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SolarWinds Corp (SWI)·Q2 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • SolarWinds delivered Q2 revenue of $193.3M (+4% YoY) and produced its highest adjusted EBITDA in 15 quarters at $92.5M (48% margin), both exceeding the high end of guidance, underscoring disciplined execution amid a steady macro backdrop .
  • Subscription momentum remained robust: Subscription revenue rose 31% YoY, Subscription ARR grew 36% YoY to $269.9M, and Total ARR reached $704.7M (+7% YoY), while recurring revenue accounted for 93% of total revenue .
  • Full-year 2024 outlook was raised across revenue ($778–$788M), adjusted EBITDA ($368–$375M), and non-GAAP EPS ($1.04–$1.08); Q3 2024 guidance calls for revenue of $191–$196M, adjusted EBITDA of $90–$93M, and non-GAAP EPS of $0.24–$0.26 .
  • Potential stock catalysts: raised FY guide and durable profitability, continued ARR expansion, debt refinancing (SOFR +2.75%, maturity extended to 2030), and management noting a favorable court order largely granting its motion to dismiss in the SEC matter (July 18) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Executed above the high end of guidance on revenue and adjusted EBITDA; CEO highlighted “highest quarterly adjusted EBITDA of the past 15 quarters” and ongoing product innovation (e.g., AI by Design, HCO enhancements) .
    • Subscription-first transition is working: Subscription revenue +31% YoY, Subscription ARR +36% YoY; trailing 12-mo maintenance renewal rate at 97% with 93% recurring revenue mix .
    • Balance sheet actions improved flexibility: term loan refinanced in July to SOFR +2.75% (−50 bps) and extended to Feb 2030; cash and short-term investments at $169.6M .
  • What Went Wrong

    • License revenue declined 17% YoY as the subscription-first motion continues to depress perpetual licenses; maintenance revenue also declined 5% YoY due to migrations to subscription .
    • GAAP diluted EPS declined sequentially ($0.06 vs $0.09 in Q1) amid higher tax expense in Q2; management still emphasizes non-GAAP profitability .
    • Street comparison unavailable via our S&P Global feed; while results topped company guidance, the inability to benchmark Street consensus limits external beat/miss framing this quarter (see Estimates Context) [GetEstimates error].

Financial Results

MetricQ2 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024
Revenue ($M)$185.034 $193.311 $193.250
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.09 $0.06
Non-GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.21 $0.29 $0.26
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$79.142 $92.070 $92.496
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)42.8% 47.6% 47.9%
GAAP Gross Margin (%)88.1% 89.2% 89.5%
Non-GAAP Gross Margin (%)90.3% 90.9% 90.8%
GAAP Operating Income ($M)$32.645 $46.899 $49.486
Non-GAAP Operating Income ($M)$74.591 $86.691 $87.161

Segment/Mix

Revenue Mix ($M)Q2 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024
Subscription$53.389 $68.757 $70.033
Maintenance$116.056 $111.720 $110.306
License$15.589 $12.834 $12.911
Recurring % of Total93% 93%

Key KPIs

KPIQ4 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024
Total ARR ($M)$684 $695.3 $704.7
Subscription ARR ($M)$233 $251.3 $269.9
Customers >$100k ARR (count)979 1,021 1,042
Trailing 12-mo Maintenance Renewal Rate (%)96% 97% 97%

Notes on non-GAAP: Non-GAAP results exclude stock-based compensation and related payroll taxes, amortization of acquired intangibles/technologies, restructuring costs, acquisition/other costs, Cyber Incident costs (net), and certain other items; reconciliations provided in the press release .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Total RevenueFY 2024$771–$786M $778–$788M Raised
Adjusted EBITDAFY 2024$360–$370M $368–$375M Raised
Non-GAAP Diluted EPSFY 2024$1.00–$1.04 $1.04–$1.08 Raised
Weighted Avg Diluted SharesFY 2024~173.4M ~173.8M Increased
Total RevenueQ3 2024n/a$191–$196M New
Adjusted EBITDAQ3 2024n/a$90–$93M New
Non-GAAP Diluted EPSQ3 2024n/a$0.24–$0.26 New
Weighted Avg Diluted SharesQ3 2024n/a~173.6M New

