… Our next maturity is $400M due Feb 2027, which we expect to redeem with hotel sale proceeds.” — Brian Donley, CFO .
- “We continue to advance modest growth supporting our net lease portfolio… acquisitions intended to scale net lease, optimize portfolio composition, and unlock accretive financing.” — Jesse Abair, VP .
Q&A Highlights
- Disposition timing: management tracking 40–50% of remaining closings in November with the balance in December; contracts obligate closing, with remedies if not met .
- Impairment: $27M impairment tied to portfolio purchase price allocations; overall sales expected to produce significant book gains in Q4 .
- TA rent coverage: decline moderating; BP guaranty underpins risk; continued investment at sites .
- Q4 guide construction: excludes impact of remaining hotel sales; seasonality steeper for full‑service hotels post asset mix change; continued cost pressures .
- Zero‑coupon notes rationale: covenant headroom on 1.5x coverage test and two‑year runway to maturities; proceeds used to retire 2026 notes and repay revolver .
- 2026 dispositions: plan to continue selling negative‑EBITDA full‑service hotels incrementally, with details forthcoming (e.g., NAREIT update) .
Estimates Context
- Revenue modest miss: $478.8M actual vs $481.1M consensus*; management cited asset sale timing and insurable events affecting hotel EBITDA and overall results .
- EPS modest miss: -$0.2465 actual vs -$0.245 consensus*.
- Implication: Street models likely to mark down near‑term hotel EBITDA, RevPAR, and margin assumptions given cost pressures and seasonality; net lease estimates should remain stable given occupancy and coverage.
Values marked with * are retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Balance sheet risk reduced: 2026 maturities retired and revolver repaid; next maturity in Feb 2027 with intent to redeem from sale proceeds .
- Disposition execution remains the key near‑term catalyst; successful Q4 closings support deleveraging and may drive multiple re‑rating .
- Hotel profitability under pressure near term (labor/insurance/disruption); expect seasonal step-down in Q4 and potential margin stabilization post dispositions in 2026 .
- Net lease platform provides durable cash flows with 97.3% occupancy, ~2.04x coverage, and WALT ~7.5 years; continued small, higher‑cap‑rate acquisitions enhance portfolio .
- CapEx discipline: 2025 lowered to ~$200M; Nautilus deferral shifts $20–$30M into 2026; monitor renovation ROI and margin recovery at retained hotels .
- Watch TA coverage trend: moderating declines, BP guaranty mitigates credit risk; coverage >1x remains acceptable but continued monitoring warranted .
- Tactical focus: track Q4 RevPAR ($86–$89) and adjusted hotel EBITDA ($20–$25M) delivery vs guide amid industry softness and asset mix changes .
A Maryland Real Estate Investment Trust dividend policy: $0.01/share quarterly distribution announced on Oct 9, 2025 .
Values marked with * are retrieved from S&P Global.