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4’23, Q1’24)Current Period (Q2’24)Trend
Macro/linearityMacro uncertain but stable; velocity benefits from mid-market mix No meaningful macro change vs Q1; pipeline supported by partners Stable
Subscription-first & ARRStrong subscription growth; >$100k ARR customer count introduced Sub ARR +36% YoY; 1,021 customers >$100k ARR Sustained strength
Observability (HCO)Rapid adoption, targeting $100M ARR run-rate Exceeded $100M in total ARR for HCO; tool consolidation driver Improving
AI strategyMulti-year AI work; alert fatigue reduction; ITSM enhancements coming “AI by Design” principles; ITSM AI in premium tier, flexible hybrid deployment Expanding scope
Guidance philosophyPrudent given macro; raised EBITDA in Q1 Raised FY revenue, EBITDA, EPS; Q3 guide prudent Constructively cautious
Debt & capital allocationJan refi to SOFR+3.25%; special dividend in April July refi to SOFR+2.75%; maturity to 2030; ~3x net leverage post dividend Improving terms
Legal/SEC matterOperatively non-disruptive; confidence in facts Judge largely agreed with motion to dismiss on 7/18 Sentiment positive

Management Commentary

  • “In Q2, we continued the momentum… exceeding the high end of our guidance for total revenue and adjusted EBITDA, and delivering our highest quarterly adjusted EBITDA of the past 15 quarters.” — Sudhakar Ramakrishna, CEO .
  • “We ended the second quarter with total ARR of $705 million… subscription ARR… $270 million, an increase of 36% year-over-year.” — J. Barton Kalsu, CFO .
  • “Our maintenance renewal rate is at 97% on a trailing 12-month basis and was 97% for the second quarter.” — J. Barton Kalsu, CFO .
  • “In July, we refinanced our term loan, decreasing the interest rate by 50 basis points… and extended the maturity to February 2030.” — J. Barton Kalsu, CFO .
  • On SEC case: “Judge Engelmayer largely agreed with our motion to dismiss… on Thursday, July 18th.” — Sudhakar Ramakrishna, CEO .

Q&A Highlights

  • Macro and pipeline: No material change vs Q1; partner program continues to extend reach while maintaining expense discipline .
  • AI monetization: ITSM AI features in a premium tier with higher ASP; hybrid model lets self-hosted customers use cloud AI extensions; AI permeates across portfolio beyond ITSM .
  • Subscription revenue vs ARR: Flattish subscription revenue QoQ reflects rev rec dynamics (on-prem HCO) and seasonality; ARR is better health indicator; expect subscription revenue to increase in H2 .
  • Investments vs margins: With EBITDA above mid-40s target, management may lean into investments to accelerate roadmap and GTM, balancing growth/profitability into 2025 .
  • Migration pace: Broadened from NA to EMEA and APJ; seeing consistent results across geographies as partners and sales prioritize conversion .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus estimates were unavailable via our feed for SWI this quarter (tool mapping error), so we cannot quantify Street revenue/EPS vs actuals; the company exceeded the high end of its own Q2 guidance on revenue and adjusted EBITDA, and raised full-year guidance across revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and non-GAAP EPS .
  • Given the raised FY 2024 ranges, Street models will need to align upward to at least the new midpoints for revenue ($783M), adjusted EBITDA (~$371.5M), and non-GAAP EPS ($1.06) absent contrary views .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Durable execution: Two consecutive quarters above guidance with high-40s adjusted EBITDA margins despite a steady but unspectacular macro; non-GAAP operating margin ~45% reflects structural discipline .
  • Subscription transition on track: +36% Subscription ARR and 93% recurring revenue mix reduce volatility and support visibility; continued HCO adoption and >$100k ARR customer growth are positive quality signals .
  • FY guide raised: Upward revisions to revenue, EBITDA, and EPS suggest confidence into H2; Q3 guide remains prudent, setting a bar that appears achievable given recent trends .
  • Capital structure strengthened: July refi to SOFR+2.75% and extended maturity to 2030 lowers interest burden and liquidity risk; net leverage ~3x post special dividend .
  • AI/observability narrative building: “AI by Design” and ITSM AI monetization can enhance pricing/mix, while AIOps capabilities deepen differentiation in hybrid observability and database management .
  • Watch items: Continued decline in license revenue and maintenance (as intended) should be offset by subscription growth; monitor sequential subscription revenue trajectory in H2 and the pace of global migrations .
  • Legal overhang: Court’s July order largely agreeing with SolarWinds’ motion to dismiss may reduce event risk perception, but case is not fully concluded; management remains focused on operations .

Appendix: Additional Data Points

  • Cash & short-term investments: $169.6M at 6/30/24; Total debt ~$1.21B .
  • Q2 GAAP net income: $11.1M; non-GAAP diluted EPS: $0.26; weighted avg diluted shares ~172.6M in Q2 .
  • Non-GAAP adjustments include stock-based comp, amortization, restructuring, acquisition/other costs, and Cyber Incident costs (net); see reconciliations .